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題名 滙率變動對出口產業的影響 : 臺灣之實證研究 作者 毛嘉莉 貢獻者 林柏生
毛嘉莉日期 1987 上傳時間 4-May-2016 17:09:30 (UTC+8) 參考文獻 參考書目 一、中文部分 1.許日和:「台灣按商品類別進出口貿易的所得與價格彈性」,經濟論文,第三卷第一期,六十四年三月,中研院經研所。 2.施鷹豔:「台灣戰出入商品彈性的測量(1961-1974)」,民國六十四年,政大國貿所碩士論文。 3.陳文乾:「台情對外交易部門的季模型估計19651-1975IV」,民國六十六年六月,政大國貿所碩士論文。 4.吳江湖:「台灣財貨與勞務輸出模型之設定──逐次迴歸法之應用」,二O九期,七十一年六月,台灣經濟金融月刊。 5.龔尚智:「匯率變動對貿易的影響」,民國六十九年六月,政大國貿所碩士論文。 二、英文部分 1. Artus, J.R. and S.C. Sosa, “Relative Price Effects on Export Performance: The Case of Nonelectrical Machinery”, IMF Staff Papers, 1978, pp.25-47. 2. Basevi, G., “Commodity Trade Equations in Project LINK”, in:R.Ball ed., The International Linkage of National Economic Models (North-Holland, Amsterdam, 1973), PP.227-281. 3. Deppler, M.C., “Some Evidence on the Effects of Exchance Rate Changes on Trade”, IMF Staff Papers, 1974, pp.605-636. 4. Eckstein, O. and G.Fromm, “The Price Equation”, American Economic Review, Vol. 58, 1968, pp.1159-1183. 5. Goldstein, M., “Have Flexible Exchange Rates Handicapped Macroeconomic Policy?”, Special Papers in International Economics, “No.14 (Princeton University 1980). 6. Goldstein, M., M.S. Khan. And L.H. Officer, “Prices of Tradable and Non-Tradable Goods in the Demand for Total Import”, Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol.62, 1980, pp.190-199. 7. Grossman, G.M., “Import Competition from Developed and Developing Countries,” The Review of Economic and Statistics, Vol.64, 1981 pp. 271-281. 8. Houthakker, H.S. and S.P. Magee, “Income and Price Elasticites in the World Trade”, Review of Economic and Statistics, Vol. 51, 1969, pp.111-125. 9. Isard, P., “How far can we push the ‘law of one price’?”, American Economic Review, Vol.67, 1977, pp.942-948. 10. Johnston, J., Econometric Methods 3rd edition, (New York: McGraw-Hill Book Company, 1984). 11. Junz, H.B. and R.R. Rhomberg, “Prices and Export Performance of Industrial Countries, 1953-63”, IMF Staff Papers, Vol.12, 1965, pp.224-269. 12. Junz, H.B. and R.R. Rhomberg, “prices Competitiveness in Export Trade Industrial countries”, American Economic Review, Vol.63, 1973, pp.421-418. 13. Kenen, P.B. and C. Pack, “Exchange Rates and Domestic Prices: A Survey of Evidence”, Research Memorandum, International Finance Sestion, (Princeton University, Princeton, 1979). 14. Kohli, U. R., “Relative Price Effects and Demand for Imports”, Canadian Journal of Economics, 1982, pp.205-219. 15. Kohli, U.R., “U.S. Import by Origin: A System Approach”, Welwirtschaftliches Archiv, Vol. 121, 1985, pp. 741-755. 16. Kravis, I.B. and Lipsey, “Price Behavior in the Light of Balance of Payment Theories”, Journal of International Economics, Vol.8, 1978, pp.193-246. 17. Kreinin, M.E., “Price Elasticities in International Trade”, Review of Economic and Statistics, Vol. 49, 1967, pp.510-516. 18. Kreinin, M.E., “Disaggreated Imports Demand Function—Further Result”, Southern Economic Journal, Vol.39, 1973, pp.46-57. 19. Kreinin M.E., “The Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on the Prices and Volumn of Foreign Trade”, IMF Staff Papers, Vol. 24, 1977, pp.297-329. 20. Kreinin, M. and L.H. Officer, The Monetary Approach to Balance of Payments: A Survey Studies in International Finance No.43 (Princeton University, 1978). 21. Krinsky, I., “The Small Country Assumption: A Note on Canadian Exports”, Applied Economics, 1983, pp.73-79. 22. Kwack, Sung Y., “The Determination of U.S. Import and Export: A Disaggregated Quarterly Model, 1960 III-1967 IV”, Southern Economic Journal, Vol. 38, 1972, pp.302-314. 23. Magee, S.P., “Currency Contracts, Pass-Though, and Devaluation”, Bookings Papers on Economic Activity, Vol.1, 1973, pp.303-323. 24. Magee, S.P., “Prices, Income and Foreign Trade: A Survey of Recent Economic Studies”, in: P.B. Kenen, ed., International Trade and Financy: Frontiers for Research ( Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 1975). 25. Miles, M.A., “The Effects of Devaluation on the Trade Balance and the Balance of Payments: Some New Results”, Journal of Political Economy, Vol.87, 1979, pp.600-620. 26. Spitaeller, E. “Short-Run Effects of Exchange Rate Changes on Terms of Trade and Trade Balance”, IMF Staff Papers, Vol.27, 1980, pp. 320-348. 27. Wilson, L.A. and W. Takacs, “Differential Responses to Price and Exchange Rate Influences in the Foreign Trade of Selected Industrial Countries”. Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol.51, 1979, pp.267-279. 28. Zellner, Arnold, “An Efficient Method of Estimating Seemingly Unrelated Regressions and Test for Aggregation Bias”, Journal of the American Statistical Association, Vol. 37, 1962, pp. 348-368. 描述 碩士
國立政治大學
國際經營與貿易學系資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#B2002006214 資料類型 thesis dc.contributor.advisor 林柏生 zh_TW dc.contributor.author (Authors) 毛嘉莉 zh_TW dc.creator (作者) 毛嘉莉 zh_TW dc.date (日期) 1987 en_US dc.date.accessioned 4-May-2016 17:09:30 (UTC+8) - dc.date.available 4-May-2016 17:09:30 (UTC+8) - dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 4-May-2016 17:09:30 (UTC+8) - dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) B2002006214 en_US dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/90873 - dc.description (描述) 碩士 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 國際經營與貿易學系 zh_TW dc.description.tableofcontents 目錄 第一章 結論 第一節 研究目的………1 第二節 研究範圍………2 第三節 研究方法………3 第四節 資料來源與限制………4 第五節 本文架構………5 第二章 文獻回顧………7 第一節 理論與模型的設定──出口需求函數………7 第二節 匯率與出口單價的關係………11 第三節 價格的形成與競爭力的關係………14 第四節 各國產品間價格彈性之估計………17 第三章 模型的設定………21 第一節 第一部分:匯率變動對台灣出口單價的影響………21 第二節 第二部分:各國出口單價對台灣出口值的影響………23 第三節 第三部分:測定各國之間產品的價格彈性………27 第四節 實證方法………29 第四章 實證分析………32 第一節 輸美最大出口產業──電子機械及設備………32 第二節 輸美第二大產業──成衣服飾………39 第三節 輸美第三大產業──機械與機械設備………46 第四節 輸美第四大產業──釣具輪車、運動器材、玩具;武器………52 第五節 輸美第五大產業──金屬製品………58 第六節 輸美第六大產業──橡膠、塑膠製品………63 第七節 輸美第七大產業──家具、枕墊、地毯………69 第八節 輸美第八大產業──光學科學專業用儀器………75 第九節 輸美第九大產業──運輸設備………81 第十節 輸美第十大產業──木材及木製品………87 第十一節 輸美第十一大產業──鞋靴、帽子、編帶;手套、提包………93 第十二節 輸美第十二大產業──雜項末列名產品………99 第五章 結論與建議………107 附錄(一) 美國海關稅則商品分類………117 參考書目………122 zh_TW dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#B2002006214 en_US dc.title (題名) 滙率變動對出口產業的影響 : 臺灣之實證研究 zh_TW dc.type (資料類型) thesis en_US dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 參考書目 一、中文部分 1.許日和:「台灣按商品類別進出口貿易的所得與價格彈性」,經濟論文,第三卷第一期,六十四年三月,中研院經研所。 2.施鷹豔:「台灣戰出入商品彈性的測量(1961-1974)」,民國六十四年,政大國貿所碩士論文。 3.陳文乾:「台情對外交易部門的季模型估計19651-1975IV」,民國六十六年六月,政大國貿所碩士論文。 4.吳江湖:「台灣財貨與勞務輸出模型之設定──逐次迴歸法之應用」,二O九期,七十一年六月,台灣經濟金融月刊。 5.龔尚智:「匯率變動對貿易的影響」,民國六十九年六月,政大國貿所碩士論文。 二、英文部分 1. Artus, J.R. and S.C. Sosa, “Relative Price Effects on Export Performance: The Case of Nonelectrical Machinery”, IMF Staff Papers, 1978, pp.25-47. 2. Basevi, G., “Commodity Trade Equations in Project LINK”, in:R.Ball ed., The International Linkage of National Economic Models (North-Holland, Amsterdam, 1973), PP.227-281. 3. Deppler, M.C., “Some Evidence on the Effects of Exchance Rate Changes on Trade”, IMF Staff Papers, 1974, pp.605-636. 4. Eckstein, O. and G.Fromm, “The Price Equation”, American Economic Review, Vol. 58, 1968, pp.1159-1183. 5. Goldstein, M., “Have Flexible Exchange Rates Handicapped Macroeconomic Policy?”, Special Papers in International Economics, “No.14 (Princeton University 1980). 6. Goldstein, M., M.S. Khan. And L.H. Officer, “Prices of Tradable and Non-Tradable Goods in the Demand for Total Import”, Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol.62, 1980, pp.190-199. 7. Grossman, G.M., “Import Competition from Developed and Developing Countries,” The Review of Economic and Statistics, Vol.64, 1981 pp. 271-281. 8. Houthakker, H.S. and S.P. Magee, “Income and Price Elasticites in the World Trade”, Review of Economic and Statistics, Vol. 51, 1969, pp.111-125. 9. Isard, P., “How far can we push the ‘law of one price’?”, American Economic Review, Vol.67, 1977, pp.942-948. 10. Johnston, J., Econometric Methods 3rd edition, (New York: McGraw-Hill Book Company, 1984). 11. Junz, H.B. and R.R. Rhomberg, “Prices and Export Performance of Industrial Countries, 1953-63”, IMF Staff Papers, Vol.12, 1965, pp.224-269. 12. Junz, H.B. and R.R. Rhomberg, “prices Competitiveness in Export Trade Industrial countries”, American Economic Review, Vol.63, 1973, pp.421-418. 13. Kenen, P.B. and C. Pack, “Exchange Rates and Domestic Prices: A Survey of Evidence”, Research Memorandum, International Finance Sestion, (Princeton University, Princeton, 1979). 14. Kohli, U. R., “Relative Price Effects and Demand for Imports”, Canadian Journal of Economics, 1982, pp.205-219. 15. Kohli, U.R., “U.S. Import by Origin: A System Approach”, Welwirtschaftliches Archiv, Vol. 121, 1985, pp. 741-755. 16. Kravis, I.B. and Lipsey, “Price Behavior in the Light of Balance of Payment Theories”, Journal of International Economics, Vol.8, 1978, pp.193-246. 17. Kreinin, M.E., “Price Elasticities in International Trade”, Review of Economic and Statistics, Vol. 49, 1967, pp.510-516. 18. Kreinin, M.E., “Disaggreated Imports Demand Function—Further Result”, Southern Economic Journal, Vol.39, 1973, pp.46-57. 19. Kreinin M.E., “The Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on the Prices and Volumn of Foreign Trade”, IMF Staff Papers, Vol. 24, 1977, pp.297-329. 20. Kreinin, M. and L.H. Officer, The Monetary Approach to Balance of Payments: A Survey Studies in International Finance No.43 (Princeton University, 1978). 21. Krinsky, I., “The Small Country Assumption: A Note on Canadian Exports”, Applied Economics, 1983, pp.73-79. 22. Kwack, Sung Y., “The Determination of U.S. Import and Export: A Disaggregated Quarterly Model, 1960 III-1967 IV”, Southern Economic Journal, Vol. 38, 1972, pp.302-314. 23. Magee, S.P., “Currency Contracts, Pass-Though, and Devaluation”, Bookings Papers on Economic Activity, Vol.1, 1973, pp.303-323. 24. Magee, S.P., “Prices, Income and Foreign Trade: A Survey of Recent Economic Studies”, in: P.B. Kenen, ed., International Trade and Financy: Frontiers for Research ( Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 1975). 25. Miles, M.A., “The Effects of Devaluation on the Trade Balance and the Balance of Payments: Some New Results”, Journal of Political Economy, Vol.87, 1979, pp.600-620. 26. Spitaeller, E. “Short-Run Effects of Exchange Rate Changes on Terms of Trade and Trade Balance”, IMF Staff Papers, Vol.27, 1980, pp. 320-348. 27. Wilson, L.A. and W. Takacs, “Differential Responses to Price and Exchange Rate Influences in the Foreign Trade of Selected Industrial Countries”. Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol.51, 1979, pp.267-279. 28. Zellner, Arnold, “An Efficient Method of Estimating Seemingly Unrelated Regressions and Test for Aggregation Bias”, Journal of the American Statistical Association, Vol. 37, 1962, pp. 348-368. zh_TW
