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題名 理性預期下權衡性政策與自動穩定因子之有效性的理論與驗證
作者 方中柔
貢獻者 王春源
方中柔
日期 1986
上傳時間 5-May-2016 16:32:45 (UTC+8)
摘要 摘要
參考文獻 參考文獻
     1.龍文彬:“台灣之物價預期型態的探索與驗証"，中興經研所碩士論文，民國七十四年六月。
     2.王耀興:“十年來調整銀行利率的動機與時機之檢討"北市銀月刊十二卷四期，民國七十年四月廿五日。
     3. Baily, M.N.; 1978, Stabilization Policy and Private economic behavior, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 11-50.
     4. Barro, R.J.; 1974, Are government bonds net wealth? J.P .E 82, Nov./Dec., 1095-1117.
     5. _________; 1976, Rational expectations and the role of Monetary Policy, JME 2, Jan., 1-32.
     6._________ ; 1977, unanticipated Money Growth and Unemployment in the United States, AER, Vol .67, No.2.
     7._________ ; 1978, Unanticipated Money, output, and the price level in the United States, JPE, Vol .86, No.4.
     8. Benavie, A. & Froyen, R. May 1983. Combination Monetary Policies to stabilize price and output under rational expectation. J.M.C.B 15, 186-198.
     9. Benavie, A. & Froyen, R. Aug 1985. Optimal Monetary-Fiscal stabilizers under an Indexed Versue Nonindexed Tax Structure. J. Eco. BUSN. 37, 197-208.
     10. Canzoneri, M.B., 1978, The role of Monetary and fiscal Policy in the new neoclassical models, Southern Eco. Journal 44, Jan., 642-647.
     11. Fisher, S., 1977, Long-term contracts, rational expectations, and the optimal money supply rule, J.P.E, Feb., 191-205.
     12. Hall, R.E., 1975, The rigidity of wages and the persistence of unemployment, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 301-335.
     13. Havwlesky, T.M., Sapp. R. & Schweitzer. R. 1975, Tests of the Federal Reserves` Reaction to the state of the Economy: 1964-74. Social Science Quarterly
     14. LeRoy, Stephen F., and Waud , Roger N. Feb. 1977. Application of the Kalman filter in short-run Monetary control. Internati onal Economic Review 18: 195-207.
     15. Lucas, R.E., Jr., 1976, Econometric Policy evaluation : A critique, in: K. Brunner and A. Meltzer eds., The phillips curve and Labor Makrets (North-Halland, Amsterdam) 19-46.
     16. McCallum, B.T., 1978, Price level adjustments and the rational expectations approach to Macroeconomic stabilization policy, J.M.C.B10, Nov. , 417-436.
     17._____________ , 1980, Rational expectations and Macroeconomic stabilization policy: An overview, J.M.C.B12:716-746.
     18. McCallum, B. T. , and Whitaker, J. M., Apr. 1979. The effectiveness of fiscal feedback rules and automatic stabilizers under rational expectations. J.M.E 5: 171-186.
     19. Miller, G.H., Jr., Cacy, J.A., and Seibert, H., Dec. 1982. The U.S. Economy and Monetary Policy in 1982. The Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City .
     20. Phelps, E.S. and J.B. Taylor, 1977, Stabilizing properties of Monetary Policy under rational expectations, J.P.E85, Feb., 163-190.
     21. Poole, W. May 1970. Optimal Choice of Monetary Policy instruments in a simple stochastic macro model. QJE84: 192-216.
     22.________ .June 1975. The Making of Monetary Policy: Description and Analysis, Econ Inquiry.
     23. Pott, G.T. & Luckett, D.G., 1978. Policy objectives of the Federal Reserve System QJE.
     24. Supel, T. July 1981. Macroeconomic implications for tax indexing in the McCallum-Whitaker framework. J.M.E8: 131-137.
     25. Sargent, T.J., 1973, Rational expectations, the real rate of interest, and the Natural rate of unemployment, Brookings paper on Economic Activity, 429-472.
     26. Sargent, T.J., 1976. A classical macroeconomic model for the United States, J.P.E84, April, 207-238.
     27. Sargent, T.J., 1979, Macroeconomic theory (Academic Press, New York).
     28. Sargent, T.J. and N. Wallace, 1975, `Rational` expectations, the optimal monetary instrument, and the optimal money rule, J.P.E83, April, 241-254.
     29._______________________ , 1976, Rational expectations and the theory of economic policy, J.M.E., April, 169-183.
     30. Shiller, R.J., 1978, Rational expectations and the dynamic structure of macroeconomic models: A critical review, J.M.E4, Jan., 1-44.
     31. Turnovsky, S.J., Mar. 1980, The choice of Monetary instruments under Alternative forms of price expectations. The Manchester School 48: 39-62.
     32. Woglom, Geoffrey. Feb. 1979. Rational expectations and Monetary policy in a simple Macroeconomic Model, Q.J.E. 93:91-105.
     33. Wonnacott, R.J. and Wonnacott T.H., 1981, Regression: A second course in statistics (John Wiley & Sons Co.,)
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
經濟學系
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#B2002006788
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 王春源zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 方中柔zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) 方中柔zh_TW
dc.date (日期) 1986en_US
dc.date.accessioned 5-May-2016 16:32:45 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 5-May-2016 16:32:45 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 5-May-2016 16:32:45 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) B2002006788en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/91860-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 經濟學系zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 摘要zh_TW
dc.description.tableofcontents 目錄
     第一章 緒論………1
     第一節 前言………1
     第二節 研究之目的與動機………3
     第二章 B.T. McCallum & J.K. Whitaker之權衡性財政政策與自動穩定因子的相對有效性之理論………5
     第一節 前言………5
     第二節 模型………6
     第三節 實質財稅結構下的考慮………8
     第四節 名目財稅結構下的考慮………13
     第五節 相對穩定政策準則的考慮………17
     第六節 適應性預期下，對M-W模型之探討………19
     第七節 本章結論………23
     第三章 T.M. Supel對B.T. McCallum & J.K. Whitaker模型修正後之租稅指數模型………28
     第一節 前言………28
     第二節 模型………29
     第三節 租稅指數抉擇之圖形分析………34
     第四節 本章結論………36
     第四章 A. Benavie & R. Froyen對B.T. McCallum & J.K. Whitaker模型擴充後之最適貨幣及財政穩定因子模型………40
     第一節 前言………40
     第二節 模型………41
     第三節 求解………45
     第四節 最適政策之分析………47
     第五節 本章結論………55
     第五章 以上三種模型在台灣的驗證………59
     第一節 資料分析………59
     第二節 實證模型之估計與分析………60
     第三節 實證之結果與說明………61
     第六章 結論與建議………95		zh_TW
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#B2002006788en_US
dc.title (題名) 理性預期下權衡性政策與自動穩定因子之有效性的理論與驗證zh_TW
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen_US
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 參考文獻
     1.龍文彬:“台灣之物價預期型態的探索與驗証"，中興經研所碩士論文，民國七十四年六月。
     2.王耀興:“十年來調整銀行利率的動機與時機之檢討"北市銀月刊十二卷四期，民國七十年四月廿五日。
     3. Baily, M.N.; 1978, Stabilization Policy and Private economic behavior, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 11-50.
     4. Barro, R.J.; 1974, Are government bonds net wealth? J.P .E 82, Nov./Dec., 1095-1117.
     5. _________; 1976, Rational expectations and the role of Monetary Policy, JME 2, Jan., 1-32.
     6._________ ; 1977, unanticipated Money Growth and Unemployment in the United States, AER, Vol .67, No.2.
     7._________ ; 1978, Unanticipated Money, output, and the price level in the United States, JPE, Vol .86, No.4.
     8. Benavie, A. & Froyen, R. May 1983. Combination Monetary Policies to stabilize price and output under rational expectation. J.M.C.B 15, 186-198.
     9. Benavie, A. & Froyen, R. Aug 1985. Optimal Monetary-Fiscal stabilizers under an Indexed Versue Nonindexed Tax Structure. J. Eco. BUSN. 37, 197-208.
     10. Canzoneri, M.B., 1978, The role of Monetary and fiscal Policy in the new neoclassical models, Southern Eco. Journal 44, Jan., 642-647.
     11. Fisher, S., 1977, Long-term contracts, rational expectations, and the optimal money supply rule, J.P.E, Feb., 191-205.
     12. Hall, R.E., 1975, The rigidity of wages and the persistence of unemployment, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 301-335.
     13. Havwlesky, T.M., Sapp. R. & Schweitzer. R. 1975, Tests of the Federal Reserves` Reaction to the state of the Economy: 1964-74. Social Science Quarterly
     14. LeRoy, Stephen F., and Waud , Roger N. Feb. 1977. Application of the Kalman filter in short-run Monetary control. Internati onal Economic Review 18: 195-207.
     15. Lucas, R.E., Jr., 1976, Econometric Policy evaluation : A critique, in: K. Brunner and A. Meltzer eds., The phillips curve and Labor Makrets (North-Halland, Amsterdam) 19-46.
     16. McCallum, B.T., 1978, Price level adjustments and the rational expectations approach to Macroeconomic stabilization policy, J.M.C.B10, Nov. , 417-436.
     17._____________ , 1980, Rational expectations and Macroeconomic stabilization policy: An overview, J.M.C.B12:716-746.
     18. McCallum, B. T. , and Whitaker, J. M., Apr. 1979. The effectiveness of fiscal feedback rules and automatic stabilizers under rational expectations. J.M.E 5: 171-186.
     19. Miller, G.H., Jr., Cacy, J.A., and Seibert, H., Dec. 1982. The U.S. Economy and Monetary Policy in 1982. The Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City .
     20. Phelps, E.S. and J.B. Taylor, 1977, Stabilizing properties of Monetary Policy under rational expectations, J.P.E85, Feb., 163-190.
     21. Poole, W. May 1970. Optimal Choice of Monetary Policy instruments in a simple stochastic macro model. QJE84: 192-216.
     22.________ .June 1975. The Making of Monetary Policy: Description and Analysis, Econ Inquiry.
     23. Pott, G.T. & Luckett, D.G., 1978. Policy objectives of the Federal Reserve System QJE.
     24. Supel, T. July 1981. Macroeconomic implications for tax indexing in the McCallum-Whitaker framework. J.M.E8: 131-137.
     25. Sargent, T.J., 1973, Rational expectations, the real rate of interest, and the Natural rate of unemployment, Brookings paper on Economic Activity, 429-472.
     26. Sargent, T.J., 1976. A classical macroeconomic model for the United States, J.P.E84, April, 207-238.
     27. Sargent, T.J., 1979, Macroeconomic theory (Academic Press, New York).
     28. Sargent, T.J. and N. Wallace, 1975, `Rational` expectations, the optimal monetary instrument, and the optimal money rule, J.P.E83, April, 241-254.
     29._______________________ , 1976, Rational expectations and the theory of economic policy, J.M.E., April, 169-183.
     30. Shiller, R.J., 1978, Rational expectations and the dynamic structure of macroeconomic models: A critical review, J.M.E4, Jan., 1-44.
     31. Turnovsky, S.J., Mar. 1980, The choice of Monetary instruments under Alternative forms of price expectations. The Manchester School 48: 39-62.
     32. Woglom, Geoffrey. Feb. 1979. Rational expectations and Monetary policy in a simple Macroeconomic Model, Q.J.E. 93:91-105.
     33. Wonnacott, R.J. and Wonnacott T.H., 1981, Regression: A second course in statistics (John Wiley & Sons Co.,)		zh_TW