學術產出-Theses

Article View/Open

Publication Export

Google ScholarTM

政大圖書館

Citation Infomation

  • No doi shows Citation Infomation
題名 適應性預期之財政政策-以能源稅為例
Fiscal Policy with Adaptive Expectation-Taking Energy Tax as an Example
作者 李佳頤
Lee, Chia Yi
貢獻者 毛維凌
Mao,Wei Ling
李佳頤
Lee,Chia Yi
關鍵詞 適應性預期
理性預期
能源稅
財政政策
日期 2007
上傳時間 6-May-2016 16:54:54 (UTC+8)
摘要 本文乃探討,當預期政府的政策在未來有所改變時,民眾採適應性預期而非理性預期的學習下,經濟體系中的總體變數間究竟產生何種互動,尤其希望透過檢視利率的動態路徑來觀察期間之動態變化.
在一稟賦模型及恆常所得的假設下,藉由政府調整能源稅率之議題,分別探討恆久性政策及暫時性政策下之利率路徑.透過模擬之結果得出,在適應性預期的學習下,利率波動的方向與理性預期成反向之波動變化;其次,模型也可得到,稅額改變的幅度越大,或對於能源消費所佔支出比例越高,經濟體系受到的波動幅度也越大之結果.
納入生產部門並放寬稟賦條件後,若考量要素替代性對於家計單位所得報酬之影響,則兩部門的能源使用量關係方向未定,可能為正,亦可能為負.因此,政府提高能源稅,不一定能降低經濟體系能源的使用量.
參考文獻 1. Benhabib, J. and R. Farmer 〈1994〉 ""Indeterminacy and increasing returns,`` Journal of Economic Theory, 63, pp.19-41
2. Brett, C. and M. Keen〈2000〉 ""Political uncertainty and the earmarking of environmental taxes,`` Journal of Regulatory Economics vol.8, pp.33-44
3. Evans, G. W., S. Honkapohja, and K. Mitra〈2007〉 Anticipated fiscal policy and adaptive learning. Cambridge Working papers in Economics, 0705
4. Hoel, M.〈1996〉 ""Should a carbon tax be different across sectors?`` Journal of Public Economics, vol.59, pp.17-32
5. Marsiliani, L. and T. I. Renstrom 〈2000〉 ""Time inconsistency in environmental policy: Tax earmarking as a commitment solution,`` Economic Journal, vol.110, C123-C138.
6. Miguel, C. d. and B. Manzano〈2001〉 Optimal oil taxation in a small open economy. Script
7. Nahuis, R. and P. J. G. Tang〈2005〉 Environmental policy competition and differential tax treatment: A case for tighter coordination.CPB Discussion Paper, No.50
8. Richer, W. F. and K. Schneider〈2003〉 ""Energy taxation: Reasons for discriminating in favor of the production sector,`` European Economic Review, vol.47, pp.462-476
9. Rietveld, P. and S. Woudenberg〈2005〉 ""Why fuel prices differ,`` Energy Economics, vol.27, pp.79-92
10. Smulders, S. and R. Gradus〈1996〉 ""Pollution abatement and long-term growth,`` European Journal of Political Economy, vol.12, pp.505-532
11. Sugiyama, Y.〈2006〉 The transfer of pollution abatement technology and the environment. Discussion paper series, No.148
12. Yi, W.〈2006〉 Oil dependence and economic instability. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper Series, 2006-060A
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
經濟學系
94258003
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0094258003
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 毛維凌zh_TW
dc.contributor.advisor Mao,Wei Lingen_US
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 李佳頤zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) Lee,Chia Yien_US
dc.creator (作者) 李佳頤zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Lee, Chia Yien_US
dc.date (日期) 2007en_US
dc.date.accessioned 6-May-2016 16:54:54 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 6-May-2016 16:54:54 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 6-May-2016 16:54:54 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0094258003en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/94541-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 經濟學系zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 94258003zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 本文乃探討,當預期政府的政策在未來有所改變時,民眾採適應性預期而非理性預期的學習下,經濟體系中的總體變數間究竟產生何種互動,尤其希望透過檢視利率的動態路徑來觀察期間之動態變化.
在一稟賦模型及恆常所得的假設下,藉由政府調整能源稅率之議題,分別探討恆久性政策及暫時性政策下之利率路徑.透過模擬之結果得出,在適應性預期的學習下,利率波動的方向與理性預期成反向之波動變化;其次,模型也可得到,稅額改變的幅度越大,或對於能源消費所佔支出比例越高,經濟體系受到的波動幅度也越大之結果.
納入生產部門並放寬稟賦條件後,若考量要素替代性對於家計單位所得報酬之影響,則兩部門的能源使用量關係方向未定,可能為正,亦可能為負.因此,政府提高能源稅,不一定能降低經濟體系能源的使用量.
zh_TW
dc.description.tableofcontents 1.研究目的與動機 1
2.文獻回顧 2
3.模型初設 5
4.模型之修正 9
5.模擬之結果與分析 23
6.結論 29
參考文獻 30
附錄 31
zh_TW
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0094258003en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 適應性預期zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 理性預期zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 能源稅zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 財政政策zh_TW
dc.title (題名) 適應性預期之財政政策-以能源稅為例zh_TW
dc.title (題名) Fiscal Policy with Adaptive Expectation-Taking Energy Tax as an Exampleen_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen_US
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 1. Benhabib, J. and R. Farmer 〈1994〉 ""Indeterminacy and increasing returns,`` Journal of Economic Theory, 63, pp.19-41
2. Brett, C. and M. Keen〈2000〉 ""Political uncertainty and the earmarking of environmental taxes,`` Journal of Regulatory Economics vol.8, pp.33-44
3. Evans, G. W., S. Honkapohja, and K. Mitra〈2007〉 Anticipated fiscal policy and adaptive learning. Cambridge Working papers in Economics, 0705
4. Hoel, M.〈1996〉 ""Should a carbon tax be different across sectors?`` Journal of Public Economics, vol.59, pp.17-32
5. Marsiliani, L. and T. I. Renstrom 〈2000〉 ""Time inconsistency in environmental policy: Tax earmarking as a commitment solution,`` Economic Journal, vol.110, C123-C138.
6. Miguel, C. d. and B. Manzano〈2001〉 Optimal oil taxation in a small open economy. Script
7. Nahuis, R. and P. J. G. Tang〈2005〉 Environmental policy competition and differential tax treatment: A case for tighter coordination.CPB Discussion Paper, No.50
8. Richer, W. F. and K. Schneider〈2003〉 ""Energy taxation: Reasons for discriminating in favor of the production sector,`` European Economic Review, vol.47, pp.462-476
9. Rietveld, P. and S. Woudenberg〈2005〉 ""Why fuel prices differ,`` Energy Economics, vol.27, pp.79-92
10. Smulders, S. and R. Gradus〈1996〉 ""Pollution abatement and long-term growth,`` European Journal of Political Economy, vol.12, pp.505-532
11. Sugiyama, Y.〈2006〉 The transfer of pollution abatement technology and the environment. Discussion paper series, No.148
12. Yi, W.〈2006〉 Oil dependence and economic instability. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper Series, 2006-060A
zh_TW