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題名 A Study of Strategy for Guessing Game
作者 張智凱
貢獻者 余清祥
張智凱
日期 1998
上傳時間 10-May-2016 16:00:41 (UTC+8)
摘要   In this paper, we consider a number-guessing game in which the competitor guesses numbers from several hints. If the competitor guesses at least one numbers correctly, he/she can keep on guessing the remaining incorrect numbers. We first explore the case when the hints are uniformly distributed. When the competitor has more information about the right numbers, there are different strategies to guess numbers. We study the optimal strategy in such case.
       In uniform case, we use recursive method to compute the winning probability. In non-uniform case, we find that the optimal strategy is to choose the most probable hints of each number.
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
統計學系
85354001
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#A2010000641
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 余清祥zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 張智凱zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) 張智凱zh_TW
dc.date (日期) 1998en_US
dc.date.accessioned 10-May-2016 16:00:41 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 10-May-2016 16:00:41 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 10-May-2016 16:00:41 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) A2010000641en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/95945-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 統計學系zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 85354001zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要)   In this paper, we consider a number-guessing game in which the competitor guesses numbers from several hints. If the competitor guesses at least one numbers correctly, he/she can keep on guessing the remaining incorrect numbers. We first explore the case when the hints are uniformly distributed. When the competitor has more information about the right numbers, there are different strategies to guess numbers. We study the optimal strategy in such case.
       In uniform case, we use recursive method to compute the winning probability. In non-uniform case, we find that the optimal strategy is to choose the most probable hints of each number.
en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents 謝辭
     Abstract
     Content
     Chapter 1. Introduction-----1
     Chapter 2. Uniform game-----3
       2-1. Winning probability-----3
       2-2. The difference of winning probability of Games-----10
     Chapter 3. Non-uniform game-----14
       3-1. Optimal strategy-----14
       3-2. The difference of winning probability of games with partial order property-----21
     Chapter 4. Conclusion and suggestion-----26
     References-----27
zh_TW
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#A2010000641en_US
dc.title (題名) A Study of Strategy for Guessing Gameen_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen_US