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題名 臺灣離岸風力發電投資計劃可行性分析
An investment case on offshore wind energy in Taiwan
作者 孟逸朗
Mehner, Eric
貢獻者 郭維裕
Kuo, George
孟逸朗
Mehner, Eric
關鍵詞 離岸

能量
台灣
投資
Offshore
Wind
Energy
Taiwan
Investment
日期 2016
上傳時間 2-Aug-2016 17:37:27 (UTC+8)
摘要 The worldwide offshore wind market has been growing rapidly over the recent years and also the Taiwanese government has announced to rely more on offshore wind power as future energy source. The goal of this paper is to evaluate if an investment in offshore wind energy in Taiwan is worthwhile. This has been done by analyzing the development of the world energy market and the recent growth in renewable energies. Furthermore, the essential steps of the development of an offshore wind farm and the lifecycle were overviewed. Based on this information, together with an analysis of relevant factors regarding the development of an offshore wind farm in Taiwan, a profitability analysis was performed. Statistical data and experience from European offshore wind projects was taken as a benchmark for the calculations. The results show that despite some risk due to natural disasters and the immaturity of offshore wind industry in Taiwan, an investment in an offshore wind farm seems to be a very attractive choice under current conditions. From the two subsidy options offered by the Taiwanese government, the splitted feed-in tariff plan, with higher payments in the first 10 years and lower payments in the following 10 years, is clearly the better option for potential investors.
參考文獻 Taiwan Power Company (Taipower). 2014. Sustainability Report. Taipei, Taiwan : Taiwan Power Company (Taipower), 2014.
BP p.l.c. 2015. BP Statistical Review of World Energy June 2015 . London, UK : BP p.l.c., 2015.
Central Intelligence Agency. 2016. The World Factbook. Country Comparison: Electricity Consumption. [Online] 28. 05 2016. https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/rankorder/2233rank.html.
Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited. 2015. Establishing the investment case - Wind power. Copenhagen, Denmark : s.n., 2015.
European Wind Energy Association. 2013. Deep water - The next step for offshore wind energy. Brussels, Belgium : s.n., 2013.
—. 2016. The European offshore wind industry - key trends and statistics 2015. Brussels, Belgium : s.n., 2016.
—. 2002. Wind Energy: The Facts - An Analysis of Wind Energy in the EU-25. Brussels, Belgium : s.n., 2002.
FIZ Karlsruhe – Leibniz-Institut für Informationsinfrastruktur GmbH. energiefoerderung.info. Erneuerbare-Energien-Gesetz (EEG) 2014. [Online] [Zitat vom: 11. 07 2016.] http://www.energiefoerderung.info/foerderprogramm/7511.
Fusion Media Limited. 2016. investing.com. Taiwan 10 Year Bond Yield. [Online] 13. 06 2016. http://www.investing.com/rates-bonds/taiwan-10-year-bond-yield-historical-data.
Global Wind Energy Council. 2016. Global statistics. Global Wind Energy Council. [Online] 11. 07 2016. http://www.gwec.net/global-figures/graphs/.
Hu, Dr. Ssu-yuan. 2015. Policy and Promotion of Offshore Wind Power in Taiwan. Taipei, Taiwan : Industrial Technology Research Institute, 2015.
Siemens AG. 2016. Siemens Wind Power. Wind Turbine SWT-7.0-154. [Online] 25. 06 2016. http://www.energy.siemens.com/br/en/renewable-energy/wind-power/platforms/d7-platform/wind-turbine-swt-7-0-154.htm#content=Technical%20specifications.
Smart Energy for Europe Platform (SEFEP) gGmbH. 2016. Agora Energiewende. Agorameter. [Online] 12. 07 2016. https://www.agora-energiewende.de/de/themen/-agothem-/Produkt/produkt/76/Agorameter/.
Statista GmbH. 2016. Global electricity prices by select countries in 2015 (in U.S. dollar cents per kilowatt hour) . [Online] 14. 06 2016. http://www.statista.com/statistics/263492/electricity-prices-in-selected-countries/.
Sustainable Enterprises Media, Inc. 2016. CleanTechnica. Siemens Looks Toward Next-Generation 10–20 MW Wind Turbines. [Online] 15. 06 2016. http://cleantechnica.com/2015/09/15/siemens-looks-toward-next-generation-10-20-mw-wind-turbines/.
World Wind Energy Association WWEA e.V. Bonn, Germany. 2016. Management of Meteorological Variables and Wind Mapping. [Online] June 2016. http://www.wwindea.org/technology/ch02/en/2_2_2.html.
Yahoo! 2016. Yahoo Finance. TSEC weighted index (^TWII) Historical Prices. [Online] 13. 06 2016. http://finance.yahoo.com/q/hp?s=%5ETWII&a=05&b=10&c=2013&d=05&e=13&f=2016&g=m.
—. 2016. Yahoo Finance. Swancor Ind. Co.,Ltd (4733.TW) Historical Prices. [Online] 13. 06 2016. http://finance.yahoo.com/q/hp?s=4733.TW+Historical+Prices.
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
國際經營管理英語碩士學位學程(IMBA)
103933035
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0103933035
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 郭維裕zh_TW
dc.contributor.advisor Kuo, Georgeen_US
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 孟逸朗zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) Mehner, Ericen_US
dc.creator (作者) 孟逸朗zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Mehner, Ericen_US
dc.date (日期) 2016en_US
dc.date.accessioned 2-Aug-2016 17:37:27 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 2-Aug-2016 17:37:27 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 2-Aug-2016 17:37:27 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0103933035en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/99576-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國際經營管理英語碩士學位學程(IMBA)zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 103933035zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) The worldwide offshore wind market has been growing rapidly over the recent years and also the Taiwanese government has announced to rely more on offshore wind power as future energy source. The goal of this paper is to evaluate if an investment in offshore wind energy in Taiwan is worthwhile. This has been done by analyzing the development of the world energy market and the recent growth in renewable energies. Furthermore, the essential steps of the development of an offshore wind farm and the lifecycle were overviewed. Based on this information, together with an analysis of relevant factors regarding the development of an offshore wind farm in Taiwan, a profitability analysis was performed. Statistical data and experience from European offshore wind projects was taken as a benchmark for the calculations. The results show that despite some risk due to natural disasters and the immaturity of offshore wind industry in Taiwan, an investment in an offshore wind farm seems to be a very attractive choice under current conditions. From the two subsidy options offered by the Taiwanese government, the splitted feed-in tariff plan, with higher payments in the first 10 years and lower payments in the following 10 years, is clearly the better option for potential investors.en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents 1. Introduction 1
1.1. Global trends in the energy market 1
1.1.1. Change in worlds energy consumption 1
1.1.2. Renewable energies 2
1.1.3. Global offshore wind energy 3
2. Offshore wind farm development 5
2.1. Project lifecycle 5
2.2. Project costs 7
2.3. Energy production 10
2.4. Power prices and subsidies 11
2.5. Operating costs 13
2.6. Project end options 14
3. Detailed analysis of conditions for offshore wind in Taiwan 16
3.1. Market conditions 16
3.1.1. Power consumption 16
3.1.2. Power generation 17
3.1.3. Potential of renewable energy sources 19
3.2. Taiwanese subsidy scheme 21
3.3. Factor conditions 22
3.3.1. Wind conditions 22
3.3.2. Depth of water 24
3.3.3. Country specific risks of natural disasters 25
3.4. Other issues 26
4. Profitability analysis 27
4.1. Assumptions for exemplary offshore wind park in the Taiwan strait 27
4.2. Revenue through energy production 27
4.2.1. Estimation of Annual Energy Production 28
4.2.2. Feed-in Tariff 30
4.3. Initial investment 31
4.4. Operation expenditures 32
4.5. NPV analysis 33
4.5.1. Interest rate 33
4.6. IRR analysis 34
4.7. Profitability calculations 35
4.7.1. Scenario 1 with 20-year continuous FIT 35
4.7.2. Scenario 1 with 2-period FIT split 37
4.7.3. Scenario 2 with 20-year continuous FIT 39
4.7.4. Scenario 2 with 2-period FIT split 40
5. Conclusion 42
6. Reference 43
7. Appendix 45
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dc.format.extent 1789920 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0103933035en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 離岸zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 能量zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 台灣zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 投資zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Offshoreen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Winden_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Energyen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Taiwanen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Investmenten_US
dc.title (題名) 臺灣離岸風力發電投資計劃可行性分析zh_TW
dc.title (題名) An investment case on offshore wind energy in Taiwanen_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen_US
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Taiwan Power Company (Taipower). 2014. Sustainability Report. Taipei, Taiwan : Taiwan Power Company (Taipower), 2014.
BP p.l.c. 2015. BP Statistical Review of World Energy June 2015 . London, UK : BP p.l.c., 2015.
Central Intelligence Agency. 2016. The World Factbook. Country Comparison: Electricity Consumption. [Online] 28. 05 2016. https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/rankorder/2233rank.html.
Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited. 2015. Establishing the investment case - Wind power. Copenhagen, Denmark : s.n., 2015.
European Wind Energy Association. 2013. Deep water - The next step for offshore wind energy. Brussels, Belgium : s.n., 2013.
—. 2016. The European offshore wind industry - key trends and statistics 2015. Brussels, Belgium : s.n., 2016.
—. 2002. Wind Energy: The Facts - An Analysis of Wind Energy in the EU-25. Brussels, Belgium : s.n., 2002.
FIZ Karlsruhe – Leibniz-Institut für Informationsinfrastruktur GmbH. energiefoerderung.info. Erneuerbare-Energien-Gesetz (EEG) 2014. [Online] [Zitat vom: 11. 07 2016.] http://www.energiefoerderung.info/foerderprogramm/7511.
Fusion Media Limited. 2016. investing.com. Taiwan 10 Year Bond Yield. [Online] 13. 06 2016. http://www.investing.com/rates-bonds/taiwan-10-year-bond-yield-historical-data.
Global Wind Energy Council. 2016. Global statistics. Global Wind Energy Council. [Online] 11. 07 2016. http://www.gwec.net/global-figures/graphs/.
Hu, Dr. Ssu-yuan. 2015. Policy and Promotion of Offshore Wind Power in Taiwan. Taipei, Taiwan : Industrial Technology Research Institute, 2015.
Siemens AG. 2016. Siemens Wind Power. Wind Turbine SWT-7.0-154. [Online] 25. 06 2016. http://www.energy.siemens.com/br/en/renewable-energy/wind-power/platforms/d7-platform/wind-turbine-swt-7-0-154.htm#content=Technical%20specifications.
Smart Energy for Europe Platform (SEFEP) gGmbH. 2016. Agora Energiewende. Agorameter. [Online] 12. 07 2016. https://www.agora-energiewende.de/de/themen/-agothem-/Produkt/produkt/76/Agorameter/.
Statista GmbH. 2016. Global electricity prices by select countries in 2015 (in U.S. dollar cents per kilowatt hour) . [Online] 14. 06 2016. http://www.statista.com/statistics/263492/electricity-prices-in-selected-countries/.
Sustainable Enterprises Media, Inc. 2016. CleanTechnica. Siemens Looks Toward Next-Generation 10–20 MW Wind Turbines. [Online] 15. 06 2016. http://cleantechnica.com/2015/09/15/siemens-looks-toward-next-generation-10-20-mw-wind-turbines/.
World Wind Energy Association WWEA e.V. Bonn, Germany. 2016. Management of Meteorological Variables and Wind Mapping. [Online] June 2016. http://www.wwindea.org/technology/ch02/en/2_2_2.html.
Yahoo! 2016. Yahoo Finance. TSEC weighted index (^TWII) Historical Prices. [Online] 13. 06 2016. http://finance.yahoo.com/q/hp?s=%5ETWII&a=05&b=10&c=2013&d=05&e=13&f=2016&g=m.
—. 2016. Yahoo Finance. Swancor Ind. Co.,Ltd (4733.TW) Historical Prices. [Online] 13. 06 2016. http://finance.yahoo.com/q/hp?s=4733.TW+Historical+Prices.
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