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題名 海岸濕地遊憩價值研究 -以台南七股鹽田溼地為例
Recreational value of the Tainan Chiku Coastal Wetland作者 黎俊廷 貢獻者 蕭代基
Shaw,Daigee
黎俊廷關鍵詞 旅行成本法
七股鹽田濕地日期 2016 上傳時間 9-Aug-2016 11:59:44 (UTC+8) 摘要 濕地所供給的生態系統服務(Ecosystem Service)與人類社會是密不可分的，且一旦破壞便難以回復到原本的狀態。 本研究藉由評估台南七股鹽田濕地的遊憩價值，用以說明濕地的重要性。調查母體為台灣全體20歲以上居民，採親自訪問調查以減少偏誤，使用旅行成本法評估濕地的遊憩價值，並透過假設行為法來評估「環境品質上升50%」所帶來遊憩效益的變化，實證模型方面，利用三種模型來評估濕地的遊憩價值，包括整數分配的Poisson迴歸模型、Negative Bionomial迴歸模型、廣義Poisson迴歸模型，以及連續變數的Tobit迴歸模型。 本研究將旅遊者區分為過夜與不過夜兩類，分別評估其旅遊需求函數，研究發現過夜者的旅遊需求不同於一般對理性消費者的預期，故本研究只針對當日旅遊者估計其旅遊需求函數，計算其遊憩效益。 最終採廣義卜瓦松迴歸模型計算遊憩效益，結果顯示，台南七股鹽田溼地的遊憩效益為平均每年每人為437.05元，平均每年因「環境品質上升50%」而增加的價值為263.39元，每年每人的遊憩效益約提升62%。全國每年遊憩效益部分，104年全國七股鹽田溼地的遊憩價值約為4.11億元，環境品質上升可使每年的遊憩效益增加1.46億元。
The ecosystem services provided by the wetland have an inseparable relationship with human society and it would be difficult to restore to its initial status if it had been destroyed. This study evaluates recreational value of the Tainan Chiku Wetland. The research adopted in-person survey and the population of the sample is Taiwan residents over 20 years old. Moreover, I use the travel cost method to assess the recreational value of the wetland and to evaluate the value of environment quality improvement through the contingent behavior method. As for the empirical model, I use three different econometric models to estimate the recreational demand function, including Poisson regression model, Negative Binomial regression model, Generalized Possion and Tobit regression model. Furthermore, I estimate two different tourism demand functions separately for overnight and day-trip travelers. I find that overnight travelers are quite different from day-tripers. Thus, I only study the behavior of day-trip travelers. This study finally use Generalized Possion regression model to show results, the recreational benefit per person per year of the Tainan Chiku Wetland is 437.05NTD. With the improvement of the environmental quality, the benefit per person per year increases 263.39NTD. For the whole country, recreational benefit per year of the Tainan ChiKu Wetland is 4.11 hundred million NTD. 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國立政治大學
經濟學系
103258025資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G1032580251 資料類型 thesis dc.contributor.advisor 蕭代基 zh_TW dc.contributor.advisor Shaw,Daigee en_US dc.contributor.author (Authors) 黎俊廷 zh_TW dc.creator (作者) 黎俊廷 zh_TW dc.date (日期) 2016 en_US dc.date.accessioned 9-Aug-2016 11:59:44 (UTC+8) - dc.date.available 9-Aug-2016 11:59:44 (UTC+8) - dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 9-Aug-2016 11:59:44 (UTC+8) - dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G1032580251 en_US dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/99835 - dc.description (描述) 碩士 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 經濟學系 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 103258025 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) 濕地所供給的生態系統服務(Ecosystem Service)與人類社會是密不可分的，且一旦破壞便難以回復到原本的狀態。 本研究藉由評估台南七股鹽田濕地的遊憩價值，用以說明濕地的重要性。調查母體為台灣全體20歲以上居民，採親自訪問調查以減少偏誤，使用旅行成本法評估濕地的遊憩價值，並透過假設行為法來評估「環境品質上升50%」所帶來遊憩效益的變化，實證模型方面，利用三種模型來評估濕地的遊憩價值，包括整數分配的Poisson迴歸模型、Negative Bionomial迴歸模型、廣義Poisson迴歸模型，以及連續變數的Tobit迴歸模型。 本研究將旅遊者區分為過夜與不過夜兩類，分別評估其旅遊需求函數，研究發現過夜者的旅遊需求不同於一般對理性消費者的預期，故本研究只針對當日旅遊者估計其旅遊需求函數，計算其遊憩效益。 最終採廣義卜瓦松迴歸模型計算遊憩效益，結果顯示，台南七股鹽田溼地的遊憩效益為平均每年每人為437.05元，平均每年因「環境品質上升50%」而增加的價值為263.39元，每年每人的遊憩效益約提升62%。全國每年遊憩效益部分，104年全國七股鹽田溼地的遊憩價值約為4.11億元，環境品質上升可使每年的遊憩效益增加1.46億元。 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) The ecosystem services provided by the wetland have an inseparable relationship with human society and it would be difficult to restore to its initial status if it had been destroyed. This study evaluates recreational value of the Tainan Chiku Wetland. The research adopted in-person survey and the population of the sample is Taiwan residents over 20 years old. Moreover, I use the travel cost method to assess the recreational value of the wetland and to evaluate the value of environment quality improvement through the contingent behavior method. As for the empirical model, I use three different econometric models to estimate the recreational demand function, including Poisson regression model, Negative Binomial regression model, Generalized Possion and Tobit regression model. Furthermore, I estimate two different tourism demand functions separately for overnight and day-trip travelers. I find that overnight travelers are quite different from day-tripers. Thus, I only study the behavior of day-trip travelers. This study finally use Generalized Possion regression model to show results, the recreational benefit per person per year of the Tainan Chiku Wetland is 437.05NTD. With the improvement of the environmental quality, the benefit per person per year increases 263.39NTD. For the whole country, recreational benefit per year of the Tainan ChiKu Wetland is 4.11 hundred million NTD. It will increase to 1.24 hundred million NTD per year with the environmental quality improvement. en_US dc.description.tableofcontents 第一章 緒論 1第一節 前言 1一、濕地介紹 1二、生態系統服務(Ecosystem Service) 2第二節 研究動機 5第三節 研究目的 7第四節 研究範圍與方法 8一、研究範圍 8二、研究方法 8第五節 文章架構 10第二章 文獻回顧 11第一節 旅行成本法與相關實證研究 13第二節 應用旅行成本法重要課題 24第三節 假設行為評估法與相關實證研究 27第四節 顯示性偏好與假設行為的結合 29第三章 問卷設計與調查 31第一節 七股鹽田溼地環境與背景 31一、地理位置與簡介 31二、功能及重要性 33三、重要觀測物種 33四、濕地面臨問題 34第二節 七股濕地遊憩價值調查問卷與抽樣設計 36一、事前準備 36二、問卷內容設計 38第三節 問卷統計資料 40第四章 七股溼地遊憩價值實證模型建構與推估 44第一節 旅行成本法實證模型建構 44一、旅行成本法理論基礎 44二、計量實證模型 47第二節 實證模型建構 53一、 應變數選擇 53二、 旅行成本計算 54三、 模型建構 58第三節 迴歸結果分析 60第四節 計算遊憩效益 66第五章 結論與建議 70參考文獻 72 zh_TW dc.format.extent 3627916 bytes - dc.format.mimetype application/pdf - dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G1032580251 en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) 旅行成本法 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 七股鹽田濕地 zh_TW dc.title (題名) 海岸濕地遊憩價值研究 -以台南七股鹽田溼地為例 zh_TW dc.title (題名) Recreational value of the Tainan Chiku Coastal Wetland en_US dc.type (資料類型) thesis en_US dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 參考文獻中文文獻王文華(2008)，「台灣地區自殺企圖者之重複自殺企圖次數統計模型探討」，政治大學統計研究所碩士學位論文內政部營建署(2016)，『七股鹽田重要溼地(國家級)-保育利用計畫』，台北:內政部營建署。台南縣政府新聞處(2007)，『南瀛新象月刊』，台南:台南縣政府新聞處。取自http://ifo.tainan.gov.tw/Publish_Index.aspx?sYear=2007&sMon=8&sClass=1。行政院主計處(2015)，『人力資源調查統計年報』，台北:行政院主計處。交通部統計處(2014)，『自小客車使用狀況調查報告』，台北:交通部統計處。交通部觀光局(2014)，『國人旅遊狀況調查』，台北:交通部觀光局。陳郁蕙、李俊鴻、陳雅惠(2011)，「森林遊樂區遊客旅遊品質提昇之經濟效益評估－以溪頭森林遊樂區為例」 [Evaluation of Economic Benefits from Visitor`s Ecotourism QualityImprovement in Forest Recreational Area-A Case of Chi-Tou Forest Recreational Area]，農業經濟叢刊，16(2)，1-40，doi: 10.6196/taer.2011.16.2.1。洪貫捷、呂翊維(2015)，「2015全球黑面琵鷺普查 臺灣結果大公開」，台北，中華民國野鳥協會。取自http://www.bird.org.tw/index.php/news/cwbf/1005-2015-。黃成輝、曾偉君(2006)，「台灣沿海濕地以及紅樹林之遊憩效益」 [Valuing Recreational Benefits of the Coastal Wetlands and Mangrove in Taiwan]，觀光研究學報，12(1)，43-66，doi: 10.6267/jtls.2006.12(1)3。簡君芳(2015)，「淡水河紅樹林濕地之遊憩價值評估-旅行成本法與條件行為法之應用」，國立台北大學自然資源與環境管理研究所碩士論文。鄭蕙燕(1998)，「水鳥保護區遊客之時間價值估計」，農林學報，47(3)，121-129。鄭蕙燕、張偉祐、林政德(2000)，「四草野生動物保護區遊客之遊憩效益與時間成本：截斷式波爾生模型之應用」 [Recreational Benefits and Time Costs of Syh-Tsao Wildlife Sanctuary: An Application of Truncated Poisson Model]，農業經濟半年刊，67，161-179。錢玉蘭、林幸助、蕭代基、吳珮瑛(2016)，『104至105年度國家重要濕地社會經濟價值評估計畫』，內政部營建署委託計畫。蕭代基(1987)，「旅行成本法-投入需求函數或產出需求函數」，『中國經濟學會年會論文集』，161-173。蕭代基、鄭蕙燕、吳珮瑛、錢玉蘭、溫麗琪(2002)，『環境保護之成本效益分析-理論、方法與應用』。臺北市:俊傑。謝奇明、楊捷婷(2014)，「 太魯閣國家公園遊憩衝擊降低方案之經濟效益分析」，農業經濟叢刊，19(2)，65-94。 英文文獻Barbier, E. 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