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題名 Empirical Comparisons of Five Procedures for Combining or Selecting Forecasts
作者 唐揆
Ringuest, J.;Tang, Kwei
貢獻者 企管系
日期 1989
上傳時間 24-Aug-2016 17:23:18 (UTC+8)
摘要 The Makridakis et al. (J. Forecasting 1, 111–153, 1982 [1]) 111 time series were used to evaluate five procedures for combining individual forecasts produced by different techniques. The five combinations considered were a simple average forecast, the median forecast, two versions of focus forecasting (Smith and Wright. Focus Forecasting: Computer Techniques for Inventory Control, 1978 [2]) and a procedure developed by Bunn (Opn. Res. Q. 26, 325 329, 1975 [3]) and Bunn and Kappos (Eur. J. Opn. Res. 9, 173-18O, 1982 [4]). Results indicate that each of the five combinations can potentially result in improved forecast accuracy. The conditions under which each combination will he most likely to improve forecast accuracy are discussed.
關聯 Socio Economic Planning Sciences, 23(4), 217-225
資料類型 article
DOI http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0038-0121(89)90029-3
dc.contributor 企管系
dc.creator (作者) 唐揆zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Ringuest, J.;Tang, Kwei
dc.date (日期) 1989
dc.date.accessioned 24-Aug-2016 17:23:18 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 24-Aug-2016 17:23:18 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 24-Aug-2016 17:23:18 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/100713-
dc.description.abstract (摘要) The Makridakis et al. (J. Forecasting 1, 111–153, 1982 [1]) 111 time series were used to evaluate five procedures for combining individual forecasts produced by different techniques. The five combinations considered were a simple average forecast, the median forecast, two versions of focus forecasting (Smith and Wright. Focus Forecasting: Computer Techniques for Inventory Control, 1978 [2]) and a procedure developed by Bunn (Opn. Res. Q. 26, 325 329, 1975 [3]) and Bunn and Kappos (Eur. J. Opn. Res. 9, 173-18O, 1982 [4]). Results indicate that each of the five combinations can potentially result in improved forecast accuracy. The conditions under which each combination will he most likely to improve forecast accuracy are discussed.
dc.format.extent 129 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype text/html-
dc.relation (關聯) Socio Economic Planning Sciences, 23(4), 217-225
dc.title (題名) Empirical Comparisons of Five Procedures for Combining or Selecting Forecasts
dc.type (資料類型) article
dc.identifier.doi (DOI) 10.1016/0038-0121(89)90029-3
dc.doi.uri (DOI) http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0038-0121(89)90029-3