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題名 吸煙行爲: 排列路徑方法
Smoking Behaviors: A Permutation Approach
作者 司亭牧
Stahl, Tim
貢獻者 連賢明
司亭牧
Tim Stahl
關鍵詞 理性上癮
時間不一致
雙曲線貼現
異質性
吸煙稅
預先承諾
自我控制
自我意識
捲菸消費
rational addiction
time-inconsistent
hyperbolic discounting
heterogeneity
smoking taxes
pre-commitment
self-control
self-awareness
cigarette consumption
日期 2016
上傳時間 2-Sep-2016 01:33:46 (UTC+8)
摘要 本研究從2009-2010全國成人煙草使用率的調查數據,研討不同類型的戒菸方式對於個體行為異質性所造成的影響。先前的研究顯示有意願想要戒菸的吸菸者有外部戒菸控制方式的需求,然而我們無法在有限的研究中找出相同的吸煙者不滿意對於外部戒菸的控制需求。此外我們發現,高成癮率和高程度的吸菸量提高吸煙者對尼古丁替代物或其他藥物的需求。我們在這份研究中甚至發現,無知的雙曲線貼現吸煙者降低外部需求的戒菸者對於禁煙令或香煙稅當中的關係。
Using data from the 2009-2010 National Adult Tobacco Survey, this study investigates how the heterogeneity of individual behaviors affects demand for different types of cessation supports. Previous studies have demonstrated that smokers with a desire to quit have a demand for external cessation controls, however, there is limited research into how those same smokers demand individual disutility decreasing supports like nicotine replacement or counseling. We find that high addiction and consumption levels increase the demand for nicotine replacement or other medication. We also find support linking naïf hyperbolic discounters to lower demand for external cessation supports like smoking bans or cigarette taxes.
參考文獻 [1] World Health Organization. (2016, June) WHO Media Centre. [Online]. http://www.who.int/mediacentre/factsheets/fs339/en/

[2] U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, "The Health Consequences of Smoking: A Report of the Surgeon General," Washington, DC, 2004.
[3] David Collins, Helen Lapsley, and James Lightwood, "Estimating the costs of tobacco use," Tobacco Control in Developing Countries, 2000.
[4] Mitchell Hamline School of Law. (2016) Master Settlement Agreement. [Online]. http://publichealthlawcenter.org/topics/tobacco-control/tobacco-control-litigation/master-settlement-agreement

[5] National Institute on Drug Abuse. (2012, July ) Tobacco/Nicotine Research Report Series. [Online]. https://www.drugabuse.gov/publications/research-reports/tobacco/nicotine-addictive

[6] American Society of Addiction Medication. (2011, April ) ASAM. [Online]. http://www.asam.org/quality-practice/definition-of-addiction

[7] World Health Organization. (2016) ICD-10. [Online]. http://apps.who.int/classifications/icd10/browse/2016/en

[8] Homer, "Book XII," in The Odyssey.: Harvard Classics 1909, 850 B.C.
[9] Center for Science and Technology Studies. (2016) VOSviewer. [Online]. www.vosviewer.com

[10] Paul A Samuelson, "A Note on Measurement of Utility," The Review of Economic Studies 4, vol. 4, no. 2, pp. 155-161, 1937.
[11] Gary S. Becker and Kevin M. Murphy, "A Theory of Rational Addiction," Journal of Political Economy, vol. 96, no. 4, pp. 675-700, 1988.
[12] R. H. Strotz, "Myopia and Inconsistency in Dynamic Utility Maximization," The Review of Economic Studies, vol. 23, no. 3, pp. 165-180, 1955-1956.
[13] Shin-Ho & Richard J. Herrnstein Chung, "Relative and Absolute Strengths of Response as a Function of Frequency of Reinforcement," Journal of the Experimental Analysis of Animal Behavior , vol. 4, pp. 267-272, 1961.
[14] E.S., Pollak, R.A. Phelps, "On second best national saving and game—theoretic growth.," Review of Economic Studies, vol. 35, pp. 185–199., 1968.
[15] David Laibson, "Hyperbolic discount functions, undersaving, and savings policy," National Bureau of Economic Review, no. Working paper, 1996.
[16] Kamhon Kan, "Cigarette smoking and self-control," Journal of Health Economics, vol. 26, pp. 61-81, 2007.
[17] Botond Köszegi Jonathan Gruber, "IS ADDICTION "RATIONAL"? THEORY AND EVIDENCE," NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH, vol. Working Paper 7507, 2000.
[18] Ted O`Donoghue and Matthew Rabin, "Doing It Now or Later," The American Economic Review, vol. 89, no. 1, pp. 103-124, 1999.
[19] B. DOUGLAS BERNHEIM AND ANTONIO RANGEL*, "Addiction and Cue-Triggered Decision Processes," THE AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW, vol. 94, no. 5, pp. 1558-1587, 2004.
[20] Marc Potenza, "The neurobiology of pathological gambling and," Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B, vol. 363, pp. 3181-3189, 2008.
[21] Roland Bénabou and Jean Tirole, "Willpower and Personal Rules," Journal of Political Economy, vol. 112, no. 4, pp. 848-886, 2004.
[22] ICEK AJZEN, "The Theory of Planned Behavior ," Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, vol. 50, pp. 179-211, 1991.
[23] Dan Ariely and Klaus Wertenbroch, "PROCRASTINATION, DEADLINES, AND PERFORMANCE," PSYCHOLOGICAL SCIENCE, vol. 13, no. 3, 2002.
[24] JONI HERSCH, "Smoking Restrictions as a Self-Control Mechanism," The Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, vol. 31, no. 1, pp. 5-21, 2005.
[25] Michel Grignon∗, "An empirical investigation of heterogeneity in time preferences and," The Journal of Socio-Economics, vol. 38 , pp. 739–751, 2009.
[26] Takanori Ida, "A quasi-hyperbolic discounting approach to," Health Economics Review , vol. 4, no. 5, 2014.
[27] Myong-Il and Shinsuke Ikeda Kang, "Time discounting and smoking behavior: Evidence from a panel survey," Health Economics, vol. 23, pp. 1443-1464, 24.
[28] Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, "Adult SAMMEC: Smoking-attributable Mortality, Morbidity, and Economic Costs," Atlanta, GA, 2010.
[29] American Cancer Society, "Tobacco: The True Cost of Smoking," 2015.
[30] P.A.,Khan Z.M., Thompson, E.E. & Curry, S.J Fishman, "Health Care costs among Smokers, Former Smokers, and Never Smokers in an HMO," Health Services Research, vol. 38, no. 2, pp. 733-749, 2003.
[31] [Online]. http://www.cdc.gov/tobacco/data_statistics/surveys/nats/pdfs/methodology-report.pdf

[32] [Online]. http://www.cdc.gov/tobacco/data_statistics/surveys/nats/pdfs/weighting-specs.pdf

[33] and SHINSUKE IKEDA MYONG-IL KANG, "TIME DISCOUNTING AND SMOKING BEHAVIOR: EVIDENCE FROM A PANEL SURVEY ," HEALTH ECONOMICS, vol. 23, pp. 1443–1464, 2014.
[34] Peter Huber, "Robust Estimation of a Location Parameter," The Annals of Mathematical Statistics, vol. 35, no. 1, pp. 73-101, 1964.
[35] David I. Laibson, "Hyperbolic Discount Functions, Undersaving, and Savings Policy," NBER Working Papers, 1996.
[36] H., & Turner, J. C. Tajfel, "An integrative theory of intergroup conflict," The social psychology of intergroup relations, pp. 33-48, 1979.
[37] Daniel Frings, and Ian P. Albery Sarah A. Buckingham, "Group Membership and Social Identity in Addiction Recovery," Psychology of Addictive Behaviors, vol. 27, no. No. 4, pp. 1132–1140, 2013.
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
應用經濟與社會發展英語碩士學位學程(IMES)
103354002
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G1033540021
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 連賢明zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 司亭牧zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) Tim Stahlen_US
dc.creator (作者) 司亭牧zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Stahl, Timen_US
dc.date (日期) 2016en_US
dc.date.accessioned 2-Sep-2016 01:33:46 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 2-Sep-2016 01:33:46 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 2-Sep-2016 01:33:46 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G1033540021en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/101256-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 應用經濟與社會發展英語碩士學位學程(IMES)zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 103354002zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 本研究從2009-2010全國成人煙草使用率的調查數據,研討不同類型的戒菸方式對於個體行為異質性所造成的影響。先前的研究顯示有意願想要戒菸的吸菸者有外部戒菸控制方式的需求,然而我們無法在有限的研究中找出相同的吸煙者不滿意對於外部戒菸的控制需求。此外我們發現,高成癮率和高程度的吸菸量提高吸煙者對尼古丁替代物或其他藥物的需求。我們在這份研究中甚至發現,無知的雙曲線貼現吸煙者降低外部需求的戒菸者對於禁煙令或香煙稅當中的關係。zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) Using data from the 2009-2010 National Adult Tobacco Survey, this study investigates how the heterogeneity of individual behaviors affects demand for different types of cessation supports. Previous studies have demonstrated that smokers with a desire to quit have a demand for external cessation controls, however, there is limited research into how those same smokers demand individual disutility decreasing supports like nicotine replacement or counseling. We find that high addiction and consumption levels increase the demand for nicotine replacement or other medication. We also find support linking naïf hyperbolic discounters to lower demand for external cessation supports like smoking bans or cigarette taxes.en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents 1 Introduction 5
2 Background 7
2.1 Discounted Utility 8
2.2 Cue Triggered Response 14
2.3 Internal Controls 15
2.4 Imperfect Awareness 16
2.5 Smoking Populations are Heterogeneous 16
2.6 Summary and Motivation 17
3 Data 19
3.1 Variable Settings 20
3.1.1 Dependent Variables 21
3.1.2 Independent Variables 22
3.2 Data Processing 23
4 Research Design 24
4.1 Hypotheses 24
4.1.1 Demand for Costly External Cessation Supports 24
4.1.2 Demand for Disutility Decreasing Cessation Supports 25
4.2 Statistical Model 26
5 Empirical Results 27
5.1 Descriptive Statistics 27
5.2 Regression Results 31
5.2.1 External Support Regressions 31
5.2.2 Individual Support Regressions 32
6 Discussion 35
7 Conclusion 37
References 39
zh_TW
dc.format.extent 1091341 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G1033540021en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 理性上癮zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 時間不一致zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 雙曲線貼現zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 異質性zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 吸煙稅zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 預先承諾zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 自我控制zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 自我意識zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 捲菸消費zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) rational addictionen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) time-inconsistenten_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) hyperbolic discountingen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) heterogeneityen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) smoking taxesen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) pre-commitmenten_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) self-controlen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) self-awarenessen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) cigarette consumptionen_US
dc.title (題名) 吸煙行爲: 排列路徑方法zh_TW
dc.title (題名) Smoking Behaviors: A Permutation Approachen_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen_US
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) [1] World Health Organization. (2016, June) WHO Media Centre. [Online]. http://www.who.int/mediacentre/factsheets/fs339/en/

[2] U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, "The Health Consequences of Smoking: A Report of the Surgeon General," Washington, DC, 2004.
[3] David Collins, Helen Lapsley, and James Lightwood, "Estimating the costs of tobacco use," Tobacco Control in Developing Countries, 2000.
[4] Mitchell Hamline School of Law. (2016) Master Settlement Agreement. [Online]. http://publichealthlawcenter.org/topics/tobacco-control/tobacco-control-litigation/master-settlement-agreement

[5] National Institute on Drug Abuse. (2012, July ) Tobacco/Nicotine Research Report Series. [Online]. https://www.drugabuse.gov/publications/research-reports/tobacco/nicotine-addictive

[6] American Society of Addiction Medication. (2011, April ) ASAM. [Online]. http://www.asam.org/quality-practice/definition-of-addiction

[7] World Health Organization. (2016) ICD-10. [Online]. http://apps.who.int/classifications/icd10/browse/2016/en

[8] Homer, "Book XII," in The Odyssey.: Harvard Classics 1909, 850 B.C.
[9] Center for Science and Technology Studies. (2016) VOSviewer. [Online]. www.vosviewer.com

[10] Paul A Samuelson, "A Note on Measurement of Utility," The Review of Economic Studies 4, vol. 4, no. 2, pp. 155-161, 1937.
[11] Gary S. Becker and Kevin M. Murphy, "A Theory of Rational Addiction," Journal of Political Economy, vol. 96, no. 4, pp. 675-700, 1988.
[12] R. H. Strotz, "Myopia and Inconsistency in Dynamic Utility Maximization," The Review of Economic Studies, vol. 23, no. 3, pp. 165-180, 1955-1956.
[13] Shin-Ho & Richard J. Herrnstein Chung, "Relative and Absolute Strengths of Response as a Function of Frequency of Reinforcement," Journal of the Experimental Analysis of Animal Behavior , vol. 4, pp. 267-272, 1961.
[14] E.S., Pollak, R.A. Phelps, "On second best national saving and game—theoretic growth.," Review of Economic Studies, vol. 35, pp. 185–199., 1968.
[15] David Laibson, "Hyperbolic discount functions, undersaving, and savings policy," National Bureau of Economic Review, no. Working paper, 1996.
[16] Kamhon Kan, "Cigarette smoking and self-control," Journal of Health Economics, vol. 26, pp. 61-81, 2007.
[17] Botond Köszegi Jonathan Gruber, "IS ADDICTION "RATIONAL"? THEORY AND EVIDENCE," NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH, vol. Working Paper 7507, 2000.
[18] Ted O`Donoghue and Matthew Rabin, "Doing It Now or Later," The American Economic Review, vol. 89, no. 1, pp. 103-124, 1999.
[19] B. DOUGLAS BERNHEIM AND ANTONIO RANGEL*, "Addiction and Cue-Triggered Decision Processes," THE AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW, vol. 94, no. 5, pp. 1558-1587, 2004.
[20] Marc Potenza, "The neurobiology of pathological gambling and," Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B, vol. 363, pp. 3181-3189, 2008.
[21] Roland Bénabou and Jean Tirole, "Willpower and Personal Rules," Journal of Political Economy, vol. 112, no. 4, pp. 848-886, 2004.
[22] ICEK AJZEN, "The Theory of Planned Behavior ," Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, vol. 50, pp. 179-211, 1991.
[23] Dan Ariely and Klaus Wertenbroch, "PROCRASTINATION, DEADLINES, AND PERFORMANCE," PSYCHOLOGICAL SCIENCE, vol. 13, no. 3, 2002.
[24] JONI HERSCH, "Smoking Restrictions as a Self-Control Mechanism," The Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, vol. 31, no. 1, pp. 5-21, 2005.
[25] Michel Grignon∗, "An empirical investigation of heterogeneity in time preferences and," The Journal of Socio-Economics, vol. 38 , pp. 739–751, 2009.
[26] Takanori Ida, "A quasi-hyperbolic discounting approach to," Health Economics Review , vol. 4, no. 5, 2014.
[27] Myong-Il and Shinsuke Ikeda Kang, "Time discounting and smoking behavior: Evidence from a panel survey," Health Economics, vol. 23, pp. 1443-1464, 24.
[28] Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, "Adult SAMMEC: Smoking-attributable Mortality, Morbidity, and Economic Costs," Atlanta, GA, 2010.
[29] American Cancer Society, "Tobacco: The True Cost of Smoking," 2015.
[30] P.A.,Khan Z.M., Thompson, E.E. & Curry, S.J Fishman, "Health Care costs among Smokers, Former Smokers, and Never Smokers in an HMO," Health Services Research, vol. 38, no. 2, pp. 733-749, 2003.
[31] [Online]. http://www.cdc.gov/tobacco/data_statistics/surveys/nats/pdfs/methodology-report.pdf

[32] [Online]. http://www.cdc.gov/tobacco/data_statistics/surveys/nats/pdfs/weighting-specs.pdf

[33] and SHINSUKE IKEDA MYONG-IL KANG, "TIME DISCOUNTING AND SMOKING BEHAVIOR: EVIDENCE FROM A PANEL SURVEY ," HEALTH ECONOMICS, vol. 23, pp. 1443–1464, 2014.
[34] Peter Huber, "Robust Estimation of a Location Parameter," The Annals of Mathematical Statistics, vol. 35, no. 1, pp. 73-101, 1964.
[35] David I. Laibson, "Hyperbolic Discount Functions, Undersaving, and Savings Policy," NBER Working Papers, 1996.
[36] H., & Turner, J. C. Tajfel, "An integrative theory of intergroup conflict," The social psychology of intergroup relations, pp. 33-48, 1979.
[37] Daniel Frings, and Ian P. Albery Sarah A. Buckingham, "Group Membership and Social Identity in Addiction Recovery," Psychology of Addictive Behaviors, vol. 27, no. No. 4, pp. 1132–1140, 2013.
zh_TW