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題名 生產力成長的探究 : 臺灣實證分析
作者 林宗鈞
貢獻者 吳家聲
林宗鈞
日期 1984
上傳時間 9-Nov-2016 17:05:45 (UTC+8)
摘要 第一章 緒論1
第二章 生產力的意義及其測定方法4
第一節 生產力的意義4
第二節 生產力的測定方法6
2.1 偏要素生產力6
2.2 總要素生產力7
2.2.1 Kendrick算術指數7
2.2.2 Solow幾何指數8
2.2.3 Johanson方法9
2.2.4 CES生產函數法12
2.2.5 Translog生產函數法13
2.3 Leontief 投入產出分析27
第三章 生產力變動成因的理論基礎38
第一節 緣起38
第二節 生產力變動成因詳述38
一、資本利用率38
二、韋登效果(Verdoorn Effect)47
三、資本深化度48
四、潛在產能48
五、研究發展支出50
六、循環因素54
七、就業結構,公私部門結構之變動55
八、制度性因素57
九、勞動品質的改變58
十、其他59
第四章 計量模型與實證結果65
第一節 勞動生產力65
第二節 總要素生產力71
第五章 結論與建議80
參考文獻98

表目錄
表四之一 各業平均勢動生產力分解67
表四之二 各級產業總要素生產力73
表四之三 各級產業總要素生產力迴歸結果75
附表一 各業實質國內生產毛額83
附表二 各業資本使用量84
附表三 各業資本存量85
附表四 各業就業人口86
附表五 農業勞動生產力分解87
附表六 礦業及採石業勞動生產力分解88
附表七 製造業勞動生產力分解89
附表八 營造業勞動生產力分解90
附表九 水電煤氣業勞動生產力分解91
附表十 運輸交通勞動生產力分解92
附表十一 商業勞動生產力分解93
附表十二 其他服務業勞動生產力分解94
附表十三 農林漁牧業總要素生產力迴歸資料95
附表十四 工業總要素生產力迴歸資料96
附表十五 服務業總要素生產力迴歸資料97
參考文獻 一、中文部份
1.史濟增 〔1973〕:「生產函數的理論發展」,經濟論文,1卷1期,頁231~267。
2.李高朝 〔1983〕:「我國產業結構之檢討」,中國經濟學會論文集,72年4月,頁 3~46。
3.李庸三,黃國樞 〔1975〕:台灣製造業生產函數之橫剖面分析,經濟論文,3卷2期,頁275~261。
4.余朝權 〔1984〕:「企業生產力衡量與分析之研究」,國立政治大學企業管理研究所博士論文,民國73年1月。
5.________〔1984〕:「影響臺灣製鞋業生產力之因素」,台北市銀月刊,15卷4期,4月頁46~62。
6.周滌平 〔1983〕:「潛在產出與充分就業盈餘之估測」,台灣經濟金融月刊,19卷6期頁63~68。
7.邢慕寰,江振南,黃國樞 〔1973〕:「台灣製造業剩餘生產力之分析」,經濟論文,1卷1期,3月。
8.邢慕寰 〔1978〕:「關於測量『技術變動』的一些基本考慮」,經濟論文,6卷1期,頁1~9。
9. 邱依忠,洪麗雲 〔1980〕:「我國潛在生產之估計」,中國統計學報,18卷3期,頁6627~6634。
10.吳家聲 〔1982 a〕:「技術,生產力,就業」,中國經濟學會論文集,頁128~160。
11.________〔1982 b〕:「台灣製造業生產力對經濟成長之貢獻」,台灣經濟,67期,頁1~19。
12._______ 〔1982 c〕:「生產力及其變動原因」,台灣經濟,66期,頁1~8。
13.________〔1984〕:「技術變動理論與實證分析(上)」,中美技術季刊,29卷2期,頁55~64。
14.吳惠林 〔1983〕:「台灣的產能與資本利用率之估計及其應用」,中華經濟研究院經濟專論(36)。
15.梁國源 〔1975〕:「總要素生產力之測度方法」,市銀月刊,6卷4期,頁36~53。
16. ¬¬¬________〔1976〕:「台灣製造業總要素生產力之研究」,台銀季刊,27卷1期,頁1~20。
17.莊苑譯(Erh -Cheng Hua著)〔1984〕:「農業對經濟成長貢獻的實證研究」,自由中國之工業,61卷2期,2月,頁13~22。
18.許嘉棟 〔1983〕:「公營事業與民營企業經濟效率的計量分析--成本函數之應用」,經濟論文,11卷1期,頁183~201。
19.張佩珍 〔1982〕:「中國大陸農業總要素生產力之變化(1953~1979)-- 區域性之研究」,中華經濟研究院經濟專論( 9 )。
20.張炳耀 〔1982〕:「台灣地區製造業生產力的衡量與分析(1972~1982),台銀季刊,33卷1期,頁51~69。
21. 傅棟成 〔1982〕:「資本利用與經濟發展理論與台灣之經驗」,台大經研所碩士論文,71年。
22.菅瑞昌 〔1983〕:「台灣製造業技術與能源需求之研究」政治大學經濟研究所,碩士論文,民國72年6月。
23.彭憶荔 〔1972〕:「生產力測定之研討」,台大經研所碩士論文,民國61年6月。
24.傅越 〔1970〕:「民國40年至50年台灣製造業部門技術進步之測定」,經濟論文專著選刊之十一,10月。
25. 張鴻章 〔1971〕: 「技術進步與生產因素對製造業成長之貢獻」,經濟論文專著選刊之二十,8月。
26.張鴻章、李高朝、許嘉棟、李繼祥 〔1981〕:「能源供給與價格變動對台灣經濟之影響」中央研究院經濟研究所,12月。
27.經建會、人力規劃小組 〔1983〕:「台灣地區勞動力成長分析及預測」,自由中國之工業,60卷4期,頁1~14。
28. 劉泰英、張炳耀 〔1983〕:「台灣工業勞動生產力發展之剖析」,台灣工業發展會議,3月 頁395~426。
29.劉遵義 〔1982〕:「生產力的衡量」,經濟論文,10卷2期,9月。
30.蔡宗羲 〔1982〕:「台灣經濟成長過程中,勞力與資本利用之研究」,台銀季刊,33卷4期,頁47~63。
31.薛琦 〔 1979 〕:「論生產力與成本、管理,技術之關係一兼論台灣製造業勞動生產力之變化,自由中國之工業 51 , 頁 15 ~ 23。
32.薛琦、Majumdar:〔1978〕:「內生技術變動與經濟發展」,中國經濟學會論文集集(67年),頁61~80。
33.薛琦 〔1983〕:「產業經濟學及分析方法」,台灣經濟金融研究月刊,6卷2期,頁19~22。
二、英文部份:
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3. Betancourt R. R. and Clague C. K.(1975): “ An Econometric Analysis of Capital Utilization ” Southern Economic Journal, July, 1975
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7. Berndt E. R. and Wood D.O (1979): “Engineering and Econometric Interpretations of Energy-Capital Complementary” American Economic Review, June, pp 342-354
8. Bruno N. (1968): “Estimation of Factor Contribution to growth under structural Disequilibrium” International Economic Review, Feb., pp 49-62
9. Christensen L. R., Cummings D. and Jorgenson D. W.“Economic Growth, 1947-73. An International Comparison ”in Kendrick & Vaccara ed. (1980)“ New Developments in productivity Measurement and Analysis”pp 595-698
10. Christensen L. R. and Jorgenson D. W (1970) : U.S. real product and real factor input 1929-1967” Review of Income and Wealth, Series 19, No 4, Dec., pp 329-362
11. Christensen L. R, Jorgensen D. W, Lawrence J. Lau (1970): “Conjugate Duality and the Transcendental Logarithmic Function”. Econometrica, Sept. pp 255-256
12. _________ (1973): “Transcendental Logarithmic Production Frontiers” The Review of Economics and Statistics, Feb, pp 28-45
13. Claugue C. (1976) : “The Theory of Capital Utilization and the putty-Rubber Production Function” Journal of Development Economics 3, 1976, pp 277-87
14. Dave Y. C. Hsu (1982): “Measurement of Potential Labor Reserve in Taiwan “Economic Development and Cultural Change, Vol. 30. No. 4 July pp 843-861
15. David Lim (1976): “On the Measurement of Capital Utilization in Less Developed Countries” Oxford Economic paper, Mar., pp 149-159
16. Denison E. F. (1967): Why Growth Rates Differ-Postwar Experience in Nine Western Countries , The Brookings Institution.
17.________ (1974): Accounting for United states Economic Growth 1929-1969”, The Brookings Iustitution.
18. __________and Willion K., Chung (1976): How Japan’s Economy Grew So Fast-the Source of Postwar expansion , The Brookings Institution.
19.¬¬¬¬_______ (1979): Accounting for Slower Economic Growth-the United States in the 1970’s , The Brookings Iustitution
20. Diewert W. E. (1980): “Aggregation Problems in the Measurement of capital” in Usher D. ed. The Measurement of Capital (University of Chicago) pp 435-528
21. Domar E. D. (1961) : “On the Measurement of Technologcal change”, The Economic Journal, pp 709-729
22. __________(1962): “On Total Productivity and all that” Journal of Political Economy pp 597-608
23. Eilon S., Gold B. and Soesan J. (1976) : Applied Productivity Analysis for Iudustry, Pregamon Press
24. Edward K.Y. Chen (1976): “The Empirical Relevance of the Endogeneous Technical Progress Function”, KYKLOS, Vol. 29 pp 256-271
25. Edwin Kuh (1965): “Cyclical and Secular Labor Productivity in the United States Manufacturing” The Review of Economics and Statistics, Feb. pp 1-12.
26. Farrel M. J.(1957): “The Measurement of Productivity Efficiency” Journal of Royal Statistical Society , Series A. Vol. 120, pp 203-90.
27. Ferguson C. E.(1965): “Time-Series Production Function’s and technological progress in American Manufacturing Iuductry”, Journal of political Economy , Vol. 73, April, pp. 135-147
28. Foss M. (1963.): “The Utilization of Capital Equipment: Postwar compared With Prewar” Survey of Current Business 43, June, 1963 pp 8-16
29. Gollop F. M. and Jorgenson D. W.: “U.S. Productivity Growth by Industry” pp 17-136 in Kendrick and Vaccara ed. (1980) New Developments in Productivity Measurement and Analysis
30. Gordon D.M. (1981): “Capital-Labor Conflict and Productivity slowdown” American Economic Rev. May, pp 30-35
31. Griliches Z,: “Return to Reseavch and Development Expenditure in private Sector” in Kendrick and Vaccara ed. (1980) New Development in Productivity Measurement and Analysis pp 419-462
32. Gold B. (1955): “Foundations of productivity Analysis” University of pittsburgh press
33. _______(1971): Exploration in Managerial Economics 雙葉印
34. _______ (1977) ed. Research. Technological Change and Economic Analysis Washington, D.C., Heath
35. Johansen L (1961): “A Method For Seperating the Effects of Capital Accumulation and Shifts in Production Functions upon growth in Labor productivity”, The Economic Journal, pp 775-82
36. Jorgensen D. W and Griliches Z (1967): “The Exploration of Productivity Change” The Review of Economic Studies, July, pp 249-83
37. Jorgensen D. W and M. Nishimizu (1978): “U.S. and Japanese economic growth 1952-1974: An International Comparison” Economic Journal 88 N0. 352 Dec pp 727-26
38. Katz J. M. (1968): “ Verdoorn Effects, Return to Scale and the Elasticity of Factor Substitution”, Oxford Eco. Paper, Nov. pp 342-352
39. Kendrick J. W. (1961): Productivity Trends in the United States NBER, Princeton University Press.
40. ____________(1977): Understanding Productivity - An Introduction to the Dynamics of Productivity Change, The Johns Hopkins University Press.
41. ____________and Vaccara B. N (1980): New Developments in Productivity Measurement and Analysis The University of Chicago Press (NBER, Conference on Research in Income and Wealth)
42. _____________and Grossman E. S. (1980): Productivity in the United States - trend and Cycles The Johns Hopkins University press
43. Kim Y. C. and Kwon Jene K. (1977): “The Utilization of Capacity and the Growth of Output in a Developing Economy ” pp 265-278
44. _____________ and Winston G.C. (1974) “The Optimal Utilization of Capital Stock and the Level of Economic Development”, Econometrica, Nov. pp 377-386
45. Klein L. R. (1960): “ Some Theoretical Issues in the Measurement of Capacity”, American Economic Review, pp 272-286
46. ______________ and Preston R. S. (1967): “Some New Results in the Measurement of Capacity Utilization” American Economic Review, pp 34-58
47. Kmenta J (1967): “On Estimation of the CES Production Function” International Economic Review, Vol. 8 No. 2 June pp 180-189
48. Lawreuce J. Lau (1976): “A Characterization of the Normalized Restricted Profit Fauction ” Journal of Economic Theory, 12, Feb. pp 131-163
49. A. Linbeck (1983): “The Recent Slowdown of productivity Growth” The Economic Journal ,93, March, pp. 13-34
50. Lecraw D. J (1978): “Determinants of Capacity Utilization by Firms in Less Developed Countries” Journal of Development Economics 5, pp 139-53
51. Leontief W.W. (1951): The Structure of American Economy 1919-1939 Oxford University Press.
52. Levy V. (1981): “Total Factor Productivity, Non-Neutral Technical Change and Economic Growth-A parametric Study of a developing Economy” Journal of Development Economics, pp 93-109
53. Lewis W.A. (1980): “The Slowdown of the Engine of Growth” American Economic Review, Sept. pp 555-64
54. Mohr M. F.: “The longterm Structure of Production Factor Demand and Factor Productivity in U.S. Manufacturing Industries” in Kendrick and Vaccara ed. New Development in Productivity Measurement and Analysis (1980)
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58. ____________ (1970): “Some Approach to the Theory and Measurement of total factor Productivity: A Survey”, Journal of Economic Literature, Dec. No 4.
59.________ and Bitros G. C. : “Research and Development Expenditures and Labor Productivity at Firm Level: A Dynamic Model” in Kendrick and Vaccara ed. (1980) New Developments in Productivity Measurement and Analysis pp 387-418.
60. Naples M. I. (1981): “Industrial Conflict and its Implication for Productivity Growth”, American Economic Review, May, pp 36-41.
61. Norsworthy JR, Harper M. J., Kunze K (1979): “The Slowdown in Productivity Growth: Analysis of Some Contributing Factors”, Brookings Paper on Economic Activities 2, pp 387-421
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71. Winston G. C. (1971): “Capital Utilization in Economic Development” Economic Journal (81) pp 36-60.
72. __________ (1974): “The theory of Capital Utilization and Idleness” Journal of Economic Literature Dec. pp 1301-1320
73 _____________ and McCoy T.O. (1974): “Investment and the Optimal Idleness of Capital” Review of Economic Studies, July pp 419-428
74. __________ (1977): “Capacity : An Integrated Micro and Macro Analysis”, American Economic Review, Feb. pp 418-22
關聯 國立政治大學
經濟研究所
碩士
72
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 吳家聲
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 林宗鈞
dc.creator (作者) 林宗鈞zh_TW
dc.date (日期) 1984
dc.date.accessioned 9-Nov-2016 17:05:45 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 9-Nov-2016 17:05:45 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 9-Nov-2016 17:05:45 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/103623-
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 第一章 緒論1
第二章 生產力的意義及其測定方法4
第一節 生產力的意義4
第二節 生產力的測定方法6
2.1 偏要素生產力6
2.2 總要素生產力7
2.2.1 Kendrick算術指數7
2.2.2 Solow幾何指數8
2.2.3 Johanson方法9
2.2.4 CES生產函數法12
2.2.5 Translog生產函數法13
2.3 Leontief 投入產出分析27
第三章 生產力變動成因的理論基礎38
第一節 緣起38
第二節 生產力變動成因詳述38
一、資本利用率38
二、韋登效果(Verdoorn Effect)47
三、資本深化度48
四、潛在產能48
五、研究發展支出50
六、循環因素54
七、就業結構,公私部門結構之變動55
八、制度性因素57
九、勞動品質的改變58
十、其他59
第四章 計量模型與實證結果65
第一節 勞動生產力65
第二節 總要素生產力71
第五章 結論與建議80
參考文獻98

表目錄
表四之一 各業平均勢動生產力分解67
表四之二 各級產業總要素生產力73
表四之三 各級產業總要素生產力迴歸結果75
附表一 各業實質國內生產毛額83
附表二 各業資本使用量84
附表三 各業資本存量85
附表四 各業就業人口86
附表五 農業勞動生產力分解87
附表六 礦業及採石業勞動生產力分解88
附表七 製造業勞動生產力分解89
附表八 營造業勞動生產力分解90
附表九 水電煤氣業勞動生產力分解91
附表十 運輸交通勞動生產力分解92
附表十一 商業勞動生產力分解93
附表十二 其他服務業勞動生產力分解94
附表十三 農林漁牧業總要素生產力迴歸資料95
附表十四 工業總要素生產力迴歸資料96
附表十五 服務業總要素生產力迴歸資料97
dc.format.extent 115 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype text/html-
dc.relation (關聯) 國立政治大學
dc.relation (關聯) 經濟研究所
dc.relation (關聯) 碩士
dc.relation (關聯) 72
dc.title (題名) 生產力成長的探究 : 臺灣實證分析zh_TW
dc.type (資料類型) thesis
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 一、中文部份
1.史濟增 〔1973〕:「生產函數的理論發展」,經濟論文,1卷1期,頁231~267。
2.李高朝 〔1983〕:「我國產業結構之檢討」,中國經濟學會論文集,72年4月,頁 3~46。
3.李庸三,黃國樞 〔1975〕:台灣製造業生產函數之橫剖面分析,經濟論文,3卷2期,頁275~261。
4.余朝權 〔1984〕:「企業生產力衡量與分析之研究」,國立政治大學企業管理研究所博士論文,民國73年1月。
5.________〔1984〕:「影響臺灣製鞋業生產力之因素」,台北市銀月刊,15卷4期,4月頁46~62。
6.周滌平 〔1983〕:「潛在產出與充分就業盈餘之估測」,台灣經濟金融月刊,19卷6期頁63~68。
7.邢慕寰,江振南,黃國樞 〔1973〕:「台灣製造業剩餘生產力之分析」,經濟論文,1卷1期,3月。
8.邢慕寰 〔1978〕:「關於測量『技術變動』的一些基本考慮」,經濟論文,6卷1期,頁1~9。
9. 邱依忠,洪麗雲 〔1980〕:「我國潛在生產之估計」,中國統計學報,18卷3期,頁6627~6634。
10.吳家聲 〔1982 a〕:「技術,生產力,就業」,中國經濟學會論文集,頁128~160。
11.________〔1982 b〕:「台灣製造業生產力對經濟成長之貢獻」,台灣經濟,67期,頁1~19。
12._______ 〔1982 c〕:「生產力及其變動原因」,台灣經濟,66期,頁1~8。
13.________〔1984〕:「技術變動理論與實證分析(上)」,中美技術季刊,29卷2期,頁55~64。
14.吳惠林 〔1983〕:「台灣的產能與資本利用率之估計及其應用」,中華經濟研究院經濟專論(36)。
15.梁國源 〔1975〕:「總要素生產力之測度方法」,市銀月刊,6卷4期,頁36~53。
16. ¬¬¬________〔1976〕:「台灣製造業總要素生產力之研究」,台銀季刊,27卷1期,頁1~20。
17.莊苑譯(Erh -Cheng Hua著)〔1984〕:「農業對經濟成長貢獻的實證研究」,自由中國之工業,61卷2期,2月,頁13~22。
18.許嘉棟 〔1983〕:「公營事業與民營企業經濟效率的計量分析--成本函數之應用」,經濟論文,11卷1期,頁183~201。
19.張佩珍 〔1982〕:「中國大陸農業總要素生產力之變化(1953~1979)-- 區域性之研究」,中華經濟研究院經濟專論( 9 )。
20.張炳耀 〔1982〕:「台灣地區製造業生產力的衡量與分析(1972~1982),台銀季刊,33卷1期,頁51~69。
21. 傅棟成 〔1982〕:「資本利用與經濟發展理論與台灣之經驗」,台大經研所碩士論文,71年。
22.菅瑞昌 〔1983〕:「台灣製造業技術與能源需求之研究」政治大學經濟研究所,碩士論文,民國72年6月。
23.彭憶荔 〔1972〕:「生產力測定之研討」,台大經研所碩士論文,民國61年6月。
24.傅越 〔1970〕:「民國40年至50年台灣製造業部門技術進步之測定」,經濟論文專著選刊之十一,10月。
25. 張鴻章 〔1971〕: 「技術進步與生產因素對製造業成長之貢獻」,經濟論文專著選刊之二十,8月。
26.張鴻章、李高朝、許嘉棟、李繼祥 〔1981〕:「能源供給與價格變動對台灣經濟之影響」中央研究院經濟研究所,12月。
27.經建會、人力規劃小組 〔1983〕:「台灣地區勞動力成長分析及預測」,自由中國之工業,60卷4期,頁1~14。
28. 劉泰英、張炳耀 〔1983〕:「台灣工業勞動生產力發展之剖析」,台灣工業發展會議,3月 頁395~426。
29.劉遵義 〔1982〕:「生產力的衡量」,經濟論文,10卷2期,9月。
30.蔡宗羲 〔1982〕:「台灣經濟成長過程中,勞力與資本利用之研究」,台銀季刊,33卷4期,頁47~63。
31.薛琦 〔 1979 〕:「論生產力與成本、管理,技術之關係一兼論台灣製造業勞動生產力之變化,自由中國之工業 51 , 頁 15 ~ 23。
32.薛琦、Majumdar:〔1978〕:「內生技術變動與經濟發展」,中國經濟學會論文集集(67年),頁61~80。
33.薛琦 〔1983〕:「產業經濟學及分析方法」,台灣經濟金融研究月刊,6卷2期,頁19~22。
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