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題名 政府預算限制式與融資效果 作者 黃明聖 貢獻者 徐偉初
黃明聖日期 1985 上傳時間 9-十一月-2016 17:12:59 (UTC+8) 摘要 第一章 緒論1 第一節 研究動機及目的1第二節 文獻回顧2 第三節 本文結構及研究方法7 第二章 簡單凱因斯模型之GBR 9 第一節 平衡預算乘數9 第二節 政府預算乘數15 第三章 IS-LM模型之GBR 23 第一節 Blinder-Solow模型25 第二節 模型之修正32 第三節 模型之崩潰--內在矛盾37 第四節 反貨幣數量學說41 第四章 總合需求、總合生產與GBR 49 第一節 Christ模型之建立49 第二節 Christ模型的轉換54 第三節 Christ模型穩定性之探討57 第四節 Tobin-Buiter模型59 第五節 試評Tobin-Buiter 模型69 第五章 我國的實證模擬分析75 第一節 模型之建立75 第二節 模型之穩定性及政策效果分析81第三節 模型之修正96第四節 模型之穩定性及政策效果分析98第五節 本章小節103第六章 結論及建議115 參考文獻 1.于宗先：經濟預測：（台北：中央研究院經濟研究所，民國六十一年四月初版）。 2.林華德，計量經濟學導論，（台北：三民書局，六十七年九月初版 )。3.________，財政理論與政策，（台北：東華書局，六十六年十月三版）。 4.李榮謙，公共投資與排擠效果--台灣之實證分析，台北：政大財政研究所碩士論文，七十二年六月。5.柳復起，「論台灣之貨幣需求」，收於邱正雄主編：台灣貨幣與金融論文集，台北：聯經出版事業公司，六十四年九月，頁245-85。 6.孫震等著，經濟學下冊，台北：教育部空中教學委員會，民國七十四年一版。 7.許嘉棟、陳師孟，「公債融通與貨幣融通之總體效果」，台灣之模擬分析，中國經濟學會，當前財政問題研討會論文集，民國七十一年四月，頁19-59。 8.許嘉棟，「政府支出、公債與政府預算限制式」，中研院經濟論文，民國七十一年九月，頁21-33。9.梁麗枝，排擠效果之分析，台北：台大經研所碩士論文，七十年六月。 10.湯慎之、楊華勝，「台灣總體計量模型(一)」，台北：台北市銀月刊，第七卷第四期，六十五年四月，頁1-12。11. Barro, J. F., “ Are Government Bonds Net Wealth ?”, Journal of Political Economy, 1974, 1095-1117.12. Blinder, A. S and R. M. Solow, “ Does Fiscal Policy Matter ? ”, J Pub E, 1973, 319-337.13. Blinder, A. S and R. M. Solow, Analytical Foundation of Fiscal Policy, in A. S. Blinder et al, The Economics of Public finance ( Brooking, Washington, D.C ), 1974.14. Blinder, A. S. and R. M. Solow, “ Does Fiscal Policy Matter ? The View from the Government Budget Restraint- A Reply”, Public Finance, 1977, 390-392.15. Bomberger, W., “ Comments on Tobin and Buiter ”, in J.L. Stein ed Monetarism, North-Halland, Amsterdam, 1976, 329-331.16. Cagan, P., “ Comments on Tobin and Buiter” , in J. L. Stein ed Monetarism, North-Halland, Amsterdam, 1976. 318-321.17. Calvo, G. A., “Macroeconomic Implication of the Government Budget” , JME, 1985, 95-112. 18. Carlson, V. and Spencer, “ Crowding out and its Critics” , Monthly Review , FRB of St. Louis, 1975, 2-17.19. Christ, C. E., “ A Simple Macroeconomic Model with a Government Budget Restraint” , Journal of Political Economy, 1968, 53-67.20. Christ, C.F., “ Aggregate Models” , AER , 1967, 434-443.21. Christ, C.F., “ Some Dynamic Theory of Macroeconomic Policy Effects on Income and Prices under the Government Budget Restraint” , JME, 1978, 45-70.22. Christ, C.F., “ On Fiscal and Monetary Policies and the Government Budget Restraint ”, AER, 1979, 526-538.23. Cohen, D. and Frank de Leeuw “ A Note on the Government Budget Restraint”, JME , 1980, 547-60.24. Fischer, S, “ Comments on Tobin and Buiter” , in J. L. Stein ed Monetarism, North-Halland, Amsterdam, 1976, 322-328.25. Friedman, M., “ Comments on Tobin and Buiter” , in J. L. Stein ed Monetarism, North-Holland, Amsterdam, 1976, 310-317.26. Friedman, B. M., “ Crowding out or Crowding in ”, Economic Activity, 1977, 593-654.27. Fromn, G. and L. R. Klein, “ A Comparison of Eleven Econometric Models of the United States ” , AER, 1973, 385-394.28. Hansen, B., “ On the Effects of Fiscal and Monetary Policy : A Taxonomic Discussion” , AER, 1973, 546-571.29. Hariss, L., Monetary Theory, 1981,雙葉 , 429-47. 30. Herber, B.P., Modern Public Finance, 1971, Revised ed 中央圖書供應社31. Hillier, B., “ Does Fiscal Policy Matter ? , The View from the Government Budget Restraint ”, Public Finance, 1977, 374-389.32. Infant, E. F. and Jerome L. S., “ Does Fiscal Policy Matter ? ” , J. M. E , 1976, 473-500.33. Kogiku, K. C., An Introduction to Macroeconomic Models, New York: Mc Graw-Hill, 1968.34. Mayer, T., “ The Government Budget Constraint and Standard Macrotheory ” , J. M. E, 1984, 371-379.35. McGrath, B. , “ Implications of the Government Budget Constraint ” , JMC & B, 1977, 304-315.36. Niskanen, W.A., “ Deficits, Governement Spending and Inflation ” , JME , 1978, 591-602.37. Ott, D. J. and A. F. Ott, “ Budget Balance and Equilibrium Income ” , Journal of Finance, 1965, 71-77.38. Parkin, M. , Macroeconomics, Prentice-Hall, Inc, 1984 452-464.39. Peacock. A. and G. K. Shaw, The Economic Theory of Fiscal Policy, 1971.40. Pindyck, R. S. and D. L. Rubinfeld, Econometric Model and Economic Forecasts, New York : McGraw-Hill, 2nd edition, 1981.41.Pui Chi Ip, “ Fiscal Policy and Stability in a Dynamic Macroeconomic Model with a Government Budget Constraint” ,Public Finance, 1977, 30-35.42. Rasche, R.H., “ Financing the Public Debt ”, Policy Studies Journal, 1980, 60-67.43. Sargent T. J. and N. Wallance, “ The Stability of Models of Money and Growth with Perfect Foresight ”，Econometrica, 1973, 1043-1048.44. Scarth, W. M., “ A Note on the Crowding out of Private Expenditures by Bond-Financed Increases in Government Spending ” , J. Pub. E., 1976, 385-387.45. Shieh, Yeung-Nan, “ A Note on Bond Finance and Stability in a Simple Income-expenditure Model ”, Public Finance, 1980, 464-469.46. Silber, W. L., “ Fiscal Policy in IS-LM Analysis, A Correction ” , JMC & B , 1970, 461-473.47. Smith, G., “ The Long Run Consequences of Monetary and Policies when the Government’s Budget Is not Balanced ” , J Pub E, 59-79.48. Sydsaeter, K., Topics in Mathematical Analysis for Economists, New York, 1981.49. Turnovsky, S. J., “ Monetary Policy, Fiscal Policy and the Government Budget Constraint “ , Australian Economic Papers, 1975, 197-215.50. Turnovsky, S. J., Macroeconomic Analysis and Stabilization Policies ( Cambridge, London, New York, Melbourne, Cambridge University Press ).51. Turnovsky S. J. and M. H. Miller, “ the Effects of Government Expenditure on the Term Structure of Interest Rates ” , JMC & B , 1984, 16-33.52. Tobin J. and W. H. Buiter, Long-run Effects of Fiscal and Monetary Policy on Aggregate Demand ”, in J. L. Stein ed Monetarism, North-Holland, Amsterdam, 1976, 273-309. 關聯 國立政治大學
財政研究所
碩士
73資料類型 thesis dc.contributor.advisor 徐偉初 dc.contributor.author (作者) 黃明聖 dc.creator (作者) 黃明聖 zh_TW dc.date (日期) 1985 dc.date.accessioned 9-十一月-2016 17:12:59 (UTC+8) - dc.date.available 9-十一月-2016 17:12:59 (UTC+8) - dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 9-十一月-2016 17:12:59 (UTC+8) - dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/103656 - dc.description.abstract (摘要) 第一章 緒論1 第一節 研究動機及目的1第二節 文獻回顧2 第三節 本文結構及研究方法7 第二章 簡單凱因斯模型之GBR 9 第一節 平衡預算乘數9 第二節 政府預算乘數15 第三章 IS-LM模型之GBR 23 第一節 Blinder-Solow模型25 第二節 模型之修正32 第三節 模型之崩潰--內在矛盾37 第四節 反貨幣數量學說41 第四章 總合需求、總合生產與GBR 49 第一節 Christ模型之建立49 第二節 Christ模型的轉換54 第三節 Christ模型穩定性之探討57 第四節 Tobin-Buiter模型59 第五節 試評Tobin-Buiter 模型69 第五章 我國的實證模擬分析75 第一節 模型之建立75 第二節 模型之穩定性及政策效果分析81第三節 模型之修正96第四節 模型之穩定性及政策效果分析98第五節 本章小節103第六章 結論及建議115 dc.format.extent 115 bytes - dc.format.mimetype text/html - dc.relation (關聯) 國立政治大學 dc.relation (關聯) 財政研究所 dc.relation (關聯) 碩士 dc.relation (關聯) 73 dc.title (題名) 政府預算限制式與融資效果 zh_TW dc.type (資料類型) thesis dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 1.于宗先：經濟預測：（台北：中央研究院經濟研究所，民國六十一年四月初版）。 2.林華德，計量經濟學導論，（台北：三民書局，六十七年九月初版 )。3.________，財政理論與政策，（台北：東華書局，六十六年十月三版）。 4.李榮謙，公共投資與排擠效果--台灣之實證分析，台北：政大財政研究所碩士論文，七十二年六月。5.柳復起，「論台灣之貨幣需求」，收於邱正雄主編：台灣貨幣與金融論文集，台北：聯經出版事業公司，六十四年九月，頁245-85。 6.孫震等著，經濟學下冊，台北：教育部空中教學委員會，民國七十四年一版。 7.許嘉棟、陳師孟，「公債融通與貨幣融通之總體效果」，台灣之模擬分析，中國經濟學會，當前財政問題研討會論文集，民國七十一年四月，頁19-59。 8.許嘉棟，「政府支出、公債與政府預算限制式」，中研院經濟論文，民國七十一年九月，頁21-33。9.梁麗枝，排擠效果之分析，台北：台大經研所碩士論文，七十年六月。 10.湯慎之、楊華勝，「台灣總體計量模型(一)」，台北：台北市銀月刊，第七卷第四期，六十五年四月，頁1-12。11. Barro, J. F., “ Are Government Bonds Net Wealth ?”, Journal of Political Economy, 1974, 1095-1117.12. Blinder, A. S and R. M. Solow, “ Does Fiscal Policy Matter ? ”, J Pub E, 1973, 319-337.13. Blinder, A. S and R. M. Solow, Analytical Foundation of Fiscal Policy, in A. S. Blinder et al, The Economics of Public finance ( Brooking, Washington, D.C ), 1974.14. Blinder, A. S. and R. M. Solow, “ Does Fiscal Policy Matter ? The View from the Government Budget Restraint- A Reply”, Public Finance, 1977, 390-392.15. Bomberger, W., “ Comments on Tobin and Buiter ”, in J.L. Stein ed Monetarism, North-Halland, Amsterdam, 1976, 329-331.16. Cagan, P., “ Comments on Tobin and Buiter” , in J. L. Stein ed Monetarism, North-Halland, Amsterdam, 1976. 318-321.17. Calvo, G. A., “Macroeconomic Implication of the Government Budget” , JME, 1985, 95-112. 18. Carlson, V. and Spencer, “ Crowding out and its Critics” , Monthly Review , FRB of St. Louis, 1975, 2-17.19. Christ, C. E., “ A Simple Macroeconomic Model with a Government Budget Restraint” , Journal of Political Economy, 1968, 53-67.20. Christ, C.F., “ Aggregate Models” , AER , 1967, 434-443.21. Christ, C.F., “ Some Dynamic Theory of Macroeconomic Policy Effects on Income and Prices under the Government Budget Restraint” , JME, 1978, 45-70.22. Christ, C.F., “ On Fiscal and Monetary Policies and the Government Budget Restraint ”, AER, 1979, 526-538.23. Cohen, D. and Frank de Leeuw “ A Note on the Government Budget Restraint”, JME , 1980, 547-60.24. Fischer, S, “ Comments on Tobin and Buiter” , in J. L. Stein ed Monetarism, North-Halland, Amsterdam, 1976, 322-328.25. Friedman, M., “ Comments on Tobin and Buiter” , in J. L. Stein ed Monetarism, North-Holland, Amsterdam, 1976, 310-317.26. Friedman, B. M., “ Crowding out or Crowding in ”, Economic Activity, 1977, 593-654.27. Fromn, G. and L. R. Klein, “ A Comparison of Eleven Econometric Models of the United States ” , AER, 1973, 385-394.28. Hansen, B., “ On the Effects of Fiscal and Monetary Policy : A Taxonomic Discussion” , AER, 1973, 546-571.29. Hariss, L., Monetary Theory, 1981,雙葉 , 429-47. 30. Herber, B.P., Modern Public Finance, 1971, Revised ed 中央圖書供應社31. Hillier, B., “ Does Fiscal Policy Matter ? , The View from the Government Budget Restraint ”, Public Finance, 1977, 374-389.32. Infant, E. F. and Jerome L. S., “ Does Fiscal Policy Matter ? ” , J. M. E , 1976, 473-500.33. Kogiku, K. C., An Introduction to Macroeconomic Models, New York: Mc Graw-Hill, 1968.34. Mayer, T., “ The Government Budget Constraint and Standard Macrotheory ” , J. M. E, 1984, 371-379.35. McGrath, B. , “ Implications of the Government Budget Constraint ” , JMC & B, 1977, 304-315.36. Niskanen, W.A., “ Deficits, Governement Spending and Inflation ” , JME , 1978, 591-602.37. Ott, D. J. and A. F. Ott, “ Budget Balance and Equilibrium Income ” , Journal of Finance, 1965, 71-77.38. Parkin, M. , Macroeconomics, Prentice-Hall, Inc, 1984 452-464.39. Peacock. A. and G. K. Shaw, The Economic Theory of Fiscal Policy, 1971.40. Pindyck, R. S. and D. L. Rubinfeld, Econometric Model and Economic Forecasts, New York : McGraw-Hill, 2nd edition, 1981.41.Pui Chi Ip, “ Fiscal Policy and Stability in a Dynamic Macroeconomic Model with a Government Budget Constraint” ,Public Finance, 1977, 30-35.42. Rasche, R.H., “ Financing the Public Debt ”, Policy Studies Journal, 1980, 60-67.43. Sargent T. J. and N. Wallance, “ The Stability of Models of Money and Growth with Perfect Foresight ”，Econometrica, 1973, 1043-1048.44. Scarth, W. M., “ A Note on the Crowding out of Private Expenditures by Bond-Financed Increases in Government Spending ” , J. Pub. E., 1976, 385-387.45. Shieh, Yeung-Nan, “ A Note on Bond Finance and Stability in a Simple Income-expenditure Model ”, Public Finance, 1980, 464-469.46. Silber, W. L., “ Fiscal Policy in IS-LM Analysis, A Correction ” , JMC & B , 1970, 461-473.47. Smith, G., “ The Long Run Consequences of Monetary and Policies when the Government’s Budget Is not Balanced ” , J Pub E, 59-79.48. Sydsaeter, K., Topics in Mathematical Analysis for Economists, New York, 1981.49. Turnovsky, S. J., “ Monetary Policy, Fiscal Policy and the Government Budget Constraint “ , Australian Economic Papers, 1975, 197-215.50. Turnovsky, S. J., Macroeconomic Analysis and Stabilization Policies ( Cambridge, London, New York, Melbourne, Cambridge University Press ).51. Turnovsky S. J. and M. H. Miller, “ the Effects of Government Expenditure on the Term Structure of Interest Rates ” , JMC & B , 1984, 16-33.52. Tobin J. and W. H. Buiter, Long-run Effects of Fiscal and Monetary Policy on Aggregate Demand ”, in J. L. Stein ed Monetarism, North-Holland, Amsterdam, 1976, 273-309.
