Publications-Issues & Studies

Article View/Open

Publication Export

Google ScholarTM

NCCU Library

Citation Infomation

Related Publications in TAIR

題名 Between Independence and Unification: An Ordered Probit Analysis of Panel Survey Data on Taiwan`s Constitutional Future
作者 Tsai, Chia-Hung;Wang, Ding-Ming;Tossutti, Livianna S.
關鍵詞 public opinion;independence/unification issue position;panel survey;rational assessments
日期 2008.12
上傳時間 11-Nov-2016 14:13:42 (UTC+8)
摘要 The evolution of a multiparty system in Taiwan has seen public opinion about the independence/unification issue coinciding with partisan positions. While aggregate public opinion data have shown that most Taiwanese support the current cross-Strait relations, or ”status quo.” less is known about the stability of individual policy preferences. Drawing on panel data from Taiwan`s Election and Democratization Study (TEDS) project, this article examines whether the same respondents maintained the same position on the constitutional question in 2001 and 2004 Using ordered probit modeling, it also assesses the impact of previously-held opinions and rational assessments on attitudes in 2004, net of standard sociological and psychological determinants. We find that nearly half of respondents changed their preferences between 2001 and 2004. When opinions did change, there was a trend toward support for the status quo from a pro-unification position. In addition to showing the lag impact of a previous attitude, our analysis confirms that self-identified nationality, partisanship, and rational assessments of Taiwan`s economy are significant predictors of positions on the independence/unification issue.
關聯 Issues & Studies,44(4),71-98
資料類型 article
dc.creator (作者) Tsai, Chia-Hung;Wang, Ding-Ming;Tossutti, Livianna S.
dc.date (日期) 2008.12
dc.date.accessioned 11-Nov-2016 14:13:42 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 11-Nov-2016 14:13:42 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 11-Nov-2016 14:13:42 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/103818-
dc.description.abstract (摘要) The evolution of a multiparty system in Taiwan has seen public opinion about the independence/unification issue coinciding with partisan positions. While aggregate public opinion data have shown that most Taiwanese support the current cross-Strait relations, or ”status quo.” less is known about the stability of individual policy preferences. Drawing on panel data from Taiwan`s Election and Democratization Study (TEDS) project, this article examines whether the same respondents maintained the same position on the constitutional question in 2001 and 2004 Using ordered probit modeling, it also assesses the impact of previously-held opinions and rational assessments on attitudes in 2004, net of standard sociological and psychological determinants. We find that nearly half of respondents changed their preferences between 2001 and 2004. When opinions did change, there was a trend toward support for the status quo from a pro-unification position. In addition to showing the lag impact of a previous attitude, our analysis confirms that self-identified nationality, partisanship, and rational assessments of Taiwan`s economy are significant predictors of positions on the independence/unification issue.
dc.format.extent 1236066 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.relation (關聯) Issues & Studies,44(4),71-98
dc.subject (關鍵詞) public opinion;independence/unification issue position;panel survey;rational assessments
dc.title (題名) Between Independence and Unification: An Ordered Probit Analysis of Panel Survey Data on Taiwan`s Constitutional Future
dc.type (資料類型) article