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題名 伊朗最高宗教領袖與核能政策演變關係之探討：2009年到2015年
The linkage of Iranian supreme leader and the evolution of nuclear policy: 2009-2015
作者 王宣文
貢獻者 劉長政
王宣文
關鍵詞 伊朗最高宗教領Khamenei
核能政策
伊朗政治派系
綠色運動
JCPOA
Iran Supreme Leader Khamenei
The nuclear policy
Iranian political factions
The Green Movement
JCPOA
日期 2017
上傳時間 3-Jul-2017 14:43:59 (UTC+8)
摘要 自2002年秘密運作的核能設施曝光後，伊朗的核能政策一直是國際爭點且令人費解。若要討論伊朗核能政策是如何產出及其未來的走勢，本文認為伊朗本身的動機才是決定核能政策的關鍵。\n 本文以「個人－國內政治－國際政治」三層次作為分析架構，首先討論核能政策的發展歷程及其對伊朗的意義；其次分析伊朗最高宗教領袖Khamenei及伊朗政治派系如何影響核能政策；最後聚焦於2009年綠色運動後至2015年JCPOA簽訂這段期間，伊朗最高宗教領袖Khamenei與核能政策演變的關係。\n 本文發現伊朗的政治菁英對核能政策有高度共識，認為發展核能政策代表著實踐伊朗的大國意識與民族尊嚴、經濟與能源多元化的自主發展以及安全上的保障。另外，從政治派系角度出發，核能政策也被視為派系鬥爭中的槓桿，是政治菁英獲得權力的工具。同時，基於伊朗特殊的政治體制－－教法學家體系，最高宗教領袖Khamenei為伊朗權力體系中的第一人，其態度與政治取向決定了核能政策的走向。而在最高宗教領袖Khamenei決定核能政策的走向時，其必須將國內外政經局勢納入考量，並時時權衡當前的局勢是否會影響其作為最高宗教領袖的合法性。本文認為，若能繼續對最高宗教領袖Khamenei加以觀察，並分析其與國內政治派系的互動，將有助於未來對伊朗核能政策的了解並對伊朗政治帶來更全面的研究。
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Iran as a Peculiar Hybrid Regime: Structure and Dynamics of the Islamic Republic, British Journal of Middle Eastern Studies, Vol.42 No.4, 558-578.\n Alam Rizvi , M. Mahtab, (2012) Evaluating the political and economic role of\nthe IRGC, Analysis, Vol.36 No.4, 584-596. \n Bahari, Maziar “The Sha’s Plan Was to Build Bombs,” New Statesman, <http://www.newstatesman.com/asia/2008/09/iran-nuclear-shah-west> (11092008)\n Barzashka, Ivanka and Oelrich, Ivan, (2012) Iran and nuclear ambiguity, Cambridge Review of International Affairs, Vol.25 No.1, 1-26.\n Fathollah-Nejad, Ali, (2014). Why sanctions against Iran are counterproductive: conflict resolution and state–society relations, International Journal, Vol.69 No.1, 48–65.\nGanji, Akbar, (2008). The latter-day sultan power and politics in Iran, Foreign Affairs, November/December, 15-21.\n Hymans, Jacques E.C. Hymans and S. Gratias, Matthew, (2013). 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描述 碩士
國立政治大學
外交學系
103253002
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G1032530021
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 劉長政zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 王宣文zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) 王宣文zh_TW
dc.date (日期) 2017en_US
dc.date.accessioned 3-Jul-2017 14:43:59 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 3-Jul-2017 14:43:59 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 3-Jul-2017 14:43:59 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G1032530021en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://ah.lib.nccu.edu.tw/item?item_id=127490-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 外交學系zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 103253002zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 自2002年秘密運作的核能設施曝光後，伊朗的核能政策一直是國際爭點且令人費解。若要討論伊朗核能政策是如何產出及其未來的走勢，本文認為伊朗本身的動機才是決定核能政策的關鍵。\n 本文以「個人－國內政治－國際政治」三層次作為分析架構，首先討論核能政策的發展歷程及其對伊朗的意義；其次分析伊朗最高宗教領袖Khamenei及伊朗政治派系如何影響核能政策；最後聚焦於2009年綠色運動後至2015年JCPOA簽訂這段期間，伊朗最高宗教領袖Khamenei與核能政策演變的關係。\n 本文發現伊朗的政治菁英對核能政策有高度共識，認為發展核能政策代表著實踐伊朗的大國意識與民族尊嚴、經濟與能源多元化的自主發展以及安全上的保障。另外，從政治派系角度出發，核能政策也被視為派系鬥爭中的槓桿，是政治菁英獲得權力的工具。同時，基於伊朗特殊的政治體制－－教法學家體系，最高宗教領袖Khamenei為伊朗權力體系中的第一人，其態度與政治取向決定了核能政策的走向。而在最高宗教領袖Khamenei決定核能政策的走向時，其必須將國內外政經局勢納入考量，並時時權衡當前的局勢是否會影響其作為最高宗教領袖的合法性。本文認為，若能繼續對最高宗教領袖Khamenei加以觀察，並分析其與國內政治派系的互動，將有助於未來對伊朗核能政策的了解並對伊朗政治帶來更全面的研究。zh_TW
dc.description.tableofcontents 第一章 緒論 1\n第一節 研究動機與目的 1\n第二節 研究問題 3\n第三節 文獻回顧 3\n第四節 研究設計 16\n第五節 章節安排 17\n\n第二章 伊朗的核能政策：發展歷程與意義 19\n第一節 巴勒維王朝時期的核能政策發展 19\n第二節 革命前期的核能政策發展 24\n第三節 核能政策引起國際爭議 27\n第四節 核能政策對伊朗的意義 37\n第五節 小結 40\n\n第三章 伊朗最高宗教領袖、政治派系與核能政策 41\n第一節 最高宗教領袖在伊朗權力結構中的地位 41\n第二節 最高宗教領袖與伊朗政治派系鬥爭：權力是否受限？ 48\n第三節 伊朗最高宗教領袖在核能決策中的權力行使 59\n\n第四章 2009年到2015年內外局勢下伊朗最高宗教領袖對核能政策之考量 67\n第一節 2009年總統大選與綠色運動 67\n第二節 2009年到2013年的伊朗政經局勢與核能政策 76\n第三節 2013年總統大選到JCPOA 85\n第四節 小結 98\n\n第五章 結論 101\n第一節 研究發現 101\n第二節 研究貢獻與展望 104\n參考文獻 109\n\n圖目錄\n圖 一-1 伊朗中央權力結構圖 11\n圖 一-2 章節安排 18\n圖 二-1 伊朗核能政策所代表的三個意義 37\n圖 二-2 1965年至2015年伊朗石油產量、國內需求量及淨出口量 38\n圖 三-1 伊朗核能政策決策單位 60\n\n表目錄\n表 三-1 伊朗三大政治派系 49\n表 四-1 2010至2013年伊朗經濟指標 81\n表 四-2 2009年至2013年伊朗核能政策發展進程 82\n表 四-3 2013年至2015年JCPOA談判路徑 89zh_TW
dc.format.extent 2637784 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G1032530021en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 伊朗最高宗教領Khameneizh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 核能政策zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 伊朗政治派系zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 綠色運動zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) JCPOAzh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Iran Supreme Leader Khameneien_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) The nuclear policyen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Iranian political factionsen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) The Green Movementen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) JCPOAen_US
dc.title (題名) 伊朗最高宗教領袖與核能政策演變關係之探討：2009年到2015年zh_TW
dc.title (題名) The linkage of Iranian supreme leader and the evolution of nuclear policy: 2009-2015en_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen_US
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