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題名 印尼礦業股市指數分析:其效率研究
Indonesian mining index analysis: an efficiency study作者 姚翰耀
Sudiro, Elroy貢獻者 郭維裕
Kuo, George
姚翰耀
Sudiro, Elroy關鍵詞 指數分析
高效投資組合
多樣化
等權重指數
最小變異數投資組合
Index analysis
Efficient portfolio
Diversification
Equally weighted portfolio
Minimum variance portfolio日期 2017 上傳時間 11-Jul-2017 11:47:59 (UTC+8) 摘要 Most indexes use a cap-weighted strategy as the asset allocation method. Many researchers suggest that although the cap-weighted strategy often serves as an appropriate surrogate to the market portfolio, it cannot consistently outperform other portfolio weighting strategies. The main reasons behind it would be related to the market movement and the underlying volatility. It is possible to narrow down the scope of the research by focusing on an industry index as was done in this research. The focus would be on the mining index of Indonesia.Comparisons will be done between the established index to other portfolio weighting schemes, namely the equally weighted portfolio and the minimum variance portfolio. The results of the research was that the index was not quite efficient, both on the returns and the Sharpe or information ratio aspect. There are many possible reasons behind this, but the most possible reasons would be that the stocks included do not contribute to diversification, over focus on the coal industry, lack of rebalancing or restructuring, in addition to the market itself. The implication of this research would be that stock exclusion might also contribute to risk minimization. 參考文獻 adaro. Our Business - Mining. February 28, 2017. http://www.adaro.com/pages/read/7/22/mining (accessed May 11, 2017).Amenc, Noël, Felix Goltz, and Lionel Martellini. "Smart Beta 2.0." January 2015.Anderson, David R., Dennis J. Sweeney, Thomas A. Williams, Jeffrey D. Camm, and James J. Cochran. Statistics for Business and Economics, 12th edition. Canada: South-Western Publishing Co., 2015.Apexindo. Apexindo in Brief. 2014. http://www.apexindo.com/apexindo_in_brief?contentid=0 (accessed May 11, 2017).Arnott, Robert D., Jason Hsu, and Phillip Moore. "Fundemental Indexation." Financial Analysts Journal, 2005: 83-99.Atlas Resources. Corporate Profile. 2014. http://www.atlas-coal.co.id/page/corporate-profile (accessed May 11, 2017).Baramulti Suksessarana. Company Overview. 2012. http://www.bssr.co.id/index.php/about-bssr/company-overview (accessed May 11, 2017).Bayan Resources. About Bayan. 2015. https://www.bayan.com.sg/index.php/en/about-bayan (accessed May 11, 2017).Benakat Integra. Benakat | History. 2015. https://www.benakat.co.id/history (accessed May 11, 2017).Berau Coal Energy. Operations. 2017. http://www.beraucoalenergy.co.id/our-profile/operation/ (accessed May 11, 2017).Bloomberg. Company Overview of PT Permata Prima Sakti Tbk. 2017. https://www.bloomberg.com/research/stocks/private/snapshot.asp?privcapId=879913 (accessed May 11, 2017).Bodie, Zvi, Alex Kane, and Alan J. Marcus. "Investments." 48. New York: McGraw-Hill, 2014.Bodnar, Taras, Stepan Mazur, and Krzysztof Podgórski. "A linear test for the global minimum variance portfolio for small sample and singular covariance." Working Papers in Statistics, 2015.Borneo Lumbung Energi & Metal. Home. 2017. http://borneo.co.id/ (accessed May 11, 2017).Buchanan, Mark. "Physics in Finance: Trading at the speed of light." nature, 2015.Bumi Resources. Business Units. 2017. http://www.bumiresources.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=91&Itemid=135 (accessed May 11, 2017).Cakra Mineral. Overview PT. Cakra Mineral Tbk. 2014. http://www.ckra.co.id/# (accessed May 11, 2017).Campbell, Joseph. Quoatable Quote. n.d. http://www.goodreads.com/quotes/3194054-if-you-want-to-understand-what-s-most-important-to-a (accessed December 31, 2016).Cazalet, Zélia, Pierre Grison, and Thierry Roncalli. "The Smart Beta Indexing Puzzle." 2013.Chew, Jian Chieh. Making Sense of the Two-sample T-Test. n.d. https://www.isixsigma.com/tools-templates/hypothesis-testing/making-sense-two-sample-t-test/ (accessed May 14, 2017).Citatah. Our Products. 2015. http://www.citatah.co.id/product (accessed May 11, 2017).Columbia CNTML. Two Sample T-Test. n.d. http://ccnmtl.columbia.edu/projects/qmss/the_ttest/twosample_ttest.html (accessed May 14, 2017).Darma Henwa. Company Profile. 2017. http://www.ptdh.co.id/content/company-profile3 (accessed May 11, 2017).Delta Dunia Makmur. About Delta Dunia. 2016. https://www.deltadunia.com/about-delta-dunia (accessed May 11, 2017).DeMiguel, Victor, Lorenzo Garlappi, and Raman Uppal. "Optimal Versus Naive Diversification: How Inefficient is the 1/N Portfolio Strategy?" The Review of Financial Studies, 2009: 1915-1953.Elnusa. Corporate Profile. 2012. http://www.elnusa.co.id/corporate-info/corporate-profile/ (accessed May 11, 2017).Energi Mega Persada. Overview. 2014. http://www.energi-mp.com/?page_id=21 (accessed May 11, 2017).ETFguide. Fundamental vs. Traditional Index Investing. n.d. https://etfguide.com/fundamental-vs-traditional-index-investing/ (accessed April 18, 2017).Finances Online. Top 10 Gold Producing Countries In The World. n.d. https://financesonline.com/top-10pgold-producing-countries-in-the-world/ (accessed May 17, 2017).Frost, Jim. Understanding Hypothesis Tests: Why We Need to Use Hypothesis Tests in Statistics. March 5, 2015. http://blog.minitab.com/blog/adventures-in-statistics-2/understanding-hypothesis-tests%3A-why-we-need-to-use-hypothesis-tests-in-statistics (accessed April 4, 2017).FTSE Russell. "Factor Exposure Indices - Index Construction Methodology." FTSE Russell Paper. London: London Stock Exchange Group, October 2015.Golden Eagle Energy. History. 2013. http://www.go-eagle.co.id/?q=history (accessed May 11, 2017).Golden Energy Mines. Company Profile. 2017. http://goldenenergymines.com/index.php/general-information (accessed May 11, 2017).Harum Energy. Operations. 2017. http://www.harumenergy.com/en/operations (accessed May 11, 2017).Haugen, Robert A., and Nardin L. Baker. "The efficient market inefficiency of capitalization-weighted stock portfolios." The Journal of Portfolio Management, 1991.Indo Tambangraya. ITM in Brief. 2015. http://itmg.co.id/about-us/introduction (accessed May 11, 2017).Indonesia Investments. Mining Index Indonesia. April 28, 2017. http://www.indonesia-investments.com/finance/stocks-bonds/jakarta-composite-index-ihsg/mining-index/item889 (accessed April 29, 2017).J Resources. Welcome to J Resources. 2016. http://www.jresources.com/home (accessed May 11, 2017).Jamasmie, Cecilia. World coal consumption to drop up to 4% by year-end. November 16, 2015. http://www.mining.com/world-coal-consumption-to-drop-up-to-4-further-by-year-end/ (accessed May 10, 2017).Kar, Sitanshu Sekhar, and Archana Ramalingam. "Is 30 the Magic Number? Issues in Sample Size Estimation." Open Access Article, 2013: 175-179.kelasinvestasi.com. Modal Minimal untuk Trading Saham. August 10, 2015. http://www.kompasiana.com/kelasinvestasi/modal-minimal-untuk-trading-saham_55c82de34623bdda048b4567 (accessed May 10, 2017).Le Sourd, Véronique. Performance Measurement for Traditional Investment. Literature Survey, Lille - Nice: EDHEC Risk and Asset Management Research Centre, 2007.Lenhard, Walter, interview by Elizabeth Tammaro. Weighing the Pros and Cons of Index Types and Smart Beta (December 2014).Lo, Andrew W. "The Statistics of Sharpe Ratio." Financial Analysts Journal, 2002: 36-52.Maillard, Sébastien, Thierry Roncalli, and Jérôme Teiletche. "Equally-weighted Risk contributions: a new method to build risk balanced diversified portfolios." September 2008.Markowitz, Harry. "Portfolio Selecton." The Journal of Finance, 1952: 77-91.Mausser, Helmut, and Oleksandr Romanko. "Computing equal risk contribution portfolios." Ibm Journal of Research and Development, 2014: July.Medco Energi. History. 2016. http://www.medcoenergi.com/en/timeline/view/74 (accessed May 11, 2017).Mitra Investindo. About Us - Establishment and General Information. 2015. http://www.mitra-investindo.com/index.php?i=11&cid=2&lang=eng (accessed May 11, 2017).Mount, John. What is a good Sharpe Ratio? June 27, 2015. http://www.win-vector.com/blog/2015/06/what-is-a-good-sharpe-ratio/ (accessed May 8, 2017).Pav, Steven E. "Notes on the Sharpe Ratio." 2016.PennState Eberly College of Science. 8.3 - Comparing Two Population Means: Independent Samples. n.d. https://onlinecourses.science.psu.edu/stat500/node/50 (accessed May 14, 2017).Perdana Karya Perkasa. About Us | Overview. 2013. http://www.pkpk-tbk.co.id/overview.html (accessed May 11, 2017).PT ANTAM (Persero) Tbk. Running ANTAM. n.d. http://www.antam.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=24&Itemid=3 (accessed May 11, 2017).PT Bara Jaya Internasional Tbk. 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Indonesia | Economic Indicators. n.d. http://www.tradingeconomics.com/indonesia/indicators (accessed April 29, 2017).Wulandari, Fitri, and Eko Listiyorini. Coal`s recovery too good to resist for Indonesia, the world`s biggest exporter. January 13, 2017. http://www.livemint.com/Industry/80hfIfrBjfXapHk7es4JsK/Coals-recovery-too-good-to-resist-for-Indonesia-the-world.html (accessed May 13, 2017). 描述 碩士
國立政治大學
國際經營管理英語碩士學位學程(IMBA)
104933035資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0104933035 資料類型 thesis dc.contributor.advisor 郭維裕 zh_TW dc.contributor.advisor Kuo, George en_US dc.contributor.author (Authors) 姚翰耀 zh_TW dc.contributor.author (Authors) Sudiro, Elroy en_US dc.creator (作者) 姚翰耀 zh_TW dc.creator (作者) Sudiro, Elroy en_US dc.date (日期) 2017 en_US dc.date.accessioned 11-Jul-2017 11:47:59 (UTC+8) - dc.date.available 11-Jul-2017 11:47:59 (UTC+8) - dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 11-Jul-2017 11:47:59 (UTC+8) - dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0104933035 en_US dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/110823 - dc.description (描述) 碩士 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 國際經營管理英語碩士學位學程(IMBA) zh_TW dc.description (描述) 104933035 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) Most indexes use a cap-weighted strategy as the asset allocation method. Many researchers suggest that although the cap-weighted strategy often serves as an appropriate surrogate to the market portfolio, it cannot consistently outperform other portfolio weighting strategies. The main reasons behind it would be related to the market movement and the underlying volatility. It is possible to narrow down the scope of the research by focusing on an industry index as was done in this research. The focus would be on the mining index of Indonesia.Comparisons will be done between the established index to other portfolio weighting schemes, namely the equally weighted portfolio and the minimum variance portfolio. The results of the research was that the index was not quite efficient, both on the returns and the Sharpe or information ratio aspect. There are many possible reasons behind this, but the most possible reasons would be that the stocks included do not contribute to diversification, over focus on the coal industry, lack of rebalancing or restructuring, in addition to the market itself. The implication of this research would be that stock exclusion might also contribute to risk minimization. en_US dc.description.tableofcontents Chapter I: Introduction 1Chapter II: Literature Review 32.1 Index construction 32.2 Portfolio theory 42.3 Market-value weighted index 42.4 Equally weighted portfolio 72.5 Minimum variance portfolio 82.6 Smart Beta 92.7 Statistical test/ Hypothesis testing 122.8 Sharpe Ratio and Information Ratio 14Chapter III: Empirical Analysis and Results 163.1 Data collection and general processing 163.2 New portfolio weighting strategy construction 173.2.1 Equally weighted portfolio 173.2.2 Minimum variance portfolio 193.3 Statistical test and comparison 213.3.1 Paired t-test of the equally weighted portfolio 223.3.2 Paired t-test of the minimum variance portfolio 233.4 Sharpe Ratio and Information Ratio comparison 243.4.1 Ratio of equally weighted portfolio 253.4.2 Ratio of minimum variance portfolio 263.5 Analysis and discussion 263.5.1 Description and explanation of assumptions and limitations 263.5.2 Overall results discussion and analysis 30Chapter IV: Conclusion 36Bibliography 37Tables 45Figures 47Appendix 56 zh_TW dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0104933035 en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) 指數分析 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 高效投資組合 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 多樣化 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 等權重指數 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 最小變異數投資組合 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) Index analysis en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Efficient portfolio en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Diversification en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Equally weighted portfolio en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Minimum variance portfolio en_US dc.title (題名) 印尼礦業股市指數分析:其效率研究 zh_TW dc.title (題名) Indonesian mining index analysis: an efficiency study en_US dc.type (資料類型) thesis en_US dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) adaro. 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Cakra Mineral Tbk. 2014. http://www.ckra.co.id/# (accessed May 11, 2017).Campbell, Joseph. Quoatable Quote. n.d. http://www.goodreads.com/quotes/3194054-if-you-want-to-understand-what-s-most-important-to-a (accessed December 31, 2016).Cazalet, Zélia, Pierre Grison, and Thierry Roncalli. "The Smart Beta Indexing Puzzle." 2013.Chew, Jian Chieh. Making Sense of the Two-sample T-Test. n.d. https://www.isixsigma.com/tools-templates/hypothesis-testing/making-sense-two-sample-t-test/ (accessed May 14, 2017).Citatah. Our Products. 2015. http://www.citatah.co.id/product (accessed May 11, 2017).Columbia CNTML. Two Sample T-Test. n.d. http://ccnmtl.columbia.edu/projects/qmss/the_ttest/twosample_ttest.html (accessed May 14, 2017).Darma Henwa. Company Profile. 2017. http://www.ptdh.co.id/content/company-profile3 (accessed May 11, 2017).Delta Dunia Makmur. 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