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題名 越南的中國政策 : 審視對沖策略
Vietnam’s China Policy : An Examination of “Hedging Strategy”
作者 阮親蘭
Thuong, Nguyen Thi
貢獻者 姜家雄
Chiang, Chia-Hsiung
阮親蘭
Nguyen Thi Thuong
關鍵詞 越南的对冲策略
经济实用主义
直接参与
硬平衡
软平衡
Vietnam’s hedging strategy
Economic pragmatism
Direct engagement
Hard balancing
Soft balancing
日期 2017
上傳時間 10-Aug-2017 10:21:49 (UTC+8)
摘要 对于中国来说，对大国的渴望不再是这个问题，对邻近的东南亚国家实际上是有重大影响的。因此，近期国际关系奖学金已经引人注目的尝试，将“对冲”理念作为一种流行和根本的动态策略。本论文认为，越南对冲策略的选择是适当的，以便对付与中国的关系，但尚未完全保护越南的国家利益。本论文探讨了这一战略的四个关键组成部分：经济实用主义，硬平衡和软平衡。通过考虑和重新评估这些因素，研究发现了妨碍越南对冲实施的困难。此外，它还分析了大湄公河次区域（GMS）在经济领域的案例研究，以支持对经济实用主义的看法。最终得出结论，尽管越南在采取套期保值策略之后获得了一定的利益，但这些成就产生了国家安全的新风险，这可能会加剧该国在处理南海争端方面的压力。
For China, the aspiration to great power no longer seems out of the question and this has actually a significant impact for neighboring Southeast Asian states. For this reason, there have been noticeable attempts in recent International Relations scholarship to introduce the concept of ‘hedging’ as a popular and fundamentally dynamic strategy for them. This thesis argues that the choice of Vietnam’s hedging strategy is appropriate so as to manage its relations with China, but has not yet protected Vietnam’s national interests completely. This thesis examines three of four key components of this strategy: economic pragmatism, hard balancing and soft balancing. By considering and reassessing these elements, the study finds difficulties that interfere in the implementation of Vietnam’s hedging. Furthermore, it incorporates an analysis of a case study in the economic realm, Greater Mekong Sub-region (GMS) in supporting the perceptions of economic pragmatism. Ultimately, it concludes that though Vietnam gains certain interests after adopting hedging strategy, those achievements produce new risks of national security that might increase more pressures for the country in dealing with the South China Sea (SCS) disputes.
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描述 碩士
國立政治大學
應用經濟與社會發展英語碩士學位學程(IMES)
104926036
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0104926036
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 姜家雄zh_TW
dc.contributor.advisor Chiang, Chia-Hsiungen_US
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 阮親蘭zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) Nguyen Thi Thuongen_US
dc.creator (作者) 阮親蘭zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Thuong, Nguyen Thien_US
dc.date (日期) 2017en_US
dc.date.accessioned 10-Aug-2017 10:21:49 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 10-Aug-2017 10:21:49 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 10-Aug-2017 10:21:49 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0104926036en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/111896-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 應用經濟與社會發展英語碩士學位學程(IMES)zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 104926036zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 对于中国来说，对大国的渴望不再是这个问题，对邻近的东南亚国家实际上是有重大影响的。因此，近期国际关系奖学金已经引人注目的尝试，将“对冲”理念作为一种流行和根本的动态策略。本论文认为，越南对冲策略的选择是适当的，以便对付与中国的关系，但尚未完全保护越南的国家利益。本论文探讨了这一战略的四个关键组成部分：经济实用主义，硬平衡和软平衡。通过考虑和重新评估这些因素，研究发现了妨碍越南对冲实施的困难。此外，它还分析了大湄公河次区域（GMS）在经济领域的案例研究，以支持对经济实用主义的看法。最终得出结论，尽管越南在采取套期保值策略之后获得了一定的利益，但这些成就产生了国家安全的新风险，这可能会加剧该国在处理南海争端方面的压力。zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) For China, the aspiration to great power no longer seems out of the question and this has actually a significant impact for neighboring Southeast Asian states. For this reason, there have been noticeable attempts in recent International Relations scholarship to introduce the concept of ‘hedging’ as a popular and fundamentally dynamic strategy for them. This thesis argues that the choice of Vietnam’s hedging strategy is appropriate so as to manage its relations with China, but has not yet protected Vietnam’s national interests completely. This thesis examines three of four key components of this strategy: economic pragmatism, hard balancing and soft balancing. By considering and reassessing these elements, the study finds difficulties that interfere in the implementation of Vietnam’s hedging. Furthermore, it incorporates an analysis of a case study in the economic realm, Greater Mekong Sub-region (GMS) in supporting the perceptions of economic pragmatism. Ultimately, it concludes that though Vietnam gains certain interests after adopting hedging strategy, those achievements produce new risks of national security that might increase more pressures for the country in dealing with the South China Sea (SCS) disputes.en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents 1. INTRODUCTION 1
1.1. Research Question 3
1.2. Literature review 5
1.3. Concept of hedging 8
1.4. Theoretical framework: Hedging strategy 10
1.5. Methodology 16
1.5.1. Analytical framework 16
1.5.2. Research method 18
1.6. Scope and limitation 19
1.7. Organization of the thesis 20
2. VIETNAM – CHINA RELATIONS SINCE 1991 22
2.1. Economic relations 25
2.2. Political relations 32
2.2.1. From 1991 to 2000 32
2.2.2. From 2001 to 2010 41
2.2.3. From 2011 to 2016 45
2.3. Problems 45
3. VIETNAM’S STRATEGY TOWARDS CHINA: HEDGING 52
3.1. Vietnam’s hedging strategy: A “rational choice” 52
3.2. Elements provoke the urge to hedge for Vietnam: 57
3.2.1. Historical experiences 57
3.2.2. Political factors 58
3.2.3. Developments in Vietnam’s foreign relations and international context 60
3.2.4. Economic characteristics 60
3.2.5. Strategic culture 62
3.3. The implementation of hedging strategy 63
4. HEDGING STRATEGY: RATIONAL BUT STILL NOT EFFECTIVE 65
4.1. Economic pragmatism: 65
4.1.1. Trade 65
4.1.2. Investment 76
4.1.3. Greater Mekong Sub-region (GMS) 79
4.2. Hard balancing 87
4.3. Soft balancing 93
4.3.1. Economic factor as an obstacle 95
4.3.2. Construction of artificial islands 99
5. CONCLUSION 104		zh_TW
dc.format.extent 2672491 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0104926036en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 越南的对冲策略zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 经济实用主义zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 直接参与zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 硬平衡zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 软平衡zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Vietnam’s hedging strategyen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Economic pragmatismen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Direct engagementen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Hard balancingen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Soft balancingen_US
dc.title (題名) 越南的中國政策 : 審視對沖策略zh_TW
dc.title (題名) Vietnam’s China Policy : An Examination of “Hedging Strategy”en_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen_US
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