學術產出-Periodical Articles

Article View/Open

Publication Export

Google ScholarTM

政大圖書館

Citation Infomation

題名 Asymptotics of ML Estimator for Regression Models with a Stochastic Trend Component
作者 郭炳伸
Kuo,Biing-Shen
日期 1999
上傳時間 3-Dec-2008 13:56:08 (UTC+8)
摘要 This paper investigates the asymptotic properties of the maximum marginal likelihood estimator for a regression model with a stochastic trend component when the signal-to-noise ratio is near zero. In particular, the local level model in Harvey(1989, Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press) and its variants where a time trend or an intercept is included are considered.A local-to-zero parameterization is adopted. Two sets of asymptotic properties are presented for the local maximizer: consistency and the limiting distribution. The estimator is found to be super-consistent. The limit distribution is derived and found to possess a long tail and a mass point at zero. It yields a good approximation for samples of moderate size. Simulation also documents that the empirical distribution converges less rapidly to the limit distribution as number of regression parameters increases. The results could be viewed as a transition step toward establishing new likelihood ratio-type or Wald-type tests for the stationarity null.
This paper investigates the asymptotic properties of the maximum marginal likelihood estimator for a regression model with a stochastic trend component when the signal-to-noise ratio is near zero. In particular, the local level model in Harvey(1989, Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press) and its variants where a time trend or an intercept is included are considered.A local-to-zero parameterization is adopted. Two sets of asymptotic properties are presented for the local maximizer: consistency and the limiting distribution. The estimator is found to be super-consistent. The limit distribution is derived and found to possess a long tail and a mass point at zero. It yields a good approximation for samples of moderate size. Simulation also documents that the empirical distribution converges less rapidly to the limit distribution as number of regression parameters increases. The results could be viewed as a transition step toward establishing new likelihood ratio-type or Wald-type tests for the stationarity null.
關聯 Econometric Theor, 15, 24-49
資料類型 article
DOI http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S0266466699151028
dc.creator (作者) 郭炳伸zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Kuo,Biing-Shen-
dc.date (日期) 1999en_US
dc.date.accessioned 3-Dec-2008 13:56:08 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 3-Dec-2008 13:56:08 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 3-Dec-2008 13:56:08 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/12524-
dc.description.abstract (摘要) This paper investigates the asymptotic properties of the maximum marginal likelihood estimator for a regression model with a stochastic trend component when the signal-to-noise ratio is near zero. In particular, the local level model in Harvey(1989, Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press) and its variants where a time trend or an intercept is included are considered.A local-to-zero parameterization is adopted. Two sets of asymptotic properties are presented for the local maximizer: consistency and the limiting distribution. The estimator is found to be super-consistent. The limit distribution is derived and found to possess a long tail and a mass point at zero. It yields a good approximation for samples of moderate size. Simulation also documents that the empirical distribution converges less rapidly to the limit distribution as number of regression parameters increases. The results could be viewed as a transition step toward establishing new likelihood ratio-type or Wald-type tests for the stationarity null.-
dc.description.abstract (摘要) This paper investigates the asymptotic properties of the maximum marginal likelihood estimator for a regression model with a stochastic trend component when the signal-to-noise ratio is near zero. In particular, the local level model in Harvey(1989, Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press) and its variants where a time trend or an intercept is included are considered.A local-to-zero parameterization is adopted. Two sets of asymptotic properties are presented for the local maximizer: consistency and the limiting distribution. The estimator is found to be super-consistent. The limit distribution is derived and found to possess a long tail and a mass point at zero. It yields a good approximation for samples of moderate size. Simulation also documents that the empirical distribution converges less rapidly to the limit distribution as number of regression parameters increases. The results could be viewed as a transition step toward establishing new likelihood ratio-type or Wald-type tests for the stationarity null.-
dc.format application/en_US
dc.language enen_US
dc.language en-USen_US
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.relation (關聯) Econometric Theor, 15, 24-49en_US
dc.title (題名) Asymptotics of ML Estimator for Regression Models with a Stochastic Trend Componenten_US
dc.type (資料類型) articleen
dc.identifier.doi (DOI) 10.1017/S0266466699151028en_US
dc.doi.uri (DOI) http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S0266466699151028en_US