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題名 Output Spillovers from Changes in Sovereign Credit Ratings
作者 陳聖賢
Chen, Sheng-Syan
Chen, Hsien-Yi
Yang, Shu-Ling
Chang, Chong-Chuo
貢獻者 財管系
關鍵詞 Sovereign credit rating revision; Output spillover; Economic growth
日期 2016
上傳時間 11-Jun-2018 17:15:08 (UTC+8)
摘要 This research examines how a sovereign rating revision of one country influences the economic growth rates of other countries. Rating revisions have significant output spillover effects: A one-notch upgrade (downgrade) prompts on average a significant downward revision of about 0.03% (0.07%) in the consensus forecast of annual economic growth rates of other countries in the two-month period after the event. The spillovers are transmitted through direct and indirect trade and financial linkages between event and non-event countries. The evidence indicates that a predominance of differential (common) spillovers leads upgrades (downgrades) to produce adverse output effects for other countries.
關聯 Journal of International Money and Finance, Vol.63, pp.48-63
資料類型 article
DOI http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jimonfin.2016.01.007
dc.contributor 財管系zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) 陳聖賢zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Chen, Sheng-Syanen_US
dc.creator (作者) Chen, Hsien-Yien_US
dc.creator (作者) Yang, Shu-Lingen_US
dc.creator (作者) Chang, Chong-Chuoen_US
dc.date (日期) 2016
dc.date.accessioned 11-Jun-2018 17:15:08 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 11-Jun-2018 17:15:08 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 11-Jun-2018 17:15:08 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/117548-
dc.description.abstract (摘要) This research examines how a sovereign rating revision of one country influences the economic growth rates of other countries. Rating revisions have significant output spillover effects: A one-notch upgrade (downgrade) prompts on average a significant downward revision of about 0.03% (0.07%) in the consensus forecast of annual economic growth rates of other countries in the two-month period after the event. The spillovers are transmitted through direct and indirect trade and financial linkages between event and non-event countries. The evidence indicates that a predominance of differential (common) spillovers leads upgrades (downgrades) to produce adverse output effects for other countries.en_US
dc.format.extent 368977 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.relation (關聯) Journal of International Money and Finance, Vol.63, pp.48-63zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Sovereign credit rating revision; Output spillover; Economic growthen_US
dc.title (題名) Output Spillovers from Changes in Sovereign Credit Ratingsen_US
dc.type (資料類型) article
dc.identifier.doi (DOI) 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2016.01.007
dc.doi.uri (DOI) http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jimonfin.2016.01.007