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題名 緬甸的族群衝突與管理之分析 : 以克欽族為例(1994~2015)
Ethnic Conflict and Management in Myanmar: The Kachin People, 1994-2015作者 施欣妤
Shih, Hsin-Yu貢獻者 孫采薇
Sun, Tsai-Wei
施欣妤
Shih, Hsin-Yu關鍵詞 緬甸
克欽族
克欽獨立組織
族群衝突
衝突管理
Myanmar
The Kachin people
Kachin independence organization
Ethnic conflict
Conflict management日期 2018 上傳時間 1-Oct-2018 12:16:29 (UTC+8) 摘要 本文以克欽獨立組織為個案分析,透過層次分析法對族群衝突的影響因素進行探討,並以衝突管理模型分析緬甸當局對少數族群的衝突政策轉變,聚焦在緬甸目前最主要的政治問題之一:族群衝突,透過族群衝突理論與衝突管理模型,分析緬甸的族群問題以及衝突歷史發展。以緬甸克欽族與主要武裝團體「克欽獨立組織」為個案。克欽獨立組織1961年成立,歷經1994年與軍政府達成停火協議,2011年卻再次交火、回到武裝叛亂狀態;透過分析 1994 年至 2015 年期間緬甸族群衝突發展,與當局的衝突管理政策,除了更深入了解克欽族衝突外,對緬甸族群衝突成因、發展,與政府的管理模式有進一步了解,最後提出目前和平進程所面臨的瓶頸。本文包含兩個研究問題:緬甸族群關係的轉變與影響因素為;緬甸政府的衝突管理政策轉變?希望在緬甸族群問題持續未解的情況下,對未來的東南亞與緬甸研究能有所貢獻與展望。
This paper focuses on ethnic conflicts in Myanmar, one of its most important political issue recently. By focusing on Kachin Independence Organization of Myanmar, through level-of-analysis and models of conflict management, this study analysis relationship between minorities and Myanmar authorities, and examine what factors affect their interactions or government’s policy changes.The Kachin Independent Organization was established in 1961. After a ceasefire agreement with the military government in 1994, it returned to the armed rebellion in 2011. This study analysis the Kachin ethnic conflict from 1994 to 2015, and Myanmar authorities’ conflict management policies to better understanding of the cause and development of ethnic conflicts and ethnic relation with authorities in Myanmar. It intended to discover the constraints faced by the current peace process is proposed.參考文獻 司徒宇、顧長永,2015,〈緬甸政府與少數民族之互動探析-以克欽族、撣族、克倫族、羅興亞族為例〉,《國會月刊》,43(9):24-40。宋學文,2008,〈層次分析對國際關係研究的重要性及模型建構〉,《問題與研究》,47(4):167-199。孫采薇,2016,〈緬甸內閣人事布局評析〉,《問題與研究》,55(2):160。張棋炘,2011,〈族群衝突及其解決〉,《全球政治評論》,35:111-142。陳怡君、宋鎮照,2014,〈緬甸軍政府轉型與民主化發展:2012年國會補選前後的觀察與分析〉,《全球政治評論》46:115-138。陳怡君、宋鎮照,2016,《緬甸政治新發展(1990~2015):轉型與變革》,台北:五南。陳鴻瑜,2016,《緬甸史》,台北:台灣商務出版社。顧長永,2015,《緬甸:軍事獨裁五十年》,台北:八方文化。Harvey, Rachel. 2011. “Burma Dam: Why Myitsone Plan is Being Halted” BBC news. September 30. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-pacific-15123833 (2018/06/02)Brenner, David. 2015. “Ashes of Co-optation: from Armed Group Fragmentation to the Rebuilding of Popular Insurgency in Myanmar” Conflict, Security & Development 15(4): 337-358.Brown, E. Michael. 1997. “The Causes of Internal Conflict: An Overview” In Nationalism and Ethnic Conflict, Michael E. Brown, Owen R. Coté, Sean M. Lynn-Jones and Steven E. Miller eds. Cambridge, MA: The MIT Press. Pp.5Brown, Michael. 1993. “Causes and Implications of Ethnic Conflict,” In Ethnic Conflict and International Security, Michael Brown ed. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press. pp.4-5Byman, Daniel L. 2002. Keeping the Peace: Lasting Solution to Ethnic Conflict. Baltimore, MD: Johns Hopkins University PressCheesman, Nick, Monique Skidmore, and Trevor Wilson. eds. 2012. Myanmar`s Transition: Openings, Obstacles and Opportunities. Singapore: Institute of Southeast Asian Studies.Cheesman, Nick, Nicholas Farrelly, and Trevor Wilson. eds. 2014. Debating Democratization in Myanmar. Singapore: Institute of Southeast Asian Studies.Cheesman, Nick. 2010. Ruling Myanmar: From Cyclone Nargis to National Elections. Singapore: Institute of Southeast Asian Studies.Cockett, Richard. 2016,《變臉的緬甸:一個由血、夢想和黃金構成的國度》,廖婉如 譯,台北:馬可孛羅。Cordell, Karl, and Stefan Wolff, eds. 2011. Routledge Handbook of Ethnic Conflict. New York, NY: Routledge.Cordell, Karl, and Stefan Wolff. 2010. 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Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.Lall, Marie. 2011. “Internal Conflict, External Influence: The Case of Myanmar” In Unraveling Internal Conflicts in East Asia and the Pacific: Incidence, Consequences and Resolutions. Jacob Bercovitch, and Karl R. DeRouen. eds. Lanham, MD: Lexington Books.Lambrecht , W. Curtis. 2008. “Oxymoronic Development: The Military as Benefactor in the Border Regions of Burma” In Civilizing the Margins: Southeast Asian Government Policies for the Development of Minorities. Christopher R. Duncan. Ed. Singapore: NUS Press.Lijphart, Arend. 2003,《多元社會的民主》,張慧芝 譯,台北:桂冠。Lintner, Bertil. 1999. Burma in Revolt: Opium and Insurgency since 1948. Second edition. Chiang Mai, TH: Silkworm Books.McGarry, John, and Brendan O’Leary. 1993. “Introduction: The Macro-political Regulation of Ethnic Conflict” In The Politics of Ethnic Conflict Regulation. Eds. John McGarry and Brendan O’Leary. New York, NY: Routledge. P1-40.Nyein Nyein. 2016a. “21st Century Panglong Conference Kicks Off in Naypyidaw” “21st Century Panglong Conference Kicks Off in Naypyidaw” The Irrawaddy. August 31. https://www.irrawaddy.com/news/burma/21st-century-panglong-conference-kicks-off-in-naypyidaw.html (2018/07/01)Nyein Nyein. 2016b. “KIA: Govt Needs to Control Its Military” The Irrawaddy. October 10. https://www.irrawaddy.com/news/kia-govt-needs-to-control-its-military.html (2018/07/01)Nyein Nyein. 2017. “State Counselor: Peace Conference Agreements ‘A Significant Step’ for Burma” The Irrawaddy. May 29. https://www.irrawaddy.com/news/burma/state-counselor-peace-conference-agreements-a-significant-step-for-burma.html (2018/07/13)Posen, Barry. 1993. “The Security Dilemma and Ethnic Conflict.” Survival 35(1): pp27-47.Richardson, John M., and Jianxin Wang. 1993. “Peace Accords: Seeking Conflict Resolution in Deeply Divided Societies” In Peace Accords and Ethnic Conflict, Eds. K.M. de Silva and S.W.R. de A. Samarasinghe. 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國立政治大學
政治學系
103252009資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0103252009 資料類型 thesis dc.contributor.advisor 孫采薇 zh_TW dc.contributor.advisor Sun, Tsai-Wei en_US dc.contributor.author (Authors) 施欣妤 zh_TW dc.contributor.author (Authors) Shih, Hsin-Yu en_US dc.creator (作者) 施欣妤 zh_TW dc.creator (作者) Shih, Hsin-Yu en_US dc.date (日期) 2018 en_US dc.date.accessioned 1-Oct-2018 12:16:29 (UTC+8) - dc.date.available 1-Oct-2018 12:16:29 (UTC+8) - dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 1-Oct-2018 12:16:29 (UTC+8) - dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0103252009 en_US dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/120292 - dc.description (描述) 碩士 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 政治學系 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 103252009 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) 本文以克欽獨立組織為個案分析,透過層次分析法對族群衝突的影響因素進行探討,並以衝突管理模型分析緬甸當局對少數族群的衝突政策轉變,聚焦在緬甸目前最主要的政治問題之一:族群衝突,透過族群衝突理論與衝突管理模型,分析緬甸的族群問題以及衝突歷史發展。以緬甸克欽族與主要武裝團體「克欽獨立組織」為個案。克欽獨立組織1961年成立,歷經1994年與軍政府達成停火協議,2011年卻再次交火、回到武裝叛亂狀態;透過分析 1994 年至 2015 年期間緬甸族群衝突發展,與當局的衝突管理政策,除了更深入了解克欽族衝突外,對緬甸族群衝突成因、發展,與政府的管理模式有進一步了解,最後提出目前和平進程所面臨的瓶頸。本文包含兩個研究問題:緬甸族群關係的轉變與影響因素為;緬甸政府的衝突管理政策轉變?希望在緬甸族群問題持續未解的情況下,對未來的東南亞與緬甸研究能有所貢獻與展望。 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) This paper focuses on ethnic conflicts in Myanmar, one of its most important political issue recently. By focusing on Kachin Independence Organization of Myanmar, through level-of-analysis and models of conflict management, this study analysis relationship between minorities and Myanmar authorities, and examine what factors affect their interactions or government’s policy changes.The Kachin Independent Organization was established in 1961. After a ceasefire agreement with the military government in 1994, it returned to the armed rebellion in 2011. This study analysis the Kachin ethnic conflict from 1994 to 2015, and Myanmar authorities’ conflict management policies to better understanding of the cause and development of ethnic conflicts and ethnic relation with authorities in Myanmar. It intended to discover the constraints faced by the current peace process is proposed. en_US dc.description.tableofcontents 第一章 緒論 8第一節 研究動機與研究問題 8第二節 個案與研究時間的選擇 10第三節 研究方法與分析方法 11第四節 研究貢獻與研究限制 13第五節 概念釐清 15第六節 章節安排 18第二章 文獻回顧 20第一節 衝突起因與管理之文獻回顧 20第二節 衝突研究與東南亞的族群衝突研究 40第三節 小結 45第三章 緬甸的族群政治與衝突 47第一節 族群概況與行政區劃分 47第二節 國家與少數族群的關係 48第三節 緬甸族群政治的制度因素-「停火協議」 62第四節 小結 68第四章 緬甸族群衝突之個案研究:緬甸克欽族 70第一節 緬甸克欽族-克欽獨立組織的族群衝突背景 71第二節 停火協議談判與停火時期(1994年~2011年) 74第三節 停火協議的破裂至全國性停火協議談判(2011年~2015年) 83第四節 小結 85第五章 克欽獨立組織與政府衝突分析 87第一節 獨立至1990年代前 87第二節 停火協議談判 91第三節 停火協議時期-停火協議破裂(1994年~2011年) 96第四節 停火協議談判再啟(2011年~2015年) 107第五節 小結 109第六章 結論 111第一節 研究發現 111第二節 研究展望 118第七章 參考文獻 124 zh_TW dc.format.extent 9453030 bytes - dc.format.mimetype application/pdf - dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0103252009 en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) 緬甸 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 克欽族 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 克欽獨立組織 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 族群衝突 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 衝突管理 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) Myanmar en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) The Kachin people en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Kachin independence organization en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Ethnic conflict en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Conflict management en_US dc.title (題名) 緬甸的族群衝突與管理之分析 : 以克欽族為例(1994~2015) zh_TW dc.title (題名) Ethnic Conflict and Management in Myanmar: The Kachin People, 1994-2015 en_US dc.type (資料類型) thesis en_US dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 司徒宇、顧長永,2015,〈緬甸政府與少數民族之互動探析-以克欽族、撣族、克倫族、羅興亞族為例〉,《國會月刊》,43(9):24-40。宋學文,2008,〈層次分析對國際關係研究的重要性及模型建構〉,《問題與研究》,47(4):167-199。孫采薇,2016,〈緬甸內閣人事布局評析〉,《問題與研究》,55(2):160。張棋炘,2011,〈族群衝突及其解決〉,《全球政治評論》,35:111-142。陳怡君、宋鎮照,2014,〈緬甸軍政府轉型與民主化發展:2012年國會補選前後的觀察與分析〉,《全球政治評論》46:115-138。陳怡君、宋鎮照,2016,《緬甸政治新發展(1990~2015):轉型與變革》,台北:五南。陳鴻瑜,2016,《緬甸史》,台北:台灣商務出版社。顧長永,2015,《緬甸:軍事獨裁五十年》,台北:八方文化。Harvey, Rachel. 2011. “Burma Dam: Why Myitsone Plan is Being Halted” BBC news. 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