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題名 Generation Effects? Evolution of Independence-Unification Views in Taiwan, 1996-2016
作者 黃紀
Huang, Chi
貢獻者 政治系
日期 2019-04
上傳時間 5-Oct-2018 16:29:38 (UTC+8)
摘要 The landslide victory of the Democratic Progressive Party in Taiwan’s 2016 presidential and legislative elections is often interpreted as a persistent swing in attitudes toward cross-strait relations and Taiwan independence. Popular as this interpretation may be, it still runs the risk of mistaking a short-term reaction to a lame duck president’s policy performance for a long-term change in attitudes. This study analyzes the evolution of independence–unification (IU) views in the Taiwan population from 1996 to 2016. After reviewing the literature on political generations in Taiwan, I hypothesize that a long-term cohort succession replacing older prounification generations accounted for the evolution toward proindependence views. By pooling six independent face-to-face surveys into repeated cross-sectional data, this study applies a comprehensive multilevel cross-classified random-effect model of age–period–cohort analysis. Markov chain Monte Carlo estimation results confirm that, besides age and period effects, younger cohorts and the 1999 Taiwan-centered high school curriculum have had significant effects on the change in trends in IU views.
     
     (PDF) Generation Effects? Evolution of Independence–Unification Views in Taiwan, 1996-2016. Available from: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/324167544_Generation_Effects_Evolution_of_Independence-Unification_Views_in_Taiwan_1996-2016 [accessed Aug 24 2018].
關聯 Electoral Studies, Vol.58, pp.103-112
資料類型 article
DOI https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2018.12.010
dc.contributor 政治系-
dc.creator (作者) 黃紀zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Huang, Chien_US
dc.date (日期) 2019-04-
dc.date.accessioned 5-Oct-2018 16:29:38 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 5-Oct-2018 16:29:38 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 5-Oct-2018 16:29:38 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/120374-
dc.description.abstract (摘要) The landslide victory of the Democratic Progressive Party in Taiwan’s 2016 presidential and legislative elections is often interpreted as a persistent swing in attitudes toward cross-strait relations and Taiwan independence. Popular as this interpretation may be, it still runs the risk of mistaking a short-term reaction to a lame duck president’s policy performance for a long-term change in attitudes. This study analyzes the evolution of independence–unification (IU) views in the Taiwan population from 1996 to 2016. After reviewing the literature on political generations in Taiwan, I hypothesize that a long-term cohort succession replacing older prounification generations accounted for the evolution toward proindependence views. By pooling six independent face-to-face surveys into repeated cross-sectional data, this study applies a comprehensive multilevel cross-classified random-effect model of age–period–cohort analysis. Markov chain Monte Carlo estimation results confirm that, besides age and period effects, younger cohorts and the 1999 Taiwan-centered high school curriculum have had significant effects on the change in trends in IU views.
     
     (PDF) Generation Effects? Evolution of Independence–Unification Views in Taiwan, 1996-2016. Available from: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/324167544_Generation_Effects_Evolution_of_Independence-Unification_Views_in_Taiwan_1996-2016 [accessed Aug 24 2018].
en_US
dc.format.extent 1491263 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.relation (關聯) Electoral Studies, Vol.58, pp.103-112-
dc.title (題名) Generation Effects? Evolution of Independence-Unification Views in Taiwan, 1996-2016en_US
dc.type (資料類型) article-
dc.identifier.doi (DOI) 10.1016/j.electstud.2018.12.010-
dc.doi.uri (DOI) https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2018.12.010-