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題名 桃園航空城土地交易價格之變化分析
The Change of Land Transaction Price in Taoyuan Aerotropolis
作者 葛家瑜
Ge, Jia-Yu
貢獻者 陳奉瑤
葛家瑜
Ge, Jia-Yu
關鍵詞 區段徵收
桃園航空城
定錨效果
公告土地現值
地價坡度
Land expropriation
Taoyuan Aerotropolis
Anchoring effect
The Current Land Value
Price gradient
日期 2018
上傳時間 12-Feb-2019 15:51:53 (UTC+8)
摘要 一個重大政策的實施,會影響投資者的購地決策。桃園航空城計畫係我國最大的區段徵收政策,因投資者進場,導致徵收範圍內的農地價格上漲率相對一般的農地價格高。但投資者會只要是「農地」就購買,還是參考其他資訊分析後,再進行投資。本研究將利用地價坡度地圖觀察整個航空城範圍內土地價格時空變化,觀察政策改變對空間地價之影響,並進行交易價格影響因素分析,歸納政策實施範圍內土地投資者購地偏好,了解投資者是否會參考內外在資訊,進行不一樣的投資決策。
根據實證分析,政策的變革確實會對實施範圍內的空間地價產生影響。此外,投資者最終決策行為會受到外在資訊影響,即公告土地現值與未來產業發展分區;亦會受內在心理影響,即厭惡損失心理。在兩者定錨效果交互影響下,航空城區域範圍內土地價格不斷上漲,將導致未來航空城發展計畫窒礙難行。
A policy will affect the investor’s decision to purchase land. The Taoyuan Aerotropolis is the largest land expropriation plan at Taiwan. Because of the investors’ behavior, the farmland prices within the area of collection is soaring. But will the investors buy the land as long as they are "agricultural lands"? Or the investors will make the decision by analyzing other information? This study draws a price gradient picture and uses regression analysis to test the effect of anchoring, explore the behavior of investors within the area, and understand whether investors will be affected by "the current land value "or " the previous market price " or " the future development "to make different investments.
According to the results, investors are actually affected by "the current land value "and " the previous market price " and " the future development " to make different investments. And also the price gradient will change, because of the policy’s reforming.
參考文獻 一、中文參考文獻
何宇明,1995,「土地增值稅與房地產價格關係之研究」,『財稅研究』,27(4):64-71。
杜宇璇、宋豐荃、曾禹瑄、葛仲寧、陳奉瑤,2013,「台灣特徵價格模型之回顧分析」,『土地問題研究季刊』,12(2):44-57。
林全,1989,「土地增值稅與房地產價格變動之關係」,『經濟論文叢刊』,17(3):303-326。
林元興、陳國智,1996,「公告現值指數的編製及其應用-以臺北市為例」,『臺北銀行月刊』,313:55-62。
林祖嘉、林素菁,1993,「台灣地區環境品與公共設施對房價與房租影響之分析」,『住宅學報』,1:21-45。
林祖嘉、馬毓駿,2007,「特徵方程式大量估價法在台灣不動產市場之應用」,『住宅學報』,16(2):1-22。
胡志平,2010,「台灣高鐵通車營運對住宅價格之衝擊影響分析-以新竹車站為例」,『建築與規劃學報』,11(2):77-88。
殷章甫,2004,『土地經濟學』,五南圖書出版股份有限公司。
陳奉瑤,1986,「地價坡度之研究」,『地政論壇』,11:89-100。
梁仁旭、陳奉瑤,2014,『不動產估價』,中國地政研究所。
梁宏富、陳奉瑤,2016,「不動產跨區購買之溢價分析」,『土地經濟年刊』,27:82-116。
彭建文、張金鶚,2000,「預期景氣與宣告效果對房地產景氣影響之研究」,『管理學報』,17(2):343-368。
廖仲仁、張金鶚,2004,「搜尋成本與定錨行爲對於購屋者價格貼水之影響」,『住宅學報』,13(2):47-62。
謝文盛,2001,「再論土地增值稅與住宅價格之關係」,『住宅學報』,10(2):91-105。

二、外文參考文獻
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Anenberg, E. (2011). Loss aversion, equity constraints and seller behavior in the real estate market. Regional Science and Urban Economics, 41(1), 67-76.
Arbel, Y., Ben-Shahar, D., & Gabriel, S. (2014). Anchoring and housing choice: Results of a natural policy experiment. Regional Science and Urban Economics, 49, 68-83.
Atack, J., & Margo, R. A. (1998). “Location, location, location!” The price gradient for vacant urban land: New York, 1835 to 1900. The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 16(2), 151-172.
Black, R. T., & Diaz III, J. (1996). The use of information versus asking price in the real property negotiation process. Journal of Property Research, 13(4), 287-297.
Black, R. T. (1997). Expert property negotiators and pricing information, revisited. Journal of Property Valuation and Investment, 15(3), 274-281.
Bowen, W. M., Mikelbank, B. A., & Prestegaard, D. M. (2001). Theoretical and empirical considerations regarding space in hedonic housing price model applications. Growth and change, 32(4), 466-490.
Bucchianeri, G. W., & Minson, J. A. (2013). A homeowner`s dilemma: Anchoring in residential real estate transactions. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 89, 76-92.
Burnell, J. D. (1985). Industrial land use, externalities, and residential location. Urban Studies, 22(5), 399-408.
Capozza, D. R., & Seguin, P. J. (1996). Expectations, efficiency, and euphoria in the housing market. Regional Science and Urban Economics, 26(3-4), 369-386.
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描述 碩士
國立政治大學
地政學系
105257018
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0105257018
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 陳奉瑤zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 葛家瑜zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) Ge, Jia-Yuen_US
dc.creator (作者) 葛家瑜zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Ge, Jia-Yuen_US
dc.date (日期) 2018en_US
dc.date.accessioned 12-Feb-2019 15:51:53 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 12-Feb-2019 15:51:53 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 12-Feb-2019 15:51:53 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0105257018en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/122302-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 地政學系zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 105257018zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 一個重大政策的實施,會影響投資者的購地決策。桃園航空城計畫係我國最大的區段徵收政策,因投資者進場,導致徵收範圍內的農地價格上漲率相對一般的農地價格高。但投資者會只要是「農地」就購買,還是參考其他資訊分析後,再進行投資。本研究將利用地價坡度地圖觀察整個航空城範圍內土地價格時空變化,觀察政策改變對空間地價之影響,並進行交易價格影響因素分析,歸納政策實施範圍內土地投資者購地偏好,了解投資者是否會參考內外在資訊,進行不一樣的投資決策。
根據實證分析,政策的變革確實會對實施範圍內的空間地價產生影響。此外,投資者最終決策行為會受到外在資訊影響,即公告土地現值與未來產業發展分區;亦會受內在心理影響,即厭惡損失心理。在兩者定錨效果交互影響下,航空城區域範圍內土地價格不斷上漲,將導致未來航空城發展計畫窒礙難行。
zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) A policy will affect the investor’s decision to purchase land. The Taoyuan Aerotropolis is the largest land expropriation plan at Taiwan. Because of the investors’ behavior, the farmland prices within the area of collection is soaring. But will the investors buy the land as long as they are "agricultural lands"? Or the investors will make the decision by analyzing other information? This study draws a price gradient picture and uses regression analysis to test the effect of anchoring, explore the behavior of investors within the area, and understand whether investors will be affected by "the current land value "or " the previous market price " or " the future development "to make different investments.
According to the results, investors are actually affected by "the current land value "and " the previous market price " and " the future development " to make different investments. And also the price gradient will change, because of the policy’s reforming.
en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents 目錄
第一章 緒論 1
第一節 研究動機與目的 1
第二節 研究方法、範圍與限制 5
第三節 研究架構與流程 7
第二章 文獻回顧 9
第一節 桃園航空城計畫背景 9
第二節 地價坡度研究 16
第三節 定錨行為研究 23
第四節 小結 28
第三章 研究設計 29
第一節 模型建置 29
第二節 資料說明與處理 37
第四章 實證結果與分析 51
第一節 政策發布對地價結構影響探討 51
第二節 公開資訊對交易價格影響探討 71
第三節 政策運用分析 79
第五章 結論與建議 83
第一節 結論 83
第二節 建議 86
參考文獻 89
zh_TW
dc.format.extent 2760033 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0105257018en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 區段徵收zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 桃園航空城zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 定錨效果zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 公告土地現值zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 地價坡度zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Land expropriationen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Taoyuan Aerotropolisen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Anchoring effecten_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) The Current Land Valueen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Price gradienten_US
dc.title (題名) 桃園航空城土地交易價格之變化分析zh_TW
dc.title (題名) The Change of Land Transaction Price in Taoyuan Aerotropolisen_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen_US
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 一、中文參考文獻
何宇明,1995,「土地增值稅與房地產價格關係之研究」,『財稅研究』,27(4):64-71。
杜宇璇、宋豐荃、曾禹瑄、葛仲寧、陳奉瑤,2013,「台灣特徵價格模型之回顧分析」,『土地問題研究季刊』,12(2):44-57。
林全,1989,「土地增值稅與房地產價格變動之關係」,『經濟論文叢刊』,17(3):303-326。
林元興、陳國智,1996,「公告現值指數的編製及其應用-以臺北市為例」,『臺北銀行月刊』,313:55-62。
林祖嘉、林素菁,1993,「台灣地區環境品與公共設施對房價與房租影響之分析」,『住宅學報』,1:21-45。
林祖嘉、馬毓駿,2007,「特徵方程式大量估價法在台灣不動產市場之應用」,『住宅學報』,16(2):1-22。
胡志平,2010,「台灣高鐵通車營運對住宅價格之衝擊影響分析-以新竹車站為例」,『建築與規劃學報』,11(2):77-88。
殷章甫,2004,『土地經濟學』,五南圖書出版股份有限公司。
陳奉瑤,1986,「地價坡度之研究」,『地政論壇』,11:89-100。
梁仁旭、陳奉瑤,2014,『不動產估價』,中國地政研究所。
梁宏富、陳奉瑤,2016,「不動產跨區購買之溢價分析」,『土地經濟年刊』,27:82-116。
彭建文、張金鶚,2000,「預期景氣與宣告效果對房地產景氣影響之研究」,『管理學報』,17(2):343-368。
廖仲仁、張金鶚,2004,「搜尋成本與定錨行爲對於購屋者價格貼水之影響」,『住宅學報』,13(2):47-62。
謝文盛,2001,「再論土地增值稅與住宅價格之關係」,『住宅學報』,10(2):91-105。

二、外文參考文獻
Alonso, W. (1964). Location and land use, Harvard University Press.
Anenberg, E. (2011). Loss aversion, equity constraints and seller behavior in the real estate market. Regional Science and Urban Economics, 41(1), 67-76.
Arbel, Y., Ben-Shahar, D., & Gabriel, S. (2014). Anchoring and housing choice: Results of a natural policy experiment. Regional Science and Urban Economics, 49, 68-83.
Atack, J., & Margo, R. A. (1998). “Location, location, location!” The price gradient for vacant urban land: New York, 1835 to 1900. The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 16(2), 151-172.
Black, R. T., & Diaz III, J. (1996). The use of information versus asking price in the real property negotiation process. Journal of Property Research, 13(4), 287-297.
Black, R. T. (1997). Expert property negotiators and pricing information, revisited. Journal of Property Valuation and Investment, 15(3), 274-281.
Bowen, W. M., Mikelbank, B. A., & Prestegaard, D. M. (2001). Theoretical and empirical considerations regarding space in hedonic housing price model applications. Growth and change, 32(4), 466-490.
Bucchianeri, G. W., & Minson, J. A. (2013). A homeowner`s dilemma: Anchoring in residential real estate transactions. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 89, 76-92.
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dc.identifier.doi (DOI) 10.6814/THE.NCCU.LE.002.2019.A05en_US