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題名 No Need for Draco`s Code: Evidence from China`s "Strike Hard" Campaigns
作者 王芳
WANG, FANG
陳碩
CHEN, SHUO
王丹
WANG, DAN
貢獻者 Issues & Studies
關鍵詞 crime; punishment; severity; certainty;"strike hard" campaigns; China
日期 2018-06
上傳時間 2-Apr-2019 09:33:41 (UTC+8)
摘要 The occasional "strike hard" campaigns against crime launched by the Chinese government provide an opportunity to isolate the separate effects of severity and certainty of punishment on the crime rate. The "strike hard" campaigns increase the severity of the punishment hut keep the certainty of the punishment unchanged. We use provincial panel data from 1988 to 2015 to examine the impacts of the two strategies on the crime rate with pooled mean group models. The empirical results show that a significant decrease in crime rates is associated with greater certainty of detection, hut greater severity has no significant effect. A 1% increase in the detection rate (a measurement of certainty) predicts about 2.7% lower crime rate. The results are robust even after considering the endogenous nature of punishment policies and controlling for the measurement error in the officially reported data.
關聯 Issues & Studies, 54(2), 1850002
資料類型 article
DOI https://doi.org/10.1142/S1013251118500029
dc.contributor Issues & Studies
dc.creator (作者) 王芳
dc.creator (作者) WANG, FANG
dc.creator (作者) 陳碩
dc.creator (作者) CHEN, SHUO
dc.creator (作者) 王丹
dc.creator (作者) WANG, DAN
dc.date (日期) 2018-06
dc.date.accessioned 2-Apr-2019 09:33:41 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 2-Apr-2019 09:33:41 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 2-Apr-2019 09:33:41 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/122863-
dc.description.abstract (摘要) The occasional "strike hard" campaigns against crime launched by the Chinese government provide an opportunity to isolate the separate effects of severity and certainty of punishment on the crime rate. The "strike hard" campaigns increase the severity of the punishment hut keep the certainty of the punishment unchanged. We use provincial panel data from 1988 to 2015 to examine the impacts of the two strategies on the crime rate with pooled mean group models. The empirical results show that a significant decrease in crime rates is associated with greater certainty of detection, hut greater severity has no significant effect. A 1% increase in the detection rate (a measurement of certainty) predicts about 2.7% lower crime rate. The results are robust even after considering the endogenous nature of punishment policies and controlling for the measurement error in the officially reported data.
dc.format.extent 180 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype text/html-
dc.relation (關聯) Issues & Studies, 54(2), 1850002
dc.subject (關鍵詞) crime; punishment; severity; certainty;"strike hard" campaigns; China
dc.title (題名) No Need for Draco`s Code: Evidence from China`s "Strike Hard" Campaigns
dc.type (資料類型) article
dc.identifier.doi (DOI) 10.1142/S1013251118500029
dc.doi.uri (DOI) https://doi.org/10.1142/S1013251118500029