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題名 本金增長型可贖回利率交換評價: Hull-White下最小平方蒙地卡羅法與三元樹比較
Valuation of Callable Accreting Interest Rate Swaps: Comparison between the Least-Squares Monte-Carlo Method and Trinomial Tree under Hull-White Interest Rate Model
作者 鄭文杰
Cheng, Wen-Chieh
貢獻者 林士貴<br>莊明哲
Lin, Shih-Kuei<br>Chuang, Ming-Che
鄭文杰
Cheng, Wen-Chieh
關鍵詞 可贖回利率交換
百慕達交換選擇權
最小平方蒙地卡羅法
三元樹
Hull and White 短利模型
Callable interest rate swaps
Bermudan swaptions
Least Square Monte Carlo
Trinomial tree
Hull and White model
日期 2019
上傳時間 7-Aug-2019 16:10:24 (UTC+8)
摘要 本文利用Hull and White 利率模型架構下試圖回答以下兩項問題。第一,本金增長型可贖回利率交換之評價如何進行? 第二,近年來公司經常使用零息可贖回債券作為熱門債券籌資工具之一,並且以本金增長型可贖回利率交換作為對應之風險管理工具,此種風險管理方式是否合適?
首先,本金增長型可贖回利率交換可以拆解為本金增長型支付者利率交換加上百慕達式本金增長型收取者利率交換選擇權。拆解後的商品,前者可由推導之封閉解求得評價價值,而後者具有提前履約的特性因此無封閉解。為解決提前履約商品無封閉解之評價,本文採用Longstaff and Schwartz (2001) 提出之最小平方蒙地卡羅法與 Hull and White (1994) 提出之三元樹兩種數值方法。最後,由於本金增長型可贖回利率交換之條款設計與零息可贖回債券配合,將造成兩者最佳贖回策略相同但因期初風險管理金額在考慮時間價值下相異,因此前項商品雖可對後者之發行商給予風險管理建議,但前者並非最適風險管理商品。
This paper discusses two problems based on Hull-White term structure model as follow: (i) How to conduct a valuation of callable accreting interest rate swap(CAIRS) ? (ii) CAIRS is a type of widely used risk management instruments for zero callable bonds (ZCB) . Is it suitable enough to hedge risks of zero callable bond? First, CAIRS can be decomposed into accreting payer interest rate swaps and Bermudan swaptions. Considering financial valuation of both components, the former can be directly valued by the pricing formula, while the latter has no close form due to its early exercise characteristics. In order to solve the problem, the approaches here include LSM method in Longstaff and Schwartz (2001) and trinomial tree in Hull and White (1994) . We find out that the two options embedded in ZCB and CAIRS have same exercise strategy since the terms of the swaps will consist with the bonds in practice. However, the cash flow of risk management in swaps and bonds can be different when considering the discount of time value. Hence, CAIRS are not the best financial instrument for managing risks of zero callable bonds under current design.
參考文獻 [1] 林妍如(2018)。零息可贖回債券商品定價:三元樹與最小平方蒙地卡羅方法之比較。碩士論文,國立政治大學,金融學系研究所,台灣台北市。
[2] 黃一峰2018)。在Hull-White Model之下分析交換銀行贖回策略對(零息)含息可贖回債券影響。碩士論文,國立交通大學,財務金融研究所,台灣新竹市。
[3] Andersen, L. (1999). A simple approach to the pricing of Bermudan swaptions in the multifactor LIBOR market model. Journal of Computational Finance, 3(2), 5-32.
[4] Brennan, M. J. and Schwartz, E. S. (1977). Convertible bonds: valuation and optimal strategies for call and conversion. The Journal of Finance, 32(5), 1699-1715.
[5] Feng, Q., Jain, S., Karlsson, P., Kandhai, D., and Oosterlee, C. (2016). Efficient computation of exposure profiles on real-world and risk-neutral scenarios for Bermudan swaptions. Journal of Computational Finance, 20(1), 139–172.
[6] Hull, J. and White, A. (1990). Pricing Interest-Rate Derivatives Securities. Review of Financial Studies, 3, 573-592.
[7] Hull, J. and White, A. (1994). Numerical Procedures for Implementing Term Structure Models I:Single-Factor Models. Journal of Derivatives, 2, 7-15.
[8] Hull, J. (2003). Option, futures and other derivatives, New Jersey: Pearson Education.
[9] Hippler, S. (2008). Pricing Bermudan Swaptions in the LIBOR Market Model, master dissertation, University of Oxford.
[10] Jain, S. and Oosterlee, C. (2015). The Stochastic Grid Bundling Method: Efficient pricing of Bermudan options and their Greeks. Applied Mathematics and Computation 269, 412–431
[11] Longstaff, F.A. and Schwartz, E.S. (2001). Valuing American Options by Simulation: A Simple Least-Squares Approach. Review of Financial Studies, 14, 113-147.
[12] Rappe, M. and Friberg, K. (2010). Pricing cancellable swaps using tree models calibrated to swaptions, master dissertation, Linköping Institute of Technology
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
金融學系
106352016
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0106352016
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 林士貴<br>莊明哲zh_TW
dc.contributor.advisor Lin, Shih-Kuei<br>Chuang, Ming-Cheen_US
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 鄭文杰zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) Cheng, Wen-Chiehen_US
dc.creator (作者) 鄭文杰zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Cheng, Wen-Chiehen_US
dc.date (日期) 2019en_US
dc.date.accessioned 7-Aug-2019 16:10:24 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 7-Aug-2019 16:10:24 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 7-Aug-2019 16:10:24 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0106352016en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/124728-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 金融學系zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 106352016zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 本文利用Hull and White 利率模型架構下試圖回答以下兩項問題。第一,本金增長型可贖回利率交換之評價如何進行? 第二,近年來公司經常使用零息可贖回債券作為熱門債券籌資工具之一,並且以本金增長型可贖回利率交換作為對應之風險管理工具,此種風險管理方式是否合適?
首先,本金增長型可贖回利率交換可以拆解為本金增長型支付者利率交換加上百慕達式本金增長型收取者利率交換選擇權。拆解後的商品,前者可由推導之封閉解求得評價價值,而後者具有提前履約的特性因此無封閉解。為解決提前履約商品無封閉解之評價,本文採用Longstaff and Schwartz (2001) 提出之最小平方蒙地卡羅法與 Hull and White (1994) 提出之三元樹兩種數值方法。最後,由於本金增長型可贖回利率交換之條款設計與零息可贖回債券配合,將造成兩者最佳贖回策略相同但因期初風險管理金額在考慮時間價值下相異,因此前項商品雖可對後者之發行商給予風險管理建議,但前者並非最適風險管理商品。
zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) This paper discusses two problems based on Hull-White term structure model as follow: (i) How to conduct a valuation of callable accreting interest rate swap(CAIRS) ? (ii) CAIRS is a type of widely used risk management instruments for zero callable bonds (ZCB) . Is it suitable enough to hedge risks of zero callable bond? First, CAIRS can be decomposed into accreting payer interest rate swaps and Bermudan swaptions. Considering financial valuation of both components, the former can be directly valued by the pricing formula, while the latter has no close form due to its early exercise characteristics. In order to solve the problem, the approaches here include LSM method in Longstaff and Schwartz (2001) and trinomial tree in Hull and White (1994) . We find out that the two options embedded in ZCB and CAIRS have same exercise strategy since the terms of the swaps will consist with the bonds in practice. However, the cash flow of risk management in swaps and bonds can be different when considering the discount of time value. Hence, CAIRS are not the best financial instrument for managing risks of zero callable bonds under current design.en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents 第一章 緒論 1
第一節 研究動機與目的 1
第二節 研究架構 3
第二章 文獻探討 4
第一節 本金增長型可贖回利率交換 4
第二節 最小平方蒙地卡羅法與三元樹 5
第三章 本金增長型可贖回利率交換介紹 7
第一節 商品簡介 7
第二節 商品現金流分析與商品拆解 9
第三節 風險管理工具合適度分析 12
第四章 研究方法 21
第一節 Hull and White利率模型 21
第二節 最小平方蒙地卡羅法 26
第三節 三元樹法 30
第五章 實證分析 37
第一節 參數估計 37
第二節 評價結果 38
第三節 敏感度分析 42
第六章 結論與建議 48
參考文獻 50
附錄 52
zh_TW
dc.format.extent 1863745 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0106352016en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 可贖回利率交換zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 百慕達交換選擇權zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 最小平方蒙地卡羅法zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 三元樹zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Hull and White 短利模型zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Callable interest rate swapsen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Bermudan swaptionsen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Least Square Monte Carloen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Trinomial treeen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Hull and White modelen_US
dc.title (題名) 本金增長型可贖回利率交換評價: Hull-White下最小平方蒙地卡羅法與三元樹比較zh_TW
dc.title (題名) Valuation of Callable Accreting Interest Rate Swaps: Comparison between the Least-Squares Monte-Carlo Method and Trinomial Tree under Hull-White Interest Rate Modelen_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen_US
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) [1] 林妍如(2018)。零息可贖回債券商品定價:三元樹與最小平方蒙地卡羅方法之比較。碩士論文,國立政治大學,金融學系研究所,台灣台北市。
[2] 黃一峰2018)。在Hull-White Model之下分析交換銀行贖回策略對(零息)含息可贖回債券影響。碩士論文,國立交通大學,財務金融研究所,台灣新竹市。
[3] Andersen, L. (1999). A simple approach to the pricing of Bermudan swaptions in the multifactor LIBOR market model. Journal of Computational Finance, 3(2), 5-32.
[4] Brennan, M. J. and Schwartz, E. S. (1977). Convertible bonds: valuation and optimal strategies for call and conversion. The Journal of Finance, 32(5), 1699-1715.
[5] Feng, Q., Jain, S., Karlsson, P., Kandhai, D., and Oosterlee, C. (2016). Efficient computation of exposure profiles on real-world and risk-neutral scenarios for Bermudan swaptions. Journal of Computational Finance, 20(1), 139–172.
[6] Hull, J. and White, A. (1990). Pricing Interest-Rate Derivatives Securities. Review of Financial Studies, 3, 573-592.
[7] Hull, J. and White, A. (1994). Numerical Procedures for Implementing Term Structure Models I:Single-Factor Models. Journal of Derivatives, 2, 7-15.
[8] Hull, J. (2003). Option, futures and other derivatives, New Jersey: Pearson Education.
[9] Hippler, S. (2008). Pricing Bermudan Swaptions in the LIBOR Market Model, master dissertation, University of Oxford.
[10] Jain, S. and Oosterlee, C. (2015). The Stochastic Grid Bundling Method: Efficient pricing of Bermudan options and their Greeks. Applied Mathematics and Computation 269, 412–431
[11] Longstaff, F.A. and Schwartz, E.S. (2001). Valuing American Options by Simulation: A Simple Least-Squares Approach. Review of Financial Studies, 14, 113-147.
[12] Rappe, M. and Friberg, K. (2010). Pricing cancellable swaps using tree models calibrated to swaptions, master dissertation, Linköping Institute of Technology
zh_TW
dc.identifier.doi (DOI) 10.6814/NCCU201900195en_US