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題名 台灣ETF追蹤誤差與資金流研究
A case study in tracking error and capital flow in Taiwan’s ETF
作者 羅啟華
Lo, Chi-Hwa
貢獻者 張興華
Chang, Hsin-Hwa
羅啟華
Lo, Chi-Hwa
關鍵詞 追蹤誤差
指數報酬
資金流
共同基金
Exchange traded funds
Capital flow
Tracking errors
日期 2019
上傳時間 7-Aug-2019 16:11:13 (UTC+8)
摘要 本文以臺灣證交所上市之18檔ETF,分為國內股指型,國外股指型,債券指數型,商品指數型,國內指數槓反型,國外指數槓反型,探討2016年至2019近三年間不同追蹤標的的追蹤誤差,以及追蹤誤差與追蹤指數報酬對於資金流入的影響,研究結果顯示:在月平均追蹤誤差方面:ETF中追蹤台灣股指型,國內股指槓反型,國外股指槓反型在5%顯著水準下均異於0,在月平均追蹤誤差(絕對值)方面,各組別追蹤標的之ETF在1%顯著水準下均顯著異於0,顯示在ETF淨值報酬率以及指數報酬率間確實存在追蹤誤差。而槓反型ETF追蹤誤差則高於股票指數型ETF以及非股票指數型ETF,表示出槓反型ETF因複製策略,融資及複利效果所造成之成本,會有更大的追蹤誤差,而在前期追蹤誤差,前期指數報酬與本期資金流的迴歸模型中,18支ETF中有5支的ETF模型在5%信心水準下顯示出顯著結果,並且在有顯著結果的ETF中,月資金流與前期月平均追蹤誤差以及前期指數報酬有著負相關,代表說在ETF的資金流中投資人的考量中,對於前期的追蹤誤差有著負向的考量,而對於前期指數報酬存在著負回饋或是避險心態的情況。
This paper estimates tracking error in exchange traded fund(ETF) listed on the stock exchange in Taiwan. The results show that the monthly ETF returns underperform the benchmark index returns due to ETF management fees and transaction costs. Consider average monthly tracking error, stock index group, leverage and reverse stock index group are significant different from zero at 5% level. As for absolute average monthly tracking error, all the ETF are significant different from zero at 1% level. Furthermore, the leveraged ETF’s tracking error is higher than stock index ETF, shows that issuing leveraged ETF is more costly due to Compound effect or Financing effect.in the regression model include capital flow, previous tracking error, previous index return, 5 of 18 ETF shows significant result in regression model at 5% level. In those 5 ETFs, capital flow has negative relationship with previous monthly tracking error and previous index return. Shows investors has a hedge consideration in buying ETFs.
參考文獻 Chu, P. K. K. ,2011, “Study on the Tracking Errors and their Determinants: Evidence from Hong Kong Exchange Traded Funds,” Applied Financial Economics, 21, 309-315.\nChristopher P. Clifford,2014. What Drives ETF Flows, The Financial Review 49 (2014) 619–642\nFrino, A. and D.R. Gallagher, 2001. Tracking S&P 500 index funds, Journal of Portfolio Management 28(1), 44–55.\nGastineau, G.L., 2004. The benchmark index ETF performance problem, Journal of Portfolio Management 30(2), 96–103.\nGuedj, I. and J. Huang, 2010. Are ETFs replacing index mutual funds? Working paper, University of Texas at Austin.\nIppolito R. A., 1992, consumer reaction to measures of poor quality: evidence from the mutual fund industry, Journal of Laws and Economics, (35), pp.45-70\nN,Charupat.and P.Miu,2011,The pricing and performance of leveraged exchange-traded funds, Journal of Banking and Finance 35, 966–977.\nPope, P. and P. Yadav,1994, Discovering Errors in Tracking Error,Journal of Portfolio Management, 20, 27-32.\nSirri E.and Tufano P., 1998, Costly Search and Mutual Fund Flow,Journal of Finance, (53), pp.1589-1622.\n尤亭歡,2015,臺灣、香港、中國大陸三地ETF追蹤誤差之研究,兩岸金融季刊第三卷第一期1-22頁\n彭思涵,2016,衡量臺灣證券市場上槓桿及反向指數股票型基金之績效,國立政治大學國際經營與貿易學系研究所碩士論文。\n楊墨竹,2013,ETF資金流,市場收益與投資者情緒,金融研究2013第4期
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
金融學系
106352020
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0106352020
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 張興華zh_TW
dc.contributor.advisor Chang, Hsin-Hwaen_US
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 羅啟華zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) Lo, Chi-Hwaen_US
dc.creator (作者) 羅啟華zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Lo, Chi-Hwaen_US
dc.date (日期) 2019en_US
dc.date.accessioned 7-Aug-2019 16:11:13 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 7-Aug-2019 16:11:13 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 7-Aug-2019 16:11:13 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0106352020en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://ah.lib.nccu.edu.tw/item?item_id=143194-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 金融學系zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 106352020zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 本文以臺灣證交所上市之18檔ETF,分為國內股指型,國外股指型,債券指數型,商品指數型,國內指數槓反型,國外指數槓反型,探討2016年至2019近三年間不同追蹤標的的追蹤誤差,以及追蹤誤差與追蹤指數報酬對於資金流入的影響,研究結果顯示:在月平均追蹤誤差方面:ETF中追蹤台灣股指型,國內股指槓反型,國外股指槓反型在5%顯著水準下均異於0,在月平均追蹤誤差(絕對值)方面,各組別追蹤標的之ETF在1%顯著水準下均顯著異於0,顯示在ETF淨值報酬率以及指數報酬率間確實存在追蹤誤差。而槓反型ETF追蹤誤差則高於股票指數型ETF以及非股票指數型ETF,表示出槓反型ETF因複製策略,融資及複利效果所造成之成本,會有更大的追蹤誤差,而在前期追蹤誤差,前期指數報酬與本期資金流的迴歸模型中,18支ETF中有5支的ETF模型在5%信心水準下顯示出顯著結果,並且在有顯著結果的ETF中,月資金流與前期月平均追蹤誤差以及前期指數報酬有著負相關,代表說在ETF的資金流中投資人的考量中,對於前期的追蹤誤差有著負向的考量,而對於前期指數報酬存在著負回饋或是避險心態的情況。zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) This paper estimates tracking error in exchange traded fund(ETF) listed on the stock exchange in Taiwan. The results show that the monthly ETF returns underperform the benchmark index returns due to ETF management fees and transaction costs. Consider average monthly tracking error, stock index group, leverage and reverse stock index group are significant different from zero at 5% level. As for absolute average monthly tracking error, all the ETF are significant different from zero at 1% level. Furthermore, the leveraged ETF’s tracking error is higher than stock index ETF, shows that issuing leveraged ETF is more costly due to Compound effect or Financing effect.in the regression model include capital flow, previous tracking error, previous index return, 5 of 18 ETF shows significant result in regression model at 5% level. In those 5 ETFs, capital flow has negative relationship with previous monthly tracking error and previous index return. Shows investors has a hedge consideration in buying ETFs.en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents 第一章 緒論 1\n第一節 研究動機 1\n第二節 追蹤誤差形成的原因 4\n第三節 研究架構 6\n第二章 文獻探討 8\n第三章 樣本描述與敘述性統計 10\n第一節 台灣市場概況 10\n第二節 樣本敘述 11\n第四章 研究方法 14\n第一節 追蹤誤差計算方法 14\n第二節 基金淨值流入計算 15\n第三節 單根檢定 16\n第四節 模型說明 18\n第五章 數值分析 20\n第一節 樣本追蹤誤差之敘述性統計 20\n第二節 追蹤誤差之顯著性 23\n第三節 ETF 追蹤誤差之比較 24\n第四節 資金流之影響因子 27\n第六章 結論與建議 33\n附錄 35\n參考文獻 38zh_TW
dc.format.extent 692625 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0106352020en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 追蹤誤差zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 指數報酬zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 資金流zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 共同基金zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Exchange traded fundsen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Capital flowen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Tracking errorsen_US
dc.title (題名) 台灣ETF追蹤誤差與資金流研究zh_TW
dc.title (題名) A case study in tracking error and capital flow in Taiwan’s ETFen_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen_US
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Chu, P. K. K. ,2011, “Study on the Tracking Errors and their Determinants: Evidence from Hong Kong Exchange Traded Funds,” Applied Financial Economics, 21, 309-315.\nChristopher P. Clifford,2014. What Drives ETF Flows, The Financial Review 49 (2014) 619–642\nFrino, A. and D.R. Gallagher, 2001. Tracking S&P 500 index funds, Journal of Portfolio Management 28(1), 44–55.\nGastineau, G.L., 2004. The benchmark index ETF performance problem, Journal of Portfolio Management 30(2), 96–103.\nGuedj, I. and J. Huang, 2010. Are ETFs replacing index mutual funds? Working paper, University of Texas at Austin.\nIppolito R. A., 1992, consumer reaction to measures of poor quality: evidence from the mutual fund industry, Journal of Laws and Economics, (35), pp.45-70\nN,Charupat.and P.Miu,2011,The pricing and performance of leveraged exchange-traded funds, Journal of Banking and Finance 35, 966–977.\nPope, P. and P. Yadav,1994, Discovering Errors in Tracking Error,Journal of Portfolio Management, 20, 27-32.\nSirri E.and Tufano P., 1998, Costly Search and Mutual Fund Flow,Journal of Finance, (53), pp.1589-1622.\n尤亭歡,2015,臺灣、香港、中國大陸三地ETF追蹤誤差之研究,兩岸金融季刊第三卷第一期1-22頁\n彭思涵,2016,衡量臺灣證券市場上槓桿及反向指數股票型基金之績效,國立政治大學國際經營與貿易學系研究所碩士論文。\n楊墨竹,2013,ETF資金流,市場收益與投資者情緒,金融研究2013第4期zh_TW
dc.identifier.doi (DOI) 10.6814/NCCU201900218en_US