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題名 美國參議院對台軍售的態度：以2011對台軍售為主
United State Senate`s Attitudes on Arm Sales to Taiwan: A Case Study of the Issues related to Arm Sales in 2011
作者 藤井, 正
Tadashi, Fujii
貢獻者 俞振華
Yu, Eric Chen-Hua
藤井 正
Fujii Tadashi
關鍵詞 美國國會
美國參議院
對台軍售
美台關係
兩岸關係
US-Taiwan- Relations
US Congress
Arm Sales to Taiwan
United States Senate
The Taiwan Strait
日期 2019
上傳時間 7-Aug-2019 16:46:54 (UTC+8)
摘要 本論文透過分析2011年對台軍售議題，探討美國參議員的影響力。本論文首先敘述2011年對台軍售議題的推移及演進，繼之探討美國參議院對美國外交領域的影響力及限制。本論文發現，對於此軍售議題，兩位議員不但都主導其他議員，而且用多樣的政治行為，對行政部門施壓，使得美國政府有所改變對台外交政策。據此，我發現特定議員在台灣議題上扮演很重要的角色。本論文接著用美國參議員對於此議題的四個研究對象，進行實證研究。具體來說，本研究針對台灣議題，從議員的「意識形態」、「選區經濟利益」、「委員會參與」及「台灣連線參與」等四項變數，探討美國參議員的對台態度。
對於四項議題，由於議案形式等都不同，參議員支持各項議題的門檻出現分歧。基於上述特徵，本論文發現：美國參議員做出關於台灣議題的政治決策時，若門檻越高，四項變數對參議員的影響力越低。換言之，即使參議員多半具有支持台灣的誘因與動機，若支持台灣的門檻變得較高時，就不支持台灣，譬如可能受到美中經貿等外部因素的影響，改變對台態度。總之，多數美國參議員對台灣的態度本質上沒有穩定性與持續性。
This thesis explores the atttiudes of US Senators on arms sales to Taiwan by analyzing the related issues in 2011. It first describes the evolution of the 2011 arms sales to Taiwan, followed by explaining the US Senate`s influence and restrictions on US foreign affairs. This thesis finds that for the arms sales issues, two Senators not only dominate other members, but also use various political tactics to exert pressure on the executive branch, which makes the US government change its foreign policy toward Taiwan. In other words, we found that certain Senators play a very important role in Taiwan issue. Our empirical study focuses on four related issues and analyze Senators’attitudes toward Taiwan from four perspectives—namely, ideology, constituent economic interests, committee participation, and participation of Congressional Taiwan Caucus.
Regarding the four issues explored here, different formations of the motions lead to different thresholds for the Senators to support the issues. Based on the abovementioned four variables, this thesis found that when the US Senators make political decisions on the Taiwan issue, the higher the threshold, the lower the influence of the four variables on Senators’ attitudes on Taiwan issues. In other words, even if the Senators have strong incentives and motivations to support Taiwan, if the threshold for supporting Taiwan becomes high, they will not support Taiwan. For example, they may be affected by external factors such as US-China trade issues and change their attitudes toward Taiwan. In short, most US Senators do not maintain stable and consistent attitudes towards Taiwan.
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描述 碩士
國立政治大學
政治學系
1042520241
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G1042520241
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 俞振華zh_TW
dc.contributor.advisor Yu, Eric Chen-Huaen_US
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 藤井 正zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) Fujii Tadashien_US
dc.creator (作者) 藤井, 正zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Tadashi, Fujiien_US
dc.date (日期) 2019en_US
dc.date.accessioned 7-Aug-2019 16:46:54 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 7-Aug-2019 16:46:54 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 7-Aug-2019 16:46:54 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G1042520241en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/124930-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 政治學系zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 1042520241zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 本論文透過分析2011年對台軍售議題，探討美國參議員的影響力。本論文首先敘述2011年對台軍售議題的推移及演進，繼之探討美國參議院對美國外交領域的影響力及限制。本論文發現，對於此軍售議題，兩位議員不但都主導其他議員，而且用多樣的政治行為，對行政部門施壓，使得美國政府有所改變對台外交政策。據此，我發現特定議員在台灣議題上扮演很重要的角色。本論文接著用美國參議員對於此議題的四個研究對象，進行實證研究。具體來說，本研究針對台灣議題，從議員的「意識形態」、「選區經濟利益」、「委員會參與」及「台灣連線參與」等四項變數，探討美國參議員的對台態度。
對於四項議題，由於議案形式等都不同，參議員支持各項議題的門檻出現分歧。基於上述特徵，本論文發現：美國參議員做出關於台灣議題的政治決策時，若門檻越高，四項變數對參議員的影響力越低。換言之，即使參議員多半具有支持台灣的誘因與動機，若支持台灣的門檻變得較高時，就不支持台灣，譬如可能受到美中經貿等外部因素的影響，改變對台態度。總之，多數美國參議員對台灣的態度本質上沒有穩定性與持續性。		zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) This thesis explores the atttiudes of US Senators on arms sales to Taiwan by analyzing the related issues in 2011. It first describes the evolution of the 2011 arms sales to Taiwan, followed by explaining the US Senate`s influence and restrictions on US foreign affairs. This thesis finds that for the arms sales issues, two Senators not only dominate other members, but also use various political tactics to exert pressure on the executive branch, which makes the US government change its foreign policy toward Taiwan. In other words, we found that certain Senators play a very important role in Taiwan issue. Our empirical study focuses on four related issues and analyze Senators’attitudes toward Taiwan from four perspectives—namely, ideology, constituent economic interests, committee participation, and participation of Congressional Taiwan Caucus.
Regarding the four issues explored here, different formations of the motions lead to different thresholds for the Senators to support the issues. Based on the abovementioned four variables, this thesis found that when the US Senators make political decisions on the Taiwan issue, the higher the threshold, the lower the influence of the four variables on Senators’ attitudes on Taiwan issues. In other words, even if the Senators have strong incentives and motivations to support Taiwan, if the threshold for supporting Taiwan becomes high, they will not support Taiwan. For example, they may be affected by external factors such as US-China trade issues and change their attitudes toward Taiwan. In short, most US Senators do not maintain stable and consistent attitudes towards Taiwan.		en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents 第壹章 緒論 9
第貳章 文獻探討 11
第一節 美國外交決策的基本架構 11
第二節 美國行政部門與立法部門對台灣的態度 12
第三節 美國對台政策的特徵 15
第四節 既有研究的特徵與問題 15
第參章 美國參議員對於對台軍售議題的對台態度 31
第一節 對台灣軍事相關議題的重要性 32
第二節 美國參議員對於台灣議題的的重要性 34
第三節 對2011年「對台軍售議題」研究的敘述 37
第四節 小結 41
第肆章 關於2011年對台軍售議題的實證研究 43
第一節 研究對象 43
第二節 變數的設定 50
第三節 研究方法 65
第伍章 研究結果 73
第一節 各項變數對Gang of 45的影響力 73
第二節 各項變數對「現代化法案支持者」及「IOC決議案支持者」的影響力 77
第三節 各項變數對「修正案634表決」的影響力 80
第四節 小結 96
第陸章 研究發現 97
參考文献 103		zh_TW
dc.format.extent 2181594 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G1042520241en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 美國國會zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 美國參議院zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 對台軍售zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 美台關係zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 兩岸關係zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) US-Taiwan- Relationsen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) US Congressen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Arm Sales to Taiwanen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) United States Senateen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) The Taiwan Straiten_US
dc.title (題名) 美國參議院對台軍售的態度：以2011對台軍售為主zh_TW
dc.title (題名) United State Senate`s Attitudes on Arm Sales to Taiwan: A Case Study of the Issues related to Arm Sales in 2011en_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen_US
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大紀元,2019,<消息：美政府擬同意對台軍售66架F-16V戰機>
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劉恩東，2008，〈軍工複合體影響冷戰後美國對台政策的主要途徑〉，《國際資料信息》，3：9-15。

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日文部分
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dc.identifier.doi (DOI) 10.6814/NCCU201900286en_US