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題名 人口現代化、生育控制與加速壓縮效果:中國大陸與臺灣的歷史比較研究
Demographic Modernization, Birth Control, and Accelerating Compressed Effect: A Historical-comparative Study of Mainland China and Taiwan
作者 鍾秉融
Chung, Ping-Jung
貢獻者 陳信木
鍾秉融
Chung, Ping-Jung
關鍵詞 人口現代化
生育控制
加速壓縮效果
計劃生育
家庭計劃
日期 2019
上傳時間 5-Feb-2020 18:03:35 (UTC+8)
摘要 對於西方社會而言,人口現代化得要經歷漫長歲月,比起英國、法國、瑞典、丹麥、挪威及芬蘭前後長達百年之久,中國大陸與臺灣花費不到半個世紀便已達成。不同西方社會的經驗,中國大陸與臺灣的人口現代化為什麼會如此快速?因為生育控制對於生育率下降存在「加速壓縮效果」。本研究有意圖地援引南韓社會學者Chang Kyung-Sup所主張的「壓縮現代性」提出「生育率下降的加速壓縮理論」,用來描述計劃生育與家庭計劃在中國大陸與臺灣邁向人口現代化的過程中所扮演的「加速壓縮效果」的中樞角色,針對兩者在很短時間內經歷生育率急遽遞減的人口現象(總生育率從4減少到2,中國大陸花費17年,臺灣花費14年)給予一個比較完整的說明。基於中國大陸與臺灣在推行計劃生育與家庭計劃導致生育率下降的過程中所發生的歷史材料,本研究經由紮根理論的方式歸納五個範疇,包含社會制度移植、文化創新傳散、利害關係者的折衝、條件推動者的湊合、人口時空重疊,並且從「壓縮現代性」的視角來說明五個範疇的內涵。通過「生育控制的經驗」與「Chang Kyung-Sup的理論」的結合方式,輔助與放大闡述「加速壓縮效果」的現象,強化與凸顯本研究所發展的見解。在社會經濟發展的過程中,不論中國大陸的計劃生育,還是臺灣的家庭計劃,儘管不是最先驅策生育率下降的動力,然而,它們在「促進生育率下降,急驟墜入替代水準」上確實有著切要貢獻,本研究的重點即是闡述這件事情。
參考文獻 參考文獻

一、中文期刊
李少民(1988)。中國大陸的人口政策:固定年出生數的政策模型之提出,人文及社會科學集刊(中央研究院三民主義研究所),1(1),99-120。
李建新、塗肇慶(2005)。滯後與壓縮:中國人口生育轉變的特徵。人口研究,29(3),18-25。
孫得雄(2001)。臺灣家庭計劃之推行對避孕及生育行為之影響。人口學刊,23,49-92。
孫得雄、丁庭宇(1988)。新發明-擴散模型或調適模型:臺灣生育行為轉型之分析。人口學刊,12,67-89。
郭文華(1998)。美援下的衛生政策:一九六○年代臺灣家庭計劃的探討。臺灣社會研究季刊,32,39-82。
蔡宏政(2007)。臺灣人口政策的歷史形構。臺灣社會學刊,39,65-106。
劉驥、熊彩、德新健(2015)。解釋中國人口政策的歷史分期:政治精英理念轉型的視角。二十一世紀,152,17-36。
謝高橋(1983)。人口現代化:社會經濟發展及人口成長。人口學刊,6,69-85。

二、英文期刊
Arnold, F., & Zhaoxiang, L. (1986). Sex Preference, Fertility, and Family Planning in China. Population and Development Review, 221-246.
Beck, U., & Grande, E. (2010). Varieties of Second Modernity: The Cosmopolitan Turn in Social and Political Theory and Research. The British Journal of Sociology, 61(3), 409-443.
Boehmer, U., & Williamson, J. B. (1996). The Impact of Women`s Status on Infant Mortality Rate: A Cross-national Analysis. Social Indicators Research, 37, 333-360.
Bongaarts, J. (2003). Completing the Fertility Transition in the Developing World: The Role of Educational Differences and Fertility Preferences. Population Studies, 57(3), 321-335.
Carlsson, G. (1966). The Decline of Fertility: Innovation or Adjustment Process. Population Studies, 20(2), 149-174.
Caldwell, J. C. (1993). Health Transition: The Cultural, Social and Behavioral Determinants of Health in the Third World. Social Science and Medicine, 36, 125-135.
Chang, K. S. (1999). Compressed Modernity and Its Discontents: South Korean Society in Transition. Economy and Society, 28(1), 30-55.
Chang, K. S. (2010a). The Second Modern Condition? Compressed Modernity as Internalized Reflexive Cosmopolitization. The British Journal of Sociology, 61(3), 444-464.
Chang, K. S. (2010b). East Asia`s Condensed Transition to Second Modernity. Soziale Welt: Zeitschrift für Sozialwissenschaftliche Forschung und Praxis, 61(3-4), 319-328.
Chang, K. S. (2015). From Developmental to Post-developmental Demographic Changes: A Perspectival Recount on South Korea. Korean Journal of Sociology, 49(6), 21-45.
Chang, M. C., Freedman, R., & Sun, T. H. (1987). Trends in Fertility, Family Size Preferences, and Family Planning Practices in Taiwan, 1961-85. Studies in Family Planning, 18(6), 320-337.
Cleland, J., & Wilson, C. (1987). Demand Theories of the Fertility Transition: An Iconoclastic View. Population Studies, 41(1), 5-30.
Coale, A. J., & Banister, J. (1994). Five Decades of Missing Females in China. Demography, 31(3), 459-479.
Coombs, L. C., & Sun, T. H. (1981). Familial Values in a Developing Society: A Decade of Change in Taiwan. Social Forces, 59(4), 1229-1255.
Demeny, P. (1988). Social Science and Population Policy. Population and Development Review, 14(3), 451-479.
Dyson, T. (2001). A Partial Theory of World Development: The Neglected Role of the Demographic Transition in the Shaping of Modern Society. International Journal of Population Geography, 7, 67-90.
Enke, S. (1960). The Economics of Government Payments to Limit Population. Economic Development and Cultural Change, 8(4), 339-348.
Feeney, G. (1994). Fertility Decline in East Asia. Science, 266(5190), 1518-1523.
Feeney, G., & Feng, W. (1993). Parity Progression and Birth Intervals in China: The Influence of Policy in Hastening Fertility Decline. Population and Development Review, 61-101.
Freedman, R. (1990). Family Planning Programs in the Third World. The Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, 510(1), 33-43.
Freedman, R., Chang, M. C., & Sun, T. H. (1994). Taiwan`s Transition from High Fertility to Below-Replacement Levels. Studies in Family Planning, 317-331.
Gertler, P. J., & Molyneaux, J. W. (1994). How Economic Development and Family Planning Programs Combined to Reduce Indonesian Fertility. Demography, 31(1), 33-63.
Hirschman, C. (1994). Why Fertility Changes. Annual Review of Sociology, 20(1), 203-233.
Hernandez, D. J. (1981). A Note on Measuring the Independent Impact of Family Planning Programs on Fertility Declines. Demography, 18(4), 627-634.
Lapham, R. J., & Mauldin, W. P. (1984). Family Planning Program Effort and Birthrate Decline in Developing Countries. International Family Planning Perspectives, 10(4), 109-118.
Lee, J., & Feng, W. (1999). Malthusian Models and Chinese Realities: The Chinese Demographic System 1700-2000. Population and Development Review, 25(1), 33-65.
Leete, R. (1987). The Post-demographic Transition in East and South East Asia: Similarities and Contrasts with Europe. Population Studies, 41(2), 187-206.
Lesthaeghe, R. (1998). On Theory Development: Applications to the Study of Family Formation. Population and Development Review, 24(1), 1-14.
Lewis, W. A. (1954). Economic Development with Unlimited Supplies of Labour. The Manchester School, 22(2), 139-191.
Lieberson, S. (1991). Small N`s and Big Conclusions: An Examination of the Reasoning in Comparative Studies Based on a Small Number of Cases. Social Forces, 70(2), 307-320.
Mauldin, W. P., Berelson, B., & Sykes, Z. (1978). Conditions of Fertility Decline in Developing Countries, 1965-75. Studies in Family Planning, 9(5), 89-147.
Murthi, M., Guio, A., & Drèze, J. (1995). Mortality, Fertility, and Gender-Bias in India: A District-Level Analysis. Population and Development Review, 21, 745-782.
Nolan, P. D. (1988). World System Status, Techno-Economic Heritage, and Fertility. Sociological Focus, 21, 9-33.
Poston, D. L., & Gu, B. (1987). Socioeconomic Development, Family planning, and Fertility in China. Demography, 24(4), 531-551.
Poston, D. L. (2000). Social and Economic Development and the Fertility Transitions in Mainland China and Taiwan. Population and Development Review, 26, 40-60.
Reher, D. S. (2011). Economic and Social Implications of the Demographic Transition. Population and Development Review, 37, 11-33
Rostow, W. W. (1959). The Stages of Economic Growth. The Economic History Review, 12(1), 1-16.
Sen, A. (1992). Missing Women. British Medical Journal, 304, 587-588.
Shen, C., & Williamson, J. B. (1999). Maternal Mortality, Women`s Status, and Economic Dependency in Less Developed Countries: A Cross-national Analysis. Social Science & Medicine, 49(2), 197-214.
Teitelbaum, M. S. (1975). Relevance of Demographic Transition Theory for Developing Countries. Science, 188(4187), 420-425.
Tien, H. Y. (1984). Induced Fertility Transition: Impact of Population Planning and Socio-economic Change in the People`s Republic of China. Population Studies, 38(3), 385-400.
Warwick, D. P. (1986). The Indonesian Family Planning Program: Government Influence and Client Choice. Population and Development Review, 12(3), 453-490.
Watkins, S. C. (1987). The Fertility Transition: Europe and the Third World Compared. Sociological Forum, 2(4), 645-673.
Weinstein, M., Sun, T. H., Chang, M. C., & Freedman, R. (1990). Household Composition, Extended Kinship, and Reproduction in Taiwan: 1965-1985. Population Studies, 44(2), 217-239.
Wolf, A. P. (1986). The Preeminent Role of Government Intervention in China`s Family Revolution. Population and Development Review, 101-116.

三、中文書籍
Barclay, G. W.(1955)。臺灣人口研究報告(中國農村復興聯合委員會特刊第十號)(蔡文希、石本素、甘碧雲,譯)。臺北市:中國農村復興聯合委員會。(原著出版於1954年)
田雪原(2009)。中國人口政策60年。北京:社會科學文獻出版社。
李棟明(1995)。臺灣地區早期家庭計劃發展誌詳。臺中市:臺灣省家庭計劃研究所。
陳劍(2015)。中國生育革命紀實(1978-1991)。北京市:社會科學文獻出版社。
孫得雄(1989)。臺灣地區生育調節政策之檢討。載於伊慶春、朱瑞玲(主編),臺灣社會現象的分析(中央研究院三民主義研究所叢刊(25))(頁275-310)。臺北市:中央研究院三民主義研究所。
陳肇男、孫得雄、李棟明(2003)。臺灣的人口奇蹟:家庭計劃政策成功探源。臺北市:聯經出版公司。
路遇、翟振武(2009)。新中國人口60年。北京市:中國人口出版社。
劉克智(1991)。人口政策。載於高希均、李誠(主編),臺灣經驗四十年(頁232-267)。臺北市:天下文化。
盧忻謐、梁妃儀、蔡篤堅(2007)。臺灣家庭計劃之奠基啟航:以周聯彬教授口述訪談為主軸的探索。臺中市:行政院衛生署國民健康局。

四、英文書籍
Chang, K. S. (2010c). South Korea under Compressed Modernity: Familial Political Economy in Transition. New York: Routledge.
Chang, K. S. (2017). Compressed Modernity in South Korea: Constitutive Dimensions, Manifesting Units, and Historical Conditions. In Kim, Y. (Ed.), The Routledge Handbook of Korean Culture and Society (pp. 31-47). London and New York: Routledge.
Coale, A. J. (1973). The Demographic Transition Reconsidered. In IUSSP (Ed.), International Population Conference, Liege, 1973, Vol. 1 (pp. 53-72). Liege: International Population Union for the Scientific Study of Population.
Coale, A. J. (1984). Rapid Population Change in China, 1952-1982. Washington DC: National Research Council.
Coale, A. J. (1986). The Decline of Fertility in Europe Since the 18th Century as a Chapter in Demographic History. In Coale, A. J., & Watkins, S. C. (Eds.), The Decline of Fertility in Europe (pp. 1-30). Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
Coale, A. J., & Hoover, E. M. (1958). Population Growth and Economic Development in Low Income Countries. Princeton. New Jersey: Princeton University Press.
Dikötter, F. (2010). Mao`s Great Famine: The History of China`s Most Devastating Catastrophe, 1958-1962. Bloomsbury Publishing USA.
Ehrlich, P. (1968). The Population Bomb. New York: Ballantine Books.
Fong, M. (2016). One Child: The Story of China’s Most Radical Experiment. Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Press.
Giddens, A. (1990). The Consequences of Modernity. Stanford: Stanford University Press.
Greenhalgh, S. (2008). Just one Child: Science and Policy in Deng`s China. California: University of California Press.
Harkavy, O., & Roy, K. (2007). Emergence of the Indian National Family Planning Program. In Robinson, W. C., & Ross, J. A. (Eds.), The Global Family Planning Revolution: Three Decades of Population Policies and Programs. (pp. 301-324). Washington: The World Bank.
Heisel, D. F. (2007). Family Planning in Kenya in the 1960s and 1970s. In Robinson, W. C., & Ross, J. A. (Eds.), The Global Family Planning Revolution: Three Decades of Population Policies and Programs. (pp. 393-340). Washington: The World Bank.
Hernandez, D. J. (1984). Success or Failure? Family Planning Programs in the Third World. Westport, Connecticut: Greenwood Press.
Malthus, T. R. (1798). An Essay on the Principle of Population, as It Affects the Future Improvement of Society. London: J. Johnson.
Mason, A. (Ed.) (2001). Population Policies and Programs in East Asia (East-West Center Occasional Papers, Population and Health Series, No. 123). Honolulu: East-West Center.
Meadows, D. H., Meadows, D. L., Randers, J., & Behrens, W. W. (1972). The Limits to Growth: A Report for the Club of Rome’s Project on the Predicament of Mankind. New York: New American Library.
Mill, J. S. (1882). A System of Logic, Ratiocinative and Inductive: Being a Connected View of the Principles of Evidence and the Methods of Scientific Investigation. New York: Harper & Brothers, Publishers, Franklin Square.
Notestein, F. W. (1945). Population-The Long View. In Schultz, T. W. (Ed.), Food for the World (pp. 36-57). Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press.
Ping, T. (2000). Trends and Regional Differentials in Fertility Transition. In Pen, X., & Guo, Z. (Eds.), The Changing Population of China (pp. 22-33). Oxford: Wiley-Blackwell.
Robinson, W. C., & Ross, J. A. (2007). Family Planning: The Quiet Revolution. In Robinson, W. C., & Ross, J. A. (Eds.), The Global Family Planning Revolution: Three Decades of Population Policies and Programs. (pp. 421-449). Washington: The World Bank.
Sen, A. (1999). Development as Freedom. New York: Anchor Books.
Sinding, S. W. (2007). Overview and Perspective. In Robinson, W. C., & Ross, J. A. (Eds.), The Global Family Planning Revolution: Three Decades of Population Policies and Programs. (pp. 1-12). Washington: The World Bank.
Strauss, A., & Corbin, J. (1990). Basic of Qualitatiove Research: Grounded Theory Procedures and Techniques. Newbury Park, CA: Sage.
Strauss, A., & Corbin, J. (1998). Basics of Qualitative Research: Techniques and Procedures for Developing Grounded Theory. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage.
描述 博士
國立政治大學
社會學系
100254501
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0100254501
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 陳信木zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 鍾秉融zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) Chung, Ping-Jungen_US
dc.creator (作者) 鍾秉融zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Chung, Ping-Jungen_US
dc.date (日期) 2019en_US
dc.date.accessioned 5-Feb-2020 18:03:35 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 5-Feb-2020 18:03:35 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 5-Feb-2020 18:03:35 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0100254501en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/128621-
dc.description (描述) 博士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 社會學系zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 100254501zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 對於西方社會而言,人口現代化得要經歷漫長歲月,比起英國、法國、瑞典、丹麥、挪威及芬蘭前後長達百年之久,中國大陸與臺灣花費不到半個世紀便已達成。不同西方社會的經驗,中國大陸與臺灣的人口現代化為什麼會如此快速?因為生育控制對於生育率下降存在「加速壓縮效果」。本研究有意圖地援引南韓社會學者Chang Kyung-Sup所主張的「壓縮現代性」提出「生育率下降的加速壓縮理論」,用來描述計劃生育與家庭計劃在中國大陸與臺灣邁向人口現代化的過程中所扮演的「加速壓縮效果」的中樞角色,針對兩者在很短時間內經歷生育率急遽遞減的人口現象(總生育率從4減少到2,中國大陸花費17年,臺灣花費14年)給予一個比較完整的說明。基於中國大陸與臺灣在推行計劃生育與家庭計劃導致生育率下降的過程中所發生的歷史材料,本研究經由紮根理論的方式歸納五個範疇,包含社會制度移植、文化創新傳散、利害關係者的折衝、條件推動者的湊合、人口時空重疊,並且從「壓縮現代性」的視角來說明五個範疇的內涵。通過「生育控制的經驗」與「Chang Kyung-Sup的理論」的結合方式,輔助與放大闡述「加速壓縮效果」的現象,強化與凸顯本研究所發展的見解。在社會經濟發展的過程中,不論中國大陸的計劃生育,還是臺灣的家庭計劃,儘管不是最先驅策生育率下降的動力,然而,它們在「促進生育率下降,急驟墜入替代水準」上確實有著切要貢獻,本研究的重點即是闡述這件事情。zh_TW
dc.description.tableofcontents 目次
第壹章 前言 1
第一節 研究動機 1
第二節 研究目的 4
第三節 概念定義 6
第貳章 文獻回顧 9
第一節 阻止快速的人口成長 9
第二節 人口現代化 11
第三節 理論概念的缺欠 12
第四節 壓縮現代性 14
第五節 加速壓縮效果 20
第參章 研究方法 24
第一節 研究規劃 24
第二節 資料處理 26
第三節 研究架構 27
第肆章 研究分析 28
第一節 社會制度移植 29
第二節 文化創新傳散 43
第三節 利害關係者的折衝 50
第四節 條件推動者的湊合 64
第五節 人口時空重疊 75
第伍章 結論 86
第一節 研究發現 87
第二節 研究貢獻 90
第三節 研究建議 94
參考文獻 99
zh_TW
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0100254501en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 人口現代化zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 生育控制zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 加速壓縮效果zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 計劃生育zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 家庭計劃zh_TW
dc.title (題名) 人口現代化、生育控制與加速壓縮效果:中國大陸與臺灣的歷史比較研究zh_TW
dc.title (題名) Demographic Modernization, Birth Control, and Accelerating Compressed Effect: A Historical-comparative Study of Mainland China and Taiwanen_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen_US
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 參考文獻

一、中文期刊
李少民(1988)。中國大陸的人口政策:固定年出生數的政策模型之提出,人文及社會科學集刊(中央研究院三民主義研究所),1(1),99-120。
李建新、塗肇慶(2005)。滯後與壓縮:中國人口生育轉變的特徵。人口研究,29(3),18-25。
孫得雄(2001)。臺灣家庭計劃之推行對避孕及生育行為之影響。人口學刊,23,49-92。
孫得雄、丁庭宇(1988)。新發明-擴散模型或調適模型:臺灣生育行為轉型之分析。人口學刊,12,67-89。
郭文華(1998)。美援下的衛生政策:一九六○年代臺灣家庭計劃的探討。臺灣社會研究季刊,32,39-82。
蔡宏政(2007)。臺灣人口政策的歷史形構。臺灣社會學刊,39,65-106。
劉驥、熊彩、德新健(2015)。解釋中國人口政策的歷史分期:政治精英理念轉型的視角。二十一世紀,152,17-36。
謝高橋(1983)。人口現代化:社會經濟發展及人口成長。人口學刊,6,69-85。

二、英文期刊
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Chang, K. S. (2010b). East Asia`s Condensed Transition to Second Modernity. Soziale Welt: Zeitschrift für Sozialwissenschaftliche Forschung und Praxis, 61(3-4), 319-328.
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三、中文書籍
Barclay, G. W.(1955)。臺灣人口研究報告(中國農村復興聯合委員會特刊第十號)(蔡文希、石本素、甘碧雲,譯)。臺北市:中國農村復興聯合委員會。(原著出版於1954年)
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陳劍(2015)。中國生育革命紀實(1978-1991)。北京市:社會科學文獻出版社。
孫得雄(1989)。臺灣地區生育調節政策之檢討。載於伊慶春、朱瑞玲(主編),臺灣社會現象的分析(中央研究院三民主義研究所叢刊(25))(頁275-310)。臺北市:中央研究院三民主義研究所。
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路遇、翟振武(2009)。新中國人口60年。北京市:中國人口出版社。
劉克智(1991)。人口政策。載於高希均、李誠(主編),臺灣經驗四十年(頁232-267)。臺北市:天下文化。
盧忻謐、梁妃儀、蔡篤堅(2007)。臺灣家庭計劃之奠基啟航:以周聯彬教授口述訪談為主軸的探索。臺中市:行政院衛生署國民健康局。

四、英文書籍
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dc.identifier.doi (DOI) 10.6814/NCCU202000046en_US