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題名 避險策略下的波蘭外交與安全政策（2015–2019）
A Hedging Perspective on Poland’s Foreign and Security Policy, 2015‐2019作者 劉松宏
Liu, Sung-Hung貢獻者 林永芳
Lin, Yung-Fang
劉松宏
Liu, Sung-Hung關鍵詞 波蘭
避險策略
軍事安全
能源安全
區域合作
Poland
Hedging strategy
Military security
Energy security
Regional cooperation日期 2020 上傳時間 2-Mar-2020 11:29:32 (UTC+8) 摘要 國際政治的變化多元且複雜，身為歐俄地緣斷層帶中、小型國家的波蘭，經歷了共產瓦解之後對於國家安全和國際認同的追求，雖然隨後正式地成為北約和歐盟的成員國，但由於2013年末的烏克蘭親歐示威運動和2014年的克里米亞危機與烏東衝突，再加上波蘭的總統以及國會選舉全面地政黨輪替，所以自法律與公正黨執政以來於安全與外交上所採行的戰略不僅受到鄰近各國的影響，更牽動了區域間強權的大博弈。 本論文從回顧波蘭受到烏克蘭和克里米亞危機的影響入手，更進一步透過文獻分析其所扮演的角色和採取的立場。除此之外，本論文以波蘭外交部所公布的五年期外交政策計畫和逐年的外交政策報告為主，透過相互比較和分析，除了發現波蘭最注重軍事安全和經濟安全政策之外，也非常重視與周邊盟友間的區域合作政策，波蘭利用本身於北約和歐盟的優勢，充分地發揮了關鍵的區域議題主導能力和區域整合的影響力。 波蘭置身於應對安全威脅與利益權衡的歐俄地緣斷層帶中，在制定外交戰略時往往會選擇較多元且彈性的避險策略，並在不同情況下靈活地調整其策略的運用。本論文為了瞭解波蘭於外交和安全上所採取的策略，所以從避險策略的觀點，就軍事安全、能源安全和區域合作的角度切入，發現其於上述避險策略的選擇除了注重波蘭的國家利益之外，也相當重視盟友間的共同利益。是故，波蘭深知應於威脅與利益交錯的複雜國際情勢中，採取富有彈性和靈活的避險策略，以維護其自身的利益與安全。
International relations have become diversified in recent years. As a small and medium state( SMSs) in the EU-Russian geo-fault zone, Poland had gone through the pursuit of national security and international recognition after the collapse of communism. Then, it officially got a membership in NATO and the European Union. However, the outbreaks of pro-European demonstrations, Euromaidan, in late 2013 and the Crimean crisis in 2014 were challenging tasks for the Polish government. In addition, the Prawo i Sprawiedliwość (PiS) party won the presidential and parliamentary elections and got political party alternation. Since the new party told power, the security and diplomatic strategies it adopted were not only affected by neighboring countries but also affected by the big game of interregional power. This thesis starts with a review of the effects of the crisis in Ukraine and Crimea and further analyzes its role and position through literature. Besides, the thesis is based on the five-year foreign policy plans and foreign policy reports by years published by the Polish Ministry of Foreign Affairs. Other than attaching importance to national and economic security, it also attaches great importance to regional cooperation policies with neighboring countries. Poland, taking advantage of being memberships in NATO and the European Union, has given full play to its leadership of critical regional issues and the impact of regional integration. Poland is in the European-Russian fault line constituting a crucial area of complex security threats and national interests. To formulate a diplomatic strategy, it often adopts a more diversified and flexible hedging strategy to adjust its application in different situations. In order to further understand Poland`s diplomatic and security strategies, the thesis applies the hedging strategies to aspects of military security, energy security, and regional cooperation. It finds that apart from the national interest, Poland also coordinates well with allies` common interests. 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國立政治大學
俄羅斯研究所
106263009資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0106263009 資料類型 thesis dc.contributor.advisor 林永芳 zh_TW dc.contributor.advisor Lin, Yung-Fang en_US dc.contributor.author (Authors) 劉松宏 zh_TW dc.contributor.author (Authors) Liu, Sung-Hung en_US dc.creator (作者) 劉松宏 zh_TW dc.creator (作者) Liu, Sung-Hung en_US dc.date (日期) 2020 en_US dc.date.accessioned 2-Mar-2020 11:29:32 (UTC+8) - dc.date.available 2-Mar-2020 11:29:32 (UTC+8) - dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 2-Mar-2020 11:29:32 (UTC+8) - dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0106263009 en_US dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/128945 - dc.description (描述) 碩士 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 俄羅斯研究所 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 106263009 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) 國際政治的變化多元且複雜，身為歐俄地緣斷層帶中、小型國家的波蘭，經歷了共產瓦解之後對於國家安全和國際認同的追求，雖然隨後正式地成為北約和歐盟的成員國，但由於2013年末的烏克蘭親歐示威運動和2014年的克里米亞危機與烏東衝突，再加上波蘭的總統以及國會選舉全面地政黨輪替，所以自法律與公正黨執政以來於安全與外交上所採行的戰略不僅受到鄰近各國的影響，更牽動了區域間強權的大博弈。 本論文從回顧波蘭受到烏克蘭和克里米亞危機的影響入手，更進一步透過文獻分析其所扮演的角色和採取的立場。除此之外，本論文以波蘭外交部所公布的五年期外交政策計畫和逐年的外交政策報告為主，透過相互比較和分析，除了發現波蘭最注重軍事安全和經濟安全政策之外，也非常重視與周邊盟友間的區域合作政策，波蘭利用本身於北約和歐盟的優勢，充分地發揮了關鍵的區域議題主導能力和區域整合的影響力。 波蘭置身於應對安全威脅與利益權衡的歐俄地緣斷層帶中，在制定外交戰略時往往會選擇較多元且彈性的避險策略，並在不同情況下靈活地調整其策略的運用。本論文為了瞭解波蘭於外交和安全上所採取的策略，所以從避險策略的觀點，就軍事安全、能源安全和區域合作的角度切入，發現其於上述避險策略的選擇除了注重波蘭的國家利益之外，也相當重視盟友間的共同利益。是故，波蘭深知應於威脅與利益交錯的複雜國際情勢中，採取富有彈性和靈活的避險策略，以維護其自身的利益與安全。 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) International relations have become diversified in recent years. As a small and medium state( SMSs) in the EU-Russian geo-fault zone, Poland had gone through the pursuit of national security and international recognition after the collapse of communism. Then, it officially got a membership in NATO and the European Union. However, the outbreaks of pro-European demonstrations, Euromaidan, in late 2013 and the Crimean crisis in 2014 were challenging tasks for the Polish government. In addition, the Prawo i Sprawiedliwość (PiS) party won the presidential and parliamentary elections and got political party alternation. Since the new party told power, the security and diplomatic strategies it adopted were not only affected by neighboring countries but also affected by the big game of interregional power. This thesis starts with a review of the effects of the crisis in Ukraine and Crimea and further analyzes its role and position through literature. Besides, the thesis is based on the five-year foreign policy plans and foreign policy reports by years published by the Polish Ministry of Foreign Affairs. Other than attaching importance to national and economic security, it also attaches great importance to regional cooperation policies with neighboring countries. Poland, taking advantage of being memberships in NATO and the European Union, has given full play to its leadership of critical regional issues and the impact of regional integration. Poland is in the European-Russian fault line constituting a crucial area of complex security threats and national interests. To formulate a diplomatic strategy, it often adopts a more diversified and flexible hedging strategy to adjust its application in different situations. In order to further understand Poland`s diplomatic and security strategies, the thesis applies the hedging strategies to aspects of military security, energy security, and regional cooperation. It finds that apart from the national interest, Poland also coordinates well with allies` common interests. In summary, Poland is well aware that being in a complex international situation where threats and interests are intertwined, it is necessary to adopt hedging strategies to safeguard its interests and security. en_US dc.description.tableofcontents 第一章 緒論 1第一節 研究動機與目的 1第二節 文獻回顧 4第三節 研究途徑與方法 12第四節 研究範圍與限制 19第五節 章節安排 20第二章 烏克蘭危機與波蘭外交 22第一節 烏克蘭危機：西方與俄國的衝突 23第二節 烏克蘭危機：波蘭的立場與作為 27第三節 波蘭外交政策的變化 31第四節 小結 37第三章 避險策略下的波蘭安全 40第一節 波蘭的軍事安全 40第二節 波蘭的能源安全 51第三節 波蘭安全戰略的轉變 60第四節 小結 67第四章 避險策略下的波蘭外交 69第一節 波蘭的區域合作概況 70第二節 波蘭區域合作發展政策 78第三節 波蘭外交戰略的轉變 84第四節 小結 90第五章 結論 92 zh_TW dc.format.extent 2187409 bytes - dc.format.mimetype application/pdf - dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0106263009 en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) 波蘭 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 避險策略 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 軍事安全 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 能源安全 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 區域合作 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) Poland en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Hedging strategy en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Military security en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Energy security en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Regional cooperation en_US dc.title (題名) 避險策略下的波蘭外交與安全政策（2015–2019） zh_TW dc.title (題名) A Hedging Perspective on Poland’s Foreign and Security Policy, 2015‐2019 en_US dc.type (資料類型) thesis en_US dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 中文書籍Babbie, Earl，（2016）。社會科學研究方法（林秀雲譯）。 台北：雙葉書廊。中文期刊論文宋蔚泰，（2018）。扈從或抗衡：越南的南海避險策略。國防雜誌， 33（1）， 頁 69-100。張凱銘，（2018）。「避險」視角下中國對美國的網路強國戰略研究。問題與研究， 57（3）， 頁 97-104。楊三億，（2002）。後冷戰時期中、東歐地區權力結構分析。問題與研究， 41（2）， 頁 89-103。楊三億，（2004）。波蘭後冷戰時期的認同轉變與安全政策。問題與研究， 43（3）， 頁 49-75。楊三億，（2005）。歐盟東擴及其對波蘭衝擊：政治經濟面向之分析。全球政治評論，（11）， 頁 79-110。楊三億，（2006）。冷戰結束後波蘭外交政策走向分析。問題與研究， 45（4）， 頁 91-122。楊三億，（2014）。烏克蘭危機與美歐俄戰略格局。全球政治評論， 46， 頁 7-12。熊昊，（2008）。評析波蘭圖斯克新政府外交政策走勢：變動與以承襲。歐洲國際評論，（4）， 頁 25-43。蔡明彥，張凱銘，（2015）。「避險」戰略下大國互動模式之研究：以美中亞太戰略競合為例。遠景基金會季刊， 16（3）， 頁 1-44。俄文網際網路Все Санкции США И Евросоюза В Отношеннии России С 2014 Года, Retrieved September 15th 2019, from: https://www.currenttime.tv/a/russia-american-european-sanctions/29449693.htmlЕвросоюз на год продлил санкции против России из-за Крыма, Retrieved September 15th 2019, from: https://www.currenttime.tv/a/eu-sanctions-russia-crimea/30010683.htmlТрамп продлил санкции против России еще на год, Retrieved September 15th 2019, from: https://www.currenttime.tv/a/29803156.html英文書籍Auerbach, Michael P., (2017). 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