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題名 捷運對都會區內人口產業分布之影響 —台北捷運實證研究
The Impact of MRT on the Spatial Distribution of Population and Employment: 1991 - 2011作者 梁紹芳
Liang, Shao-Fang貢獻者 蔡育新
Tsai, Yu-Hsin
梁紹芳
Liang, Shao-Fang關鍵詞 土地使用變化
捷運可及性
旅次分析
台北捷運日期 2019 上傳時間 3-Aug-2020 18:06:23 (UTC+8) 摘要 交通運輸設施會透過改變地區可及性條件引發土地使用改變,進而影響土地系統的功能性,產生環境及社會經濟層面的衝擊。台北捷運系統首條路線通車於1996 年,然而過去針對台北都會區捷運系統對土地使用變化影響的研究中,較缺乏中長期及同時觀察人口、產業變化的實證研究。本研究以台北捷運系統為研究對象,以敘述性統計分析、空間分析、追蹤資料模型(Panel Data Analysis)等方法,實證分析台北捷運對都會區內人口、產業變化的影響。研究資料使用上以台北捷運旅次起訖(OD)資料進行人流分析,並結合相關人口、產業資料衡量居住活動、產業活動土地使用的強度。研究結果顯示,2011 年時台北都會區無論在工作導向之捷運旅次或休閒導向之捷運旅次上,台北捷運旅次起訖型態均以跨越市郊區型態旅次為主,顯示台北都會區核心區與其周圍地區仍舊保有高強度的連結。第二,捷運系統並不會顯著地影響捷運可及市郊地區間住業均衡程度(Jobs Housing Balance)的變化,以致增加或減少都會區內市郊間連接的情形。第三,村里透過捷運路網觸及到的遠端人口數量,會對當地三級產業土地使用密度產生正向影響,符合過去理論中一地土地使用變化除了本身內部驅動力外,亦與遠端消費者有關之理論假設。 參考文獻 中文參考文獻1.王一帆,2006,「捷運沿線土地使用變遷之影響因素分析—台北捷運板南線之實證研究」,國立交通大學交通運輸研究所碩士論文:新竹。2.李朝誌,2016,「高速公路對都市土地遠距連接的影響」,國立政治大學地政研究所碩士論文:台北。3.林楨家、馮正民、胡怡鴦,2004,「台北捷運藍線營運前後沿線發展變化之分析」。『運輸計劃季刊』,33(2):361-390。4.范聖堂,1992,「工作─居住均衡指標之建立及其應用」,國立交通大學交通運輸研究所碩士論文:新竹。5.凌瑞賢著,2012,『運輸規劃原理與實務』二版,台北:鼎漢國際工程顧問股份有限公司。6.張學聖、林孟瑤,2011,「捷運場站周邊土地使用變遷之初探-以臺北木柵線為例」。『建築與規劃學報』,12 (3): 199-214。7.黃榆心,2016,「高速鐵路對都市土地遠距連接之影響 —臺灣高鐵之實證研究」,國立政治大學地政研究所碩士論文:台北。8.蔡聚璇,2004,「捷運對台北都會區商業土地使用之影響」,國立政治大學地政研究所碩士論文:台北。9.顏子揚,2006,「捷運沿線土地使用變遷模擬模式之建構與應用」,國立交通大學交通運輸研究所碩士論文:新竹。10.Hill, R. C., Griffiths, W. E., Lim, G. C.著、黃智聰、梁儀盈合譯,2012,『計量經濟學』,台北:雙葉書廊有限公司。11.O’sullivan, Arthur著、于如陵譯,2008,『都市經濟學』,台北:建都文化事業股份有限公司。外文參考文獻1.Bollinger, C. R., and Ihlanfeldt, K. R., 2003, “The intraurban spatial distribution of employment: Which government interventions make a difference?”, Journal of Urban Economics, 53(3), 396-412.2.Bowman, J., and Ben-Akiva, M., 2001, “Activity-based disaggregate travel demand model system with activity schedules”, Transportation Research Part A: Policy And Practice, 35(1), 1-28.3.Calvo, F., Oña, J. D., and Arán, F., 2013, “Impact of the Madrid subway on population settlement and land use”, Land Use Policy, 31, 627-639.4.Cervero, R., 1989, “Jobs-Housing Balancing and Regional Mobility”, Journal of the American Planning Association, 55(2), 136-150.5.Cervero, R., and Landis, .J, 1997, “ Twenty years of the Bay Area Rapid Transit system: Land use and development impacts”, Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 31(4), 309-333.6.Cervero, R., and Landis. J., 1995, “The transportation–landuse connection still matters”, Access 7: 2-10.7.Eakin, H., DeFries, R., Kerr, S., Lambin, E. F., Liu, J., Marcotullio, P. J., Messerli, P., Reenberg, A., Rueda, X., Swaffield, S. R., Wicke, B. and Zimmerer, K., 2014, “Significance of telecoupling for exploration of land-use change”, Rethinking Global Land Use in an Urban Era, Massachusetts, USA, MIT Press8.Friis C and Nielsen JØ., 2014, “Exploring the potential of the telecoupling framework for understanding land change”, THESys Discussion Papers. Berlin, Germany: IRI THESys.9.Friis, C., Nielsen, J., Otero, I., Haberl, H., Niewöhner, J., and Hostert, P., 2015, “From teleconnection to telecoupling: taking stock of an emerging framework in land system science”, Journal Of Land Use Science, 11(2), 131-153.10.Geurs, K. T., and Wee, B. V., 2004, “Accessibility evaluation of land-use and transport strategies: Review and research directions”, Journal of Transport Geography, 12(2), 127-140.11.Giuliano, G., and A. Small, K., 1999, “The determinants of growth of employment subcenters”, Journal Of Transport Geography, 7(3), 189-201.12.Giuliano, G., and Small, K., 1991, “Subcenters in the Los Angeles region”, Regional Science And Urban Economics, 21(2),13.Giuliano, G., Redfearn, C., Agarwal, A., and He, S., 2011, “Network Accessibility and Employment Centres”, Urban Studies, 49(1), 77-95.14.Giuliano, G., 1995, “The Weakening-Transportation Land Use Connection. Access 6: 3-11.15.Güneralp, B., Seto, K. C., and Ramachandran, M., 2013, “Evidence of urban land teleconnections and impacts on hinterlands”, Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability,5(5), 445-451.16.Gutiérrez, G.J., 2001, “Location, economic potential and daily accessibility: An analysis of accessibility impact of the high-speed line Madrid-Barcelona-French Border”, Journal of Transport Geography, 9 (4), 229-242.17.Haberl, H., Fischer-Kowalski, M., Krausmann, F., Martinez-Alier, J. and Winiwarter, V., 2011, “A sociometabolic transition towards sustainability? Challenges for another Great Transformation”, Sustainable Development 19(1), 1-14.18.Hansen, W. G., 1959, “How accessibility shapes land use”, Journal of the American Institute of planners, 25(2), 73-76.19.Higgins, C., and Kanaroglou, P., 2016, “Forty years of modelling rapid transit’s land value uplift in North America: moving beyond the tip of the iceberg”, Transport Reviews, 36(5), 610-634.20.Iacono, M., Levinson, D., and El-Geneidy, A., 2008, “Models of Transportation and Land Use Change: A Guide to the Territory”, Journal Of Planning Literature, 22(4), 323-340.21.Jin, J., and Kim, D., 2017, “Expansion of the subway network and spatial distribution of population and employment in the Seoul metropolitan area”, Urban Studies, 55(11), 2499-2521.22.Kasraian, D., Maat, K., Stead, D., and Wee, B. V., 2016, “ Long-term impacts of transport infrastructure networks on land-use change: An international review of empirical studies”, Transport Reviews, 36(6), 772-792.23.Lee, M., and Holme, P., 2015, “Relating Land Use and Human Intra-City Mobility”, PLOS ONE, 10(10).24.Levinson, David M., 1998, “Accessibility and the journey to work”, Journal of Transport Geography, 6(1):11–21.25.Li, X., Huang, B., Li, R., and Zhang, Y., 2016, “Exploring the impact of high speed railways on the spatial redistribution of economic activities - Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration as a case study”, Journal Of Transport Geography, 57, 194-206.26.Liu, J., Hull, V., Batistella, M., DeFries, R., Dietz, T., Fu, F., Hertel, T. W., Izaurralde, R. C., Lambin, E. F., Li, S., Martinelli, L. A., McConnell, W. J., Moran, E. F., Naylor, R., Ouyang, Z., Polenske, K. R., Reenberg, A., Rocha, G. d. M., Simmons, C. S., Verburg, P. H., Vitousek, P. M., Zhang, F. and Zhu, C., 2013, “ Framing sustainability in a telecoupled world”, Ecology and Society 18(2).27.Meyfroidt, P., Lambin, E. F., Erb, K., and Hertel, T. W., 2013, “Globalization of land use: Distant drivers of land change and geographic displacement of land use”, Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, 5(5), 438-444.28.Moser, S. C., Hart, J., 2015, “The long arm of climate change: exploring climate change impacts via teleconnections”, Climate Chang , 29(1–2):13–2629.Pagliara, F., and Papa, E., 2011, “Urban rail systems investments: An analysis of the impacts on property values and residents’ location”, Journal of Transport Geography, 19(2), 200-211.30.Papa, E., and P. Coppola., 2012, “Gravity-based accessibility measures for integrated transport-land use planning (GraBAM). In Accessibility Instruments for Planning Practice”, edited by A. Hull, C. Silva, and L. Bertolini: COST Office.31.Peng, Z., 1997, “The Jobs-Housing Balance and Urban Commuting”, Urban Studies, 34(8), 1215-1235.32.Reid, W. V., Chen. D., Goldfarb. L., Hackmann. H., Lee, Y. T., Mokhele. K., Ostrom. E., Raivio . K., Rockström. J., Schellnhuber H. H., and Whyte. A., 2010, “Earth system science for global sustainability: grand challenges” Science 330:916-917.33.Seto, K. C., Reenberg, A., Boone, C. G., Fragkias, M., Haase, D., Langanke, T., and Simon, D., 2012, “Urban land teleconnections and sustainability”. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 109(20), 7687–7692.34.Silveira, L. E., Alves, D., Lima, N. M., Alcântara, A., and Puig, J., 2011, “Population and Railways in Portugal, 1801–1930”, Journal of Interdisciplinary History, 42(1), 29-52.35.Sultana, S., 2002, “Job/Housing Imbalance and Commuting Time in the Atlanta Metropolitan Area: Exploration of Causes of Longer Commuting Time”, Urban Geography, 23(8), 728-749.36.Tsou, K., and Cheng, H.,2013, “The effect of multiple urban network structures on retail patterns – A case study in Taipei, Taiwan”, Cities, 32, 13-23.37.Zhao, P., Lü, B., and Roo, G. D., 2011, “Impact of the jobs-housing balance on urban commuting in Beijing in the transformation era”, Journal of Transport Geography, 19(1), 59-69.38.Zhu, X., and Liu, S., 2004, “Analysis of the impact of the MRT system on accessibility in Singapore using an integrated GIS tool”, Journal Of Transport Geography, 12(2), 89-101.網頁參考文獻1.台北市政府資料開放平台,取用日期:2018 年12 月17 日取用自https://data.taipei/index2.台北市政府捷運工程局,取用日期:2018 年12 月17 日取用自https://www.dorts.gov.taipei/Default.aspx 描述 碩士
國立政治大學
地政學系
106257014資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0106257014 資料類型 thesis dc.contributor.advisor 蔡育新 zh_TW dc.contributor.advisor Tsai, Yu-Hsin en_US dc.contributor.author (Authors) 梁紹芳 zh_TW dc.contributor.author (Authors) Liang, Shao-Fang en_US dc.creator (作者) 梁紹芳 zh_TW dc.creator (作者) Liang, Shao-Fang en_US dc.date (日期) 2019 en_US dc.date.accessioned 3-Aug-2020 18:06:23 (UTC+8) - dc.date.available 3-Aug-2020 18:06:23 (UTC+8) - dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 3-Aug-2020 18:06:23 (UTC+8) - dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0106257014 en_US dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/131154 - dc.description (描述) 碩士 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 地政學系 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 106257014 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) 交通運輸設施會透過改變地區可及性條件引發土地使用改變,進而影響土地系統的功能性,產生環境及社會經濟層面的衝擊。台北捷運系統首條路線通車於1996 年,然而過去針對台北都會區捷運系統對土地使用變化影響的研究中,較缺乏中長期及同時觀察人口、產業變化的實證研究。本研究以台北捷運系統為研究對象,以敘述性統計分析、空間分析、追蹤資料模型(Panel Data Analysis)等方法,實證分析台北捷運對都會區內人口、產業變化的影響。研究資料使用上以台北捷運旅次起訖(OD)資料進行人流分析,並結合相關人口、產業資料衡量居住活動、產業活動土地使用的強度。研究結果顯示,2011 年時台北都會區無論在工作導向之捷運旅次或休閒導向之捷運旅次上,台北捷運旅次起訖型態均以跨越市郊區型態旅次為主,顯示台北都會區核心區與其周圍地區仍舊保有高強度的連結。第二,捷運系統並不會顯著地影響捷運可及市郊地區間住業均衡程度(Jobs Housing Balance)的變化,以致增加或減少都會區內市郊間連接的情形。第三,村里透過捷運路網觸及到的遠端人口數量,會對當地三級產業土地使用密度產生正向影響,符合過去理論中一地土地使用變化除了本身內部驅動力外,亦與遠端消費者有關之理論假設。 zh_TW dc.description.tableofcontents 第一章 緒論 1第一節 研究動機與目的 1第二節 研究內容 3第三節 研究方法與架構 5第二章 文獻探討 7第一節 交通運輸設施與土地使用變化 7第二節 國內外相關捷運實證研究 15第三章 研究設計 19第一節 研究假說 19第二節 研究範圍 20第三節 研究模型 24第四節 研究資料介紹 25第四章 實證分析 29第一節 台北都會區捷運對土地使用影響分析:1991-2011 29第二節 捷運旅次分析 41第三節 土地使用變化影響因素分析 53第四節 假說驗證 58第五章 結論與政策建議 61第一節 結論 61第二節 政策建議與研究限制 63參考文獻 65附錄 71 zh_TW dc.format.extent 4284254 bytes - dc.format.mimetype application/pdf - dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0106257014 en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) 土地使用變化 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 捷運可及性 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 旅次分析 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 台北捷運 zh_TW dc.title (題名) 捷運對都會區內人口產業分布之影響 —台北捷運實證研究 zh_TW dc.title (題名) The Impact of MRT on the Spatial Distribution of Population and Employment: 1991 - 2011 en_US dc.type (資料類型) thesis en_US dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 中文參考文獻1.王一帆,2006,「捷運沿線土地使用變遷之影響因素分析—台北捷運板南線之實證研究」,國立交通大學交通運輸研究所碩士論文:新竹。2.李朝誌,2016,「高速公路對都市土地遠距連接的影響」,國立政治大學地政研究所碩士論文:台北。3.林楨家、馮正民、胡怡鴦,2004,「台北捷運藍線營運前後沿線發展變化之分析」。『運輸計劃季刊』,33(2):361-390。4.范聖堂,1992,「工作─居住均衡指標之建立及其應用」,國立交通大學交通運輸研究所碩士論文:新竹。5.凌瑞賢著,2012,『運輸規劃原理與實務』二版,台北:鼎漢國際工程顧問股份有限公司。6.張學聖、林孟瑤,2011,「捷運場站周邊土地使用變遷之初探-以臺北木柵線為例」。『建築與規劃學報』,12 (3): 199-214。7.黃榆心,2016,「高速鐵路對都市土地遠距連接之影響 —臺灣高鐵之實證研究」,國立政治大學地政研究所碩士論文:台北。8.蔡聚璇,2004,「捷運對台北都會區商業土地使用之影響」,國立政治大學地政研究所碩士論文:台北。9.顏子揚,2006,「捷運沿線土地使用變遷模擬模式之建構與應用」,國立交通大學交通運輸研究所碩士論文:新竹。10.Hill, R. C., Griffiths, W. E., Lim, G. C.著、黃智聰、梁儀盈合譯,2012,『計量經濟學』,台北:雙葉書廊有限公司。11.O’sullivan, Arthur著、于如陵譯,2008,『都市經濟學』,台北:建都文化事業股份有限公司。外文參考文獻1.Bollinger, C. R., and Ihlanfeldt, K. R., 2003, “The intraurban spatial distribution of employment: Which government interventions make a difference?”, Journal of Urban Economics, 53(3), 396-412.2.Bowman, J., and Ben-Akiva, M., 2001, “Activity-based disaggregate travel demand model system with activity schedules”, Transportation Research Part A: Policy And Practice, 35(1), 1-28.3.Calvo, F., Oña, J. D., and Arán, F., 2013, “Impact of the Madrid subway on population settlement and land use”, Land Use Policy, 31, 627-639.4.Cervero, R., 1989, “Jobs-Housing Balancing and Regional Mobility”, Journal of the American Planning Association, 55(2), 136-150.5.Cervero, R., and Landis, .J, 1997, “ Twenty years of the Bay Area Rapid Transit system: Land use and development impacts”, Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 31(4), 309-333.6.Cervero, R., and Landis. J., 1995, “The transportation–landuse connection still matters”, Access 7: 2-10.7.Eakin, H., DeFries, R., Kerr, S., Lambin, E. F., Liu, J., Marcotullio, P. J., Messerli, P., Reenberg, A., Rueda, X., Swaffield, S. R., Wicke, B. and Zimmerer, K., 2014, “Significance of telecoupling for exploration of land-use change”, Rethinking Global Land Use in an Urban Era, Massachusetts, USA, MIT Press8.Friis C and Nielsen JØ., 2014, “Exploring the potential of the telecoupling framework for understanding land change”, THESys Discussion Papers. Berlin, Germany: IRI THESys.9.Friis, C., Nielsen, J., Otero, I., Haberl, H., Niewöhner, J., and Hostert, P., 2015, “From teleconnection to telecoupling: taking stock of an emerging framework in land system science”, Journal Of Land Use Science, 11(2), 131-153.10.Geurs, K. T., and Wee, B. V., 2004, “Accessibility evaluation of land-use and transport strategies: Review and research directions”, Journal of Transport Geography, 12(2), 127-140.11.Giuliano, G., and A. Small, K., 1999, “The determinants of growth of employment subcenters”, Journal Of Transport Geography, 7(3), 189-201.12.Giuliano, G., and Small, K., 1991, “Subcenters in the Los Angeles region”, Regional Science And Urban Economics, 21(2),13.Giuliano, G., Redfearn, C., Agarwal, A., and He, S., 2011, “Network Accessibility and Employment Centres”, Urban Studies, 49(1), 77-95.14.Giuliano, G., 1995, “The Weakening-Transportation Land Use Connection. Access 6: 3-11.15.Güneralp, B., Seto, K. C., and Ramachandran, M., 2013, “Evidence of urban land teleconnections and impacts on hinterlands”, Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability,5(5), 445-451.16.Gutiérrez, G.J., 2001, “Location, economic potential and daily accessibility: An analysis of accessibility impact of the high-speed line Madrid-Barcelona-French Border”, Journal of Transport Geography, 9 (4), 229-242.17.Haberl, H., Fischer-Kowalski, M., Krausmann, F., Martinez-Alier, J. and Winiwarter, V., 2011, “A sociometabolic transition towards sustainability? Challenges for another Great Transformation”, Sustainable Development 19(1), 1-14.18.Hansen, W. 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