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題名 工業用地地價對於製造業產值影響之探討
The Influence of the Industrial Land Price on the Output of Manufacturing作者 李健瑋
Li, Jian-Wei貢獻者 林左裕
Lin, Tso-Yu
李健瑋
Li, Jian-Wei關鍵詞 向量自我迴歸模型
時間序列資料
工業用地土地價格
製造業產值
Vector autoregression mode
Time series
Industrial land price
Output of manufacturing日期 2021 上傳時間 2-Mar-2021 14:43:44 (UTC+8) 摘要 本文藉由研究經濟活動指標(工業用地土地價格、製造業產值、消費者物價指數、製造業採購經理人指數)之間的動態交互關係，以研究工業用地土地價格的變動是如何實際地影響製造業產值。實證結果顯示，在台灣，工業用地土地價格負向影響製造業產值，影響效果至少遞延半年；反之，製造業產值變化並不會導致工業用地土地價格波動。而消費者物價指數、製造業採購經理人指數能部分解釋製造業產值，且影響方向為正；然此二者均無法解釋工業用地土地價格之變動。
This paper studies the dynamic interactions among indicators such as Industrial land price, output of manufactory, consumer price index, and manufacturing purchasing managers index. Aim to analysis that how the movement of industrial land price affects the output of manufactory.The empirical evidence suggests that Industrial land price certainly affects the output of manufactory in a negative way. On the contrary, the movement of industrial land price won’t affect the performance of the output of the manufacturing. The changes of the consumer price index and manufacturing purchasing managers index positively explain only part of the output of the manufacturing movement. But these two indicators can neither explain the movement of industrial land price.參考文獻 中文文獻工業局，「105 年度工業區開發與管理年報」。工業局，「106 年度工業區開發與管理年報」。工業局，「107 年度工業區開發與管理年報」。李文福，1991，「台灣製造業總要素生產力、技術進步與技術效率」，行政院經濟建設委員會研究報告。沈明展、林淑雯、邊泰明，2006，「台灣地區工業園區公共服務價值評估之研究」，『台灣土地研究』，8 (2)：49-72。沈育民，2002，「工業區土地之特徵價格函數」，國立成功大學都市計劃研究所碩士論文。林安樂，2000，「台灣經濟總要素生產力與競爭力分析」，中華經濟研究院報告。林淑雯，2005，「工業區地價組成因素之探討」，『土地問題研究季刊』，4 (1)：47-60。陳奉瑤、楊依蓁，2007，「個別估價與大量估價之準確性分析」，『住宅學報』，16 (2)：67-84。高長、季聲國、吳世英，1995，「台商在大陸投資製造業勞資關係之調查研究」，中華經濟研究院研究報告。連婉淳，2003，「工業區不動產價格影響因素之研究」，國立政治大學地政研究所碩士論文。許瑞堯，2003，「都市發展型態對製造業廠商產值影響之研究」，國立成功大學都市計劃研究所博士論文。張文玉，2007，「工業區管理、產業聚集與土地特徵價格之研究—以桃園縣為例」，國立政治大學地政研究所碩士論文。張金鶚、范垂爐，1993，「房地產真實交易價格之研究」，『住宅學報』，1 (1)：75-97。黃博怡、張大成、江欣怡，2006，「考慮總體經濟因素之企業危機預警模型」，『金融風險管理季刊』，2(2)：75-89。楊重信，2003，「台灣都市製造業動態外部之實證」，『都市與計畫』，30 (2)：91-117。麻匡復，2007，「產業群聚、政府與企業— 臺北新竹四個產業園區的比較研究」，國立政治大學地政研究所博士論文。戴婉蓉，2013，「廠商投資大陸對廠商訂價能力的影響-以台灣製造業為例」。清華大學經濟學系碩士論文。英文文獻Adams, D., Sousa, C., Tiesdell, S., 2010, “Brownfield development: A Comparison of North American and British Approaches.”, Urban Studies, 47 (1): 75-104.Alonso, W., 1964, Location and Land Use: Toward a General Theory of Land Rent, Cambridge, Mass: Harvard University Press.Arthur, O., 2000, Urban Economics, New York: McGraw-Hill Companies Inc.Audretsch, D.B., Yamawaki, H., 1988, “R&D Rivalry, Industrial Policy, and U.S.-Japanese Trade.”, The Review of Economics and Statistics, 70 (3): 438-447.Aumann, R., 1998, “On the Centipede Game.” Games and Economic Behavior, 23 (1): 97-105.Bae, Y., Sellers, J., 2007, “Globalization, the Developmental State and the Politics of Urban Growth in Korea: A Multilevel Analysis.”, International Journal of Urban and Regional Research, 31 (3): 543-560.Bhatta, B., 2009, “Modelling of Urban Growth Boundary Using Geoinformatics.”, International Journal of Digital Earth, 2 (4): 359-381.Brueckner, J.K., Rabenau, B., 1981, “Dynamics of Land-use For a Closed City.”, Regional Science and Urban Economics, 11 (1): 1-17.Cao, G., Feng, C., Tao, R., 2008, “Local “Land Finance” in China`s Urban Expansion: Challenges and Solutions.”, China & World Economy, 16 (2): 19-30.Capozz, D.R., Helsley, R.W., 1989, “The Fundamentals of Land Prices and Urban Growth.”, Journal of urban economics, 26 (3): 295-306.Chaganti, R.S., Mahajan, V., Sharma, S., 1985, “Corporate Board Size, Composition and Failure in Retailing Industry.” Journal of Management Studies, 22 (4): 400-417.Chang, H.F., Sigman, F., 2009, “The Effect of Joint and Several Liability Under Superfund on Brownfields.” International Review of Law and Economics, 27 (4): 363-384.Chen, W., Shen, Y., Wang, Y., 2018, “How Do Industrial Land Price Variations Affect Industrial Diffusion? Evidence from a Spatial Analysis of China.”, Land Use Policy, 71: 384-394.Chen, J., 2010, “Tentative Suggestion on Developing Countermeasure of Intensive Use of Industry Land in Shanghai.”, Shanghai Geology, 3: 9-31.Chen, W., He, R., Wu, Q., 2017, “A Novel Efficiency Measure Model for Industrial Land Use Based on Subvector Data Envelope Analysis and Spatial Analysis Method.”, Complexity, 2017 (10): 1-11.Chen, W., Shen, Y., Wang, Y., 2018, “Does Industrial Land Price Lead to Industrial Diffusion in China? An Empirical Study from a Spatial Perspective.” Sustainable Cities and Society, 40: 307-316.Clark, D.P., Kaserman, D.J., Melese, F., 1992, “Domestic Market Structure and International Trade in an Open Economy.”, Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 32: 3–15.Dai, X., Cheng, L., 2019, “Aggregate Productivity Losses from Factor Misallocation Across Chinese Manufacturing Firms.”, Economic Systems, 43 (1): 30-41.Du, J., Thill, J., Peiser, R.B., 2016, “Land Pricing and Its Impact on Land Use Efficiency in Post-land-reform China: A Case Study of Beijing.”, Cities, 50: 68-74.Feng, K., Wu, C., Han, H., Wu, Y., 2010, “Study on the Implementation Evaluation of Urban Construction Boundary in Land Use Planning: A Case Study of Hangzhou.”, Journal of Natural Resources, 25 (3): 376-385.Goldberg, M.A., Chinloy, P., 1990, “The stochastic city.” , Journal of Urban Economics, 28 (2): 187-203.He, C., Huang, Z., Wang, R., 2014, “Land Use Change and Economic Growth in Urban China: A Structural Equation Analysis.”, Urban Studies, 51 (13): 2880-2899.Hondroyiannis, G., Papapetrou, E., 2001, “Macroeconomic Influences on the Stock Market.”, Journal of Economics and Finance, 25: 33-49.Jebuni, C., Love, J., Forsyth, D., 1988, “Market Structure and LDCs` Manufactured Export Performance.”, World Development, 16(12): 1511-1520.Li, F., Fan, Z., Xiao, P., 2009, “Contamination, chemical speciation and vertical distribution of heavy metals in soils of an old and large industrial zone in Northeast China.”, Environmental Geology, 57 (8): 1815-1823.Lockwood, L.J., Rutherford, R.C., 1996, “Determinants of Industrial Property Value.”, Real Estate Economics, 24 (2): 257-272.Miceli, T., Segerson, K., 2007, “Private Property, Public Use, and Just Compensation: The Economics of Eminent Domain.”, University of Connecticut Department of Economics Working Paper.Rong, X., Wang, W., 2009, “Evaluation on Intensive Use of Rural Residential land: A Case Study of Suining County in Jiangsu Province.”, Resources Science, 31 (4): 612-618.Roo, G.d., Miller, D., 1997, Urban Environmental Planning: Policies, Instruments, and Methods in an International Perspective, Aldershot: Ashgate Publishing.Rooij, B., 2009, “Land loss and conflict in China: illustrated by cases from Yunnan province.”, pp. 435-465 in Legalising Land Rights, edited by Ubink, J.M., Hoekema, A.J., Assies, W.J., Leiden, Leiden University Press.Shu, H., Xiong, P., 2019, “Reallocation Planning of Urban Industrial Land for Structure Optimization and Emission Reduction: A Practical Analysis of Urban Agglomeration in China’s Yangtze River Delta.” Land Use Policy, 81: 604-623.Southey, C., 1974, “Spatial Rents, Spatial competition, and Efficiency.”, The Canadian Journal of Economics, 7 (2): 260-272.Thompson, B., 2001, “Industrial Land Values- A Guide to Future Markets?”, Journal of Real Estate Research, 21 (1/2): 55-76.Zhu, J., 2000, “The Impact of Industrial Land Use Policy on Industrial Change.” Land Use Policy, 17 (1): 21-28. 描述 碩士
國立政治大學
地政學系
106257018資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0106257018 資料類型 thesis dc.contributor.advisor 林左裕 zh_TW dc.contributor.advisor Lin, Tso-Yu en_US dc.contributor.author (Authors) 李健瑋 zh_TW dc.contributor.author (Authors) Li, Jian-Wei en_US dc.creator (作者) 李健瑋 zh_TW dc.creator (作者) Li, Jian-Wei en_US dc.date (日期) 2021 en_US dc.date.accessioned 2-Mar-2021 14:43:44 (UTC+8) - dc.date.available 2-Mar-2021 14:43:44 (UTC+8) - dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 2-Mar-2021 14:43:44 (UTC+8) - dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0106257018 en_US dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/134132 - dc.description (描述) 碩士 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 地政學系 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 106257018 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) 本文藉由研究經濟活動指標(工業用地土地價格、製造業產值、消費者物價指數、製造業採購經理人指數)之間的動態交互關係，以研究工業用地土地價格的變動是如何實際地影響製造業產值。實證結果顯示，在台灣，工業用地土地價格負向影響製造業產值，影響效果至少遞延半年；反之，製造業產值變化並不會導致工業用地土地價格波動。而消費者物價指數、製造業採購經理人指數能部分解釋製造業產值，且影響方向為正；然此二者均無法解釋工業用地土地價格之變動。 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) This paper studies the dynamic interactions among indicators such as Industrial land price, output of manufactory, consumer price index, and manufacturing purchasing managers index. Aim to analysis that how the movement of industrial land price affects the output of manufactory.The empirical evidence suggests that Industrial land price certainly affects the output of manufactory in a negative way. On the contrary, the movement of industrial land price won’t affect the performance of the output of the manufacturing. The changes of the consumer price index and manufacturing purchasing managers index positively explain only part of the output of the manufacturing movement. But these two indicators can neither explain the movement of industrial land price. en_US dc.description.tableofcontents 第一章 緒論 1第一節 研究動機與目的 1第二節 研究架構 5第三節 實證研究流程 7第二章 文獻回顧 9第一節 工業用地地價相關文獻 9第二節 製造業產值相關文獻 14第三節 小結 16第三章 研究方法 17第一節 時間序列資料處理 17第二節 時間序列資料分析模型 22第四章 實證分析 29第一節 資料來源與變數說明 29第二節 單根檢定 42第三節 向量自我迴歸模型 44第四節 衝擊反應函數 49第五節 預測誤差變異數分解 51第五章 結論與建議 54參考文獻 59 zh_TW dc.format.extent 2789857 bytes - dc.format.mimetype application/pdf - dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0106257018 en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) 向量自我迴歸模型 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 時間序列資料 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 工業用地土地價格 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 製造業產值 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) Vector autoregression mode en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Time series en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Industrial land price en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Output of manufacturing en_US dc.title (題名) 工業用地地價對於製造業產值影響之探討 zh_TW dc.title (題名) The Influence of the Industrial Land Price on the Output of Manufacturing en_US dc.type (資料類型) thesis en_US dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 中文文獻工業局，「105 年度工業區開發與管理年報」。工業局，「106 年度工業區開發與管理年報」。工業局，「107 年度工業區開發與管理年報」。李文福，1991，「台灣製造業總要素生產力、技術進步與技術效率」，行政院經濟建設委員會研究報告。沈明展、林淑雯、邊泰明，2006，「台灣地區工業園區公共服務價值評估之研究」，『台灣土地研究』，8 (2)：49-72。沈育民，2002，「工業區土地之特徵價格函數」，國立成功大學都市計劃研究所碩士論文。林安樂，2000，「台灣經濟總要素生產力與競爭力分析」，中華經濟研究院報告。林淑雯，2005，「工業區地價組成因素之探討」，『土地問題研究季刊』，4 (1)：47-60。陳奉瑤、楊依蓁，2007，「個別估價與大量估價之準確性分析」，『住宅學報』，16 (2)：67-84。高長、季聲國、吳世英，1995，「台商在大陸投資製造業勞資關係之調查研究」，中華經濟研究院研究報告。連婉淳，2003，「工業區不動產價格影響因素之研究」，國立政治大學地政研究所碩士論文。許瑞堯，2003，「都市發展型態對製造業廠商產值影響之研究」，國立成功大學都市計劃研究所博士論文。張文玉，2007，「工業區管理、產業聚集與土地特徵價格之研究—以桃園縣為例」，國立政治大學地政研究所碩士論文。張金鶚、范垂爐，1993，「房地產真實交易價格之研究」，『住宅學報』，1 (1)：75-97。黃博怡、張大成、江欣怡，2006，「考慮總體經濟因素之企業危機預警模型」，『金融風險管理季刊』，2(2)：75-89。楊重信，2003，「台灣都市製造業動態外部之實證」，『都市與計畫』，30 (2)：91-117。麻匡復，2007，「產業群聚、政府與企業— 臺北新竹四個產業園區的比較研究」，國立政治大學地政研究所博士論文。戴婉蓉，2013，「廠商投資大陸對廠商訂價能力的影響-以台灣製造業為例」。清華大學經濟學系碩士論文。英文文獻Adams, D., Sousa, C., Tiesdell, S., 2010, “Brownfield development: A Comparison of North American and British Approaches.”, Urban Studies, 47 (1): 75-104.Alonso, W., 1964, Location and Land Use: Toward a General Theory of Land Rent, Cambridge, Mass: Harvard University Press.Arthur, O., 2000, Urban Economics, New York: McGraw-Hill Companies Inc.Audretsch, D.B., Yamawaki, H., 1988, “R&D Rivalry, Industrial Policy, and U.S.-Japanese Trade.”, The Review of Economics and Statistics, 70 (3): 438-447.Aumann, R., 1998, “On the Centipede Game.” Games and Economic Behavior, 23 (1): 97-105.Bae, Y., Sellers, J., 2007, “Globalization, the Developmental State and the Politics of Urban Growth in Korea: A Multilevel Analysis.”, International Journal of Urban and Regional Research, 31 (3): 543-560.Bhatta, B., 2009, “Modelling of Urban Growth Boundary Using Geoinformatics.”, International Journal of Digital Earth, 2 (4): 359-381.Brueckner, J.K., Rabenau, B., 1981, “Dynamics of Land-use For a Closed City.”, Regional Science and Urban Economics, 11 (1): 1-17.Cao, G., Feng, C., Tao, R., 2008, “Local “Land Finance” in China`s Urban Expansion: Challenges and Solutions.”, China & World Economy, 16 (2): 19-30.Capozz, D.R., Helsley, R.W., 1989, “The Fundamentals of Land Prices and Urban Growth.”, Journal of urban economics, 26 (3): 295-306.Chaganti, R.S., Mahajan, V., Sharma, S., 1985, “Corporate Board Size, Composition and Failure in Retailing Industry.” Journal of Management Studies, 22 (4): 400-417.Chang, H.F., Sigman, F., 2009, “The Effect of Joint and Several Liability Under Superfund on Brownfields.” International Review of Law and Economics, 27 (4): 363-384.Chen, W., Shen, Y., Wang, Y., 2018, “How Do Industrial Land Price Variations Affect Industrial Diffusion? Evidence from a Spatial Analysis of China.”, Land Use Policy, 71: 384-394.Chen, J., 2010, “Tentative Suggestion on Developing Countermeasure of Intensive Use of Industry Land in Shanghai.”, Shanghai Geology, 3: 9-31.Chen, W., He, R., Wu, Q., 2017, “A Novel Efficiency Measure Model for Industrial Land Use Based on Subvector Data Envelope Analysis and Spatial Analysis Method.”, Complexity, 2017 (10): 1-11.Chen, W., Shen, Y., Wang, Y., 2018, “Does Industrial Land Price Lead to Industrial Diffusion in China? An Empirical Study from a Spatial Perspective.” Sustainable Cities and Society, 40: 307-316.Clark, D.P., Kaserman, D.J., Melese, F., 1992, “Domestic Market Structure and International Trade in an Open Economy.”, Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 32: 3–15.Dai, X., Cheng, L., 2019, “Aggregate Productivity Losses from Factor Misallocation Across Chinese Manufacturing Firms.”, Economic Systems, 43 (1): 30-41.Du, J., Thill, J., Peiser, R.B., 2016, “Land Pricing and Its Impact on Land Use Efficiency in Post-land-reform China: A Case Study of Beijing.”, Cities, 50: 68-74.Feng, K., Wu, C., Han, H., Wu, Y., 2010, “Study on the Implementation Evaluation of Urban Construction Boundary in Land Use Planning: A Case Study of Hangzhou.”, Journal of Natural Resources, 25 (3): 376-385.Goldberg, M.A., Chinloy, P., 1990, “The stochastic city.” , Journal of Urban Economics, 28 (2): 187-203.He, C., Huang, Z., Wang, R., 2014, “Land Use Change and Economic Growth in Urban China: A Structural Equation Analysis.”, Urban Studies, 51 (13): 2880-2899.Hondroyiannis, G., Papapetrou, E., 2001, “Macroeconomic Influences on the Stock Market.”, Journal of Economics and Finance, 25: 33-49.Jebuni, C., Love, J., Forsyth, D., 1988, “Market Structure and LDCs` Manufactured Export Performance.”, World Development, 16(12): 1511-1520.Li, F., Fan, Z., Xiao, P., 2009, “Contamination, chemical speciation and vertical distribution of heavy metals in soils of an old and large industrial zone in Northeast China.”, Environmental Geology, 57 (8): 1815-1823.Lockwood, L.J., Rutherford, R.C., 1996, “Determinants of Industrial Property Value.”, Real Estate Economics, 24 (2): 257-272.Miceli, T., Segerson, K., 2007, “Private Property, Public Use, and Just Compensation: The Economics of Eminent Domain.”, University of Connecticut Department of Economics Working Paper.Rong, X., Wang, W., 2009, “Evaluation on Intensive Use of Rural Residential land: A Case Study of Suining County in Jiangsu Province.”, Resources Science, 31 (4): 612-618.Roo, G.d., Miller, D., 1997, Urban Environmental Planning: Policies, Instruments, and Methods in an International Perspective, Aldershot: Ashgate Publishing.Rooij, B., 2009, “Land loss and conflict in China: illustrated by cases from Yunnan province.”, pp. 435-465 in Legalising Land Rights, edited by Ubink, J.M., Hoekema, A.J., Assies, W.J., Leiden, Leiden University Press.Shu, H., Xiong, P., 2019, “Reallocation Planning of Urban Industrial Land for Structure Optimization and Emission Reduction: A Practical Analysis of Urban Agglomeration in China’s Yangtze River Delta.” Land Use Policy, 81: 604-623.Southey, C., 1974, “Spatial Rents, Spatial competition, and Efficiency.”, The Canadian Journal of Economics, 7 (2): 260-272.Thompson, B., 2001, “Industrial Land Values- A Guide to Future Markets?”, Journal of Real Estate Research, 21 (1/2): 55-76.Zhu, J., 2000, “The Impact of Industrial Land Use Policy on Industrial Change.” Land Use Policy, 17 (1): 21-28. zh_TW dc.identifier.doi (DOI) 10.6814/NCCU202100251 en_US
