dc.contributor | 選研中心 | |
dc.creator (作者) | 俞振華 | |
dc.creator (作者) | Yu, Eric Chen-hua | |
dc.date (日期) | 2020-08 | |
dc.date.accessioned | 27-May-2021 14:35:43 (UTC+8) | - |
dc.date.available | 27-May-2021 14:35:43 (UTC+8) | - |
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) | 27-May-2021 14:35:43 (UTC+8) | - |
dc.identifier.uri (URI) | http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/135236 | - |
dc.description.abstract (摘要) | This paper analyzes the extent to which the performances of local and national governments can shape local election outcomes. Specifically, we use various waves of survey data from Taiwan’s Elections and Democratization Studies (TEDS) to explore whether a person’s assessments of local and central government performances affect his/her vote for the incumbent party candidate. Our empirical findings partially verify the so-called “referendum theory” and can be summarized as follows: First, voters who hold a positive assessment of the performance of local government are more likely to vote for an incumbent who seeks reelection, but this is not necessarily the case for an incumbent party candidate in an open-seat contest. Second, Taiwan’s local elections cannot be regarded as referenda on the central government because the central government approval rating does not consistently affect vote choices across different types/levels of local elections. | |
dc.format.extent | 542026 bytes | - |
dc.format.mimetype | application/pdf | - |
dc.relation (關聯) | Journal of Asian and African Studies | |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | Local elections ; midterm elections ; referendum theory ; government performance ; approval rating ; incumbency | |
dc.title (題名) | Examining the `Referendum Theory` in Taiwan’s Local Elections | |
dc.type (資料類型) | article | |
dc.identifier.doi (DOI) | 10.1177%2F0021909620966769 | |
dc.doi.uri (DOI) | https://doi.org/10.1177%2F0021909620966769 | |