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題名 論雙北公共運輸定期票政策之效果與影響
The Effect and Influence of the Unlimited Monthly Transit Pass Policy in Taipei Metropolitan Area作者 張恩睿
Chang, En-Jui貢獻者 陳鎮洲
Chen, Jenn-Jou
張恩睿
Chang, En-Jui關鍵詞 公共運輸
定期票
外部性
Public Transport
Unlimited Transit Pass
Externalities日期 2021 上傳時間 1-Jul-2021 20:26:17 (UTC+8) 摘要 台北都會區於2018年4月16日起實施了公共運輸定期票政策。本研究使用迴歸不連續法，估計此政策對於對於台北捷運系統運輸量在短期的處理果。此外，我們也討論了這個政策是否能降低私人運輸工具所帶來的外部性。實證結果顯示此政策增加了捷運站的每日平均進出站人數，民眾受到了此政策的鼓勵，更加願意搭乘捷運。然而，並沒有任何統計上的證據表明此政策能在短期減輕交通阻塞與空氣污染。
A policy of unlimited monthly transit pass was implemented in the Taipei metropolitan area on April 16, 2018. This research uses regression discontinuity design to estimate the short-run treatment effect of the policy on the ridership of the mass rapid transit (MRT) system. In addition, I discuss whether the policy can reduce the externality caused by private vehicles. The results show that the policy increases the average of entries and exits in MRT stations. People are encouraged to take the MRT through the policy. However, there is no evidence that the policy can mitigate traffic congestion and air pollution in the short run.參考文獻 方炳超 (2019年4月23日)。 1280月票滿周年》雙北共砸9億到底成效如何？3張「成績單」帶你看定期票政策。取 https://www.storm.mg/article/1202145Anderson, M. L. (2014). Subways, Strikes, and Slowdowns: The Impacts of Public Transit on Traffic Congestion. American Economic Review, 104(9), 2763–2796Arana, P., Cabezudo, S., & Peñalba, M. (2014). Influence of weather conditions on. transit ridership: A statistical study using data from Smartcards. Transportation Research Part A, 59, 1-12Auffhammer, M. & Kellogg, R. (2011). Clearing the Air? The Effects of Gasoline Content Regulation on Air Quality. American Economic Review, 101(6), 2687-2722Adler, M. W. & Ommeren, J. N. (2016). Does public transit reduce car travel externalities? Quasi-natural experiments’ evidence from transit strikes. Journal of Urban Economics, 92, 106–119Barreca, A. I., Guldi, M., Lindo, J. M., & Waddell, G. R. (2011). Saving babies? Revisiting the effect of very low birth weight classification. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 126(4), 2117-2123Brown, J., Hess, D. B., & Shoup D. (2001). Unlimited Access. Transportation, 28, 233-Regulation in the Presence of Multiple Unpriced Externalities: Evidence from the Transportation Sector. American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 6(3), 1-29Carbajo, J. C. (1988). The Economics of Travel Passes: Non-Uniform Pricing in Transport. Journal of Transport Economics and Policy, 22(2), 153-173Cameron, A. C., Gelbach, J. B., & Miller, D.L. (2011). Robust Inference with Multiway Clustering. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 29 (2), 238-49.Cheu, R. L. and Kreinovich, V. (2007). Exponential Disutility Functions in Transportation Problems: A New Theoretical Justification. Departmental Technical Reports (CS). Paper 98.Chen, C., Varley, D., and Chen, J (2011). What Affects Transit Ridership? A Dynamic Analysis involving Multiple Factors, Lags and Asymmetric Behaviour. Urban Studies, 48(9), 1893-1908Chen, Y. H. & Whalley, A. (2012). Green Infrastructure: The Effects of Urban Rail Transit on Air Quality. American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 4 (1), 58–97.Doxsey, L. B. (1984). Demand for Unlimited Use Transit Passes. Journal of Transport Economics and Policy, 18(1), 7-22Ellaway, A., Macintyre, S., Hiscock, R., & Kearns, A. (2003). In the driving seat: psychosocial benefits from private motor vehicle transport compared to public transport. Transportation Research Part F, 6, 217-231FitzRoy, F. & Smith, I. (1998). Public transport demand in Freiburg: why did. patronage double in a decade? Transport Policy, 5, 163–173Habib, K. N. & Hasnine, S. (2019). An econometric investigation of the influence of t ransit passes on transit users’ behavior in Toronto. Public Transport, 11, 111-133Hausman, C. & Rapson D. S. (2018). Regression Discontinuity in Time: Considerations practice. Journal of Econometrics, 142, 615-635Lo, S. C. & Hall, R. W. (2006). Effects of the Los Angeles transit strike on highway congestion. Transportation Research Part A, 40, 903–917Li, L., Qian, J., Ou, C. Q., Zhou, Y. X. Guo, C., & Guo, Y. (2014). Spatial and temporal analysis of Air Pollution Index and its timescale-dependent relationship with meteorological factors in Guangzhou, China, 2001-2011. Environmental Pollution, 190, 75-81McCrary, J. (2008). Manipulation of the running variable in the regression discontinuity design: A density test. Journal of Econometrics ,142, 698–714McLeod, M. S., Flannelly, K. J., Flannelly, L., & Behnke, R. W. (1991). Multivariate Time-Series Model of Transit Ridership Based on Historical, Aggregate Data: The Past, Present, and Future of Honolulu. Transportation Research Record, 1297, 76-84Najafabadi, S., Hamidi, A., Allahviranloo, M., & Devineni N. (2019). Does demand for subway ridership in Manhattan depend on the rainfall events? Transport Policy, 74, 201-213Sherman, R. (1967). Club Subscriptions for Public Transport Passengers. Journal of Transport Economics and Policy, 1(3), 237-242Scott, D. M. & Axhausen, K.W. (2006). Household mobility tool ownership: modeling. interactions between cars and season tickets. Transportation, 33, 311-328Sun, C. W., Luo, Y., & Li J. L. (2018). Urban traffic infrastructure investment and air pollution: Evidence from the 83 cities in China. Journal of Cleaner Production, 172, 488-496Taipei city government, Department of Transportation. (2020). 2019 Statistical year book of transportation, Taipei city. Retrieved from https://www.dot.gov.taipei/News.aspx?n=902EA6821196B316&sms=BE0EFDE1C72BF608Thøgersen, J. (2009). Promoting public transport as a subscription service: Effects of a free month travel card. Transport Policy, 16, 335–343Taylor, B.D. & Fink, F.N.Y. (2003). The Factors Influencing Transit Ridership: A. Review and Analysis of the Ridership Literature. UCLA, Los Angeles Transit Administration.White, P. R. (1981). "Travelcard" Tickets in Urban Public Transport. Journal of. Transport Economics and Policy, 15(1), 17-34 描述 碩士
國立政治大學
經濟學系
108258002資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0108258002 資料類型 thesis dc.contributor.advisor 陳鎮洲 zh_TW dc.contributor.advisor Chen, Jenn-Jou en_US dc.contributor.author (Authors) 張恩睿 zh_TW dc.contributor.author (Authors) Chang, En-Jui en_US dc.creator (作者) 張恩睿 zh_TW dc.creator (作者) Chang, En-Jui en_US dc.date (日期) 2021 en_US dc.date.accessioned 1-Jul-2021 20:26:17 (UTC+8) - dc.date.available 1-Jul-2021 20:26:17 (UTC+8) - dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 1-Jul-2021 20:26:17 (UTC+8) - dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0108258002 en_US dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/135995 - dc.description (描述) 碩士 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 經濟學系 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 108258002 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) 台北都會區於2018年4月16日起實施了公共運輸定期票政策。本研究使用迴歸不連續法，估計此政策對於對於台北捷運系統運輸量在短期的處理果。此外，我們也討論了這個政策是否能降低私人運輸工具所帶來的外部性。實證結果顯示此政策增加了捷運站的每日平均進出站人數，民眾受到了此政策的鼓勵，更加願意搭乘捷運。然而，並沒有任何統計上的證據表明此政策能在短期減輕交通阻塞與空氣污染。 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) A policy of unlimited monthly transit pass was implemented in the Taipei metropolitan area on April 16, 2018. This research uses regression discontinuity design to estimate the short-run treatment effect of the policy on the ridership of the mass rapid transit (MRT) system. In addition, I discuss whether the policy can reduce the externality caused by private vehicles. The results show that the policy increases the average of entries and exits in MRT stations. People are encouraged to take the MRT through the policy. However, there is no evidence that the policy can mitigate traffic congestion and air pollution in the short run. en_US dc.description.tableofcontents 1. Introduction 12. Literature Review 53. Theoretical Model 74. Empirical Design 104.1 Regression Discontinuity Model 114.2 Data 135. Estimation Results 155.1 RD estimation results 155.2 Subgroup Analysis 175.3 Sorting behavior and donut RD estimation 196. Falsification Test 236.1 Balance test 236.2 Placebo cutoffs 247. Discussion about Externality 277.1 Traffic congestion 277.2 Air pollution 298. Conclusion 32References 34 zh_TW dc.format.extent 2280868 bytes - dc.format.mimetype application/pdf - dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0108258002 en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) 公共運輸 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 定期票 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 外部性 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) Public Transport en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Unlimited Transit Pass en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Externalities en_US dc.title (題名) 論雙北公共運輸定期票政策之效果與影響 zh_TW dc.title (題名) The Effect and Influence of the Unlimited Monthly Transit Pass Policy in Taipei Metropolitan Area en_US dc.type (資料類型) thesis en_US dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 方炳超 (2019年4月23日)。 1280月票滿周年》雙北共砸9億到底成效如何？3張「成績單」帶你看定期票政策。取 https://www.storm.mg/article/1202145Anderson, M. L. (2014). Subways, Strikes, and Slowdowns: The Impacts of Public Transit on Traffic Congestion. American Economic Review, 104(9), 2763–2796Arana, P., Cabezudo, S., & Peñalba, M. (2014). Influence of weather conditions on. transit ridership: A statistical study using data from Smartcards. Transportation Research Part A, 59, 1-12Auffhammer, M. & Kellogg, R. (2011). Clearing the Air? The Effects of Gasoline Content Regulation on Air Quality. American Economic Review, 101(6), 2687-2722Adler, M. W. & Ommeren, J. N. (2016). Does public transit reduce car travel externalities? Quasi-natural experiments’ evidence from transit strikes. Journal of Urban Economics, 92, 106–119Barreca, A. I., Guldi, M., Lindo, J. M., & Waddell, G. R. (2011). Saving babies? Revisiting the effect of very low birth weight classification. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 126(4), 2117-2123Brown, J., Hess, D. B., & Shoup D. (2001). Unlimited Access. Transportation, 28, 233-Regulation in the Presence of Multiple Unpriced Externalities: Evidence from the Transportation Sector. American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 6(3), 1-29Carbajo, J. C. (1988). The Economics of Travel Passes: Non-Uniform Pricing in Transport. Journal of Transport Economics and Policy, 22(2), 153-173Cameron, A. C., Gelbach, J. B., & Miller, D.L. (2011). Robust Inference with Multiway Clustering. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 29 (2), 238-49.Cheu, R. L. and Kreinovich, V. (2007). Exponential Disutility Functions in Transportation Problems: A New Theoretical Justification. Departmental Technical Reports (CS). Paper 98.Chen, C., Varley, D., and Chen, J (2011). What Affects Transit Ridership? A Dynamic Analysis involving Multiple Factors, Lags and Asymmetric Behaviour. Urban Studies, 48(9), 1893-1908Chen, Y. H. & Whalley, A. (2012). Green Infrastructure: The Effects of Urban Rail Transit on Air Quality. American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 4 (1), 58–97.Doxsey, L. B. (1984). Demand for Unlimited Use Transit Passes. Journal of Transport Economics and Policy, 18(1), 7-22Ellaway, A., Macintyre, S., Hiscock, R., & Kearns, A. (2003). In the driving seat: psychosocial benefits from private motor vehicle transport compared to public transport. Transportation Research Part F, 6, 217-231FitzRoy, F. & Smith, I. (1998). Public transport demand in Freiburg: why did. patronage double in a decade? Transport Policy, 5, 163–173Habib, K. N. & Hasnine, S. (2019). An econometric investigation of the influence of t ransit passes on transit users’ behavior in Toronto. Public Transport, 11, 111-133Hausman, C. & Rapson D. S. (2018). Regression Discontinuity in Time: Considerations practice. Journal of Econometrics, 142, 615-635Lo, S. C. & Hall, R. W. (2006). Effects of the Los Angeles transit strike on highway congestion. Transportation Research Part A, 40, 903–917Li, L., Qian, J., Ou, C. Q., Zhou, Y. X. Guo, C., & Guo, Y. (2014). Spatial and temporal analysis of Air Pollution Index and its timescale-dependent relationship with meteorological factors in Guangzhou, China, 2001-2011. Environmental Pollution, 190, 75-81McCrary, J. (2008). Manipulation of the running variable in the regression discontinuity design: A density test. Journal of Econometrics ,142, 698–714McLeod, M. S., Flannelly, K. J., Flannelly, L., & Behnke, R. W. (1991). Multivariate Time-Series Model of Transit Ridership Based on Historical, Aggregate Data: The Past, Present, and Future of Honolulu. Transportation Research Record, 1297, 76-84Najafabadi, S., Hamidi, A., Allahviranloo, M., & Devineni N. (2019). Does demand for subway ridership in Manhattan depend on the rainfall events? Transport Policy, 74, 201-213Sherman, R. (1967). Club Subscriptions for Public Transport Passengers. Journal of Transport Economics and Policy, 1(3), 237-242Scott, D. M. & Axhausen, K.W. (2006). Household mobility tool ownership: modeling. interactions between cars and season tickets. Transportation, 33, 311-328Sun, C. W., Luo, Y., & Li J. L. (2018). Urban traffic infrastructure investment and air pollution: Evidence from the 83 cities in China. Journal of Cleaner Production, 172, 488-496Taipei city government, Department of Transportation. (2020). 2019 Statistical year book of transportation, Taipei city. Retrieved from https://www.dot.gov.taipei/News.aspx?n=902EA6821196B316&sms=BE0EFDE1C72BF608Thøgersen, J. (2009). Promoting public transport as a subscription service: Effects of a free month travel card. Transport Policy, 16, 335–343Taylor, B.D. & Fink, F.N.Y. (2003). The Factors Influencing Transit Ridership: A. Review and Analysis of the Ridership Literature. UCLA, Los Angeles Transit Administration.White, P. R. (1981). "Travelcard" Tickets in Urban Public Transport. Journal of. Transport Economics and Policy, 15(1), 17-34 zh_TW dc.identifier.doi (DOI) 10.6814/NCCU202100538 en_US
