| dc.contributor.advisor | 胡偉民<br>黃柏鈞 | zh_TW |
| dc.contributor.advisor | Hu, Wei-Min<br>Huang, Po-Chun | en_US |
| dc.contributor.author (Authors) | 許珮嘉 | zh_TW |
| dc.contributor.author (Authors) | Hsu, Pei-Chia | en_US |
| dc.creator (作者) | 許珮嘉 | zh_TW |
| dc.creator (作者) | Hsu, Pei-Chia | en_US |
| dc.date (日期) | 2021 | en_US |
| dc.date.accessioned | 4-Aug-2021 16:04:35 (UTC+8) | - |
| dc.date.available | 4-Aug-2021 16:04:35 (UTC+8) | - |
| dc.date.issued (上傳時間) | 4-Aug-2021 16:04:35 (UTC+8) | - |
| dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) | G0108255018 | en_US |
| dc.identifier.uri (URI) | http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/136586 | - |
| dc.description (描述) | 碩士 | zh_TW |
| dc.description (描述) | 國立政治大學 | zh_TW |
| dc.description (描述) | 財政學系 | zh_TW |
| dc.description (描述) | 108255018 | zh_TW |
| dc.description.abstract (摘要) | 隨著中國經濟快速發展，城市的汽車保有量快速成長，但也導致交通擁堵、空氣汙染、能源短缺的問題日益嚴重。北京市於2010年12月23日公佈汽車限購政策，希望透過控制汽車總量的方式，減緩汽車增加的速度。但由於在北京購車需先透過搖號方式獲得車牌，其中籤率很低，因此北京居民可能到鄰近城市購買汽車並註冊車牌，而產生政策外溢效果，降低政策的有效性。因此本文使用雙重差分法進行估計，研究北京市在實施汽車限購政策後，政策對於鄰近城市汽車銷售量的影響，以觀察政策的外溢效果。本文之資料來源為中國月度新車登錄資料，樣本資料期間為2009年1月至2012年12月。依照與北京距離遠近區分實驗組與控制組，距離北京較近的縣為實驗組，距離北京較遠的縣為控制組。實證結果顯示，在汽車限購政策實施後，距離北京較近的縣相對於距離北京較遠的縣，汽車銷售量顯著增加，且隨著與北京的距離越近，其效果越大，因此存在著政策的外溢效果。 | zh_TW |
| dc.description.abstract (摘要) | With the rapid economic growth in China, automobile ownership and use has increased over the past decades. However, it led to exacerbated traffic congestion, worsened air pollution, and energy consumption, these problems have become increasingly serious. Therefore, Beijing government adopted Automobile Purchase Restriction Policy in December 23,2010, hoping through the policy it could constrain the quantity of automobiles, and decrease the growth rate of automobiles. However, Beijing employs lottery policy with low winning rate, it causes that residents may purchase and register their cars in neighboring cities, and the spillover effect may reduce the policy’s effectiveness. Therefore, this article uses Difference-in-Differences method to analyze how the sales of neighboring cities would be affected after the Automobile Purchase Restriction Policy, and this article aims to explore the spillover effect.Data used in this article is from Monthly Increase in Registered Vehicles Across China. During the period from January 2009 to December 2012, we set the neighboring districts as an experimental group and the far districts as a control group. The empirical results show that after the Automobile Purchase Restriction Policy, the sales of automobiles significantly increase by compared neighboring districts and far districts. As the distance gets nearer, the sales of automobiles have a significant positive impact. The results reveal that the Automobile Purchase Restriction Policy has the spillover effect to the neighboring areas. | en_US |
| dc.description.tableofcontents | 第一章 緒論 1第一節 研究背景與動機 1第二節 研究目的 9第三節 研究流程 9第二章 文獻回顧 10第一節 汽車限購政策發展 10第二節 汽車限購外溢效果 12第三章 實證模型與資料分析 13第一節 實證模型 13第二節 資料來源及處理 18第三節 變數選取 20第四節 敘述統計 22第四章 實證結果 24第一節 實證分析 24第二節 穩健性分析 32第五章 結論 33第一節 研究結論 33第二節 研究限制 34第六章 參考文獻 35 | zh_TW |
| dc.format.extent | 2057555 bytes | - |
| dc.format.mimetype | application/pdf | - |
| dc.source.uri (資料來源) | http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0108255018 | en_US |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 汽車限購政策 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 外溢效果 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 雙重差分法 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | Automobile Purchase Restriction Policy | en_US |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | Spillover effect | en_US |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | Difference-in-Differences | en_US |
| dc.title (題名) | 北京市汽車限購政策的外溢效果 | zh_TW |
| dc.title (題名) | The Spillover Effect of the Automobile Purchase Restriction Policy in Beijing | en_US |
| dc.type (資料類型) | thesis | en_US |
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| dc.identifier.doi (DOI) | 10.6814/NCCU202101117 | en_US |
