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題名 美國川普政府南海政策之研究:權力平衡理論
Study on the South China Sea Policy of the U.S. Trump Administration: The Balance of Power Theory作者 唐志偉
Tang, Chih-Wei貢獻者 邱坤玄
Chiu, Kun-Shuan
唐志偉
Tang, Chih-Wei關鍵詞 權力平衡
川普政府
南海政策
Balance of power
Trump administration
South China Sea policy日期 2021 摘要 美國川普政府2017年上任後在南海政策上,除了延續歐巴馬總統「重返亞洲」策略,亦強調「美國優先」的政策將亞洲戰略的主軸重新定義為「印太戰略」,並持續與東南亞國家協會國家保持密切合作關係,以對抗中共片面改變南海現況,本研究分析南海問題的背景與影響因素、美國對南海議題的戰略政策以及了解中共及相關國家的反應。本文藉由現實主義中權力平衡理論,說明國際體系間中共與美國隨著地緣政治的改變持續權力再平衡的過程與事實,美國提升在自由航行的頻率以及全方位對抗中共在南海的擴張。研究發現川普政府對南海議題安全與利益修正、21世紀美國政府南海政策演變、從「亞太戰略」到「印太戰略」、自由航行權與中共南海主權對抗;美國與中共南海競爭全面化、美國、中共及周邊國家競合、中共對美國南海議題政策回應、東協與中共的矛盾與摩擦、日、印、澳對南海議題政策態度。研究結果藉由南海國際仲裁結果、否定中共南海主權、川普政府美國優先政策、對中共採用單邊主義、美國強化印太戰略作為、持續維持全球霸權。最後,南海爭議是美中關係中一重要課題,也有南海終須一戰論述,就美國或中共而言,南海爭議中核心戰略利益,端視兩國重視程度而定,故兩國南海爭議未來是「衝突」或是「緩和」須看後續拜登政府上任後的南海政策發展。
We are regard to the South China Sea (SCS) policy after taking office in 2017, the Trump administration of the United States of America (USA) has not only continued President Obama’s “return to Asia” strategy but also emphasized that the “America First” policy redefines the main axis of the Asian strategy as the “Indo-Pacific strategy” and continues to Maintain close cooperative relations with the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) to counter the People`s Republic of China (PRC) unilateral changes in the SCS. This study analyzes the background and influencing factors of the SCS issue, the USA’s strategic policy on the SCS issue, and understands the responsibility of the PRC and related countries. This article uses the realist theory of power balance to illustrate the process and facts of the PRC and the United States continuing to rebalance power in the international system with the changes in geopolitics. The USA has increased its freedom of navigation and comprehensively confronted the PRC’s expansion in the SCS. The study found that the Trump administration’s security and interest amendments to the SCS issues, the evolution of the USA government’s SCS policy in the 21st century, from the “Asia-Pacific Strategy”, to the “Indo-Pacific Strategy”, the right of free navigation and the PRC’s SCS sovereignty confrontation; the U.S. and the PRC’s SCS competition is comprehensive, The USA, the PRC, and neighboring countries compete and cooperate, the PRC`s policy response to the SCS issues of the USA, the conflicts and frictions between the ASEAN and the PRC, Japan, India, and Australia`s policy attitudes to the SCS issues. The results of the research are based on the results of the SCS international arbitration, the denial of the PRC’s sovereignty in the SCS, the Trump administration’s USA priority policy, the adoption of unilateralism towards the PRC, the US strengthening of the Indo-Pacific strategy, and the continued maintenance of global hegemony. Finally, the SCS dispute is an important issue in the USA - PRC relations, and there is also the argument that “The USA and PRC finally have a war.” However, as far as the PRC or the USA is concerned, the core strategic interests of the SCS depend on the importance of the two countries. Therefore, the SCS of China and the USA The future of the dispute will continue to be “conflict” or “relaxation” depending on the subsequent development of the Biden administration after taking office.描述 碩士
國立政治大學
外交學系戰略與國際事務碩士在職專班
108922007資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0108922007 資料類型 thesis dc.contributor.advisor 邱坤玄 zh_TW dc.contributor.advisor Chiu, Kun-Shuan en_US dc.contributor.author (Authors) 唐志偉 zh_TW dc.contributor.author (Authors) Tang, Chih-Wei en_US dc.creator (作者) 唐志偉 zh_TW dc.creator (作者) Tang, Chih-Wei en_US dc.date (日期) 2021 en_US dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0108922007 en_US dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/136645 - dc.description (描述) 碩士 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 外交學系戰略與國際事務碩士在職專班 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 108922007 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) 美國川普政府2017年上任後在南海政策上,除了延續歐巴馬總統「重返亞洲」策略,亦強調「美國優先」的政策將亞洲戰略的主軸重新定義為「印太戰略」,並持續與東南亞國家協會國家保持密切合作關係,以對抗中共片面改變南海現況,本研究分析南海問題的背景與影響因素、美國對南海議題的戰略政策以及了解中共及相關國家的反應。本文藉由現實主義中權力平衡理論,說明國際體系間中共與美國隨著地緣政治的改變持續權力再平衡的過程與事實,美國提升在自由航行的頻率以及全方位對抗中共在南海的擴張。研究發現川普政府對南海議題安全與利益修正、21世紀美國政府南海政策演變、從「亞太戰略」到「印太戰略」、自由航行權與中共南海主權對抗;美國與中共南海競爭全面化、美國、中共及周邊國家競合、中共對美國南海議題政策回應、東協與中共的矛盾與摩擦、日、印、澳對南海議題政策態度。研究結果藉由南海國際仲裁結果、否定中共南海主權、川普政府美國優先政策、對中共採用單邊主義、美國強化印太戰略作為、持續維持全球霸權。最後,南海爭議是美中關係中一重要課題,也有南海終須一戰論述,就美國或中共而言,南海爭議中核心戰略利益,端視兩國重視程度而定,故兩國南海爭議未來是「衝突」或是「緩和」須看後續拜登政府上任後的南海政策發展。 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) We are regard to the South China Sea (SCS) policy after taking office in 2017, the Trump administration of the United States of America (USA) has not only continued President Obama’s “return to Asia” strategy but also emphasized that the “America First” policy redefines the main axis of the Asian strategy as the “Indo-Pacific strategy” and continues to Maintain close cooperative relations with the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) to counter the People`s Republic of China (PRC) unilateral changes in the SCS. This study analyzes the background and influencing factors of the SCS issue, the USA’s strategic policy on the SCS issue, and understands the responsibility of the PRC and related countries. This article uses the realist theory of power balance to illustrate the process and facts of the PRC and the United States continuing to rebalance power in the international system with the changes in geopolitics. The USA has increased its freedom of navigation and comprehensively confronted the PRC’s expansion in the SCS. The study found that the Trump administration’s security and interest amendments to the SCS issues, the evolution of the USA government’s SCS policy in the 21st century, from the “Asia-Pacific Strategy”, to the “Indo-Pacific Strategy”, the right of free navigation and the PRC’s SCS sovereignty confrontation; the U.S. and the PRC’s SCS competition is comprehensive, The USA, the PRC, and neighboring countries compete and cooperate, the PRC`s policy response to the SCS issues of the USA, the conflicts and frictions between the ASEAN and the PRC, Japan, India, and Australia`s policy attitudes to the SCS issues. The results of the research are based on the results of the SCS international arbitration, the denial of the PRC’s sovereignty in the SCS, the Trump administration’s USA priority policy, the adoption of unilateralism towards the PRC, the US strengthening of the Indo-Pacific strategy, and the continued maintenance of global hegemony. Finally, the SCS dispute is an important issue in the USA - PRC relations, and there is also the argument that “The USA and PRC finally have a war.” However, as far as the PRC or the USA is concerned, the core strategic interests of the SCS depend on the importance of the two countries. Therefore, the SCS of China and the USA The future of the dispute will continue to be “conflict” or “relaxation” depending on the subsequent development of the Biden administration after taking office. en_US dc.description.tableofcontents 目 次 I 表 次 III 圖 次 III 第一章 緒論 1 第一節 研究動機與目的 1 第二節 文獻檢閱 6 第三節 研究途徑與研究方法 14 第四節 研究範圍與研究限制 16 第二章 21世紀美國對南海問題的背景與影響 18 第一節 南海議題地緣政治 18 第二節 南海議題權力平衡理論之詮釋 22 第三節 歷史因素對南海議題的影響 27 第四節 否定中共主權及強化權力平衡與地緣政治 35 第三章 川普政府對南海議題安全與利益評析 37 第一節 21世紀美國政府南海政策演變 37 第二節 從「亞太戰略」到「印太戰略」的轉變 44 第三節 自由航行權與中共南海主權對抗 49 第四節 美國與中共南海競爭全面化 56 第五節 維持權力平衡優勢、對中共全方位遏制策略 60 第四章 美國與中共及周邊國家競合 61 第一節 中共對美國南海政策回應 61 第二節 東協與中共的矛盾與磨合 73 第三節 日、印、澳對南海議題政策態度 82 第四節 中共建立南海新秩序,美國強化印太戰略 99 第五章 結論 101 第一節 研究發現 101 第二節 研究展望 106 參考文獻 109 壹、中文文獻 109 貳、外文文獻 117 zh_TW dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0108922007 en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) 權力平衡 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 川普政府 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 南海政策 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) Balance of power en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Trump administration en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) South China Sea policy en_US dc.title (題名) 美國川普政府南海政策之研究:權力平衡理論 zh_TW dc.title (題名) Study on the South China Sea Policy of the U.S. Trump Administration: The Balance of Power Theory en_US dc.type (資料類型) thesis -