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題名 社會距離與兩岸關係認知:臺灣民衆統獨立場的實證分析
Social Distance and Cross-Strait Relations: Taiwanese Attitudes toward the Independence/Unification Issue
作者 方淇
Fang, Chi
吳重禮
Wu, Chung-li
貢獻者 選舉研究
關鍵詞 社會距離 ; 社會認同理論 ; 關係認知 ; 兩岸關係 ; 統獨立場 
social distance ; social identity theory ; relational model ; cross-Strait relations ; independence/unification preference
日期 2021-05
上傳時間 6-Dec-2021 14:10:41 (UTC+8)
摘要 本文旨在檢證臺灣民眾如何看待中國,以及他們的心理認知的社會距離,是否會影響其統獨立場。作者採取社會心理學的分析途徑,以「社會距離」(social distance)與「社會認同理論」(social identity theory)作為研究架構,並輔以「關係模式理論」(relational models theory),建構兩個變數,其分別是:臺灣民眾將中國視為「家人關係」或「夥伴關係」,與臺灣民眾認為中國將臺灣視為「家人關係」或「夥伴關係」,從而瞭解這些民眾的統獨立場。本文採用「2019年中國印象」電話調查資料,將民眾劃分為四種類型,以「關係認知」作為「社會距離」的代理變數,藉由「多項勝算對數模型」(multinomial logit model)探討四種類型與統獨立場的相關性。實證資料顯示,關係認知越近的民眾,越傾向統一 ; 然而,關係認知越遠的民眾,卻不必然會傾向獨立。這印證社會認同理論和諸多實證研究的經驗:當個人認知的社會距離較近,選擇接納其他團體時,傾向將其他團體視為「內團體」(ingroup),並產生互惠的期待與較強烈的意見表達 ; 另一方面,當個人選擇疏遠其他團體時,傾向將其他團體歸類為「外團體」(outgroup),卻不必然會貶低其他團體,而在統獨問題上採取較為模糊的立場。
This study probes Taiwanese perception of social distance toward China and its impact on their political attitudes toward the issue of independence/unification. Taking advantage of social distance and social identity theories from social psychology, we hypothesize that the Taiwanese people with a smaller perceived social distance toward China would indicate an inclination for China unification ; otherwise, they would prefer Taiwan`s independence. We modify the relational models theory to construct two variables to approximate social distance: we ask respondents first whether they regard China as a family member or a partner, and second, whether China views Taiwan as a family member or a partner. To examine our arguments, we utilize the "2019 Survey of the Image of China" to investigate the association between different types of relational cognitions and their impacts on cross-Strait relations. The findings by and large confirm the validity of the relational models theory, revealing that the Taiwanese electorate is prone to support unification when it perceives a closer social distance toward China. The results also demonstrate that those who are willing to accept China as an in-group tend to expect reciprocity from China. In contrast, those perceiving a greater social distance toward China exhibit ambivalent independence/unification preferences ; they express less intimate attitudes but also do not exhibit great hostility toward China.
關聯 選舉研究, 28(1), 103-148
資料類型 article
DOI https://doi.org/10.6612/tjes.202105_28(1).0003
dc.contributor 選舉研究-
dc.creator (作者) 方淇-
dc.creator (作者) Fang, Chi-
dc.creator (作者) 吳重禮-
dc.creator (作者) Wu, Chung-li-
dc.date (日期) 2021-05-
dc.date.accessioned 6-Dec-2021 14:10:41 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 6-Dec-2021 14:10:41 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 6-Dec-2021 14:10:41 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/138040-
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 本文旨在檢證臺灣民眾如何看待中國,以及他們的心理認知的社會距離,是否會影響其統獨立場。作者採取社會心理學的分析途徑,以「社會距離」(social distance)與「社會認同理論」(social identity theory)作為研究架構,並輔以「關係模式理論」(relational models theory),建構兩個變數,其分別是:臺灣民眾將中國視為「家人關係」或「夥伴關係」,與臺灣民眾認為中國將臺灣視為「家人關係」或「夥伴關係」,從而瞭解這些民眾的統獨立場。本文採用「2019年中國印象」電話調查資料,將民眾劃分為四種類型,以「關係認知」作為「社會距離」的代理變數,藉由「多項勝算對數模型」(multinomial logit model)探討四種類型與統獨立場的相關性。實證資料顯示,關係認知越近的民眾,越傾向統一 ; 然而,關係認知越遠的民眾,卻不必然會傾向獨立。這印證社會認同理論和諸多實證研究的經驗:當個人認知的社會距離較近,選擇接納其他團體時,傾向將其他團體視為「內團體」(ingroup),並產生互惠的期待與較強烈的意見表達 ; 另一方面,當個人選擇疏遠其他團體時,傾向將其他團體歸類為「外團體」(outgroup),卻不必然會貶低其他團體,而在統獨問題上採取較為模糊的立場。-
dc.description.abstract (摘要) This study probes Taiwanese perception of social distance toward China and its impact on their political attitudes toward the issue of independence/unification. Taking advantage of social distance and social identity theories from social psychology, we hypothesize that the Taiwanese people with a smaller perceived social distance toward China would indicate an inclination for China unification ; otherwise, they would prefer Taiwan`s independence. We modify the relational models theory to construct two variables to approximate social distance: we ask respondents first whether they regard China as a family member or a partner, and second, whether China views Taiwan as a family member or a partner. To examine our arguments, we utilize the "2019 Survey of the Image of China" to investigate the association between different types of relational cognitions and their impacts on cross-Strait relations. The findings by and large confirm the validity of the relational models theory, revealing that the Taiwanese electorate is prone to support unification when it perceives a closer social distance toward China. The results also demonstrate that those who are willing to accept China as an in-group tend to expect reciprocity from China. In contrast, those perceiving a greater social distance toward China exhibit ambivalent independence/unification preferences ; they express less intimate attitudes but also do not exhibit great hostility toward China.-
dc.format.extent 12522935 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.relation (關聯) 選舉研究, 28(1), 103-148-
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 社會距離 ; 社會認同理論 ; 關係認知 ; 兩岸關係 ; 統獨立場 -
dc.subject (關鍵詞) social distance ; social identity theory ; relational model ; cross-Strait relations ; independence/unification preference-
dc.title (題名) 社會距離與兩岸關係認知:臺灣民衆統獨立場的實證分析-
dc.title (題名) Social Distance and Cross-Strait Relations: Taiwanese Attitudes toward the Independence/Unification Issue-
dc.type (資料類型) article-
dc.identifier.doi (DOI) 10.6612/tjes.202105_28(1).0003-
dc.doi.uri (DOI) https://doi.org/10.6612/tjes.202105_28(1).0003-