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| Title | Time-dependent lottery preference and the cross-section of stock returns |
| Creator | 陳鴻毅 Chen, Hong-Yi Lin, Chaonan;Ko, Kuan-Cheng;Yang, Nien-Tzu |
| Contributor | 財管系 |
| Key Words | Lottery preference; Time dependence; Maximum daily returns; Stock returns |
| Date | 2021-12 |
| Date Issued | 26-May-2022 16:22:01 (UTC+8) |
| Summary | Highlighting the importance of benchmark to identify lottery-like payoffs of stocks, this study proposes that investors’ lottery preference is formed toward tracking stocks’ performance over time. Accordingly, we develop a strategy based on time-dependent maximum daily return (denoted as TMAX) by buying (short selling) stocks with the most recent maximum daily returns (MAX) ranked in the bottom (top) decile of the historical distribution. The TMAX strategy generates significant premium that subsumes the profitability of Bali, Cakici, and Whitelaw’s (2011) MAX strategy, but not vice versa. A major advantage of the TMAX strategy is its time-invariant profitability across different periods and sentiment states. Further analyses show that the TMAX premium can be explained by shorting flow and behavioral theories, supporting the time-dependent feature of lottery preference. |
| Relation | Journal of Empirical Finance, Vol.64, pp.272-294 |
| Type | article |
| DOI | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jempfin.2021.09.005 |
| dc.contributor | 財管系 | - |
| dc.creator (作者) | 陳鴻毅 | - |
| dc.creator (作者) | Chen, Hong-Yi | - |
| dc.creator (作者) | Lin, Chaonan;Ko, Kuan-Cheng;Yang, Nien-Tzu | - |
| dc.date (日期) | 2021-12 | - |
| dc.date.accessioned | 26-May-2022 16:22:01 (UTC+8) | - |
| dc.date.available | 26-May-2022 16:22:01 (UTC+8) | - |
| dc.date.issued (上傳時間) | 26-May-2022 16:22:01 (UTC+8) | - |
| dc.identifier.uri (URI) | http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/140171 | - |
| dc.description.abstract (摘要) | Highlighting the importance of benchmark to identify lottery-like payoffs of stocks, this study proposes that investors’ lottery preference is formed toward tracking stocks’ performance over time. Accordingly, we develop a strategy based on time-dependent maximum daily return (denoted as TMAX) by buying (short selling) stocks with the most recent maximum daily returns (MAX) ranked in the bottom (top) decile of the historical distribution. The TMAX strategy generates significant premium that subsumes the profitability of Bali, Cakici, and Whitelaw’s (2011) MAX strategy, but not vice versa. A major advantage of the TMAX strategy is its time-invariant profitability across different periods and sentiment states. Further analyses show that the TMAX premium can be explained by shorting flow and behavioral theories, supporting the time-dependent feature of lottery preference. | - |
| dc.format.extent | 109 bytes | - |
| dc.format.mimetype | text/html | - |
| dc.relation (關聯) | Journal of Empirical Finance, Vol.64, pp.272-294 | - |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | Lottery preference; Time dependence; Maximum daily returns; Stock returns | - |
| dc.title (題名) | Time-dependent lottery preference and the cross-section of stock returns | - |
| dc.type (資料類型) | article | - |
| dc.identifier.doi (DOI) | 10.1016/j.jempfin.2021.09.005 | - |
| dc.doi.uri (DOI) | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jempfin.2021.09.005 | - |