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TitleThe Role of Momentum, Sentiment, and Economic Fundamentals in Forecasting Bear Stock Market
Creator羅秉政
KendroVincent
Chen, Yi-ting
Contributor金融系
Date2016-01
Date Issued6-Jul-2022 09:59:51 (UTC+8)
SummaryThis article examines the role of market momentum, investor sentiment, and economic fundamentals in forecasting bear stock market. We find strong evidence that bear stock market is predictable by market momentum and investor sentiment in full-sample and out-of-sample analyses. Most economic fundamental variables lose their out-of-sample significance once we control for market momentum and investor sentiment. However, the inclusion of economic fundamentals can improve the economic value of the forecasting model in our trading experiments.
RelationJournal of Forecasting, Vol.35, No.6, pp.504-527
Typearticle
DOI https://doi.org/10.1002/for.2392
dc.contributor 金融系
dc.creator (作者) 羅秉政
dc.creator (作者) KendroVincent
dc.creator (作者) Chen, Yi-ting
dc.date (日期) 2016-01
dc.date.accessioned 6-Jul-2022 09:59:51 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 6-Jul-2022 09:59:51 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 6-Jul-2022 09:59:51 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/140797-
dc.description.abstract (摘要) This article examines the role of market momentum, investor sentiment, and economic fundamentals in forecasting bear stock market. We find strong evidence that bear stock market is predictable by market momentum and investor sentiment in full-sample and out-of-sample analyses. Most economic fundamental variables lose their out-of-sample significance once we control for market momentum and investor sentiment. However, the inclusion of economic fundamentals can improve the economic value of the forecasting model in our trading experiments.
dc.format.extent 96 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype text/html-
dc.relation (關聯) Journal of Forecasting, Vol.35, No.6, pp.504-527
dc.title (題名) The Role of Momentum, Sentiment, and Economic Fundamentals in Forecasting Bear Stock Market
dc.type (資料類型) article
dc.identifier.doi (DOI) 10.1002/for.2392
dc.doi.uri (DOI) https://doi.org/10.1002/for.2392