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題名 日本不斷變化的安全態勢與台灣問題
Japan’s Changing Security Posture and the Taiwan Issue作者 莫棄
Gorin, Christopher Edwin貢獻者 盧業中
Lu, Yeh-chung
莫棄
Christopher Edwin Gorin關鍵詞 日本安全政策
日本政治
日台關係
烏俄戰爭
日中關係
Japanese Security Policy
Japanese politics
Japan-Taiwan Relations
Ukraine-Russia War
Sino-Japanese Relations
China-Japan Relations日期 2022 上傳時間 2-九月-2022 15:37:24 (UTC+8) 摘要 從新現實主義 (neorealism)的預測來看，日本的戰後安全政策使其成為例外。然而，從2021年以來，日本在台灣問題上的公開立場出現了重大變化，在2022年俄羅斯入侵烏克蘭後更加速改變。本文試圖通過考察日本對第一次海灣戰爭和 1996 年台海危機的反應等案例，來證明這一變化，在這些案例中，日本政治的反軍國主義規範導致日本政府的反應非常溫和。日本政府自 2021 年以來更加自信的行為可能表明，在多年不作為之後，日本正在對中國採取適當的抗衡 (balancing)行為。該論文使用日本政治人物的聲明和政府的行動，以及公開的民意調查數據來證明這一點，並表明日本政治中的反軍國主義規範可能正在減弱。
Japan’s post-war security policy has made it an outlier from the perspective of neorealist predictions. However, major changes can be seen in Japan’s public stance on the Taiwan issue since 2021, and these changes have been accelerated in the wake of the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine. This thesis attempts to demonstrate this change by examining previous cases such as Japan’s response to the First Gulf War and the 1996 Taiwan Strait Crisis, in which the antimilitarist norms of Japanese politics resulted in very subdued responses from the Japanese government. The more assertive behavior from the Japanese government since 2021 may indicate that Japan is moving into proper balancing behavior against China, after many years of inaction. 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China Quarterly 2001, no. 165 (2001): 130-46. 描述 碩士
國立政治大學
外交學系
109253028資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0109253028 資料類型 thesis dc.contributor.advisor 盧業中 zh_TW dc.contributor.advisor Lu, Yeh-chung en_US dc.contributor.author (作者) 莫棄 zh_TW dc.contributor.author (作者) Christopher Edwin Gorin en_US dc.creator (作者) 莫棄 zh_TW dc.creator (作者) Gorin, Christopher Edwin en_US dc.date (日期) 2022 en_US dc.date.accessioned 2-九月-2022 15:37:24 (UTC+8) - dc.date.available 2-九月-2022 15:37:24 (UTC+8) - dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 2-九月-2022 15:37:24 (UTC+8) - dc.identifier (其他 識別碼) G0109253028 en_US dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/141791 - dc.description (描述) 碩士 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 外交學系 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 109253028 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) 從新現實主義 (neorealism)的預測來看，日本的戰後安全政策使其成為例外。然而，從2021年以來，日本在台灣問題上的公開立場出現了重大變化，在2022年俄羅斯入侵烏克蘭後更加速改變。本文試圖通過考察日本對第一次海灣戰爭和 1996 年台海危機的反應等案例，來證明這一變化，在這些案例中，日本政治的反軍國主義規範導致日本政府的反應非常溫和。日本政府自 2021 年以來更加自信的行為可能表明，在多年不作為之後，日本正在對中國採取適當的抗衡 (balancing)行為。該論文使用日本政治人物的聲明和政府的行動，以及公開的民意調查數據來證明這一點，並表明日本政治中的反軍國主義規範可能正在減弱。 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) Japan’s post-war security policy has made it an outlier from the perspective of neorealist predictions. However, major changes can be seen in Japan’s public stance on the Taiwan issue since 2021, and these changes have been accelerated in the wake of the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine. This thesis attempts to demonstrate this change by examining previous cases such as Japan’s response to the First Gulf War and the 1996 Taiwan Strait Crisis, in which the antimilitarist norms of Japanese politics resulted in very subdued responses from the Japanese government. The more assertive behavior from the Japanese government since 2021 may indicate that Japan is moving into proper balancing behavior against China, after many years of inaction. The thesis uses statements by Japanese politicians and actions of the government, as well as public polling data to demonstrate this, and show that there may be a weakening of antimilitarist norms in Japanese politics. en_US dc.description.tableofcontents Chapter 1 - Introduction 1Section 1.1 - Research Motivation & Research Question 1Section 1.2 - Literature Review & Background 5Section 1.2.1 - Balance of Power 5Section 1.2.2 - Alliance Politics 14Section 1.2.3 - Antimilitarist Norms 17Section 1.2.4 - Japan’s Article 9 and the US-Japan Alliance 23Section 1.3 - Research Approach, Method & Structure 27Section 1.3.1 - Scope and Limitations 29Chapter 2 - Case: The First Gulf War 31Chapter 3 - Case: Japan’s Taiwan Policy 43Section 3.1 - Foundation 43Section 3.2 - Japan’s National Interest? 45Section 3.3 - The Taiwan Strait Crisis 1995-96: Still Ambiguous 46Section 3.4 - 2021: A Major Shift in Tone 51Section 3.5 - 2022 and the Ukraine-Russia War (January – May) 60Chapter 4 - Public Opinion Data 67Section 4.1 - China as a Threat and Overall Bilateral Relations 67Section 4.2 - Antimilitarist norms, Constitutional Reform, and the Taiwan Issue 75Chapter 5 - Conclusion 81Bibliography 87Appendix A: Press Conference by the Press Secretary 12 March 1996 93 zh_TW dc.format.extent 2390600 bytes - dc.format.mimetype application/pdf - dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0109253028 en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) 日本安全政策 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 日本政治 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 日台關係 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 烏俄戰爭 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 日中關係 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) Japanese Security Policy en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Japanese politics en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Japan-Taiwan Relations en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Ukraine-Russia War en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Sino-Japanese Relations en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) China-Japan Relations en_US dc.title (題名) 日本不斷變化的安全態勢與台灣問題 zh_TW dc.title (題名) Japan’s Changing Security Posture and the Taiwan Issue en_US dc.type (資料類型) thesis en_US dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) "86% Back Japan`s Sanctions on Russia over Invasion in Ukraine: Poll." 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