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題名 Crámer-Lundberg 風險模型及其擴散近似之最適再保險策略
Optimal Proportional Reinsurance Strategies for Classical Crámer-Lundberg Risk Model and It’s Corresponding Diffusion Approximations
作者 潘柏樺
Pan, Po-Hua
貢獻者 許順吉
Sheu, Shuenn-Jyi
潘柏樺
Pan, Po-Hua
關鍵詞 部分再保險
隨機控制
隨機過程
哈密頓-雅可比-貝爾曼方程式
Proportional reinsurance
Stochastic control
Stochastic process
HJB equation
日期 2023
上傳時間 9-Mar-2023 18:12:58 (UTC+8)
摘要 再保險是保險公司管理風險的有力工具。如果我們將保險公司隨時間變化的淨利潤建模為一個隨機過程,將再保險策略視為一個控制過程,那麼最小化這種隨機過程的破產機率就是一個隨機控制問題。本文旨在尋找最適再保險策略,使破產機率最小化。與許多其他隨機控制問題一樣,我們使用哈密頓-雅可比-貝爾曼方程來求解該問題。
Reinsurance is a powerful tool for insurance company to manage the risk. If we model the net profit of insurance company over time as a stochastic process and view the reinsurance strategy as a control process, then to minimize the ruin probability of such stochastic process is a stochastic control problem. This article aims to find the optimal reinsurance strategy so that the ruin probability to be minimized. As many other stochastic control problem, we use the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation to solve the problem.
參考文獻 [1] Hanspeter Schmidli (2007): Stochastic Control in Insurance, 2007.
[2] Hanspeter Schmidli (2017): Risk Theory, 2017.
[3] Jan Grandell (1977): A class of approximations of ruin probabilities, Scandinavian
Actuarial Journal, 1977:sup1, 37-52.
[4] Donald L. Iglehart (1969): Diffusion Approximations in Collective Risk Theory, Journal
of Applied Probability, 1969: 285-289.
[5] Bernt Øksendal (2000): Stochastic Differential Equations, 2000.
[6] Jean-François Le Gall (2016): Brownian motion, Martingales, and Stochastic Calculus,
2016.
[7] Jean Jacod, Philip Protter (2004): Probability Essential, 2004.
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
應用數學系
109751008
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0109751008
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 許順吉zh_TW
dc.contributor.advisor Sheu, Shuenn-Jyien_US
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 潘柏樺zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) Pan, Po-Huaen_US
dc.creator (作者) 潘柏樺zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Pan, Po-Huaen_US
dc.date (日期) 2023en_US
dc.date.accessioned 9-Mar-2023 18:12:58 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 9-Mar-2023 18:12:58 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 9-Mar-2023 18:12:58 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0109751008en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/143720-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 應用數學系zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 109751008zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 再保險是保險公司管理風險的有力工具。如果我們將保險公司隨時間變化的淨利潤建模為一個隨機過程,將再保險策略視為一個控制過程,那麼最小化這種隨機過程的破產機率就是一個隨機控制問題。本文旨在尋找最適再保險策略,使破產機率最小化。與許多其他隨機控制問題一樣,我們使用哈密頓-雅可比-貝爾曼方程來求解該問題。zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) Reinsurance is a powerful tool for insurance company to manage the risk. If we model the net profit of insurance company over time as a stochastic process and view the reinsurance strategy as a control process, then to minimize the ruin probability of such stochastic process is a stochastic control problem. This article aims to find the optimal reinsurance strategy so that the ruin probability to be minimized. As many other stochastic control problem, we use the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation to solve the problem.en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents Chapter 1 Introduction 1
Chapter 2 The Risk Model and Ruin Probability 3
Section 2.1 The Classical Cramér-Lundberg Model Risk Model 3
Section 2.2 The Ruin Probability 5
Section 2.3 Upper Bound of the Ruin Probability 7
Chapter 3 Reinsurance Strategies 11
Chapter 4 Optimal Proportional Reinsurance Strategy under Classic Cramér-Lundberg Risk Model 14
Section 4.1 HJB Formulation 16
Section 4.2 Solution of the HJB equation 18
Section 4.3 Verification Theorem 24
Chapter 5 Optimal Proportional Reinsurance Strategy under Diffusion Approximation Model 27
Section 5.1 Diffusion Approximation of Cramér-Lundburg Process 28
Section 5.2 Properties of Controlled Ruin Probability under Diffusion Approximation Model 30
Section 5.3 HJB Formulation 35
Section 5.4 Solution of the HJB equation 38
Section 5.5 Verification Theorem 41
Chapter 6 Numerical Results 44
Section 6.1 Path Simulation and the Monte Carlo Method 44
Section 6.2 Estimation of the Ruin Probability in Finite Time Interval 46
Section 6.3 Conclusions 52
Bibliography 53
Appendix A Lévy Process and Strong Markov Property 54
zh_TW
dc.format.extent 1347386 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0109751008en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 部分再保險zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 隨機控制zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 隨機過程zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 哈密頓-雅可比-貝爾曼方程式zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Proportional reinsuranceen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Stochastic controlen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Stochastic processen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) HJB equationen_US
dc.title (題名) Crámer-Lundberg 風險模型及其擴散近似之最適再保險策略zh_TW
dc.title (題名) Optimal Proportional Reinsurance Strategies for Classical Crámer-Lundberg Risk Model and It’s Corresponding Diffusion Approximationsen_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen_US
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) [1] Hanspeter Schmidli (2007): Stochastic Control in Insurance, 2007.
[2] Hanspeter Schmidli (2017): Risk Theory, 2017.
[3] Jan Grandell (1977): A class of approximations of ruin probabilities, Scandinavian
Actuarial Journal, 1977:sup1, 37-52.
[4] Donald L. Iglehart (1969): Diffusion Approximations in Collective Risk Theory, Journal
of Applied Probability, 1969: 285-289.
[5] Bernt Øksendal (2000): Stochastic Differential Equations, 2000.
[6] Jean-François Le Gall (2016): Brownian motion, Martingales, and Stochastic Calculus,
2016.
[7] Jean Jacod, Philip Protter (2004): Probability Essential, 2004.
zh_TW