| dc.contributor.advisor | 薛健吾 | zh_TW |
| dc.contributor.advisor | Hsueh, Chien-Wu | en_US |
| dc.contributor.author (Authors) | 吳世榮 | zh_TW |
| dc.contributor.author (Authors) | Napat Vechkama | en_US |
| dc.creator (作者) | 吳世榮 | zh_TW |
| dc.creator (作者) | Vechkama, Napat | en_US |
| dc.date (日期) | 2023 | en_US |
| dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) | G0110862013 | en_US |
| dc.identifier.uri (URI) | https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw//handle/140.119/146274 | - |
| dc.description (描述) | 碩士 | zh_TW |
| dc.description (描述) | 國立政治大學 | zh_TW |
| dc.description (描述) | 國際研究英語碩士學位學程(IMPIS) | zh_TW |
| dc.description (描述) | 110862013 | zh_TW |
| dc.description.abstract (摘要) | 本研究旨在對各種對泰國歷屆政府軍事合作行為的變化的辯論做出貢獻。目前討論泰國軍事結盟行為的文獻，大部分都是在強調結構性解釋的不足之處，但本研究認為，結構性的解釋對於瞭解泰國軍事合作行為的變化與連續性仍然是一個具有解釋力的角度。本研究立基各種關於小國外交政策選擇的理論，以及Lim and Cooper所提出的結盟信號論點，建立一個了結構性的解釋模型模型，解釋冷戰後泰國歷任政府以軍事合作作為實際手段的結盟行為。本研究提出的模型由兩個變數組成：「軍事合作選擇國家的可得性」以及「中美競爭的激烈程度」。當中美競爭較不激烈且軍事合作選擇國家的可得性較高的時候，泰國採取了全方位外交的戰略路線（1992~2006、2008~2014）；當中美競爭較激烈且軍事合作選擇國家的可得性較低的時候，泰國採取了較為倚靠中國的戰略路線（2014~2019）；最後，當中美競爭較激烈且軍事合作選擇國家的可得性較高的時候，泰國採取了在中美之間較為平衡的戰略路線（2019~2022）。這些延續和改變都是單單從泰國國內的政治或是政體的變動所無法解釋的變化。經驗證據顯示，這個結構性解釋除了能夠解釋泰國國防預算的變化之外，也能夠解釋許多其他的外交政策行為。此外，本研究還提出軍事成本、技術轉移、軍備自主權等當前文獻所缺乏討論的結構性因素，更能進一步理解泰國武器貿易的現況。 | zh_TW |
| dc.description.abstract (摘要) | This research aims to contribute to the current debate on Thailand’s alignment behavior and military cooperation. At present, most of the literature discussing Thailand’s military alliance behavior emphasizes the inadequacy of structural explanations; however, this study argued that structural explanations still hold credibility for understanding the changes and continuity of Thailand’s military cooperation behavior. By utilizing the theory of small states compiled from multiple authors and the alignment signal based on Lim and Cooper’s model, this research creates a structural model to explain Thailand’s alignment behavior through military cooperation in the post-Cold War period. The model proposed by this research consisted of two variables: the availability of choices in military cooperation and the intensity of systematic stimuli stimulated by U.S.-China competition. When the competition between China and the United States was less intense, and the availability of countries for military cooperation was high, Thailand adopted a strategic line of Omni-direction diplomacy (1992-2006, 2008-2014); When the availability was low, Thailand adopted a strategic route that relied more on China (2014-2019); finally, when the competition between China and the United States was fierce, and the availability of countries for military cooperation was high, Thailand adopted a strategy that seeks to strike tranquility in its relations with both great powers (2019-2022). These continuations and changes are all changes that cannot be explained solely by the changes in Thailand’s domestic politics or regime. Empirical evidence suggests that this structural explanation can explain many other foreign policy behaviors in addition to changes in Thailand’s defense budget. In addition, this study also proposes structural modifiers such as weapons price, technology transfer, and armament autonomy that are not discussed in the current literature, which can further understand the current situation of Thailand’s arms trade. | en_US |
| dc.description.tableofcontents | Acknowledgement I
Abstract II
摘要 III
Table of Contents IV
List of Tables VI
List of Figures VII
List of Acronyms IX
Chapter 1 Introduction 1
1.1 Research Background and Motivation 1
1.2 Research Question 3
1.3 Research Purpose and Argument 4
1.4 Research Method and Research Limitations 6
1.5 Organization of Thesis Chapters 8
Chapter 2 Overview of Thailand’s Military Cooperation and Literature Review 12
2.1 Overview of Thailand`s Military Cooperation Before and After the 2014 Coup 12
2.2 The Current Debate on the Variable Influencing the Change of Thai Alignment Behavior 46
2.3 The Current Debate on Thailand`s Strategic Posture under Rising U.S.-China Competition 52
2.4 Previous Theoretical Approach to Analyzing Thai Foreign Policy 59
2.5 Defining small state and Thailand’s Vulnerability to Systematic Change 66
Chapter 3 Thai Military Cooperation under the Democratic Government (1992-2006 and 2008-2014) 74
3.1 Overview of Thailand`s Strategic Environment during 1992-2014 74
3.2 The Low Intensity of the U.S.-China Competition during the Periods of Omni-direction 80
3.3 The Availability of Choice Presented to Thai Military Cooperation during the Periods of Omni-direction 89
3.4 Thailand Military Cooperation in the Periods of Omni-direction 94
3.4.1 Thai-U.S. Military Cooperation in the Periods of Omni-Direction 95
3.4.2 Sino-Thai Military Cooperation in the Periods of Omni-Direction 107
3.5 Chapter Conclusion 110
Chapter 4 Thai Military Cooperation under First Prayut Government (2014-2019) 113
4.1 Overview of Thailand`s Strategic Environment during 2014-2019 113
4.2 The High Intensity of the U.S.-China Competition during the Periods of 2014-2019 118
4.3 The Availability of Choice Presented to Thai Military Cooperation during the Periods of 2014-2019 128
4.4 Thailand Military Cooperation in the Periods of Leaning Toward China 136
4.4.1 Thai-U.S. Military Cooperation during the Leaning Toward China Period 137
4.4.2 The Strengthening of Sino-Thai Military Ties during the Periods of 2014-2019 142
4.5 Chapter Conclusion 155
Chapter 5 Thailand Military Cooperation under the Second Prayut Government (2019-2022) 158
5.1 Overview of Thailand`s Strategic Environment during 2019-2022 158
5.2 The Intensity of the U.S.-China Competition during the Periods of 2019-2022 163
5.3 The Availability of Choice Presented to Thai Military Cooperation during the Periods of 2019-2022 173
5.4 Thailand`s Military Cooperation in the Periods of Reserved Allies 178
5.4.1 Thai-U.S. Military Cooperation during the Periods of Reserves Allied 179
5.4.2 Sino-Thai Military Cooperation in the Periods of Reserves Allied 192
5.5 Chapter Conclusion 202
Chapter 6 Research Conclusion 205
6.1 Main Findings 205
6.2bThe Emergent of New Influencing Variable to Thailand Alignment Behavior and Military Cooperation 209
6.3bPita`s Government and Thai Military Cooperation 213
Bibliography 221 | zh_TW |
| dc.source.uri (資料來源) | http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0110862013 | en_US |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 泰國 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 軍事合作 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 結構性解釋 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 泰美關係 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 中泰關係 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | Thailand | en_US |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | Military cooperation | en_US |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | Structural explanation | en_US |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | Thai-U.S. relations | en_US |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | Sino-Thai relations | en_US |
| dc.title (題名) | 解釋泰國政府軍事合作的變化, 1992-2022: 一個結構性的解釋 | zh_TW |
| dc.title (題名) | Understanding the Thai Governments’ Military Cooperation Policy, 1992-2022: A Structural Explanation | en_US |
| dc.type (資料類型) | thesis | - |
