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題名 台積電於台南科學園區設廠對周遭房價的影響 - 以差異中之差異法估計
The Impact of TSMC Constructing New Plants in Tainan Science Park on Housing Prices– An Estimation Using the Difference-in-Difference Model
作者 江之凡
貢獻者 楊子霆<br>黃柏鈞
江之凡
關鍵詞 房地產價格
差異中之差異法
housing price
Difference-in-Differences model
日期 2023
上傳時間 2-Aug-2023 13:41:39 (UTC+8)
摘要 本研究採用實價登錄 2018 年至 2022 年的房地產交易資料,透過 差異中之差異法並納入房地產的特徵作為控制變數,來衡量台積電於 2020 年在台南科學園區新建立的廠房完工並開始量產後,對於鄰近地 區房價的影響。根據估計的實證結果,台積電擴廠對於周遭的房價有 顯著的正向影響之外,影響的效果也延續了數個季度;此外,實證結 果也顯示,房屋年齡較低、距離廠房交通時間較短或距離廠房交通距 離較近的房地產,其價格提升的幅度更大。
This paper examines the impact of TSMC constructing new plants and starting mass production in 2020 on the housing prices of nearby districts. Using the Real Estate Transaction Data, Difference-in-Differences (DiD) model was applied to mea- sure the extent of change in average unit price per ping, and various characteristics of property were included as control variables in the model. The empirical results suggest that property values increased significantly and continued for several quar- ters. Besides, we find that properties with younger age, with shorter commuting time to factories or with shorter commuting distance from home exhibit higher price changes.
參考文獻 Agnew, K. and Lyons, R. C. (2018). The impact of employment on housing prices: De- tailed evidence from fdi in ireland. Regional Science and Urban Economics, 70:175– 189.
Al Totanji, D. M. and Bin Ishak, M. S. (2023). Factors affecting residential land prices: a review of the literature. SCIREA Journal of Civil Engineering and Building Construc- tion.
Case, K. E. and Mayer, C. J. (1996). Housing price dynamics within a metropolitan area. Regional Science and Urban Economics, 26(3–4):387–407.
Dehring, C. A., Depken II, C. A., and Ward, M. R. (2007). The impact of stadium an- nouncements on residential property values: Evidence from a natural experiment in dallas-fort worth. Contemporary Economic Policy, 25(4):627–638.
Diao, M., Leonard, D., and Sing, T. F. (2017). Spatial-difference-in-differences models for impact of new mass rapid transit line on private housing values. Regional Science and Urban Economics, 67:64–77.
Fredriksson, A. and Oliveira, G. M. (2019). Impact evaluation using difference-in- differences. RAUSP Management Journal, 54(4):519–532.
He, Q., Huang, Y., and Han, Y. (2021). The impact of industrial agglomeration on commercial real estate prices: an empirical study of 74 counties and cities in zhe-
32
jiang province. International Journal of Intelligent Technologies and Applied Statistics, 14(4):221–241.
Im, J. and Hong, S. H. (2017). Impact of a new subway line on housing values in daegu, korea: Distance from existing lines. Urban Studies, 55(15):3318–3335.
Meer, J. and West, J. (2016). Effects of the minimum wage on employment dynamics. The Journal of Human Resources, 51(2):500–522.
Miller, S., Johnson, N., and Wherry, L. R. (2021). Medicaid and mortality: New evi- dence from linked survey and administrative data. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 136(3):1783–1829.
Roth, J., Sant’Anna, P. H. C., Bilinski, A., and Poe, J. (2023). What’s trending in difference-in-differences? a synthesis of the recent econometrics literature. Journal of Econometrics.
Vor, F. and Groot, H. L. d. (2011). The impact of industrial sites on residential property values: A hedonic pricing analysis from the netherlands. Regional Studies, 45(5):609– 623.
Zhu, Y. and Diao, M. (2016). The impacts of urban mass rapid transit lines on the density and mobility of high-income households: A case study of singapore. Transport Policy, 51:70–80.
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
經濟學系
110258008
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0110258008
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 楊子霆<br>黃柏鈞zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 江之凡zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) 江之凡zh_TW
dc.date (日期) 2023en_US
dc.date.accessioned 2-Aug-2023 13:41:39 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 2-Aug-2023 13:41:39 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 2-Aug-2023 13:41:39 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0110258008en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/146472-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 經濟學系zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 110258008zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 本研究採用實價登錄 2018 年至 2022 年的房地產交易資料,透過 差異中之差異法並納入房地產的特徵作為控制變數,來衡量台積電於 2020 年在台南科學園區新建立的廠房完工並開始量產後,對於鄰近地 區房價的影響。根據估計的實證結果,台積電擴廠對於周遭的房價有 顯著的正向影響之外,影響的效果也延續了數個季度;此外,實證結 果也顯示,房屋年齡較低、距離廠房交通時間較短或距離廠房交通距 離較近的房地產,其價格提升的幅度更大。zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) This paper examines the impact of TSMC constructing new plants and starting mass production in 2020 on the housing prices of nearby districts. Using the Real Estate Transaction Data, Difference-in-Differences (DiD) model was applied to mea- sure the extent of change in average unit price per ping, and various characteristics of property were included as control variables in the model. The empirical results suggest that property values increased significantly and continued for several quar- ters. Besides, we find that properties with younger age, with shorter commuting time to factories or with shorter commuting distance from home exhibit higher price changes.en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents 第一章 緒論 1
第二章 文獻回顧 4
第三章 資料來源 7
第一節 資料來源與處理 7
第二節 變數定義與敘述性統計 8
第四章 實證模型 10
第一節 差異中之差異法 10
第二節 動態的差異中之差異法 12
第五章 實證結果 13
第一節 圖形驗證 13
第二節 差異中之差異法 - 估計結果 14
第三節 動態的差異中之差異法 - 估計結果 14
第四節 Placebo 檢定與穩健性檢定 15
第五節 子群體分析 16
第六章 結論與建議 19
第一節 研究結果 19
第二節 研究限制 20
主要圖表 22
參考文獻 32
zh_TW
dc.format.extent 1635722 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0110258008en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 房地產價格zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 差異中之差異法zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) housing priceen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Difference-in-Differences modelen_US
dc.title (題名) 台積電於台南科學園區設廠對周遭房價的影響 - 以差異中之差異法估計zh_TW
dc.title (題名) The Impact of TSMC Constructing New Plants in Tainan Science Park on Housing Prices– An Estimation Using the Difference-in-Difference Modelen_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen_US
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Agnew, K. and Lyons, R. C. (2018). The impact of employment on housing prices: De- tailed evidence from fdi in ireland. Regional Science and Urban Economics, 70:175– 189.
Al Totanji, D. M. and Bin Ishak, M. S. (2023). Factors affecting residential land prices: a review of the literature. SCIREA Journal of Civil Engineering and Building Construc- tion.
Case, K. E. and Mayer, C. J. (1996). Housing price dynamics within a metropolitan area. Regional Science and Urban Economics, 26(3–4):387–407.
Dehring, C. A., Depken II, C. A., and Ward, M. R. (2007). The impact of stadium an- nouncements on residential property values: Evidence from a natural experiment in dallas-fort worth. Contemporary Economic Policy, 25(4):627–638.
Diao, M., Leonard, D., and Sing, T. F. (2017). Spatial-difference-in-differences models for impact of new mass rapid transit line on private housing values. Regional Science and Urban Economics, 67:64–77.
Fredriksson, A. and Oliveira, G. M. (2019). Impact evaluation using difference-in- differences. RAUSP Management Journal, 54(4):519–532.
He, Q., Huang, Y., and Han, Y. (2021). The impact of industrial agglomeration on commercial real estate prices: an empirical study of 74 counties and cities in zhe-
32
jiang province. International Journal of Intelligent Technologies and Applied Statistics, 14(4):221–241.
Im, J. and Hong, S. H. (2017). Impact of a new subway line on housing values in daegu, korea: Distance from existing lines. Urban Studies, 55(15):3318–3335.
Meer, J. and West, J. (2016). Effects of the minimum wage on employment dynamics. The Journal of Human Resources, 51(2):500–522.
Miller, S., Johnson, N., and Wherry, L. R. (2021). Medicaid and mortality: New evi- dence from linked survey and administrative data. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 136(3):1783–1829.
Roth, J., Sant’Anna, P. H. C., Bilinski, A., and Poe, J. (2023). What’s trending in difference-in-differences? a synthesis of the recent econometrics literature. Journal of Econometrics.
Vor, F. and Groot, H. L. d. (2011). The impact of industrial sites on residential property values: A hedonic pricing analysis from the netherlands. Regional Studies, 45(5):609– 623.
Zhu, Y. and Diao, M. (2016). The impacts of urban mass rapid transit lines on the density and mobility of high-income households: A case study of singapore. Transport Policy, 51:70–80.
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