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題名 政府債務對於創新影響的實證分析
An Empirical Study on the Impact of Government Debt on Innovation
作者 林冠宏
Lin, Guan-Hong
貢獻者 吳文傑
Wu, Wen-Chieh
林冠宏
Lin, Guan-Hong
關鍵詞 創新
全球創新指數
專利權
政府債務
Innovation
Global Innovation Index
Patent
Government debt
日期 2023
上傳時間 2-Aug-2023 14:00:03 (UTC+8)
摘要 本文旨在研究影響國家創新能力的因素,其中著重於分析政府債務的影響,並使用OECD部分會員國西元2008年至2019年的追蹤資料進行研究,探討各項因素對於國家創新能力所產生的效果。
本文將政府債務對於國家創新能力的影響分為正向的創新建設效果與負向的債務排擠效果,相反的兩種效果加總後即為淨效果。這兩種效果的大小會因不同國家或時間的背景條件而有所差異,以不同的變數衡量創新也會得出不同結果,因此政府債務對創新的影響依國家、時間或創新衡量方式而異。
實證結果顯示,政府債務對於國家創新有正向影響。隨機效果模型與一元固定效果模型中,政府債務對於全球創新指數、專利權申請數皆有顯著的正向影響;二元固定效果模型中,政府債務對於專利權申請數有顯著的正向影響,但對於全球創新指數為正向不顯著影響。因此創新建設效果大於債務排擠效果,政府債務能促進國家創新能力與創新產出增加,此結論異於過去創新相關文獻。推論原因是近年創新趨勢所需的資金與建設投入越來越多,當政府以公債投入創新建設時,除了能推動國家創新發展,更能進一步加速私人創新研發能力。
另外,本文發現企業研究與發展支出、期刊研究數量、研究員數量對於創新具正向影響,為創新促進因子;政府研究與發展支出對於創新具負向影響,為創新惡化因子。
This paper aims to study the factors influencing national innovation capabilities, with a particular focus on the impact of government debt. The research is conducted using longitudinal data of selected OECD member countries from 2008 to 2019.
The impact of government debt on national innovation capabilities is divided into two aspects: the innovation construction effect and the debt crowding out effect. The magnitude of these effects may vary across country or time periods, measuring innovation with different variables may also yield different results.
The empirical results indicate that government debt has a positive effect on national innovation capabilities. In the random effects model and the one-way fixed effects model, government debt has a significant positive effect on Global Innovation Index and patent applications. In the two-way fixed effects model, government debt has a significant positive effect on patent applications, but the impact on the Global Innovation Index is insignificant. This result shows that the innovation construction effect outweighs the debt crowding out effect, enabling government debt to promote national innovation capabilities and increase innovation output. This conclusion differs from previous literature on innovation. It is inferred that the innovation trend in recent years necessitates a greater investment of funds and infrastructure. When the government invests in innovation and infrastructure through public debt, it not only promotes the country`s innovative development but also further accelerates private innovation and research capabilities.
Furthermore, the empirical results show that enterprise research and development expenditure, the quantity of journal articles, and the number of researchers have a positive influence on innovation, serving as innovation-promoting factors. By contrast, government expenditures on research and development have a negative impact on innovation, acting as a innovation-deteriorating factors.
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Andrijauskiene, M., & Dumčiuvienė, D. (2019). Inward Foreign Direct Investment and National Innovative Capacity. Engineering Economics, 30(3), 339-348. doi:10.5755/j01.ee.30.3.22832
Ari, I., & Koc, M. (2018). Sustainable Financing for Sustainable Development: Understanding the Interrelations between Public Investment and Sovereign Debt. Sustainability, 10(11), 3901. doi:10.3390/su10113901
Becker, B. (2015). PUBLIC R&D POLICIES AND PRIVATE R&D INVESTMENT: A SURVEY OF THE EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE. Journal of Economic Surveys, 29(5), 917-942. doi:10.1111/joes.12074
Brons, M. R. E., De Groot, H. L. F., & Nijkamp, P. (2000). Growth Effects of Governmental Policies: A Comparative Analysis in a Multi‐Country Context. Growth and Change, 31(4), 547-572. doi:10.1111/0017-4815.00144
Cassia, A. R., Costa, I., & De Oliveira Neto, G. C. (2022). Assessment of the effect of IT infrastructure on the relationship between knowledge sharing and technological innovation capability: survey in multinational companies. Technology Analysis & Strategic Management, 1-21. doi:10.1080/09537325.2022.2069005
Checherita-Westphal, C., & Rother, P. (2012). The impact of high government debt on economic growth and its channels: An empirical investigation for the euro area. European economic review, 56(7), 1392-1405.
Chen, C.-P., Hu, J.-L., & Yang, C.-H. (2011). An international comparison of R&D efficiency of multiple innovative outputs: The role of the national innovation system. Innovation, 13(3), 341-360.
Chi, W., & Qian, X. (2010). The role of education in regional innovation activities: spatial evidence from China. Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, 15(4), 396-419. doi:10.1080/13547860.2010.516158
Coccia, M. (2013). What are the likely interactions among innovation, government debt, and employment? Innovation: The European Journal of Social Science Research, 26(4), 456-471. doi:10.1080/13511610.2013.863704
Damanpour, F., & Schneider, M. (2009). Characteristics of innovation and innovation adoption in public organizations: Assessing the role of managers. Journal of public administration research and theory, 19(3), 495-522.
DiPietro, W. R. (2012). Favorable and unfavorable conditions for innovation: Some cross country evidence. Asian Economic and Financial Review, 2(1), 14-19.
Donate, M. J., & Guadamillas, F. (2011). Organizational factors to support knowledge management and innovation. Journal of knowledge management.
Drucker, P. F. (1985). The discipline of innovation. Harvard business review, 63(3), 67-72.
Fagerberg, J., & Srholec, M. (2008). National innovation systems, capabilities and economic development. Research Policy, 37(9), 1417-1435. doi:10.1016/j.respol.2008.06.003
Fan, J., Liu, Y., Zhang, Q., & Zhao, P. (2022). Does government debt impede firm innovation? Evidence from the rise of LGFVs in China. Journal of Banking & Finance, 138, 106475.
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描述 碩士
國立政治大學
財政學系
110255030
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0110255030
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 吳文傑zh_TW
dc.contributor.advisor Wu, Wen-Chiehen_US
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 林冠宏zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) Lin, Guan-Hongen_US
dc.creator (作者) 林冠宏zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Lin, Guan-Hongen_US
dc.date (日期) 2023en_US
dc.date.accessioned 2-Aug-2023 14:00:03 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 2-Aug-2023 14:00:03 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 2-Aug-2023 14:00:03 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0110255030en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/146550-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 財政學系zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 110255030zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 本文旨在研究影響國家創新能力的因素,其中著重於分析政府債務的影響,並使用OECD部分會員國西元2008年至2019年的追蹤資料進行研究,探討各項因素對於國家創新能力所產生的效果。
本文將政府債務對於國家創新能力的影響分為正向的創新建設效果與負向的債務排擠效果,相反的兩種效果加總後即為淨效果。這兩種效果的大小會因不同國家或時間的背景條件而有所差異,以不同的變數衡量創新也會得出不同結果,因此政府債務對創新的影響依國家、時間或創新衡量方式而異。
實證結果顯示,政府債務對於國家創新有正向影響。隨機效果模型與一元固定效果模型中,政府債務對於全球創新指數、專利權申請數皆有顯著的正向影響;二元固定效果模型中,政府債務對於專利權申請數有顯著的正向影響,但對於全球創新指數為正向不顯著影響。因此創新建設效果大於債務排擠效果,政府債務能促進國家創新能力與創新產出增加,此結論異於過去創新相關文獻。推論原因是近年創新趨勢所需的資金與建設投入越來越多,當政府以公債投入創新建設時,除了能推動國家創新發展,更能進一步加速私人創新研發能力。
另外,本文發現企業研究與發展支出、期刊研究數量、研究員數量對於創新具正向影響,為創新促進因子;政府研究與發展支出對於創新具負向影響,為創新惡化因子。
zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) This paper aims to study the factors influencing national innovation capabilities, with a particular focus on the impact of government debt. The research is conducted using longitudinal data of selected OECD member countries from 2008 to 2019.
The impact of government debt on national innovation capabilities is divided into two aspects: the innovation construction effect and the debt crowding out effect. The magnitude of these effects may vary across country or time periods, measuring innovation with different variables may also yield different results.
The empirical results indicate that government debt has a positive effect on national innovation capabilities. In the random effects model and the one-way fixed effects model, government debt has a significant positive effect on Global Innovation Index and patent applications. In the two-way fixed effects model, government debt has a significant positive effect on patent applications, but the impact on the Global Innovation Index is insignificant. This result shows that the innovation construction effect outweighs the debt crowding out effect, enabling government debt to promote national innovation capabilities and increase innovation output. This conclusion differs from previous literature on innovation. It is inferred that the innovation trend in recent years necessitates a greater investment of funds and infrastructure. When the government invests in innovation and infrastructure through public debt, it not only promotes the country`s innovative development but also further accelerates private innovation and research capabilities.
Furthermore, the empirical results show that enterprise research and development expenditure, the quantity of journal articles, and the number of researchers have a positive influence on innovation, serving as innovation-promoting factors. By contrast, government expenditures on research and development have a negative impact on innovation, acting as a innovation-deteriorating factors.
en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents 第一章 緒論 1
第一節 研究動機與目的 1
第二節 研究方法與範圍 4
第三節 研究限制 5
第四節 研究架構 6
第二章 文獻回顧 8
第一節 創新的定義 8
第二節 創新相關研究 9
第三節 政府支出與債務相關研究 13
第四節 政府債務對創新影響相關研究 17
第三章 研究方法及變數 19
第一節 假說建立 19
第二節 實證模型設定 21
第三節 變數說明與資料來源 23
第四章 敘述統計分析 31
第一節 OECD各國創新能力比較 31
第二節 OECD各國創新影響因素比較 32
第三節 政府債務與創新相關性 37
第四節 解釋變數相關性 38
第五章 實證結果分析 40
第一節 普通最小平方法 40
第二節 隨機效果分析 41
第三節 一元固定效果分析 44
第四節 二元固定效果分析 48
第六章 結論 60
參考文獻 62
附錄 67
zh_TW
dc.format.extent 3026101 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0110255030en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 創新zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 全球創新指數zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 專利權zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 政府債務zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Innovationen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Global Innovation Indexen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Patenten_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Government debten_US
dc.title (題名) 政府債務對於創新影響的實證分析zh_TW
dc.title (題名) An Empirical Study on the Impact of Government Debt on Innovationen_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen_US
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Aali Bujari, A., & Venegas Martínez, F. (2016). Technological innovation and economic growth in Latin America. Revista mexicana de economía y finanzas, 11(2), 77-89.
Andrijauskiene, M., & Dumčiuvienė, D. (2019). Inward Foreign Direct Investment and National Innovative Capacity. Engineering Economics, 30(3), 339-348. doi:10.5755/j01.ee.30.3.22832
Ari, I., & Koc, M. (2018). Sustainable Financing for Sustainable Development: Understanding the Interrelations between Public Investment and Sovereign Debt. Sustainability, 10(11), 3901. doi:10.3390/su10113901
Becker, B. (2015). PUBLIC R&D POLICIES AND PRIVATE R&D INVESTMENT: A SURVEY OF THE EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE. Journal of Economic Surveys, 29(5), 917-942. doi:10.1111/joes.12074
Brons, M. R. E., De Groot, H. L. F., & Nijkamp, P. (2000). Growth Effects of Governmental Policies: A Comparative Analysis in a Multi‐Country Context. Growth and Change, 31(4), 547-572. doi:10.1111/0017-4815.00144
Cassia, A. R., Costa, I., & De Oliveira Neto, G. C. (2022). Assessment of the effect of IT infrastructure on the relationship between knowledge sharing and technological innovation capability: survey in multinational companies. Technology Analysis & Strategic Management, 1-21. doi:10.1080/09537325.2022.2069005
Checherita-Westphal, C., & Rother, P. (2012). The impact of high government debt on economic growth and its channels: An empirical investigation for the euro area. European economic review, 56(7), 1392-1405.
Chen, C.-P., Hu, J.-L., & Yang, C.-H. (2011). An international comparison of R&D efficiency of multiple innovative outputs: The role of the national innovation system. Innovation, 13(3), 341-360.
Chi, W., & Qian, X. (2010). The role of education in regional innovation activities: spatial evidence from China. Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, 15(4), 396-419. doi:10.1080/13547860.2010.516158
Coccia, M. (2013). What are the likely interactions among innovation, government debt, and employment? Innovation: The European Journal of Social Science Research, 26(4), 456-471. doi:10.1080/13511610.2013.863704
Damanpour, F., & Schneider, M. (2009). Characteristics of innovation and innovation adoption in public organizations: Assessing the role of managers. Journal of public administration research and theory, 19(3), 495-522.
DiPietro, W. R. (2012). Favorable and unfavorable conditions for innovation: Some cross country evidence. Asian Economic and Financial Review, 2(1), 14-19.
Donate, M. J., & Guadamillas, F. (2011). Organizational factors to support knowledge management and innovation. Journal of knowledge management.
Drucker, P. F. (1985). The discipline of innovation. Harvard business review, 63(3), 67-72.
Fagerberg, J., & Srholec, M. (2008). National innovation systems, capabilities and economic development. Research Policy, 37(9), 1417-1435. doi:10.1016/j.respol.2008.06.003
Fan, J., Liu, Y., Zhang, Q., & Zhao, P. (2022). Does government debt impede firm innovation? Evidence from the rise of LGFVs in China. Journal of Banking & Finance, 138, 106475.
Freeman, C. (1987). Technology, policy, and economic performance: lessons from Japan: Burns & Oates.
Freeman, C. (2004). Technological infrastructure and international competitiveness. Industrial and Corporate Change, 13(3), 541-569.
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