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題名 年金改革對勞動條件的影響
The Impact of National Pension Reform on Labor Conditions in Taiwan作者 郭珈君
Kuo, Chia-Chun貢獻者 連賢明
Lien, Hsien-Ming
郭珈君
Kuo, Chia-Chun關鍵詞 2018年金改革
DID實證模型
工作時數
每月薪資
2018 pension reform
DID empirical model
monthly wage
working hour日期 2023 上傳時間 1-Sep-2023 16:12:51 (UTC+8) 摘要 本研究旨在探討2018年的年金改革對台灣勞動條件的影響，使用了2015至2020年行政院主計處人力資源運用調查中的資料進行差異中之差異法（DID）的實證模型。經實證分析發現，2018年的改革對工時產生了顯著影響，進而導致退休人數增加。因此，現有員工的工時增加，彰顯了改革對勞動市場的影響。進一步的回歸分析證實，教育、性別、年齡和婚姻狀況等因素對工時的影響同樣顯著，這為年金改革後勞動市場動態的決定因素提供了重要見解。每月薪資方面，研究發現2018年的改革有明顯的下降現象，而2011年的改革則未產生顯著影響。較嚴格的資格標準和減少的退休福利導致了每月薪資的減少。迴歸分析指出教育、年齡、婚姻狀況、性別、專業以及主要職業對每月薪資有顯著影響，突顯了考慮這些人口和職業因素在薪資動態中的重要性。這些發現有助於更深入地了解年金改革對整體勞動市場就業和薪資的影響。
This study examines the impact of the 2018 pension reform on the labor conditions in Taiwan using the DID empirical model. The database adopts the Accounting Office of the Executive Yuan`s human resources utilization survey from 2015 to 2020. The empirical analysis reveals that the 2018 reform had a significant impact on working hours, leading to an increase in the number of retirees and subsequent hiring of new personnel. As a result, the existing workforce experienced an increase in working hours, highlighting the labor market implications of the reform.Regression analysis further identifies education, gender, age, and marital status as significant factors influencing working hours, providing valuable insights into the determinants of labor dynamics following pension reforms. In terms of monthly wages, the 2018 reform was found to have a significant decreasing effect, while the 2011 reform did not produce a significant impact. Stricter eligibility criteria and reduced retirement benefits resulted in lower monthly wages. The regression analysis indicates that education, age, marital status, sex, major, and primary job significantly influence monthly wages, underscoring the importance of considering these demographic and occupational factors in wage dynamics. These findings contribute to a better understanding of the effects of pension reforms on employment and wages.參考文獻 Besamusca, J., Tijdens, K., Keune, M., & Steinmetz, S. (2015). Working women worldwide. Age effects in female labor force participation in 117 countries. World Development, 74, 123-141.Cascio, E. U., Haider, S. J., & Nielsen, H. S. (2015). The effectiveness of policies that promote labor force participation of women with children: A collection of national studies. Labour Economics, 36, 64-71.Chen, J., Shao, X., Murtaza, G., & Zhao, Z. (2014). Factors that influence female labor force supply in China. Economic Modelling, 37, 485-491.Klasen, S., Le, T. T. N., Pieters, J., & Santos Silva, M. (2021). What drives female labour force participation? Comparable micro-level evidence from eight developing and emerging economies. The Journal of Development Studies, 57(3), 417-442.Klasen, S. (2019). What explains uneven female labor force participation levels and trends in developing countries? The World Bank Research Observer, 34(2), 161-197.Lin, C. W. (2005). Pension reform in Taiwan: The old and the new politics of welfare. In S. H. Zhang & C. W. Lin (Eds.), Ageing and pension reform around the world: Evidence from eleven countries (pp. 182-207). Edward Elgar Publishing.Manoli, D., & Weber, A. (2016). Nonparametric evidence on the effects of financial incentives on retirement decisions. American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 8(4), 160-182.Rodina, A. (2021). Towards a better life?: assessing some initial effects of Russian pension reform. In Towards a better life?: assessing some initial effects of Russian pension reform: Rodina, Arina. Moscow: Higher School of Economics Publ. House.辛炳隆, & 賴偉文. (2020). 勞保年金改革對老年經濟安全的影響與因應. 主計月刊, 769(2020.01), 48-54.王儷玲、黃泓智、陳彥志、鄭惠恒. (2019). 臺灣年金制度改革的財務影響與世代不均問題. 臺大管理論叢, 29(2), 139-171.楊子霆、駱明慶 (2009). 誰付退休金？勞退新制對私部門勞工薪資的影響. 經濟論文, 37(3), 339-368.陳昱涵, 陳國樑, & 黃勢璋. (2021). 公務人員退休金制度改革與其勞動市場之實證分析. 經濟研究, 57(1), 123-171.申育誠(2020). 日韓公共年金制度比較. 社區發展季刊, 170(1), 326-345.賴偉文. (2018). 年金制度改革對總體經濟及勞動市場之影響. 經濟前瞻, (175), 32-37.賴偉文.(2017). 辛炳隆、劉峰瑋、張詩雋年金制度改革對總體經濟及勞動市場之影響. 國家發展委員會.關中（2013）。年金制度改革的原則與策略. 社區發展季刊, 144, 8-24.盧安琪（2019）。2018年考察韓國國民年金制度.傅從喜. (2007). 從轉型國家與開發中國家年金改革經驗論台灣年金體系的建構. 臺灣社會福利學刊, 5(2), 31-66.吳明儒, & 張菁芬. (1999). 私有化或多元主義?―台灣與英國年金制度改革的比較分析. 社會政策與社會工作學刊, 3(2), 37-100. 描述 碩士
國立政治大學
應用經濟與社會發展英語碩士學位學程(IMES)
110266003資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0110266003 資料類型 thesis dc.contributor.advisor 連賢明 zh_TW dc.contributor.advisor Lien, Hsien-Ming en_US dc.contributor.author (Authors) 郭珈君 zh_TW dc.contributor.author (Authors) Kuo, Chia-Chun en_US dc.creator (作者) 郭珈君 zh_TW dc.creator (作者) Kuo, Chia-Chun en_US dc.date (日期) 2023 en_US dc.date.accessioned 1-Sep-2023 16:12:51 (UTC+8) - dc.date.available 1-Sep-2023 16:12:51 (UTC+8) - dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 1-Sep-2023 16:12:51 (UTC+8) - dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0110266003 en_US dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/147235 - dc.description (描述) 碩士 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 應用經濟與社會發展英語碩士學位學程(IMES) zh_TW dc.description (描述) 110266003 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) 本研究旨在探討2018年的年金改革對台灣勞動條件的影響，使用了2015至2020年行政院主計處人力資源運用調查中的資料進行差異中之差異法（DID）的實證模型。經實證分析發現，2018年的改革對工時產生了顯著影響，進而導致退休人數增加。因此，現有員工的工時增加，彰顯了改革對勞動市場的影響。進一步的回歸分析證實，教育、性別、年齡和婚姻狀況等因素對工時的影響同樣顯著，這為年金改革後勞動市場動態的決定因素提供了重要見解。每月薪資方面，研究發現2018年的改革有明顯的下降現象，而2011年的改革則未產生顯著影響。較嚴格的資格標準和減少的退休福利導致了每月薪資的減少。迴歸分析指出教育、年齡、婚姻狀況、性別、專業以及主要職業對每月薪資有顯著影響，突顯了考慮這些人口和職業因素在薪資動態中的重要性。這些發現有助於更深入地了解年金改革對整體勞動市場就業和薪資的影響。 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) This study examines the impact of the 2018 pension reform on the labor conditions in Taiwan using the DID empirical model. The database adopts the Accounting Office of the Executive Yuan`s human resources utilization survey from 2015 to 2020. The empirical analysis reveals that the 2018 reform had a significant impact on working hours, leading to an increase in the number of retirees and subsequent hiring of new personnel. As a result, the existing workforce experienced an increase in working hours, highlighting the labor market implications of the reform.Regression analysis further identifies education, gender, age, and marital status as significant factors influencing working hours, providing valuable insights into the determinants of labor dynamics following pension reforms. In terms of monthly wages, the 2018 reform was found to have a significant decreasing effect, while the 2011 reform did not produce a significant impact. Stricter eligibility criteria and reduced retirement benefits resulted in lower monthly wages. The regression analysis indicates that education, age, marital status, sex, major, and primary job significantly influence monthly wages, underscoring the importance of considering these demographic and occupational factors in wage dynamics. These findings contribute to a better understanding of the effects of pension reforms on employment and wages. en_US dc.description.tableofcontents 1. Introduction 11.1 Background& Motivation 12. Literature Review 72.1 Current National Pension System in Taiwan 82.1.1 Public Pension Reform in 2018 in Taiwan 102.1.2 Public Pension Reform in 2011 in Taiwan 112.2 Current Employment Situation in Taiwan 142.3 Policy Analysis in the Labor Market……………………………………..152.4 National Pension Across Countries 163. Methodology 183.1 Empirical Method 183.2 The Data 203.3 Model Specification 214. Results 274.1 Data source of Monthly Wage and Working Hour 274.2 Working Hours in Public and Private Sector……………………………284.3 Monthly Wage in Public and Private Sector……………………………..324.4 Descriptive Statistics for Working Hours and Monthly Wage 354.4.1 Descriptive Statistics for Primary Job………………………….........394.5 Empirical regression results of working hours 414.5.1 Female and Males’ Working Hour in Public and Private Sector…..444.6 Empirical Regression Results of Monthly Wages………………………..464.6.1 Female and Males’ Monthly Wage in Public and Private Sector…..484.7 Comparisons of the Results and Findings………………………………..505. Conclusion 525.1 Conclusion and Further Suggestions 52References 54 zh_TW dc.format.extent 2709271 bytes - dc.format.mimetype application/pdf - dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0110266003 en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) 2018年金改革 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) DID實證模型 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 工作時數 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 每月薪資 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 2018 pension reform en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) DID empirical model en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) monthly wage en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) working hour en_US dc.title (題名) 年金改革對勞動條件的影響 zh_TW dc.title (題名) The Impact of National Pension Reform on Labor Conditions in Taiwan en_US dc.type (資料類型) thesis en_US dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Besamusca, J., Tijdens, K., Keune, M., & Steinmetz, S. (2015). Working women worldwide. Age effects in female labor force participation in 117 countries. World Development, 74, 123-141.Cascio, E. U., Haider, S. J., & Nielsen, H. S. (2015). The effectiveness of policies that promote labor force participation of women with children: A collection of national studies. Labour Economics, 36, 64-71.Chen, J., Shao, X., Murtaza, G., & Zhao, Z. (2014). Factors that influence female labor force supply in China. Economic Modelling, 37, 485-491.Klasen, S., Le, T. T. N., Pieters, J., & Santos Silva, M. (2021). What drives female labour force participation? Comparable micro-level evidence from eight developing and emerging economies. The Journal of Development Studies, 57(3), 417-442.Klasen, S. (2019). What explains uneven female labor force participation levels and trends in developing countries? The World Bank Research Observer, 34(2), 161-197.Lin, C. W. (2005). Pension reform in Taiwan: The old and the new politics of welfare. In S. H. Zhang & C. W. Lin (Eds.), Ageing and pension reform around the world: Evidence from eleven countries (pp. 182-207). Edward Elgar Publishing.Manoli, D., & Weber, A. (2016). Nonparametric evidence on the effects of financial incentives on retirement decisions. American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 8(4), 160-182.Rodina, A. (2021). Towards a better life?: assessing some initial effects of Russian pension reform. In Towards a better life?: assessing some initial effects of Russian pension reform: Rodina, Arina. Moscow: Higher School of Economics Publ. House.辛炳隆, & 賴偉文. (2020). 勞保年金改革對老年經濟安全的影響與因應. 主計月刊, 769(2020.01), 48-54.王儷玲、黃泓智、陳彥志、鄭惠恒. (2019). 臺灣年金制度改革的財務影響與世代不均問題. 臺大管理論叢, 29(2), 139-171.楊子霆、駱明慶 (2009). 誰付退休金？勞退新制對私部門勞工薪資的影響. 經濟論文, 37(3), 339-368.陳昱涵, 陳國樑, & 黃勢璋. (2021). 公務人員退休金制度改革與其勞動市場之實證分析. 經濟研究, 57(1), 123-171.申育誠(2020). 日韓公共年金制度比較. 社區發展季刊, 170(1), 326-345.賴偉文. (2018). 年金制度改革對總體經濟及勞動市場之影響. 經濟前瞻, (175), 32-37.賴偉文.(2017). 辛炳隆、劉峰瑋、張詩雋年金制度改革對總體經濟及勞動市場之影響. 國家發展委員會.關中（2013）。年金制度改革的原則與策略. 社區發展季刊, 144, 8-24.盧安琪（2019）。2018年考察韓國國民年金制度.傅從喜. (2007). 從轉型國家與開發中國家年金改革經驗論台灣年金體系的建構. 臺灣社會福利學刊, 5(2), 31-66.吳明儒, & 張菁芬. (1999). 私有化或多元主義?―台灣與英國年金制度改革的比較分析. 社會政策與社會工作學刊, 3(2), 37-100. zh_TW
