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題名 Revisiting the role of rainfall variability and its interactive effects with the built environment in urban dengue outbreaks
作者 陳怡如
Chen, Vivian Yi-Ju;Chen, Tzu-Hsin Karen;Wen, Tzai-Hung
貢獻者 統計系
關鍵詞 Rainfall; Built environment; Multilevel model; Dengue; Taiwan
日期 2018-12
上傳時間 29-Jan-2024 09:12:10 (UTC+8)
摘要 Dengue fever is a rapidly spreading mosquito-borne disease. Previous studies have shown that dengue vector mosquitoes are weather sensitive, and the effect of temperature on dengue transmission has been confirmed. However, associations between rainfall events and dengue incidence are not consistent, and few studies have addressed the roles of the magnitude and frequency of rainfall events in dengue transmission. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to differentiate the long-term and short-term effects of rainfall variation on dengue transmission and to investigate these effects within different socio-ecological contexts in southern Taiwan, which is a high-epidemic tropical region. A negative binomial multilevel model with Gaussian serial correlation was used in this study to investigate the intra- and inter-annual rainfall variability to determine the effects of rainfall on dengue occurrence in the pre-epidemic and epidemic seasons. Our significant results indicate that short-term rainfall and dengue occurrence show a non-linear relationship in which medium rainfall during the dengue season poses the most significant risk. We also found that rainfall effects are interactive to the percentage of old houses. Our results show strong synergistic interactions between low rain frequency and old house percentage, and between cumulative rainfall and old house percentage, contributing to dengue outbreaks. Our findings also differentiate the effects of short-term and long-term rainfall in old built-up environments on dengue occurrence. This implies that during rainy periods, old neighborhoods may require more attention from the public and private sectors to improve environmental quality and promote resident health.
關聯 Applied Geography, Vol.101, pp.14-22
資料類型 article
DOI https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apgeog.2018.10.005
dc.contributor 統計系
dc.creator (作者) 陳怡如
dc.creator (作者) Chen, Vivian Yi-Ju;Chen, Tzu-Hsin Karen;Wen, Tzai-Hung
dc.date (日期) 2018-12
dc.date.accessioned 29-Jan-2024 09:12:10 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 29-Jan-2024 09:12:10 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 29-Jan-2024 09:12:10 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/149418-
dc.description.abstract (摘要) Dengue fever is a rapidly spreading mosquito-borne disease. Previous studies have shown that dengue vector mosquitoes are weather sensitive, and the effect of temperature on dengue transmission has been confirmed. However, associations between rainfall events and dengue incidence are not consistent, and few studies have addressed the roles of the magnitude and frequency of rainfall events in dengue transmission. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to differentiate the long-term and short-term effects of rainfall variation on dengue transmission and to investigate these effects within different socio-ecological contexts in southern Taiwan, which is a high-epidemic tropical region. A negative binomial multilevel model with Gaussian serial correlation was used in this study to investigate the intra- and inter-annual rainfall variability to determine the effects of rainfall on dengue occurrence in the pre-epidemic and epidemic seasons. Our significant results indicate that short-term rainfall and dengue occurrence show a non-linear relationship in which medium rainfall during the dengue season poses the most significant risk. We also found that rainfall effects are interactive to the percentage of old houses. Our results show strong synergistic interactions between low rain frequency and old house percentage, and between cumulative rainfall and old house percentage, contributing to dengue outbreaks. Our findings also differentiate the effects of short-term and long-term rainfall in old built-up environments on dengue occurrence. This implies that during rainy periods, old neighborhoods may require more attention from the public and private sectors to improve environmental quality and promote resident health.
dc.format.extent 108 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype text/html-
dc.relation (關聯) Applied Geography, Vol.101, pp.14-22
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Rainfall; Built environment; Multilevel model; Dengue; Taiwan
dc.title (題名) Revisiting the role of rainfall variability and its interactive effects with the built environment in urban dengue outbreaks
dc.type (資料類型) article
dc.identifier.doi (DOI) 10.1016/j.apgeog.2018.10.005
dc.doi.uri (DOI) https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apgeog.2018.10.005