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題名 全球化及區域和平化對日本及南韓武器進口之影響
The Effects of Globalization and Regional Peace on Japan and South Korea’s Arm Imports作者 黃炤傑
Huang, Chao-Chieh貢獻者 翁永和
Weng, Yung-Ho
黃炤傑
Huang, Chao-Chieh關鍵詞 武器貿易
全球化
和平
日本
南韓
Arms trade
Globalization
Peace
Japan
South Korea日期 2023 上傳時間 1-Feb-2024 11:22:44 (UTC+8) 摘要 本研究係以日本及南韓為研究樣本，援引貿易引力模型為基礎（包含武器進、出口國之GDP、人均GDP及兩國間的地理距離），加以探討全球化及區域和平化對日韓兩國武器進口的影響，並納入國防支出、政體差異及聯盟關係等其它可能的影響因素進行討論，藉蒐整樣本國家2012至2022年間的現況資料及數據，據以區分兩部份建立實證模型，並以最小平方法（OLS）進行實證分析。根據實證結果顯示，「全球化」具有顯著的正向關聯，「區域和平化」則無顯著影響，此外，武器出口國的「GDP」及「人均GDP」亦對日本及南韓的武器進口具有顯著的正向影響，而在考量「聯盟關係」的影響後，「聯盟關係」將具有更為顯著的正向解釋力，並同時降低「武器出口國GDP」的顯著性，另外使得「武器出口國人均GDP」變得不再顯著，由此可見「聯盟關係」對日韓的武器進口具有決定性的作用。
This study utilizes Japan and South Korea as research samples, employing the trade gravity model as a foundation (including weapon imports, the GDP of exporting and importing countries, per capita GDP, and the geographical distance between the two countries). The study explores the impact of globalization and regional peace on weapon imports in Japan and South Korea. Additionally, other potential influencing factors such as defense expenditure, differences in democratization levels, and alliance relationships are considered for discussion. By collecting and organizing current data and statistics from the sample countries between 2012 and 2022, the study establishes empirical models in two parts. These models are then subjected to empirical analysis using the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) method. According to the empirical results, "globalization" exhibits a significant positive correlation, while "regional peace" shows no significant impact. Furthermore, the GDP and per capita GDP of the weapon-exporting country also have a significant positive influence on weapon imports in Japan and South Korea. Considering the impact of "alliance relationships," it is found that these relationships have a more significant positive explanatory power and simultaneously reduce the significance of "weapon-exporting country GDP." This, in turn, makes "weapon-exporting country per capita GDP" no longer significant. Therefore, it is evident that "alliance relationships" play a decisive role in the weapon imports of Japan and South Korea.參考文獻 中文部分 于建東（2007）。國際武器貿易發展及對策研究。裝備指揮技術學院學報，18(2)，34-37。 王成蘭、曹茂春（2004）。全球化：充滿悖論的歷史進程。西南師範大學學報：人文社會科學版，30(4)，84-88。 李慎明（2000）。全球化與第三世界。中國社會科學，3(1)，4-15。 洪朝輝（2000）。全球化-跨世紀的顯學。問題與研究，39(8)，73-84。 崔順姬（2012）。積極和平對非傳統安全研究的啟示。國際政治研究，(1)。 蔡育岱、譚偉恩（2008）。雙胞胎或連體嬰：論安全研究與和平研究之關聯性。國際關係學報，(25)，77-118。 英文部分 Akerman, A., and Seim, A. L. (2014). The global arms trade network 1950–2007. Journal of Comparative Economics, 42(3), 535-551. Alshamy, Y., Coyne, C. J., and Goodman, N. (2023). Noxious government markets: Evidence from the international arms trade. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 205, 87-99. Barash, D. P. (1991). Introduction to peace studies. Wadsworth Publishing Company. Bitzinger, R. A. (1994). The globalization of the arms industry: The next proliferation challenge. International Security, 19(2), 170-198. Blanton, S. L. (2005). Foreign policy in transition? Human rights, democracy, and US arms exports. International Studies Quarterly, 49(4), 647-667. Blum, J. (2019). Arms production, national defense spending and arms trade: Examining supply and demand. European Journal of Political Economy, 60, 101814. Callado-Muñoz, F. J., Hromcová, J., and Utrero-González, N. (2019). Trade and Military Alliances: Evidence from NATO. Peace Economics, Peace Science and Public Policy, 25(4), 20190027. Callado-Muñoz, F. J., Hromcová, J., Laborda Herrero, R., and Utrero Gonzalez, N. (2023). An empirical analysis of Arms Exports and Economic Growth spillovers: The case of the United States. Defence and Peace Economics, 34(7), 893-913. Comola, M. (2012). Democracies, politics, and arms supply. Review of International Economics, 20(1), 150-163. Craft, C., and Smaldone, J. P. (2002). The arms trade and the incidence of political violence in sub-Saharan Africa, 1967-97. Journal of Peace Research, 39(6), 693-710. Dreher, A. (2006). Does globalization affect growth? Evidence from a new index of globalization. Applied economics, 38(10), 1091-1110. Fischer, S. (2003). Globalization and its challenges. American Economic Review, 93(2), 1-30. Gallea, Q. (2023). Weapons and war: The effect of arms transfers on internal conflict. Journal of Development Economics, 160, 103001. Galtung, J. (1969). Violence, peace, and peace research. Journal of peace research, 6(3), 167-191. Giddens, A. ( 1990 ). The consequences of modernity. Stanford University Press. Gowa, J., and Mansfield, E. D. (2004). Alliances, imperfect markets, and major-power trade. International Organization, 58(4), 775-805. Gygli, S., Haelg, F., Potrafke, N., and Sturm, J. E. (2019). The KOF globalisation index–revisited. The Review of International Organizations, 14, 543-574. Held, D., McGrew, A., Goldblatt, D., and Perraton, J. (1999). Global transformations: Politics, economics and culture. Politics at the Edge. Kim, S. S. (1999). East Asia and globalization: Challenges and responses. Asian Perspective, 5-44. Levine, P., and Smith, R. (1997). The arms trade. Economic Policy, 12(25), 336-370. Maniruzzaman, T. (1992). Arms transfers, military coups, and military rule in developing states. Journal of Conflict Resolution, 36(4), 733-755. Martínez-Zarzoso, I., and Johannsen, F. (2019). The gravity of arms. Defence and Peace Economics, 30(1), 2-26. Modelski, G. (1972). Principles of world politics. Free Press. Nordhaus, W., Oneal, J. R., and Russett, B. (2012). The effects of the international security environment on national military expenditures: A multicountry study. International Organization, 66(3), 491-513. Pamp, O., and Thurner, P. W. (2017). Trading arms and the demand for military expenditures: empirical explorations using new SIPRI-data. Defence and Peace Economics, 28(4), 457-472. Pamp, O., Dendorfer, F., and Thurner, P. W. (2018). Arm your friends and save on defense? The impact of arms exports on military expenditures. Public Choice, 177(1-2), 165-187. Pamp, O., Rudolph, L., Thurner, P. W., Mehltretter, A., and Primus, S. (2018). The build-up of coercive capacities: Arms imports and the outbreak of violent intrastate conflicts. Journal of Peace Research, 55(4), 430-444. Pearson, F. S. (1989). The correlates of arms importation. Journal of Peace Research, 26(2), 153-163. Perkins, R., and Neumayer, E. (2010). The organized hypocrisy of ethical foreign policy: Human rights, democracy and Western arms sales. Geoforum, 41(2), 247-256. Smith, R. P., and Tasiran, A. (2010). Random coefficients models of arms imports. Economic Modelling, 27(6), 1522-1528. Thrall, T., and Caroline, D. (2018). The Role of Arms Sales in US Foreign Policy. Policy Analysis, 836. Tocoian, O. (2015). The home market effect in international arms trade. Economic Inquiry, 53(4), 1751-1764. Yang, C. H. (2020). Determinants of China’s arms exports: a political economy perspective. Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, 25(1), 156-174. 描述 碩士
國立政治大學
行政管理碩士學程
111921320資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0111921320 資料類型 thesis dc.contributor.advisor 翁永和 zh_TW dc.contributor.advisor Weng, Yung-Ho en_US dc.contributor.author (Authors) 黃炤傑 zh_TW dc.contributor.author (Authors) Huang, Chao-Chieh en_US dc.creator (作者) 黃炤傑 zh_TW dc.creator (作者) Huang, Chao-Chieh en_US dc.date (日期) 2023 en_US dc.date.accessioned 1-Feb-2024 11:22:44 (UTC+8) - dc.date.available 1-Feb-2024 11:22:44 (UTC+8) - dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 1-Feb-2024 11:22:44 (UTC+8) - dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0111921320 en_US dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/149586 - dc.description (描述) 碩士 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 行政管理碩士學程 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 111921320 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) 本研究係以日本及南韓為研究樣本，援引貿易引力模型為基礎（包含武器進、出口國之GDP、人均GDP及兩國間的地理距離），加以探討全球化及區域和平化對日韓兩國武器進口的影響，並納入國防支出、政體差異及聯盟關係等其它可能的影響因素進行討論，藉蒐整樣本國家2012至2022年間的現況資料及數據，據以區分兩部份建立實證模型，並以最小平方法（OLS）進行實證分析。根據實證結果顯示，「全球化」具有顯著的正向關聯，「區域和平化」則無顯著影響，此外，武器出口國的「GDP」及「人均GDP」亦對日本及南韓的武器進口具有顯著的正向影響，而在考量「聯盟關係」的影響後，「聯盟關係」將具有更為顯著的正向解釋力，並同時降低「武器出口國GDP」的顯著性，另外使得「武器出口國人均GDP」變得不再顯著，由此可見「聯盟關係」對日韓的武器進口具有決定性的作用。 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) This study utilizes Japan and South Korea as research samples, employing the trade gravity model as a foundation (including weapon imports, the GDP of exporting and importing countries, per capita GDP, and the geographical distance between the two countries). The study explores the impact of globalization and regional peace on weapon imports in Japan and South Korea. Additionally, other potential influencing factors such as defense expenditure, differences in democratization levels, and alliance relationships are considered for discussion. By collecting and organizing current data and statistics from the sample countries between 2012 and 2022, the study establishes empirical models in two parts. These models are then subjected to empirical analysis using the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) method. According to the empirical results, "globalization" exhibits a significant positive correlation, while "regional peace" shows no significant impact. Furthermore, the GDP and per capita GDP of the weapon-exporting country also have a significant positive influence on weapon imports in Japan and South Korea. Considering the impact of "alliance relationships," it is found that these relationships have a more significant positive explanatory power and simultaneously reduce the significance of "weapon-exporting country GDP." This, in turn, makes "weapon-exporting country per capita GDP" no longer significant. Therefore, it is evident that "alliance relationships" play a decisive role in the weapon imports of Japan and South Korea. en_US dc.description.tableofcontents 第一章 緒論 1 第一節 研究背景與動機 1 第二節 研究目的 2 第三節 研究範圍與方法 2 第四節 研究架構 3 第二章 文獻探討 4 第一節 武器貿易之定義及意涵暨衡量指標 4 第二節 全球化之定義及意涵暨衡量指標 7 第三節 和平之定義及意涵暨衡量指標 13 第四節 全球化對武器貿易之影響 16 第五節 區域和平化對武器貿易之影響 16 第六節 其他影響武器貿易之因素 17 第三章 樣本資料現況分析 22 第一節 日韓武器進口現況 22 第二節 日韓全球化及區域和平化現況 24 第三節 其他影響因素 27 第四章 實證模型設定與變數說明 37 第一節 實證模型設定 37 第二節 變數說明及預期影響方向 38 第五章 實證模型結果 43 第一節 實證變數的基本統計量 43 第二節 實證結果分析 44 第六章 結論與建議 53 第一節 研究結論 53 第二節 未來研究方向與建議 55 參考文獻 57 附錄 2012至2022年日韓聯盟關係虛擬變數編碼表 62 zh_TW dc.format.extent 1021448 bytes - dc.format.mimetype application/pdf - dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0111921320 en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) 武器貿易 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 全球化 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 和平 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 日本 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 南韓 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) Arms trade en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Globalization en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Peace en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Japan en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) South Korea en_US dc.title (題名) 全球化及區域和平化對日本及南韓武器進口之影響 zh_TW dc.title (題名) The Effects of Globalization and Regional Peace on Japan and South Korea’s Arm Imports en_US dc.type (資料類型) thesis en_US dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 中文部分 于建東（2007）。國際武器貿易發展及對策研究。裝備指揮技術學院學報，18(2)，34-37。 王成蘭、曹茂春（2004）。全球化：充滿悖論的歷史進程。西南師範大學學報：人文社會科學版，30(4)，84-88。 李慎明（2000）。全球化與第三世界。中國社會科學，3(1)，4-15。 洪朝輝（2000）。全球化-跨世紀的顯學。問題與研究，39(8)，73-84。 崔順姬（2012）。積極和平對非傳統安全研究的啟示。國際政治研究，(1)。 蔡育岱、譚偉恩（2008）。雙胞胎或連體嬰：論安全研究與和平研究之關聯性。國際關係學報，(25)，77-118。 英文部分 Akerman, A., and Seim, A. L. (2014). The global arms trade network 1950–2007. Journal of Comparative Economics, 42(3), 535-551. Alshamy, Y., Coyne, C. J., and Goodman, N. (2023). Noxious government markets: Evidence from the international arms trade. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 205, 87-99. Barash, D. P. (1991). Introduction to peace studies. Wadsworth Publishing Company. Bitzinger, R. A. (1994). The globalization of the arms industry: The next proliferation challenge. International Security, 19(2), 170-198. Blanton, S. L. (2005). Foreign policy in transition? Human rights, democracy, and US arms exports. International Studies Quarterly, 49(4), 647-667. Blum, J. (2019). Arms production, national defense spending and arms trade: Examining supply and demand. European Journal of Political Economy, 60, 101814. Callado-Muñoz, F. J., Hromcová, J., and Utrero-González, N. (2019). Trade and Military Alliances: Evidence from NATO. Peace Economics, Peace Science and Public Policy, 25(4), 20190027. Callado-Muñoz, F. J., Hromcová, J., Laborda Herrero, R., and Utrero Gonzalez, N. (2023). An empirical analysis of Arms Exports and Economic Growth spillovers: The case of the United States. Defence and Peace Economics, 34(7), 893-913. Comola, M. (2012). Democracies, politics, and arms supply. Review of International Economics, 20(1), 150-163. Craft, C., and Smaldone, J. P. (2002). The arms trade and the incidence of political violence in sub-Saharan Africa, 1967-97. Journal of Peace Research, 39(6), 693-710. Dreher, A. (2006). Does globalization affect growth? Evidence from a new index of globalization. Applied economics, 38(10), 1091-1110. Fischer, S. (2003). Globalization and its challenges. American Economic Review, 93(2), 1-30. Gallea, Q. (2023). Weapons and war: The effect of arms transfers on internal conflict. Journal of Development Economics, 160, 103001. Galtung, J. (1969). Violence, peace, and peace research. Journal of peace research, 6(3), 167-191. Giddens, A. ( 1990 ). The consequences of modernity. Stanford University Press. Gowa, J., and Mansfield, E. D. (2004). Alliances, imperfect markets, and major-power trade. International Organization, 58(4), 775-805. Gygli, S., Haelg, F., Potrafke, N., and Sturm, J. E. (2019). The KOF globalisation index–revisited. The Review of International Organizations, 14, 543-574. Held, D., McGrew, A., Goldblatt, D., and Perraton, J. (1999). Global transformations: Politics, economics and culture. Politics at the Edge. Kim, S. S. (1999). East Asia and globalization: Challenges and responses. Asian Perspective, 5-44. Levine, P., and Smith, R. (1997). The arms trade. Economic Policy, 12(25), 336-370. Maniruzzaman, T. (1992). Arms transfers, military coups, and military rule in developing states. Journal of Conflict Resolution, 36(4), 733-755. Martínez-Zarzoso, I., and Johannsen, F. (2019). The gravity of arms. Defence and Peace Economics, 30(1), 2-26. Modelski, G. (1972). Principles of world politics. Free Press. Nordhaus, W., Oneal, J. R., and Russett, B. (2012). The effects of the international security environment on national military expenditures: A multicountry study. International Organization, 66(3), 491-513. Pamp, O., and Thurner, P. W. (2017). Trading arms and the demand for military expenditures: empirical explorations using new SIPRI-data. Defence and Peace Economics, 28(4), 457-472. Pamp, O., Dendorfer, F., and Thurner, P. W. (2018). Arm your friends and save on defense? The impact of arms exports on military expenditures. Public Choice, 177(1-2), 165-187. Pamp, O., Rudolph, L., Thurner, P. W., Mehltretter, A., and Primus, S. (2018). The build-up of coercive capacities: Arms imports and the outbreak of violent intrastate conflicts. Journal of Peace Research, 55(4), 430-444. Pearson, F. S. (1989). The correlates of arms importation. Journal of Peace Research, 26(2), 153-163. Perkins, R., and Neumayer, E. (2010). The organized hypocrisy of ethical foreign policy: Human rights, democracy and Western arms sales. Geoforum, 41(2), 247-256. Smith, R. P., and Tasiran, A. (2010). Random coefficients models of arms imports. Economic Modelling, 27(6), 1522-1528. Thrall, T., and Caroline, D. (2018). The Role of Arms Sales in US Foreign Policy. Policy Analysis, 836. Tocoian, O. (2015). The home market effect in international arms trade. Economic Inquiry, 53(4), 1751-1764. Yang, C. H. (2020). Determinants of China’s arms exports: a political economy perspective. Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, 25(1), 156-174. zh_TW
