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題名 基本工資對勞動市場的影響：以臺灣為例
Effects of Minimum Wage on Labor Market Outcomes: Evidence from Taiwan
作者 陳宓
Chen, Mi
貢獻者 黃柏鈞
Huang, Po-Chun
陳宓
Chen, Mi
關鍵詞 基本工資
勞動市場
差異中差異
機器學習
Minimum Wage
Labor Market
Difference-in-Differences
Machine Learning
日期 2024
上傳時間 5-Aug-2024 13:36:56 (UTC+8)
摘要 為了調查2007年7月臺灣基本工資大幅調漲後對勞動市場的影響，本文透過rigorous LASSO模型識別出容易受到政策影響的低薪群體，並應用差異中的差異（Difference-in-Differences, DID）架構進行分析，根據不同地區對基本工資曝露程度的變化來建立實驗組和對照組。研究發現，基本工資上漲確實提高了工資，但對就業、工時和部分工時勞工比例沒有顯著影響。此外，這些結果在整體樣本和不同人口子群體中均得到了驗證。值得注意的是，對於具有大學學歷以上的群體，基本工資調漲對其工資並未顯著變化，但對就業有正面影響。
To investigate the impact of the significant minimum wage increase in Taiwan in July 2007 on the labor market, this study employs a rigorous LASSO model to identify low-wage groups that are likely to be affected by the policy. The analysis utilizes a Difference-in-Differences (DID) framework, establishing treatment and control groups based on variations in exposure to the minimum wage across counties. The findings indicate that the minimum wage increase indeed led to higher wages but had no significant impact on employment, hours of work, or the proportion of part-time workers. Moreover, these results were consistent across the full sample and various demographic subgroups. Notably, for individuals with a college education or more, the minimum wage increase did not significantly affect their wages but had a positive impact on employment.
參考文獻 Addison, J. T., M. L. Blackburn, and C. D. Cotti (2013). Minimum wage increases in a recessionary environment. Labour Economics 23, 30–39. Baek, J. and W. Park (2016). Minimum wage introduction and employment: Evidence from south korea. Economics Letters 139, 18–21. Belloni, A., D. Chen, V. Chernozhukov, and C. Hansen (2012). Sparse models and methods for optimal instruments with an application to eminent domain. Econometrica 80 (6), 2369–2429. Belloni, A., V. Chernozhukov, C. Hansen, and D. Kozbur (2016). Inference in high- dimensional panel models with an application to gun control. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics 34 (4), 590–605. Borgschulte, M. and H. Cho (2020). Minimum wages and retirement. ILR Review 73 (1), 153–177. Caliendo, M., A. Fedorets, M. Preuss, C. Schr ̈oder, and L. Wittbrodt (2018). The short-run employment effects of the german minimum wage reform. Labour Economics 53, 46–62. Campolieti, M., T. Fang, and M. Gunderson (2005). Minimum wage impacts on youth employment transitions, 1993–1999. Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d’ ́economique 38 (1), 81–104. Card, D. and A. B. Krueger (1993). Minimum wages and employment: A case study of the fast food industry in new jersey and pennsylvania. Cengiz, D., A. Dube, A. Lindner, and D. Zentler-Munro (2022). Seeing beyond the trees: Using machine learning to estimate the impact of minimum wages on labor market outcomes. Journal of Labor Economics 40 (S1), S203–S247. Cengiz, D., A. Dube, A. Lindner, and B. Zipperer (2019). The effect of minimum wages on low-wage jobs. The Quarterly Journal of Economics 134 (3), 1405–1454. Chung, S. H. (2023). Minimum wages and the elderly. Working paper . Chung, S. H. (2024). Minimum wage increases, hours of work, and overtime pay regulation. Working paper . Clemens, J., L. B. Kahn, and J. Meer (2021). Dropouts need not apply? the minimum wage and skill upgrading. Journal of Labor Economics 39 (S1), S107–S149. Dickens, R., R. Riley, and D. Wilkinson (2015). A re-examination of the impact of the uk national minimum wage on employment. Economica 82 (328), 841–864. Draca, M., S. Machin, and J. Van Reenen (2011). Minimum wages and firm profitability. American economic journal: applied economics 3 (1), 129–151. Dube, A., T. W. Lester, and M. Reich (2010). Minimum wage effects across state borders: Estimates using contiguous counties. The review of economics and statistics 92 (4), 945–964. Dustmann, C., A. Lindner, U. Sch ̈onberg, M. Umkehrer, and P. Vom Berge (2022). Re-allocation effects of the minimum wage. The Quarterly Journal of Economics 137 (1), 267–328. Kawaguchi, D. and K. Yamada (2007). The impact of the minimum wage on female employment in japan. Contemporary Economic Policy 25 (1), 107–118. Lee, J. and G. Park (2023). Minimum wage, employment, and margins of adjustment: Evidence from employer–employee matched panel data. Journal of Human Resources. Neumark, D. and O. Nizalova (2007). Minimum wage effects in the longer run. Journal of Human resources 42 (2), 435–452. Neumark, D. and W. Wascher (1992). Employment effects of minimum and subminimum wages: panel data on state minimum wage laws. ILR Review 46 (1), 55–81. Sabia, J. J., R. V. Burkhauser, and B. Hansen (2012). Are the effects of minimum wage increases always small? new evidence from a case study of new york state. Ilr Review 65 (2), 350–376. Stewart, M. B. (2002). Estimating the impact of the minimum wage using geographical wage variation. oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 64, 583–605. Stewart, M. B. (2004). The impact of the introduction of the uk minimum wage on the employment probabilities of low-wage workers. Journal of the European Economic Association 2 (1), 67–97. Zavodny, M. (2000). The effect of the minimum wage on employment and hours. Labour Economics 7 (6), 729–750. 黃芳玫 and 周思廷 (2023). 基本工資調升對臺灣勞工就業之影響: 2013-2018 年之實證. Journal of Social Sciences & Philosophy 35 (3).
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
經濟學系
111258019
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0111258019
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 黃柏鈞zh_TW
dc.contributor.advisor Huang, Po-Chunen_US
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 陳宓zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) Chen, Mien_US
dc.creator (作者) 陳宓zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Chen, Mien_US
dc.date (日期) 2024en_US
dc.date.accessioned 5-Aug-2024 13:36:56 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 5-Aug-2024 13:36:56 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 5-Aug-2024 13:36:56 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0111258019en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/152701-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 經濟學系zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 111258019zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 為了調查2007年7月臺灣基本工資大幅調漲後對勞動市場的影響，本文透過rigorous LASSO模型識別出容易受到政策影響的低薪群體，並應用差異中的差異（Difference-in-Differences, DID）架構進行分析，根據不同地區對基本工資曝露程度的變化來建立實驗組和對照組。研究發現，基本工資上漲確實提高了工資，但對就業、工時和部分工時勞工比例沒有顯著影響。此外，這些結果在整體樣本和不同人口子群體中均得到了驗證。值得注意的是，對於具有大學學歷以上的群體，基本工資調漲對其工資並未顯著變化，但對就業有正面影響。zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) To investigate the impact of the significant minimum wage increase in Taiwan in July 2007 on the labor market, this study employs a rigorous LASSO model to identify low-wage groups that are likely to be affected by the policy. The analysis utilizes a Difference-in-Differences (DID) framework, establishing treatment and control groups based on variations in exposure to the minimum wage across counties. The findings indicate that the minimum wage increase indeed led to higher wages but had no significant impact on employment, hours of work, or the proportion of part-time workers. Moreover, these results were consistent across the full sample and various demographic subgroups. Notably, for individuals with a college education or more, the minimum wage increase did not significantly affect their wages but had a positive impact on employment.en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents 1 Introduction 1 2 Literature Review 4 3 Data and Sample 8 3.1 Data 8 3.2 Sample 9 4 Empirical Strategy 9 4.1 The Gap measurement 9 4.2 Difference-In-Differences Method 11 4.3 Prediction Model with Machine Learning Algorithms 12 4.3.1 Prediction Algorithm 12 4.3.2 Summary Statistics 14 5 Estimation Results 16 5.1 Effects of Minimum Wage on Labor Market Outcomes by Full Sample 16 5.2 Effects of Minimum Wage on Labor Market Outcomes by Partitioned Sample 18 5.3 Effects of Minimum Wage on Labor Market Outcomes by Demographic Sub-groups 21 6 Discussion 24 References 25 Figures 28 Tables 34 Appendix 38zh_TW
dc.format.extent 2159178 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0111258019en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 基本工資zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 勞動市場zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 差異中差異zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 機器學習zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Minimum Wageen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Labor Marketen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Difference-in-Differencesen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Machine Learningen_US
dc.title (題名) 基本工資對勞動市場的影響：以臺灣為例zh_TW
dc.title (題名) Effects of Minimum Wage on Labor Market Outcomes: Evidence from Taiwanen_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen_US
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Addison, J. T., M. L. Blackburn, and C. D. Cotti (2013). Minimum wage increases in a recessionary environment. Labour Economics 23, 30–39. Baek, J. and W. Park (2016). Minimum wage introduction and employment: Evidence from south korea. Economics Letters 139, 18–21. Belloni, A., D. Chen, V. Chernozhukov, and C. Hansen (2012). Sparse models and methods for optimal instruments with an application to eminent domain. Econometrica 80 (6), 2369–2429. Belloni, A., V. Chernozhukov, C. Hansen, and D. Kozbur (2016). Inference in high- dimensional panel models with an application to gun control. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics 34 (4), 590–605. Borgschulte, M. and H. Cho (2020). Minimum wages and retirement. ILR Review 73 (1), 153–177. Caliendo, M., A. Fedorets, M. Preuss, C. Schr ̈oder, and L. Wittbrodt (2018). The short-run employment effects of the german minimum wage reform. Labour Economics 53, 46–62. Campolieti, M., T. Fang, and M. Gunderson (2005). Minimum wage impacts on youth employment transitions, 1993–1999. Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d’ ́economique 38 (1), 81–104. Card, D. and A. B. Krueger (1993). Minimum wages and employment: A case study of the fast food industry in new jersey and pennsylvania. Cengiz, D., A. Dube, A. Lindner, and D. Zentler-Munro (2022). Seeing beyond the trees: Using machine learning to estimate the impact of minimum wages on labor market outcomes. Journal of Labor Economics 40 (S1), S203–S247. Cengiz, D., A. Dube, A. Lindner, and B. Zipperer (2019). The effect of minimum wages on low-wage jobs. The Quarterly Journal of Economics 134 (3), 1405–1454. Chung, S. H. (2023). Minimum wages and the elderly. Working paper . Chung, S. H. (2024). Minimum wage increases, hours of work, and overtime pay regulation. Working paper . Clemens, J., L. B. Kahn, and J. Meer (2021). Dropouts need not apply? the minimum wage and skill upgrading. Journal of Labor Economics 39 (S1), S107–S149. Dickens, R., R. Riley, and D. Wilkinson (2015). A re-examination of the impact of the uk national minimum wage on employment. Economica 82 (328), 841–864. Draca, M., S. Machin, and J. Van Reenen (2011). Minimum wages and firm profitability. American economic journal: applied economics 3 (1), 129–151. Dube, A., T. W. Lester, and M. Reich (2010). Minimum wage effects across state borders: Estimates using contiguous counties. The review of economics and statistics 92 (4), 945–964. Dustmann, C., A. Lindner, U. Sch ̈onberg, M. Umkehrer, and P. Vom Berge (2022). Re-allocation effects of the minimum wage. The Quarterly Journal of Economics 137 (1), 267–328. Kawaguchi, D. and K. Yamada (2007). The impact of the minimum wage on female employment in japan. Contemporary Economic Policy 25 (1), 107–118. Lee, J. and G. Park (2023). Minimum wage, employment, and margins of adjustment: Evidence from employer–employee matched panel data. Journal of Human Resources. Neumark, D. and O. Nizalova (2007). Minimum wage effects in the longer run. Journal of Human resources 42 (2), 435–452. Neumark, D. and W. Wascher (1992). Employment effects of minimum and subminimum wages: panel data on state minimum wage laws. ILR Review 46 (1), 55–81. Sabia, J. J., R. V. Burkhauser, and B. Hansen (2012). Are the effects of minimum wage increases always small? new evidence from a case study of new york state. Ilr Review 65 (2), 350–376. Stewart, M. B. (2002). Estimating the impact of the minimum wage using geographical wage variation. oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 64, 583–605. Stewart, M. B. (2004). The impact of the introduction of the uk minimum wage on the employment probabilities of low-wage workers. Journal of the European Economic Association 2 (1), 67–97. Zavodny, M. (2000). The effect of the minimum wage on employment and hours. Labour Economics 7 (6), 729–750. 黃芳玫 and 周思廷 (2023). 基本工資調升對臺灣勞工就業之影響: 2013-2018 年之實證. Journal of Social Sciences & Philosophy 35 (3).zh_TW