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題名 夾在兩個巨人之間: 中美科技戰下台灣半導體與中國的貿易
In Between Two Giants: Taiwan's Semiconductor Trade with China Amid the U.S.-China Technology War
作者 艾麗蓉
Felos, Eliza
貢獻者 王信實
Shinn-Shyr Wang
艾麗蓉
Eliza Felos
關鍵詞 台灣
積體電路
中國
美國
出口管制
科技戰下
Taiwan
Semiconductors
China
The United States
Technology War
Export Controls
日期 2024
上傳時間 4-九月-2024 15:20:50 (UTC+8)
摘要 隨著技術對國家經濟和軍事安全的重要性日益增加,對這些關鍵技術的競爭也在加劇。這一現象在美國和中國之間的半導體競爭中尤為明顯。然而,由於行業特性及全球化經濟,這種衝突並不僅限於這兩個國家。在集成電路單元(IC單元)領域,台灣受衝突影響最大,因為它是世界上最大的先進IC單元生產國之一。台灣在技術和知識產權上嚴重依賴美國,同時也將大部分IC單元出口到中國。這項研究旨在確定台灣出口到中國的IC單元受影響的程度和方向。基於差異性回歸分析,結果顯示自美國對中國公司華為實施首項出口控制以來,台灣對中國的IC單元出口有所增加。雖然本文的初始假設未得到支持,但結果提供了對美國出口控制在短期內可能影響台灣的另一種觀點,並指出未來研究需要關注的方向。
As technology becomes increasingly important to country’s economic and military security, the competition for access to these key technologies grows. No where is it more obvious in than between the United States and China over semiconductors. However, due to the nature of the industry and the globalized economy, the conflict is not isolated to these countries alone. In the area of integrated circuit units, or IC units, Taiwan is the most affected by the conflict, as it is one of the largest producers of advanced IC units in the world. Taiwan heavily relies on the US for technology and IP access, and also exports most of its IC unit to China. This research set out to determine to what degree and direction Taiwan’s IC units exported to China was affected. Based on a difference in difference regression analysis, it was determined that in terms of IC units there was an increase in exports to China from Taiwan since the first US export control on the Chinese company Huawei was implemented. While the initial hypothesis of this paper was not supported, the results present an alternative viewpoint into the way the US export controls may be affecting Taiwan in the short term and where research may need to focus on in the future.
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描述 碩士
國立政治大學
亞太研究英語碩士學位學程(IMAS)
111926025
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0111926025
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 王信實zh_TW
dc.contributor.advisor Shinn-Shyr Wangen_US
dc.contributor.author (作者) 艾麗蓉zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (作者) Eliza Felosen_US
dc.creator (作者) 艾麗蓉zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Felos, Elizaen_US
dc.date (日期) 2024en_US
dc.date.accessioned 4-九月-2024 15:20:50 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 4-九月-2024 15:20:50 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 4-九月-2024 15:20:50 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (其他 識別碼) G0111926025en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/153470-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 亞太研究英語碩士學位學程(IMAS)zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 111926025zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 隨著技術對國家經濟和軍事安全的重要性日益增加,對這些關鍵技術的競爭也在加劇。這一現象在美國和中國之間的半導體競爭中尤為明顯。然而,由於行業特性及全球化經濟,這種衝突並不僅限於這兩個國家。在集成電路單元(IC單元)領域,台灣受衝突影響最大,因為它是世界上最大的先進IC單元生產國之一。台灣在技術和知識產權上嚴重依賴美國,同時也將大部分IC單元出口到中國。這項研究旨在確定台灣出口到中國的IC單元受影響的程度和方向。基於差異性回歸分析,結果顯示自美國對中國公司華為實施首項出口控制以來,台灣對中國的IC單元出口有所增加。雖然本文的初始假設未得到支持,但結果提供了對美國出口控制在短期內可能影響台灣的另一種觀點,並指出未來研究需要關注的方向。zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) As technology becomes increasingly important to country’s economic and military security, the competition for access to these key technologies grows. No where is it more obvious in than between the United States and China over semiconductors. However, due to the nature of the industry and the globalized economy, the conflict is not isolated to these countries alone. In the area of integrated circuit units, or IC units, Taiwan is the most affected by the conflict, as it is one of the largest producers of advanced IC units in the world. Taiwan heavily relies on the US for technology and IP access, and also exports most of its IC unit to China. This research set out to determine to what degree and direction Taiwan’s IC units exported to China was affected. Based on a difference in difference regression analysis, it was determined that in terms of IC units there was an increase in exports to China from Taiwan since the first US export control on the Chinese company Huawei was implemented. While the initial hypothesis of this paper was not supported, the results present an alternative viewpoint into the way the US export controls may be affecting Taiwan in the short term and where research may need to focus on in the future.en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents Table of Contents Table of Figures VI Table of Tables VIII Table of Equations IX Chapter 1: Introduction 9 1.1. Overview 10 1.2. Objectives and Structure 12 1.3. Motivation 13 1.4. Gap in Existing Literature 14 Chapter 2: Historical Background 15 2.1. The Conflict in the Taiwan Strait 16 2.2. US and China: Friends to Competitors 18 Chapter 3: Literature Review 21 3.1. Theoretical Framework of Techno-geopolitics 21 3.1.1. Geopolitics 21 3.1.2. Geoeconomics 22 3.1.3. Technological Sovereignty 23 3.1.4. Techno-geopolitics 24 3.2. Semiconductor Supply Chain 25 3.3. Taiwan’s Semiconductor Development 32 3.3.1. TSMC 33 3.4. Technology War 34 3.4.1. China Strategic Maneuvers 35 3.4.2. US Strategic Maneuvers 38 3.4.3. The Effects on Taiwan 40 Chapter 4: Methodology 42 4.1. Research Design 43 4.2. Operationalization 45 4.3. Data Collection 47 4.4. Hypothesis 49 Chapter 5: Results 50 5.1. Difference in Difference Regression Model 50 5.1.1. Modular Significance 51 5.1.2. Directional Relationship 52 5.2. Tables and Graphs 53 5.3. Additional Findings 54 5.4. Summary of Key Findings 54 Chapter 6: Discussion 55 6.1. Initial Hypothesis 55 6.2. New Theories 57 6.2.1. Chinese Firm’s Stockpiling 57 6.2.2. Lack of Compliance 58 6.2.3. China’s Technological Lag 59 6.2.4. Alternative Theories 61 6.3. Results in the lens of Techno-Geopolitics 61 6.4. Implications for Taiwan 62 6.5. Implications for the Silicone Triangle 64 6.6. Limitations 66 Chapter 7: Conclusion 68 7.1. Drawbacks & Future Considerations 68 7.2. Final Thoughts 69 References 71zh_TW
dc.format.extent 1619592 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0111926025en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 台灣zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 積體電路zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 中國zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 美國zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 出口管制zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 科技戰下zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Taiwanen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Semiconductorsen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Chinaen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) The United Statesen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Technology Waren_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Export Controlsen_US
dc.title (題名) 夾在兩個巨人之間: 中美科技戰下台灣半導體與中國的貿易zh_TW
dc.title (題名) In Between Two Giants: Taiwan's Semiconductor Trade with China Amid the U.S.-China Technology Waren_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen_US
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) About Trade Statistics. (n.d.). Retrieved from CPT SIngle Window : https://portal.sw.nat.gov.tw/APGA/GA32E Allen, G. C. (2023). In Chip Race, China Gives Huawei the Steering Wheel. Center for Strategic & International Studies. Ash, R., & Greene, J. M. (2007). Introduction. In Taiwan in the 21st century : Aspects and limitations of a development model. Bajpai, P. (2021, October 1). An Overview of the Top 5 Semiconductor Foundry Companies. Retrieved from Nasdaq: https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/an-overview-of-the-top-5-semiconductor-foundry-companies-2021-10-01 Barboza, D. (2006, May 15). In a Scientist's Fall, China Feels Robbed of Glory. Retrieved from New York Times: https://archive.ph/iVvPk Bekkers , E., & Schroeter, S. (2020). An Economic Analysis of the US-China Trade Conflict. Economic Research and Statistics Division. World Trade Organization . Bitzinger, R. A. (2021). China’s Shift from Civil-Military Integration to Military-Civil Fusion. 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Chan, E. (2023, December 6). How Much Do EUV Machines Cost? Retrieved from Gadgetmates: https://gadgetmates.com/how-much-do-euv-machines-cost#:~:text=EUV%20machines%20cost%20between%20%24120,the%20advanced%20technology%20they%20embody Danielsson, L. (2023). United States, Taiwan, and Semiconductors: A Critical Supply Chain Partnership . Arlington : The Project 2049 Institute & US-Taiwan Business Council . Diamond , L., Ellis Jr, J., & Schell, O. (2023). Introduction; Washington, Taipei, and Beijing— The Silicon Triangle. In Silicon Triangle; The United States, Taiwan, China and Global Semiconductor Security. Stanford: Hoover Institute & Asia Society Center on U.S.-China Relations. Edler, J., Blind, K., Kroll, H., & Schubert, T. (2023). Technology sovereignty as an emerging frame for innovation policy. Defining rationales, ends and means,. Research Policy. Election Study Center. (2024). Taiwanese / Chinese Identity(1992/06~2023/12). Taipei: National Chengchi University. 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