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題名 影響越南製藥供應鏈中API交付延遲的因素
Factors Affecting the Delivery Lateness of APIs in the Vietnam Pharmaceutical Supply Chain
作者 潘黎草明
Phan, Minh Le Thao
貢獻者 蔡政憲
Tsai, Cheng-Hsien
潘黎草明
Minh Le Thao Phan
關鍵詞 API 交付
供應商可靠性
運輸方式
供應鏈韌性
ETC 通道
API delivery
Supplier reliability
Transportation mode
Supply chain resilience
ETC channel
日期 2025
上傳時間 4-Aug-2025 12:55:48 (UTC+8)
摘要 本研究探討了越南製藥廠商在倫理藥品通道（ETC）中，從海外供應商處交付活性藥物成分（API）延遲的原因。採用混合方法，研究通過邏輯回歸和決策樹模型分析了來自K公司（2019-2023年）的56份合同。結果顯示，供應商和運輸是延遲的關鍵因素。與中國製造商相比，印度貿易商的延遲機率提高了38.92倍，而海運和較長的港口距離則將延遲機率提高了8.10倍。COVID-19、貨幣波動和合同嚴格性未顯示出顯著影響，這可能是由於適應性策略或有限的談判能力所致。 建議包括：對於緊急需求優先選擇空運，選擇中國製造商，並實施政府激勵措施以促進國內API生產、數據驅動的供應商選擇、實時追蹤，以及標準化的物流協議來增強供應鏈韌性。研究的局限性包括樣本量較小和缺乏利益相關者的意見，建議未來的研究應該改善其普遍適用性。
This study examines the causes of late Active Pharmaceutical Ingredient (API) deliveries from overseas suppliers to Vietnamese pharmaceutical manufacturers within the Ethical (ETC) channel. Using a mixed-methods approach, the research analyzes 56 contracts from Company K (2019–2023) through logistic regression and decision tree models. Results identify Supplier and Transportation as key drivers of delays. Traders in India increase delay odds by 38.92 times compared to Chinese manufacturers, while sea transport and longer port distances raise delay odds by 8.10 times. COVID-19, currency volatility, and contract strictness showed no significant impact, likely due to adaptive strategies or limited negotiation power. Recommendations include prioritizing air freight for urgent needs, selecting Chinese manufacturers, and implementing government incentives for domestic API production, data-driven supplier selection, real-time tracking, and standardized logistics protocols to enhance supply chain resilience. Limitations, including a small sample size and lack of stakeholder input, suggest future research to improve generalizability.
參考文獻 Abrahams, T., Farayola, O., Kaggwa, S., Uwaoma, P., Hassan, A., & Dawodu, S. (2024). Reviewing third-party risk management: best practices in accounting and cybersecurity for superannuation organizations. Finance & Accounting Research Journal, 21-39. Adenso-Díaz, B., Mar-Ortiz, J., & Lozano, S. (2018). Assessing Supply Chain Robustness to Links Failure. International Journal of Production Research, 5104-5117. Agarwal, A., & Bui, T. (2024, September 25). Vietnam Investment Review. From Pharma to experience robust growth: https://vir.com.vn/pharma-to-experience-robust-growth-114808.html Alam, P., Husain, F., & Maqbool, A. (2024). A study over constructive role of delivery services in intensifying customer loyalty in e-commerce business: an empirical study in Delhi. Analysis Center. (2024). Bao cao Nganh Duoc pham: Duy tri on dinh. ABS. Arowosegbe. (2024). Risk Management in Global Supply Chains: Addressing Vulnerabilities in Shipping and Logistics. International Journal of Management & Entrepreneurship Research, 910-922. Ballou, R. (1999). Business Logistics Management, 4ª ed. New Jersey: Prentice Hall. Barros, L., Riley, M., & Brown, D. (2001). Special millennium issue of the EJOR: a global view of industrial logistics. European Journal of Operational Research, 231-234. Belantová, T., & Taraba, P. (2019). Risk Management in the Logistics Projects. MACTEC Web of Conferences. Bhattacharjya, Tripathi, Gezdur, Brady, & Bell. (n.d.). Chapter 8: Logistics and Supply Chain Around the World. In Transport and Pandemic Experiences (pp. 149-162). Bowersox, D. J., Closs, D. J., & Drayer, R. W. (2005). The digital transformation technology and beyond. Supply Chain Management Review, 22-29. Burgos, & Ivanov. (2021). Food retail supply chain resilience and the COVID-19 pandemic: A digital twin-based impact analysis and improvement directions. Transportation Research Part E. Coker, J., Uzougbo, N., Oguejiofor, B., & Akagha, O. (2023). The role of legal practitioners in mitigating corporate risks in Nigeria: a comprehensive review of existing literature on the strategies and approaches adopted by legal practitioners in Nigeria to mitigate corporate risks . Finance & Accounting Research Journal , 309-332. Cooper, M., Lambert, D., & Pagh, J. (1997). Supply Chain Management: More than a New Name for Logistics. The International Journal of Logistics Management, 1-14. Dai, T., Cho, S., & Zhang, F. (2016). Contracting for On-Time Delivery in the U.S. Influenza Vaccine Supply Chain. Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, 332-346. Ding, H. (2022). History, Issues, and Future Scope of Logistics and Supply Chain. Journal of Enterprise and Business Intelligence. Dumitrascu, O. (2017). Criterial suppliers’ evaluation model aimed at SCM performance, production and engineering process’s improvement. Balkan Region Conference on Engineering and Business Education, (pp. 45-51). EXCHANGE-RATES.ORG. (2025, April). From https://www.exchange-rates.org/exchange-rate-history/usd-inr-2023 EXCHANGE-RATES.ORG. (2025, April). From https://www.exchange-rates.org/exchange-rate-history/usd-cny-2023 Eygü, H., & Karabacak, E. (2017). Afet Lojistik Yönetimi Temelinde Risk Yönetim Endeksi Verileriyle Türkiye İle Ab Üye Ülkelerinin Karşilaştirmasi. İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi, 627. Fartaj, Kabir, Eghujovbo, Ali, & Paul. (2020). Modeling transportation disruptions in the supply chain of automotive parts manufacturing company. International Journal of Production Economics. Ferrozzi, C., & Shapiro, R. (1992). Logistica e strategia. Torino: GEA ISEDI. Gheidar-Kheljani, J., & Halat, K. (2024). Eveloping A Resilient Supply Chain In Complex Product Systems Through Investment In Reliability And Cooperative Contracts. RAIRO Operations Research, 79-102. Huang, S., Uppal, M., & Shi, J. (2002). A product driven approach to manufacturing supply chain selection. Supply Chain Management: An International Journal, 189-199. Kobayashi, S. (1998). Rinnovare la logistica. Milano: Il Sole 24 Ore. Maggi, & Borruso. (2001). A Theoretical Framework Of The New Approach To Logistics: Supply Chain Management. European Transport. Mizrak, F. (2023). Managing Risks and Crises in the Logistics Sector: A Comprehensive Analysis of Strategies and Prioritization Using AHP Method. Nguyen, T., & Samuel, P. (2022, March 21). Vietnam's Pharmaceuticals Industry: A Comprehensive Guide for 2022. From Vietnam Briefing: https://www.vietnam-briefing.com/news/vietnams-growing-pharmaceutical-industry.html/ Ogundimu, Altman, & Collins. (2016). Adequate Sample Size For Developing Prediction Models Is Not Simply Related To Events Per Variable. Journal of Clinical Epidemiology, 175-182. Okoye, C., Ofodile, O., Tula, S., Nifise, A., Falaiye, T., Ejairu, E., & Addy, W. (2024). Risk management in international supply chains: A review with USA and African Cases. Magna Scientia Advanced Research and Reviews, 256-264. Panjehfouladgaran, H., & Lim, S. (2020). Reverse Logistics Risk Management: Identification, Clustering and Risk Mitigation Strategies. Management Decision, 1449-1474. Peduzzi, P., Concato, J., Kemper, E., Holford, T., & Feinstein, A. (1996). A Simulation Study Of The Number Of Events Per Variable In Logistic Regression Analysis. J Clin Epidemiol. Pham, T. (2022, October 5). Quy trinh ban hang cua cac cong ty duoc pham tai Viet Nam. From MISA AMIS: https://amis.misa.vn/67553/quy-trinh-ban-hang-cua-cong-ty-duoc/ Rutner, S. M., & Langley, C. J. (2000). Logistics Value: Definition, Process and Measurement. The International Journal of Logistics Managment, 73-82. Sawyerr, E., & Harrison, C. (2020). Developing Resilient Supply Chains: Lessons From High-Reliability Organisations. Supply Chain Management: An International Journal, 77-100. Schary, P., & Larsen, T. (1995). Managing the global supply chain. Copenhagen: Handelshøjskolens Forlang. Tarafdar, M., & Qrunfleh, S. (2017). Agile Supply Chain Strategy And Supply Chain Performance: Complementary Roles Of Supply Chain Practices And Information Systems Capability For Agility. International Journal of Production Research, 925-938. The Council of Logistics Management . (1986). What is it All About? Illinois. The Journal of Logistics Management. (1998). What is Logistics? Retrieved April, 2025 from http://www.logisticsworld.com/. Trkman, P., & McCormack, K. (2009). Supply chain risk in turbulent environments—A conceptual model for managing supply chain network risk. International Journal of Production Economics, 247-258. Wagner, & Gillespie. (2019). Using and Interpreting Statistics in the Social, Behavioral, and Health Sciences. SAGE Publications, Inc. Wee, & Blos. (2012). Risk Management in Logistics. Intelligent Systems Reference Library. Wu, P., & Chaipiyaphan, P. (2020). Diagnosis Of Delivery Vulnerability In A Logistics System For Logistics Risk Management. The International Journal of Logistics Management, 43-58. Yan, B., Dong, Q., Li, Q., & Li, M. (2022). A Study on Risk Measurement of Logistics in International Trade: A Case Study of the RCEP Countries. Sustainability.
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
國際經營管理英語碩士學位學程(IMBA)
112933047
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0112933047
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 蔡政憲zh_TW
dc.contributor.advisor Tsai, Cheng-Hsienen_US
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 潘黎草明zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) Minh Le Thao Phanen_US
dc.creator (作者) 潘黎草明zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Phan, Minh Le Thaoen_US
dc.date (日期) 2025en_US
dc.date.accessioned 4-Aug-2025 12:55:48 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 4-Aug-2025 12:55:48 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 4-Aug-2025 12:55:48 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0112933047en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/158302-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國際經營管理英語碩士學位學程(IMBA)zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 112933047zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 本研究探討了越南製藥廠商在倫理藥品通道（ETC）中，從海外供應商處交付活性藥物成分（API）延遲的原因。採用混合方法，研究通過邏輯回歸和決策樹模型分析了來自K公司（2019-2023年）的56份合同。結果顯示，供應商和運輸是延遲的關鍵因素。與中國製造商相比，印度貿易商的延遲機率提高了38.92倍，而海運和較長的港口距離則將延遲機率提高了8.10倍。COVID-19、貨幣波動和合同嚴格性未顯示出顯著影響，這可能是由於適應性策略或有限的談判能力所致。 建議包括：對於緊急需求優先選擇空運，選擇中國製造商，並實施政府激勵措施以促進國內API生產、數據驅動的供應商選擇、實時追蹤，以及標準化的物流協議來增強供應鏈韌性。研究的局限性包括樣本量較小和缺乏利益相關者的意見，建議未來的研究應該改善其普遍適用性。zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) This study examines the causes of late Active Pharmaceutical Ingredient (API) deliveries from overseas suppliers to Vietnamese pharmaceutical manufacturers within the Ethical (ETC) channel. Using a mixed-methods approach, the research analyzes 56 contracts from Company K (2019–2023) through logistic regression and decision tree models. Results identify Supplier and Transportation as key drivers of delays. Traders in India increase delay odds by 38.92 times compared to Chinese manufacturers, while sea transport and longer port distances raise delay odds by 8.10 times. COVID-19, currency volatility, and contract strictness showed no significant impact, likely due to adaptive strategies or limited negotiation power. Recommendations include prioritizing air freight for urgent needs, selecting Chinese manufacturers, and implementing government incentives for domestic API production, data-driven supplier selection, real-time tracking, and standardized logistics protocols to enhance supply chain resilience. Limitations, including a small sample size and lack of stakeholder input, suggest future research to improve generalizability.en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents 1. CHAPTER 1: OVERVIEW OF THE RESEARCH TOPIC 1 2. CHAPTER 2: LITERATURE REVIEW 14 3. CHAPTER 3: METHODOLOGY 28 4. CHAPTER 4: RESEARCH RESULTS 44 5. CHAPTER 5: CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS 63 References 75 Appendix 79zh_TW
dc.format.extent 2830078 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0112933047en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) API 交付zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 供應商可靠性zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 運輸方式zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 供應鏈韌性zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) ETC 通道zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) API deliveryen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Supplier reliabilityen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Transportation modeen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Supply chain resilienceen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) ETC channelen_US
dc.title (題名) 影響越南製藥供應鏈中API交付延遲的因素zh_TW
dc.title (題名) Factors Affecting the Delivery Lateness of APIs in the Vietnam Pharmaceutical Supply Chainen_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen_US
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Abrahams, T., Farayola, O., Kaggwa, S., Uwaoma, P., Hassan, A., & Dawodu, S. (2024). Reviewing third-party risk management: best practices in accounting and cybersecurity for superannuation organizations. Finance & Accounting Research Journal, 21-39. Adenso-Díaz, B., Mar-Ortiz, J., & Lozano, S. (2018). Assessing Supply Chain Robustness to Links Failure. International Journal of Production Research, 5104-5117. Agarwal, A., & Bui, T. (2024, September 25). Vietnam Investment Review. From Pharma to experience robust growth: https://vir.com.vn/pharma-to-experience-robust-growth-114808.html Alam, P., Husain, F., & Maqbool, A. (2024). A study over constructive role of delivery services in intensifying customer loyalty in e-commerce business: an empirical study in Delhi. Analysis Center. (2024). Bao cao Nganh Duoc pham: Duy tri on dinh. ABS. Arowosegbe. (2024). Risk Management in Global Supply Chains: Addressing Vulnerabilities in Shipping and Logistics. International Journal of Management & Entrepreneurship Research, 910-922. Ballou, R. (1999). Business Logistics Management, 4ª ed. New Jersey: Prentice Hall. Barros, L., Riley, M., & Brown, D. (2001). Special millennium issue of the EJOR: a global view of industrial logistics. European Journal of Operational Research, 231-234. Belantová, T., & Taraba, P. (2019). Risk Management in the Logistics Projects. MACTEC Web of Conferences. Bhattacharjya, Tripathi, Gezdur, Brady, & Bell. (n.d.). Chapter 8: Logistics and Supply Chain Around the World. In Transport and Pandemic Experiences (pp. 149-162). Bowersox, D. J., Closs, D. J., & Drayer, R. W. (2005). The digital transformation technology and beyond. Supply Chain Management Review, 22-29. Burgos, & Ivanov. (2021). Food retail supply chain resilience and the COVID-19 pandemic: A digital twin-based impact analysis and improvement directions. Transportation Research Part E. Coker, J., Uzougbo, N., Oguejiofor, B., & Akagha, O. (2023). The role of legal practitioners in mitigating corporate risks in Nigeria: a comprehensive review of existing literature on the strategies and approaches adopted by legal practitioners in Nigeria to mitigate corporate risks . Finance & Accounting Research Journal , 309-332. Cooper, M., Lambert, D., & Pagh, J. (1997). Supply Chain Management: More than a New Name for Logistics. The International Journal of Logistics Management, 1-14. Dai, T., Cho, S., & Zhang, F. (2016). Contracting for On-Time Delivery in the U.S. Influenza Vaccine Supply Chain. Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, 332-346. Ding, H. (2022). History, Issues, and Future Scope of Logistics and Supply Chain. Journal of Enterprise and Business Intelligence. Dumitrascu, O. (2017). Criterial suppliers’ evaluation model aimed at SCM performance, production and engineering process’s improvement. Balkan Region Conference on Engineering and Business Education, (pp. 45-51). EXCHANGE-RATES.ORG. (2025, April). From https://www.exchange-rates.org/exchange-rate-history/usd-inr-2023 EXCHANGE-RATES.ORG. (2025, April). From https://www.exchange-rates.org/exchange-rate-history/usd-cny-2023 Eygü, H., & Karabacak, E. (2017). Afet Lojistik Yönetimi Temelinde Risk Yönetim Endeksi Verileriyle Türkiye İle Ab Üye Ülkelerinin Karşilaştirmasi. İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi, 627. Fartaj, Kabir, Eghujovbo, Ali, & Paul. (2020). Modeling transportation disruptions in the supply chain of automotive parts manufacturing company. International Journal of Production Economics. Ferrozzi, C., & Shapiro, R. (1992). Logistica e strategia. Torino: GEA ISEDI. Gheidar-Kheljani, J., & Halat, K. (2024). Eveloping A Resilient Supply Chain In Complex Product Systems Through Investment In Reliability And Cooperative Contracts. RAIRO Operations Research, 79-102. Huang, S., Uppal, M., & Shi, J. (2002). A product driven approach to manufacturing supply chain selection. Supply Chain Management: An International Journal, 189-199. Kobayashi, S. (1998). Rinnovare la logistica. Milano: Il Sole 24 Ore. Maggi, & Borruso. (2001). A Theoretical Framework Of The New Approach To Logistics: Supply Chain Management. European Transport. Mizrak, F. (2023). Managing Risks and Crises in the Logistics Sector: A Comprehensive Analysis of Strategies and Prioritization Using AHP Method. Nguyen, T., & Samuel, P. (2022, March 21). Vietnam's Pharmaceuticals Industry: A Comprehensive Guide for 2022. From Vietnam Briefing: https://www.vietnam-briefing.com/news/vietnams-growing-pharmaceutical-industry.html/ Ogundimu, Altman, & Collins. (2016). Adequate Sample Size For Developing Prediction Models Is Not Simply Related To Events Per Variable. Journal of Clinical Epidemiology, 175-182. Okoye, C., Ofodile, O., Tula, S., Nifise, A., Falaiye, T., Ejairu, E., & Addy, W. (2024). Risk management in international supply chains: A review with USA and African Cases. Magna Scientia Advanced Research and Reviews, 256-264. Panjehfouladgaran, H., & Lim, S. (2020). Reverse Logistics Risk Management: Identification, Clustering and Risk Mitigation Strategies. Management Decision, 1449-1474. Peduzzi, P., Concato, J., Kemper, E., Holford, T., & Feinstein, A. (1996). A Simulation Study Of The Number Of Events Per Variable In Logistic Regression Analysis. J Clin Epidemiol. Pham, T. (2022, October 5). Quy trinh ban hang cua cac cong ty duoc pham tai Viet Nam. From MISA AMIS: https://amis.misa.vn/67553/quy-trinh-ban-hang-cua-cong-ty-duoc/ Rutner, S. M., & Langley, C. J. (2000). Logistics Value: Definition, Process and Measurement. The International Journal of Logistics Managment, 73-82. Sawyerr, E., & Harrison, C. (2020). Developing Resilient Supply Chains: Lessons From High-Reliability Organisations. Supply Chain Management: An International Journal, 77-100. Schary, P., & Larsen, T. (1995). Managing the global supply chain. Copenhagen: Handelshøjskolens Forlang. Tarafdar, M., & Qrunfleh, S. (2017). Agile Supply Chain Strategy And Supply Chain Performance: Complementary Roles Of Supply Chain Practices And Information Systems Capability For Agility. International Journal of Production Research, 925-938. The Council of Logistics Management . (1986). What is it All About? Illinois. The Journal of Logistics Management. (1998). What is Logistics? Retrieved April, 2025 from http://www.logisticsworld.com/. Trkman, P., & McCormack, K. (2009). Supply chain risk in turbulent environments—A conceptual model for managing supply chain network risk. International Journal of Production Economics, 247-258. Wagner, & Gillespie. (2019). Using and Interpreting Statistics in the Social, Behavioral, and Health Sciences. SAGE Publications, Inc. Wee, & Blos. (2012). Risk Management in Logistics. Intelligent Systems Reference Library. Wu, P., & Chaipiyaphan, P. (2020). Diagnosis Of Delivery Vulnerability In A Logistics System For Logistics Risk Management. The International Journal of Logistics Management, 43-58. Yan, B., Dong, Q., Li, Q., & Li, M. (2022). A Study on Risk Measurement of Logistics in International Trade: A Case Study of the RCEP Countries. Sustainability.zh_TW