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題名 日間照顧中心空間可近性對房價之影響
The Impact of Spatial Accessibility of Day Care Centre on Housing Prices作者 郭璨宇
Kuo, Tsan-Yu貢獻者 吳文傑
Wu, Wen-Chieh
郭璨宇
Kuo, Tsan-Yu關鍵詞 房價
長期照顧
日照中心
空間可近性
進階式兩階段流動搜尋法
非線性關係
空間迴歸
臺南
Housing price
long-term care
day care centre
spatial accessibility
enhanced two-step floating catchment area
non-linear relations
spatial regression
Tainan日期 2025 上傳時間 4-Aug-2025 14:12:01 (UTC+8) 摘要 研究鄰近設施對房價的影響，除有助於瞭解房價形成機制，亦可反映當地對於公共服務的偏好。隨著臺灣在2025年邁入超高齡社會，隨著老年人口與長期照顧機構數量同步上升，使研究長照設施如何影響房價的議題，更顯重要。 本研究以「進階式兩階段流動搜尋法」（E2SFCA）分析單位房價與日間照顧中心空間可近性的關係。由於臺南市為臺灣第一個完成「一國中學區一日照」布建的直轄市，故選為本研究的案例。 由於分布位置存在差異，本研究將房價資料分為透天厝與公寓，並加入變數以區分都會區、科學園區與鄉村區域。除了線性迴歸外，本研究也加入非線性迴歸及空間迴歸來分析日照中心可近性與單位房價的關係。研究結果包括：一、公寓價格與日照中心可近性呈現正相關。然而，若公寓500公尺內有日照中心，房價會下降，呈現出半嫌惡設施的特徵。二、透天厝價格與日照中心可近性是非線性關係，當村里的可近性超過89.84，或每10個村里內有超過2.35個日照中心時，兩者關係會由正相關轉為負相關。三、「科學園區的透天厝」與「鄉村的公寓」的日照中心可近性與房價呈現負相關，這可能與區域家戶組成結構不同有關。四、空間迴歸結果顯示，房價間具有空間相依性，並與日照中心可近性呈正相關。結合空間觀點，可以降低分析時犯第一型錯誤的風險。 日照中心可近性大致上與房價呈現正相關，顯示日照中心受到購屋者與當地社區的歡迎，這與政府長照政策在地老化的政策目標相符。
The study of the impact of neighbouring facilities on housing prices offers valuable insights into both price determinants and local community preferences regarding service provision. As Taiwan is set to become a super-aged society by 2025, the rise in both the elderly population and the number of long-term care institutions makes it increasingly important to examine how these facilities influence housing prices. This study examines the relationship between unit housing prices and the spatial accessibility of elderly day care centres, measured using the enhanced two-step floating catchment area (E2SFCA) method. Tainan was selected as a case study, being the first special municipality to achieve the policy objective of “one day care centre per junior high school district”. Due to the difference in distribution, this research disaggregated data into houses and flats and added variables to indicate urban, rural, and science park areas. In addition to linear regression, this study also employs non-linear and spatial regression models to explore the relationship between day care centre accessibility and housing prices. The findings include: First, accessibility demonstrates a positive correlation with the unit prices of flats. However, day care centres exhibit characteristics of a semi-obnoxious facility, as flat prices decrease within a 500m road distance of a centre. Second, the relationship between prices and accessibility is non-linear for houses. While a positive correlation exists, it becomes negative when a village’s accessibility reaches a threshold of 89.84, or 2.35 centres per 10 villages. Third, accessibility and price show a negative correlation for “houses in science park” and “flats in rural areas”, which may be due to the difference in family composition. 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國立政治大學
亞太研究英語博士學位學程(IDAS)
108265501資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0108265501 資料類型 thesis dc.contributor.advisor 吳文傑 zh_TW dc.contributor.advisor Wu, Wen-Chieh en_US dc.contributor.author (Authors) 郭璨宇 zh_TW dc.contributor.author (Authors) Kuo, Tsan-Yu en_US dc.creator (作者) 郭璨宇 zh_TW dc.creator (作者) Kuo, Tsan-Yu en_US dc.date (日期) 2025 en_US dc.date.accessioned 4-Aug-2025 14:12:01 (UTC+8) - dc.date.available 4-Aug-2025 14:12:01 (UTC+8) - dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 4-Aug-2025 14:12:01 (UTC+8) - dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0108265501 en_US dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/158521 - dc.description (描述) 博士 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 亞太研究英語博士學位學程(IDAS) zh_TW dc.description (描述) 108265501 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) 研究鄰近設施對房價的影響，除有助於瞭解房價形成機制，亦可反映當地對於公共服務的偏好。隨著臺灣在2025年邁入超高齡社會，隨著老年人口與長期照顧機構數量同步上升，使研究長照設施如何影響房價的議題，更顯重要。 本研究以「進階式兩階段流動搜尋法」（E2SFCA）分析單位房價與日間照顧中心空間可近性的關係。由於臺南市為臺灣第一個完成「一國中學區一日照」布建的直轄市，故選為本研究的案例。 由於分布位置存在差異，本研究將房價資料分為透天厝與公寓，並加入變數以區分都會區、科學園區與鄉村區域。除了線性迴歸外，本研究也加入非線性迴歸及空間迴歸來分析日照中心可近性與單位房價的關係。研究結果包括：一、公寓價格與日照中心可近性呈現正相關。然而，若公寓500公尺內有日照中心，房價會下降，呈現出半嫌惡設施的特徵。二、透天厝價格與日照中心可近性是非線性關係，當村里的可近性超過89.84，或每10個村里內有超過2.35個日照中心時，兩者關係會由正相關轉為負相關。三、「科學園區的透天厝」與「鄉村的公寓」的日照中心可近性與房價呈現負相關，這可能與區域家戶組成結構不同有關。四、空間迴歸結果顯示，房價間具有空間相依性，並與日照中心可近性呈正相關。結合空間觀點，可以降低分析時犯第一型錯誤的風險。 日照中心可近性大致上與房價呈現正相關，顯示日照中心受到購屋者與當地社區的歡迎，這與政府長照政策在地老化的政策目標相符。 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) The study of the impact of neighbouring facilities on housing prices offers valuable insights into both price determinants and local community preferences regarding service provision. As Taiwan is set to become a super-aged society by 2025, the rise in both the elderly population and the number of long-term care institutions makes it increasingly important to examine how these facilities influence housing prices. This study examines the relationship between unit housing prices and the spatial accessibility of elderly day care centres, measured using the enhanced two-step floating catchment area (E2SFCA) method. Tainan was selected as a case study, being the first special municipality to achieve the policy objective of “one day care centre per junior high school district”. Due to the difference in distribution, this research disaggregated data into houses and flats and added variables to indicate urban, rural, and science park areas. In addition to linear regression, this study also employs non-linear and spatial regression models to explore the relationship between day care centre accessibility and housing prices. The findings include: First, accessibility demonstrates a positive correlation with the unit prices of flats. However, day care centres exhibit characteristics of a semi-obnoxious facility, as flat prices decrease within a 500m road distance of a centre. Second, the relationship between prices and accessibility is non-linear for houses. While a positive correlation exists, it becomes negative when a village’s accessibility reaches a threshold of 89.84, or 2.35 centres per 10 villages. Third, accessibility and price show a negative correlation for “houses in science park” and “flats in rural areas”, which may be due to the difference in family composition. Fourth, spatial regression analysis indicates that housing prices exhibit spatial dependence and are positively correlated with day care centre accessibility. Incorporating a spatial perspective reduces the risk of potential Type I errors in the analysis process. The overall positive correlation between day care centre accessibility and housing prices suggests that day care services are welcomed by house buyers and local communities, aligning with the government’s long-term care policy objective of ageing in place. en_US dc.description.tableofcontents 1. Introduction 1 1.1. Motivation and Purpose 1 1.2. Case Selection 10 1.3. Research Framework 18 1.4. Potential Contributions 19 2. Literature Review 21 2.1. The Determinants of Housing Price 21 2.1.1. NIMBY and Semi-obnoxious Facilities 22 2.2. Spatial Accessibility 23 2.2.1. Measuring Accessibility 24 2.2.2. Floating Catchment Area Method 25 2.3. Spatial Analysis 26 2.3.1. Spatial Weighted Matrix 27 2.3.2. Spatial Autocorrelation 29 3. Methodology 32 3.1. Test Hypothesis 32 3.2. Enhanced Two-step Floating Catchment Area Method 34 3.3. Model Specification 38 3.3.1. Ordinary Least Squares 39 3.3.2. Square Terms 39 3.3.3. Threshold Regression 40 3.3.4. Spatial Regression 42 3.4. Variables 46 4. Data 49 4.1. Real Estate Transaction Data 50 4.2. Geographic Data 53 4.3. Long-term Care Data 55 4.3.1. Day Care Centre 55 4.2.2. Population in need of Long-term Care 55 4.3.3. Spatial Accessibility of Day Care Centre 59 4.3.4. The Aged Dwelling Plan 62 4.4. Neighbourhood Feature 68 5. Analysis 69 5.1. Descriptive Statistics 69 5.1.1. Overall Descriptive Statistics 69 5.1.2. Descriptive Statistics for Each Variable 72 5.2. Spatial Autocorrelation Test 88 5.2.1. Spatial Weighted Matrix 88 5.2.2. Moran’s I 89 5.2.3. LISA 91 5.3. Multicollinearity Test 93 5.4. Model Analysis 94 5.4.1. Non-Spatial Regression 94 5.4.2. Spatial Regression 109 6. Conclusion 116 6.1. Findings 117 6.2. Research Contribution 121 6.3. Policy Implications 122 6.4. Research Limitation and Future Development 123 Reference 124 zh_TW dc.format.extent 7887955 bytes - dc.format.mimetype application/pdf - dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0108265501 en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) 房價 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 長期照顧 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 日照中心 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 空間可近性 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 進階式兩階段流動搜尋法 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 非線性關係 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 空間迴歸 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 臺南 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) Housing price en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) long-term care en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) day care centre en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) spatial accessibility en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) enhanced two-step floating catchment area en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) non-linear relations en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) spatial regression en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Tainan en_US dc.title (題名) 日間照顧中心空間可近性對房價之影響 zh_TW dc.title (題名) The Impact of Spatial Accessibility of Day Care Centre on Housing Prices en_US dc.type (資料類型) thesis en_US dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Abelson, P., Joyeux, R., Milunovich, G., & Chung, D. 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