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題名 捷運旅次分布與大眾運輸導向發展之關聯分析—以雙北地區為例
Analysis of the Relationship Between MRT Trip Distribution and Transit-Oriented Development: A Case Study of the Taipei Metropolitan Area作者 邱奕瑄
Qiu, Yi-Xuan貢獻者 白仁德
Pai, Jen-Te
邱奕瑄
Qiu, Yi-Xuan關鍵詞 大眾運輸導向發展程度分布
捷運旅次行為
重力模型
中介效果
TOD level distribution
Metro travel behavior
Gravity model
Mediation effect日期 2025 上傳時間 1-Sep-2025 14:34:12 (UTC+8) 摘要 隨著都市發展與通勤需求增長，如何透過大眾運輸導向發展（Transit-Oriented Development, TOD）整合土地使用與運輸規劃，強化大眾運輸系統使用效率與都市機能整合，已成為重要的空間規劃議題。面對雙北地區捷運網絡持續擴展的背景之下，是否有對基礎現況進行適當的評估，並辨識潛在需強化之區域，仍具進一步探討之必要。 現行多數大眾運輸導向發展研究著重於靜態的規劃設計或政策面向，缺乏結合實際旅次資料與使用行為的實證驗證，亦較少從區域尺度分析大眾運輸導向發展發展程度。本研究以 ITDP 所提出之《TOD Standard 3.0》為基礎，建立雙北地區大眾運輸導向發展之評估指標體系，透過標準化與加權整合方法，計算各捷運站點之大眾運輸導向發展程度。同時，結合捷運各站O-D流量統計進行旅次分析，並應用K-means分群法、重力模型與中介效果等方法，探討雙北地區大眾運輸導向發展與捷運旅次間之互動關係。 研究結果顯示，大眾運輸導向發展由臺北市核心區向新北邊陲遞減，高程度地區多集中於交通節點與核心生活圈。而熱門O-D旅次集中於大眾運輸發展程度高程度區，惟平日與假日之旅次模式具明顯差異，呈現出以通勤與休閒為導向之功能差異。此外，中介效果進一步發現，大眾運輸導向發展程度主要透過提升站點實際人次，間接促進O-D旅次，顯示其間接影響機制。 本研究透過結合大眾運輸導向發展指標與捷運旅次資料，補足大眾運輸導向發展之研究在都市規劃與使用行為之間的落差，期能提供具實證基礎的分析，作為未來大眾運輸導向政策規劃與資源配置之重要依據。
As urban development and commuting demands continue to rise, the integration of land use and transportation planning through Transit-Oriented Development (TOD) has emerged as a critical issue in spatial planning. In light of the expanding metro network in the Taipei Metropolitan Area, it is essential to assess the current state of TOD implementation and pinpoint areas in need of further improvement. While most existing TOD studies emphasize static planning and policy frameworks, they often lack empirical validation grounded in actual travel behavior data. Furthermore, few have analyzed the level of TOD at the regional scale. This research establishes an evaluation indicator system for TOD in Taipei and New Taipei City, drawing on the TOD Standard 3.0 developed by ITDP. Through standardized and weighted integration methods, the TOD level of each metro station is calculated. Additionally, metro origin-destination (O-D) flow statistics are also employed to analyze travel patterns, with K-means clustering, gravity modeling, and mediation analysis used to explore the interaction between TOD levels and metro travel patterns. The results reveal a decreasing gradient in TOD levels from central Taipei toward the suburban areas of New Taipei. High TOD areas are mostly located at transit hubs and core urban zones. Popular O-D trips are concentrated in areas with high TOD levels. Nevertheless, significant differences are observed between weekday and weekend travel patterns, reflecting distinct commuting and leisure-oriented functions. Moreover, the mediation analysis shows that TOD levels indirectly promote O-D trips by increasing actual station usage, which highlights the underlying behavioral mechanism. By integrating TOD indicators with real-world travel data, this study narrows the gap between planning theory and actual user behavior. It offers an evidence-based framework to support future TOD policymaking and inform more effective resource allocation.參考文獻 一、中文參考文獻 （一）期刊論文 白仁德、劉人華（2014）。大眾運輸導向建成環境特性對捷運運量影響之研究－以臺北捷運為實證對象。《建築與規劃學報》，15（2/3），111–128。 李家儂、賴宗裕（2007）。臺北都會區大眾運輸導向發展目標體系與策略之建構。《地理學報》，48，19–42。 李家儂、羅健文（2006）。大眾運輸導向發展設計概念中步行可及性與大眾捷運系統旅次關係之初探。《都市交通》，20（4）。 林楨家、施亭伃（2007）。大眾運輸導向發展之建成環境對捷運運量之影響--臺北捷運系統之實證研究。《運輸計劃》，36（4）。 張惟皓、張效通（2015）。以空間型構法則分析都市型態之研究架構。《健康與建築雜誌》，2（1），1–9。 許志堅、林育慈（2003）。大眾運輸導向的都市發展目標與策略-以臺北市為例。《經濟前瞻》，（86），116–121。 張澤雄、王君惠、曾昭容（2018）。臺北捷運30而立，傳承技術與永續經營再發展。《捷運技術》，(50)，61。臺北市政府捷運工程局。 臺北市政府交通局、新北市政府交通局（2019）。108年雙北市民眾日常使用運具狀況摘要分析。臺北市政府交通局。 （二）學位論文 郭佳勳（2005）。捷運站區大眾運輸導向發展評估模式之建立與應用（碩士論文）。國立臺北大學，臺北市。 陳宥維（2024）。臺北市大眾運輸導向發展地圖與零售業發展關聯之時空變遷分析（碩士論文）。國立政治大學，臺北市。 潘廷彥（2020）。高齡者搭乘捷運旅運之時空分布型態分析 - 以雙北地區為例（碩士論文）。國立政治大學，臺北市。 蔡宗霈（2021）。以實證型TOD類型學檢視臺北市發展之特徵與表現（碩士論文）。國立成功大學，台南市。 林正軒（2023）。臺北市大眾運輸導向發展與都市更新之空間關聯分析（碩士論文）。國立政治大學，臺北市。 王怡婷（2023）。以捷運搭乘者時空活動探討 TOD 生活圈特徵：以臺北市文湖線捷運站點周邊地區為例（碩士論文）。國立成功大學，台南市。 二、外文參考文獻 （一）期刊論文 Anwar, A., Leng, H., Ashraf, H., & Haider, A. 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國立政治大學
地政學系
112257007資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0112257007 資料類型 thesis dc.contributor.advisor 白仁德 zh_TW dc.contributor.advisor Pai, Jen-Te en_US dc.contributor.author (Authors) 邱奕瑄 zh_TW dc.contributor.author (Authors) Qiu, Yi-Xuan en_US dc.creator (作者) 邱奕瑄 zh_TW dc.creator (作者) Qiu, Yi-Xuan en_US dc.date (日期) 2025 en_US dc.date.accessioned 1-Sep-2025 14:34:12 (UTC+8) - dc.date.available 1-Sep-2025 14:34:12 (UTC+8) - dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 1-Sep-2025 14:34:12 (UTC+8) - dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0112257007 en_US dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/158974 - dc.description (描述) 碩士 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 地政學系 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 112257007 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) 隨著都市發展與通勤需求增長，如何透過大眾運輸導向發展（Transit-Oriented Development, TOD）整合土地使用與運輸規劃，強化大眾運輸系統使用效率與都市機能整合，已成為重要的空間規劃議題。面對雙北地區捷運網絡持續擴展的背景之下，是否有對基礎現況進行適當的評估，並辨識潛在需強化之區域，仍具進一步探討之必要。 現行多數大眾運輸導向發展研究著重於靜態的規劃設計或政策面向，缺乏結合實際旅次資料與使用行為的實證驗證，亦較少從區域尺度分析大眾運輸導向發展發展程度。本研究以 ITDP 所提出之《TOD Standard 3.0》為基礎，建立雙北地區大眾運輸導向發展之評估指標體系，透過標準化與加權整合方法，計算各捷運站點之大眾運輸導向發展程度。同時，結合捷運各站O-D流量統計進行旅次分析，並應用K-means分群法、重力模型與中介效果等方法，探討雙北地區大眾運輸導向發展與捷運旅次間之互動關係。 研究結果顯示，大眾運輸導向發展由臺北市核心區向新北邊陲遞減，高程度地區多集中於交通節點與核心生活圈。而熱門O-D旅次集中於大眾運輸發展程度高程度區，惟平日與假日之旅次模式具明顯差異，呈現出以通勤與休閒為導向之功能差異。此外，中介效果進一步發現，大眾運輸導向發展程度主要透過提升站點實際人次，間接促進O-D旅次，顯示其間接影響機制。 本研究透過結合大眾運輸導向發展指標與捷運旅次資料，補足大眾運輸導向發展之研究在都市規劃與使用行為之間的落差，期能提供具實證基礎的分析，作為未來大眾運輸導向政策規劃與資源配置之重要依據。 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) As urban development and commuting demands continue to rise, the integration of land use and transportation planning through Transit-Oriented Development (TOD) has emerged as a critical issue in spatial planning. In light of the expanding metro network in the Taipei Metropolitan Area, it is essential to assess the current state of TOD implementation and pinpoint areas in need of further improvement. While most existing TOD studies emphasize static planning and policy frameworks, they often lack empirical validation grounded in actual travel behavior data. Furthermore, few have analyzed the level of TOD at the regional scale. This research establishes an evaluation indicator system for TOD in Taipei and New Taipei City, drawing on the TOD Standard 3.0 developed by ITDP. Through standardized and weighted integration methods, the TOD level of each metro station is calculated. Additionally, metro origin-destination (O-D) flow statistics are also employed to analyze travel patterns, with K-means clustering, gravity modeling, and mediation analysis used to explore the interaction between TOD levels and metro travel patterns. The results reveal a decreasing gradient in TOD levels from central Taipei toward the suburban areas of New Taipei. High TOD areas are mostly located at transit hubs and core urban zones. Popular O-D trips are concentrated in areas with high TOD levels. Nevertheless, significant differences are observed between weekday and weekend travel patterns, reflecting distinct commuting and leisure-oriented functions. Moreover, the mediation analysis shows that TOD levels indirectly promote O-D trips by increasing actual station usage, which highlights the underlying behavioral mechanism. By integrating TOD indicators with real-world travel data, this study narrows the gap between planning theory and actual user behavior. It offers an evidence-based framework to support future TOD policymaking and inform more effective resource allocation. en_US dc.description.tableofcontents 第一章 緒論 1 第一節 研究動機與目的 1 第二節 研究範疇 4 第三節 研究方法 6 第四節 研究內容與流程 8 第二章 文獻回顧 11 第一節 大眾運輸導向發展之背景與概念 11 第二節 大眾運輸導向發展地圖之相關研究 19 第三節 大數據資料應用於捷運旅次行為分析 28 第三章 研究設計 35 第一節 研究架構 35 第二節 資料取得與處理 38 第三節 敘述統計分析方法 50 第四節 模型設定與評估方法 52 第四章 實證分析 57 第一節 資料敘述分析 57 第二節 TOD旅次分布結果 92 第三節 捷運O-D旅次迴歸模型 100 第五章 結論與建議 111 第一節 結論 111 第二節 建議 113 參考文獻 115 附錄一 大眾運輸導向發展評估指標之基礎資料 125 附錄二 捷運站點 TOD 程度評分與排名 147 zh_TW dc.format.extent 10316358 bytes - dc.format.mimetype application/pdf - dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0112257007 en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) 大眾運輸導向發展程度分布 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 捷運旅次行為 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 重力模型 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 中介效果 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) TOD level distribution en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Metro travel behavior en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Gravity model en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Mediation effect en_US dc.title (題名) 捷運旅次分布與大眾運輸導向發展之關聯分析—以雙北地區為例 zh_TW dc.title (題名) Analysis of the Relationship Between MRT Trip Distribution and Transit-Oriented Development: A Case Study of the Taipei Metropolitan Area en_US dc.type (資料類型) thesis en_US dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 一、中文參考文獻 （一）期刊論文 白仁德、劉人華（2014）。大眾運輸導向建成環境特性對捷運運量影響之研究－以臺北捷運為實證對象。《建築與規劃學報》，15（2/3），111–128。 李家儂、賴宗裕（2007）。臺北都會區大眾運輸導向發展目標體系與策略之建構。《地理學報》，48，19–42。 李家儂、羅健文（2006）。大眾運輸導向發展設計概念中步行可及性與大眾捷運系統旅次關係之初探。《都市交通》，20（4）。 林楨家、施亭伃（2007）。大眾運輸導向發展之建成環境對捷運運量之影響--臺北捷運系統之實證研究。《運輸計劃》，36（4）。 張惟皓、張效通（2015）。以空間型構法則分析都市型態之研究架構。《健康與建築雜誌》，2（1），1–9。 許志堅、林育慈（2003）。大眾運輸導向的都市發展目標與策略-以臺北市為例。《經濟前瞻》，（86），116–121。 張澤雄、王君惠、曾昭容（2018）。臺北捷運30而立，傳承技術與永續經營再發展。《捷運技術》，(50)，61。臺北市政府捷運工程局。 臺北市政府交通局、新北市政府交通局（2019）。108年雙北市民眾日常使用運具狀況摘要分析。臺北市政府交通局。 （二）學位論文 郭佳勳（2005）。捷運站區大眾運輸導向發展評估模式之建立與應用（碩士論文）。國立臺北大學，臺北市。 陳宥維（2024）。臺北市大眾運輸導向發展地圖與零售業發展關聯之時空變遷分析（碩士論文）。國立政治大學，臺北市。 潘廷彥（2020）。高齡者搭乘捷運旅運之時空分布型態分析 - 以雙北地區為例（碩士論文）。國立政治大學，臺北市。 蔡宗霈（2021）。以實證型TOD類型學檢視臺北市發展之特徵與表現（碩士論文）。國立成功大學，台南市。 林正軒（2023）。臺北市大眾運輸導向發展與都市更新之空間關聯分析（碩士論文）。國立政治大學，臺北市。 王怡婷（2023）。以捷運搭乘者時空活動探討 TOD 生活圈特徵：以臺北市文湖線捷運站點周邊地區為例（碩士論文）。國立成功大學，台南市。 二、外文參考文獻 （一）期刊論文 Anwar, A., Leng, H., Ashraf, H., & Haider, A. 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