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題名 Catastrophe risk with global climate change determines the price of catastrophe equity puts
作者 黃泓智; 林士貴
Chuang, Ming-Che;Huang, Hong-Chih;Huang, Shih-Feng; Lin, Shih-Kuei
貢獻者 風管系; 金融系
關鍵詞 Catastrophe equity put; Global climate change; Catastrophe risk; Systematic risk
日期 2025-09
上傳時間 2025-11-14
摘要 A growing frequency of natural catastrophes due to global climate change has confronted insurance companies with massive compensation claims and substantial stock price risk. The catastrophe equity put options provide a means to manage such risks. As stock markets usually exhibit volatility clustering, volatility may increase significantly. This article establishes a GARCH model for global climate change to characterize the dynamic process of insurance companies’ stock prices. The incomplete market requires an Esscher transform, a specific risk-neutral probability measure that serves to price the CatEPut. The empirical analysis identifies that the inverse-Gaussian distribution for each catastrophe loss and the random walk with positive drift for the arrival rate of catastrophes perform the best in terms of goodness-of-fit. The sensitivity analysis results illustrate that global climate change, the catastrophe intensity, and the systematic/unsystematic catastrophe risk constitute important factors for determining the CatEPut price.
關聯 The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Vol.80, 102473
資料類型 article
DOI https://doi.org/10.1016/j.najef.2025.102473
dc.contributor 風管系; 金融系-
dc.creator (作者) 黃泓智; 林士貴-
dc.creator (作者) Chuang, Ming-Che;Huang, Hong-Chih;Huang, Shih-Feng; Lin, Shih-Kuei-
dc.date (日期) 2025-09-
dc.date.accessioned 2025-11-14-
dc.date.available 2025-11-14-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 2025-11-14-
dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://ah.lib.nccu.edu.tw/item?item_id=179793-
dc.description.abstract (摘要) A growing frequency of natural catastrophes due to global climate change has confronted insurance companies with massive compensation claims and substantial stock price risk. The catastrophe equity put options provide a means to manage such risks. As stock markets usually exhibit volatility clustering, volatility may increase significantly. This article establishes a GARCH model for global climate change to characterize the dynamic process of insurance companies’ stock prices. The incomplete market requires an Esscher transform, a specific risk-neutral probability measure that serves to price the CatEPut. The empirical analysis identifies that the inverse-Gaussian distribution for each catastrophe loss and the random walk with positive drift for the arrival rate of catastrophes perform the best in terms of goodness-of-fit. The sensitivity analysis results illustrate that global climate change, the catastrophe intensity, and the systematic/unsystematic catastrophe risk constitute important factors for determining the CatEPut price.-
dc.format.extent 107 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype text/html-
dc.relation (關聯) The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Vol.80, 102473-
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Catastrophe equity put; Global climate change; Catastrophe risk; Systematic risk-
dc.title (題名) Catastrophe risk with global climate change determines the price of catastrophe equity puts-
dc.type (資料類型) article-
dc.identifier.doi (DOI) 10.1016/j.najef.2025.102473-
dc.doi.uri (DOI) https://doi.org/10.1016/j.najef.2025.102473-