| dc.contributor | 國際事務學院 | |
| dc.creator (作者) | 許菁芸 | |
| dc.creator (作者) | Hsu, Jing-yun | |
| dc.date (日期) | 2025-07 | |
| dc.date.accessioned | 3-Feb-2026 11:37:30 (UTC+8) | - |
| dc.date.available | 3-Feb-2026 11:37:30 (UTC+8) | - |
| dc.date.issued (上傳時間) | 3-Feb-2026 11:37:30 (UTC+8) | - |
| dc.identifier.uri (URI) | https://ah.lib.nccu.edu.tw/item?item_id=181176 | - |
| dc.description.abstract (摘要) | 2022年2月24日，俄羅斯總統普京以「去軍事化、去納粹化」為由，派遣俄軍進入烏克蘭領土，自那時起雙方衝突即進入全面戰爭，並迅速發展為二戰以來歐洲規模最大的軍事衝突，戰事至今邁入第四年，俄烏仍在烏克蘭境內與烏東地區交戰，烏克蘭領土、建設與人民受到相當程度的重創，大量難民移往歐洲各地。儘管各國領袖已為俄烏雙方進行斡旋，衝突雙方亦經歷幾輪談判，但仍未見停火的共識，直至川普於2024年11月5日的總統大選中獲勝，重返白宮開啟了「川普2.0」時代，並積極協調俄烏停戰。本文以安全困境理論與螺旋模式分析，聚焦於2022年俄烏戰事開打至今，相關物質和心理調節因素探討。可以發現，導致北約、俄羅斯、烏克蘭安全困境的根本原因，是雙方往往採取自認為增加安全的措施，雖然是無意圖的，例如積累不必要的進攻性能力，但結果卻適得其反：更多的力量帶來更少的安全。 | |
| dc.description.abstract (摘要) | On February 24, 2022, Russian President Vladimir Putin launched a full-scale military invasion of Ukraine under the pretext of ＂demilitarization＂ and ＂denazification.＂ Since then, the conflict has escalated into a full-blown war, rapidly becoming the largest military confrontation in Europe since World War II. Now entering its fourth year, the war continues within Ukrainian territory, particularly in the eastern regions, causing severe devastation to Ukraine's land, infrastructure, and civilian population, with millions of refugees fleeing to various parts of Europe. Despite multiple rounds of negotiations and mediation efforts led by global leaders, no consensus on a ceasefire had been reached. This remained the case until Donald Trump's victory in the U.S. presidential election on November 5, 2024, marking the beginning of the ＂Trump 2.0＂ era and his renewed efforts to broker a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire. This article adopts the theory of the security dilemma and the spiral model to analyze the conflict from its outbreak in 2022 to the present, focusing on both material and psychological contributing factors. It argues that the fundamental cause of the security dilemmas faced by NATO, Russia, and Ukraine lies in each party's tendency to take measures - often perceived as enhancing their own security - that unintentionally heighten mutual insecurity. This includes the accumulation of unnecessary offensive capabilities, resulting in a paradox where more power ultimately leads to less security. | |
| dc.format.extent | 107 bytes | - |
| dc.format.mimetype | text/html | - |
| dc.relation (關聯) | 遠景基金會季刊, Vol.26, No.3, pp.47-98 | |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 俄烏戰爭; 安全困境; 螺旋模型; 北約; 烏克蘭 | |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | Russia-Ukraine war; Security dilemmas; Spiral model; NATO; Ukraine | |
| dc.title (題名) | 俄烏戰爭爆發的緣起、發展與進程：雙重安全困境的詮釋 | |
| dc.title (題名) | The Outbreak, Evolution, and Trajectory of the Russia-Ukraine War: An Interpretation of the Dual Security Dilemma | |
| dc.type (資料類型) | article | |
