| dc.contributor | 地政系 | |
| dc.creator (作者) | 林士淵 | |
| dc.creator (作者) | Chen, Yi-Ying;Zeng, Zi-Ling;Huang, Wei;Lin, Shih-Yua | |
| dc.date (日期) | 2026-05 | |
| dc.date.accessioned | 12-Mar-2026 15:07:30 (UTC+8) | - |
| dc.date.available | 12-Mar-2026 15:07:30 (UTC+8) | - |
| dc.date.issued (上傳時間) | 12-Mar-2026 15:07:30 (UTC+8) | - |
| dc.identifier.uri (URI) | https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/162029 | - |
| dc.description.abstract (摘要) | This study proposes a spatial downscaling framework to generate fine-resolution (500 m) future land-use projections for Taiwan using LUH2-based datasets under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs). The framework integrates historical transition probabilities, national land-use survey data, and scenario-specific spatial allocation rules to bridge the resolution gap between global models and local policy needs. To evaluate spatial and temporal consistency, short-term land-use transition probabilities were derived from national surveys and used to identify conflict zones where long-term projections diverge from recent trends. To facilitate local implementation, four indicators, including early onset, concentration, variability, and pace of change, were developed to assess scenario-driven land-use dynamics across 19 subnational divisions of Taiwan. Results revealed that SSP1–1.9, while aligned with sustainability goals, involves abrupt land-use shifts that may challenge local implementation, whereas SSP2–4.5 offers more gradual transitions but greater cumulative impacts. Furthermore, following the same spatial downscaling procedure with spaceborne images of 6-meters resolution, site-specific land-use map was projected. It was demonstrated that this framework provides a transferable method for embedding global scenarios into local planning contexts and offers practical insights for risk detection, land-use prioritization, and adaptive governance under long-term development pathways. | |
| dc.format.extent | 112 bytes | - |
| dc.format.mimetype | text/html | - |
| dc.relation (關聯) | Land Use Policy, Vol.164, 107937, pp.1-16 | |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | Land-use harmonization (LUH2); Shared socio-economic pathways (SSPs); Future land-use/land-cover change projections; Conflict zone | |
| dc.title (題名) | From global models to local indicators: assessing land-Use transitions and conflicts | |
| dc.type (資料類型) | article | |
| dc.identifier.doi (DOI) | 10.1016/j.landusepol.2026.107937 | |
| dc.doi.uri (DOI) | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2026.107937 | |
